Po

PowerLawBelie...

Created March 3, 2026
Active September 29, 2026
Balance$117.89

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$68.09
Sep 3
Sep 10
Sep 18
Sep 25
Oct 3

Top Categories

Last 30 Days
Weather+$56.78
WR: 42.9%(3/7)
ROI: +151.8%
Geopolitics+$17.80
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: +143.6%
Economy-$6.50
WR: 0.0%(0/2)
ROI: -104.8%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days
Maker Volume$17.24
28.0%
Taker Volume$44.26
72.0%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$23.88

ROI

398.1%

Win Rate

100.0%

Volume

$6.00

Fee

$0.11

1 Wins in 1 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$68.09

ROI

121.5%

Win Rate

36.4%

Volume

$61.50

Fee

$1.37

4 Wins in 11 Markets

Recent Markets | total 92
PnL+$23.88
ROI+398.1%
Volumefee: $0.11
PnL+$22.83
ROI+330.9%
Volumefee: $0.27
PnL-$2.09
ROI-104.5%
Volumefee: $0.09
us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to
No
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL-$3.67
ROI-104.8%
Volumefee: $0.17
us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to
No
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL-$2.83
ROI-104.7%
Volumefee: $0.13
PnL-$3.45
ROI-104.5%
Volumefee: $0.15
PnL+$21.00
ROI+233.3%
Volume
PnL-$3.57
ROI-102.0%
Volumefee: $0.07
north-korea-missile-test
Yes
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL+$19.80
ROI+194.1%
Volume
PnL-$2.00
ROI-90.9%
Volume
PnL-$1.83
ROI-27.2%
Volumefee: $0.39
PnL-$7.50
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$6.22
ROI-104.0%
Volumefee: $0.24
PnL-$1.70
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$0.86
ROI+13.0%
Volumefee: $0.64
PnL-$0.90
ROI-34.6%
Volumefee: $0.10
PnL-$4.63
ROI-103.0%
Volumefee: $0.13
PnL-$5.48
ROI-87.0%
Volumefee: $0.08
PnL+$21.91
ROI+280.9%
Volumefee: $0.29
PnL-$1.80
ROI-100.0%
Volume
P
iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$1.10
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$32.44
ROI+450.5%
Volumefee: $0.16
PnL+$3.34
ROI+222.8%
Volumefee: $0.01
PnL+$14.00
ROI+233.3%
Volume
PnL-$9.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$2.31
ROI+24.9%
Volumefee: $0.09
PnL+$1.51
ROI+25.1%
Volumefee: $0.09
PnL-$7.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$6.40
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$7.00
ROI-71.4%
Volume
PnL+$14.27
ROI+190.8%
Volumefee: $0.25
PnL-$1.83
ROI-103.9%
Volumefee: $0.07
PnL-$3.71
ROI-103.1%
Volumefee: $0.11
PnL-$4.37
ROI-104.0%
Volumefee: $0.17
PnL-$1.06
ROI-104.8%
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL-$0.98
ROI-104.8%
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL+$2.89
ROI+56.7%
Volumefee: $0.09
PnL-$2.65
ROI-101.7%
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL-$3.10
ROI-27.9%
Volumefee: $0.40
PnL-$2.15
ROI-82.6%
Volumefee: $0.15
PnL+$1.73
ROI+52.8%
Volumefee: $0.19
PnL+$1.94
ROI+64.7%
Volumefee: $0.06
PnL-$3.82
ROI-84.8%
Volumefee: $0.08
PnL-$12.97
ROI-102.9%
Volumefee: $0.37
PnL-$2.82
ROI-95.4%
Volumefee: $0.10
PnL-$0.68
ROI-45.6%
Volume
PnL-$8.58
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$3.05
ROI-103.2%
Volumefee: $0.09
PnL-$7.47
ROI-103.8%
Volumefee: $0.27
PnL-$3.68
ROI-102.2%
Volumefee: $0.11
PnL-$1.32
ROI-89.6%
Volume
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$24.31
ROI+450.3%
Volumefee: $0.22
PnL-$5.45
ROI-104.1%
Volumefee: $0.22
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL+$3.82
ROI+11.4%
Volumefee: $0.23
PnL-$6.21
ROI-98.7%
Volumefee: $0.22
PnL-$6.43
ROI-100.5%
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL-$3.23
ROI-62.8%
Volumefee: $0.29
PnL-$5.60
ROI-102.8%
Volumefee: $0.15
PnL+$1.40
ROI+27.4%
Volumefee: $0.38
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL+$13.63
ROI+89.1%
Volumefee: $0.17
PnL-$10.84
ROI-103.3%
Volumefee: $0.34
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 2?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL+$22.50
ROI+300.0%
Volume
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL+$2.24
ROI+34.0%
Volumefee: $0.47
PnL-$7.78
ROI-103.8%
Volumefee: $0.28
claude-4pt8
Yes
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$5.58
ROI-103.3%
Volumefee: $0.18
PnL-$5.14
ROI-47.6%
Volumefee: $0.50
PnL+$5.67
ROI+49.0%
Volumefee: $0.46
PnL-$5.21
ROI-104.3%
Volumefee: $0.21
PnL-$2.74
ROI-39.7%
Volumefee: $0.19
PnL-$8.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL+$33.91
ROI+222.9%
Volumefee: $0.59
PnL-$1.62
ROI-15.0%
Volumefee: $0.64
PnL-$5.27
ROI-104.4%
Volumefee: $0.22
PnL-$10.23
ROI-103.3%
Volumefee: $0.33
PnL-$2.40
ROI-12.8%
Volumefee: $0.69
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$1.46
ROI-104.9%
Volumefee: $0.07
PnL-$13.27
ROI-102.8%
Volumefee: $0.37
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 9?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$9.70
ROI-101.1%
Volumefee: $0.11
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 7?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$2.33
ROI-32.3%
Volumefee: $0.53
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$7.17
ROI-103.8%
Volumefee: $0.27
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL-$3.74
ROI-30.2%
Volumefee: $0.47
PnL-$8.29
ROI-103.7%
Volumefee: $0.29
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL-$7.08
ROI-102.1%
Volumefee: $0.15
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL-$7.26
ROI-97.0%
Volumefee: $0.01
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL+$21.09
ROI+229.5%
Volumefee: $0.34
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL+$56.30
ROI+331.2%
Volumefee: $0.71
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 1?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL-$10.33
ROI-90.5%
Volumefee: $0.31
PnL-$62.96
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$11.29
ROI-103.4%
Volumefee: $0.37
PnL+$13.33
ROI+284.5%
Volumefee: $0.09
PnL+$19.11
ROI+72.1%
Volumefee: $0.79
92 Markets