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PolyPnL
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Created
February 18, 2025
Active
July 7, 2026
Balance
$1.42K
Incoming
+$1.44K
Rewards
+$19.65
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$340.37
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
May 10
May 25
Jun 8
Jun 23
Jul 8
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$135.81
WR: 73.7%
(14/19)
ROI: +3.7%
Geopolitics
+$135.08
WR: 83.3%
(15/18)
ROI: +4.3%
Crypto
+$32.31
WR: 100.0%
(6/6)
ROI: +2.1%
5m
+$32.31
WR: 100.0%
(6/6)
ROI: +2.1%
Elections
+$6.24
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +1.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$2.89K
32.7%
Taker Volume
$5.95K
67.3%
Taker Ratio
67%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$605.15
Fee
$0.34
0 Wins in 3 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$2.23
ROI
3.3%
Win Rate
28.6%
Volume
$974.22
Fee
$0.34
2 Wins in 7 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$2.23
ROI
3.3%
Win Rate
28.6%
Volume
$974.22
Fee
$0.34
2 Wins in 7 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$122.45
ROI
1.8%
Win Rate
72.3%
Volume
$8.84K
Fee
$6.13
34 Wins in 47 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 326
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
—
—
$98.06
Active
7h ago
P
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Active 7h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$98.06
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
—
—
$18.60
Active
17h ago
Active
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Active 17h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.60
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
—
—
$488.50
fee: $0.34
Active
19h ago
Active
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Active 19h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$488.50
fee: $0.34
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
—
—
$285.30
Active
1d ago
Active
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$285.30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$2.05
+4.3%
$47.95
No
2d ago
No
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
+$2.05
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$47.95
P
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?
+$0.18
+0.9%
$19.82
No
2d ago
P
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?
Settled 18h ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$19.82
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
—
—
$16.00
Active
2d ago
Active
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.00
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
+$16.13
+5.0%
$322.03
fee: $0.56
Yes
12d ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$16.13
ROI
+5.0%
Volume
$322.03
fee: $0.56
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$7.00
+7.5%
$93.00
Yes
12d ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$7.00
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$93.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
+$14.50
+2.5%
$585.50
No
12d ago
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$14.50
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$585.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
—
—
$131.16
fee: $0.27
Active
12d ago
Active
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Active 12d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$131.16
fee: $0.27
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
—
—
$87.33
fee: $0.10
Active
15d ago
Active
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Active 15d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$87.33
fee: $0.10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
+$24.28
+4.7%
$460.65
fee: $0.17
Yes
16d ago
Yes
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$24.28
ROI
+4.7%
Volume
$460.65
fee: $0.17
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
-$18.04
-94.9%
$82.00
fee: $0.04
No
16d ago
No
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$18.04
ROI
-94.9%
Volume
$82.00
fee: $0.04
Starmer out by June 21, 2026?
+$3.05
+2.1%
$147.83
fee: $0.12
No
16d ago
No
Starmer out by June 21, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$3.05
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$147.83
fee: $0.12
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
+$55.10
+7.1%
$1.31K
Yes
17d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$55.10
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$1.31K
P
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
—
—
$143.50
Active
19d ago
P
Active
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Active 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$143.50
P
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
—
—
$116.39
Active
19d ago
P
Active
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Active 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$116.39
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
+$32.48
+10.4%
$311.20
No
19d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$32.48
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$311.20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?
+$2.02
+10.7%
$18.90
fee: $0.08
No
19d ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$2.02
ROI
+10.7%
Volume
$18.90
fee: $0.08
anthropic-vs-openai
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
+$31.86
+5.7%
$701.35
fee: $1.49
Anthropic
22d ago
anthropic-vs-openai
Anthropic
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$31.86
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$701.35
fee: $1.49
best-ai-company
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
+$3.47
+7.5%
$3.50
fee: $0.03
No
23d ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$3.47
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$3.50
fee: $0.03
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
+$1.49
+3.1%
$1.55
fee: $0.06
No
23d ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$1.49
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$1.55
fee: $0.06
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
+$0.90
+14.5%
$13.30
No
24d ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$0.90
ROI
+14.5%
Volume
$13.30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
+$2.80
+7.5%
$37.20
No
24d ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$2.80
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$37.20
sao-paulo-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?
-$1.57
-81.0%
$2.40
fee: $0.09
No
24d ago
sao-paulo-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
-$1.57
ROI
-81.0%
Volume
$2.40
fee: $0.09
iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
+$2.46
+14.0%
$17.54
No
24d ago
iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement
No
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$2.46
ROI
+14.0%
Volume
$17.54
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?
+$1.10
+1.1%
$98.90
No
24d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$98.90
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
+$0.25
+0.5%
$49.75
No
24d ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$49.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
+$0.40
+0.4%
$99.60
No
24d ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+0.4%
Volume
$99.60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$24.42
-100.0%
$24.42
Yes
24d ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$24.42
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$24.42
2-free-app
Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
+$0.80
+7.2%
$11.16
fee: $0.04
No
24d ago
2-free-app
No
Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$11.16
fee: $0.04
2-free-app
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
+$0.10
+1.0%
$9.90
fee: $0.00
No
24d ago
2-free-app
No
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$9.90
fee: $0.00
2-free-app
Will Planet Fitness be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
+$0.37
+1.1%
$34.89
fee: $0.02
No
24d ago
2-free-app
No
Will Planet Fitness be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.37
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$34.89
fee: $0.02
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
+$0.66
+1.1%
$59.34
No
24d ago
No
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$59.34
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
+$7.62
+3.8%
$200.08
fee: $0.30
No
25d ago
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$7.62
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$200.08
fee: $0.30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
+$8.50
+2.9%
$291.50
No
25d ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$8.50
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$291.50
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
+$10.00
+5.3%
$190.00
No
25d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$10.00
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$190.00
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
+$0.93
+0.9%
$99.00
fee: $0.07
Down
27d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$0.93
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$99.00
fee: $0.07
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
-$118.75
-100.1%
$118.68
fee: $0.07
No
27d ago
No
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$118.75
ROI
-100.1%
Volume
$118.68
fee: $0.07
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
+$18.66
+5.6%
$335.91
No
27d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$18.66
ROI
+5.6%
Volume
$335.91
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
+$4.70
+2.4%
$195.30
No
28d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$4.70
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$195.30
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$5.59
+1.3%
$444.00
fee: $0.41
Down
28d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$5.59
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$444.00
fee: $0.41
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$0.93
+0.9%
$99.00
fee: $0.07
Up
28d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$0.93
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$99.00
fee: $0.07
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$0.93
+0.9%
$99.00
fee: $0.07
Down
28d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$0.93
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$99.00
fee: $0.07
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$16.47
+3.8%
$432.34
fee: $1.19
Up
28d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$16.47
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$432.34
fee: $1.19
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
+$7.45
+1.9%
$392.00
fee: $0.55
Up
28d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$7.45
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$392.00
fee: $0.55
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
+$5.67
+2.9%
$194.00
fee: $0.33
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.67
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$194.00
fee: $0.33
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
+$0.93
+0.9%
$99.00
fee: $0.07
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.93
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$99.00
fee: $0.07
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$2.79
+0.9%
$297.00
fee: $0.21
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.79
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$297.00
fee: $0.21
326 Markets
•
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