Re
Ret-von-ArdRet-von-Ard
View on PolymarketCreated April 20, 2026
Active June 21, 2026
Balance$38.68
Trade+$11.24
Incoming+$27.45
Outgoing-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
May 22
May 30
Jun 6
Jun 14
Jun 21
Top Categories
Last 30 DaysSoccer+$7.71
WR: 83.3%(10/12)
ROI: +8.3%
Sports+$7.71
WR: 83.3%(10/12)
ROI: +8.3%
Weather+$2.76
WR: 66.7%(2/3)
ROI: +9.2%
Economy-$7.32
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: -7.5%
Geopolitics-$117.84
WR: 16.7%(2/12)
ROI: -39.3%
Trading Style
Last 30 DaysMaker Volume$126.04
15.0%
Taker Volume$716.43
85.0%
Taker Ratio
85%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$8.01
ROI
-13.7%
Win Rate
71.4%
Volume
$84.94
Fee
$0.21
5 Wins in 7 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$54.23
ROI
-28.5%
Win Rate
64.3%
Volume
$304.72
Fee
$2.22
9 Wins in 14 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$158.16
ROI
-36.1%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$694.00
Fee
$2.86
13 Wins in 26 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$255.20
ROI
-44.1%
Win Rate
37.8%
Volume
$842.47
Fee
$4.53
14 Wins in 37 Markets
Recent Markets | total 57
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
PnL+$0.63
ROI+40.0%
Volumefee: $0.01
P
PnL+$0.97
ROI+4.9%
Volumefee: $0.04
PnL+$0.28
ROI+5.5%
Volumefee: $0.09
P
PnL+$0.26
ROI+2.6%
Volumefee: $0.01
PnL+$1.86
ROI+18.6%
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL-$11.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
P
PnL-$1.00
ROI-100.4%
Volumefee: $0.00
P
PnL-$0.11
ROI-3.8%
Volumefee: $0.11
PnL+$1.54
ROI+15.4%
Volumefee: $0.39
PnL+$1.69
ROI+16.9%
Volumefee: $0.46
PnL-$52.09
ROI-65.9%
Volume
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?+$4.69
+46.9%
fee: $0.37
Yes
1d ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Yes
Settled 1d ago
PnL+$4.69
ROI+46.9%
Volumefee: $0.37
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?+$8.45
+84.5%
fee: $0.30
No
1d ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
No
Settled 1d ago
PnL+$8.45
ROI+84.5%
Volumefee: $0.30
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?-$10.38
-103.8%
fee: $0.38
No
2d ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
No
Settled 1d ago
PnL-$10.38
ROI-103.8%
Volumefee: $0.38
PnL+$0.09
ROI+4.7%
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL+$0.63
ROI+62.8%
Volumefee: $0.01
P
PnL-$1.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$30.56
ROI-59.9%
Volume
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?—
—
Active
6d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Active 6d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?+$17.01
+49.5%
Active
6d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Active 6d ago
PnL+$17.01
ROI+49.5%
Volume
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?-$24.33
-38.1%
Active
6d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Active 6d ago
PnL-$24.33
ROI-38.1%
Volume
-$19.77
-98.8%
Yes
6d ago
PnL-$19.77
ROI-98.8%
Volume
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?-$24.82
-87.2%
fee: $0.47
Active
6d ago
PnL-$24.82
ROI-87.2%
Volumefee: $0.47
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?-$14.04
-86.7%
fee: $0.08
Active
6d ago
PnL-$14.04
ROI-86.7%
Volumefee: $0.08
PnL+$0.89
ROI+4.7%
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL-$8.04
ROI-80.4%
Volume
PnL-$23.95
ROI-101.5%
Volumefee: $0.35
PnL-$6.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$3.30
ROI-55.0%
Volume
-$2.50
-62.5%
No
22d ago
hormuz-transits-neg
No
Settled 19d ago
PnL-$2.50
ROI-62.5%
Volume
PnL-$5.73
ROI-95.5%
Volumefee: $0.01
PnL-$9.98
ROI-99.8%
Volumefee: $0.35
PnL-$43.27
ROI-100.4%
Volumefee: $0.50
PnL+$17.74
ROI+88.7%
Volume
PnL-$5.54
ROI-83.9%
Volumefee: $0.23
PnL-$8.20
ROI-91.2%
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL-$6.31
ROI-97.0%
Volumefee: $0.21
PnL-$2.27
ROI-40.5%
Volumefee: $0.27
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?-$2.06
-58.9%
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$2.06
ROI-58.9%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?-$3.57
-97.8%
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$3.57
ROI-97.8%
Volume
PnL+$24.35
ROI+48.4%
Volumefee: $0.35
PnL+$2.70
ROI+170.3%
Volume
PnL-$1.56
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$2.20
ROI+28.2%
Volume
-$5.35
-100.0%
Yes
1mo ago
hormuz-transits-neg
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$5.35
ROI-100.0%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?+$5.65
+113.0%
Yes
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$5.65
ROI+113.0%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?+$0.06
+1.2%
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$0.06
ROI+1.2%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?-$4.78
-95.5%
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$4.78
ROI-95.5%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?-$2.44
-12.8%
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$2.44
ROI-12.8%
Volume
PnL-$6.52
ROI-102.7%
Volumefee: $0.17