PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL+$18.91
Aug 23
Aug 30
Sep 7
Sep 14
Sep 22
Top Categories
Last 30 DaysTech+$33.69
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: +8.6%
Politics-$14.78
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: -73.9%
Elections-$14.78
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: -73.9%
Trading Style
Last 30 DaysMaker Volume$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume$838.90
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$18.91
ROI
4.6%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$838.90
Fee
$11.62
1 Wins in 3 Markets
Recent Markets | total 174
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
PnL-$14.78
ROI-73.9%
Volumefee: $0.81
max-chatbot-arena-math
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?+$64.12
+19.4%
fee: $9.28
Active
21d ago
max-chatbot-arena-math
Active
Active 21d ago
PnL+$64.12
ROI+19.4%
Volumefee: $9.28
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?-$30.43
-50.7%
fee: $1.52
Active
21d ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Active
Active 21d ago
PnL-$30.43
ROI-50.7%
Volumefee: $1.52
-$63.87
-63.9%
fee: $2.70
No
1mo ago
PnL-$63.87
ROI-63.9%
Volumefee: $2.70
-$217.82
-43.6%
fee: $8.60
No
1mo ago
PnL-$217.82
ROI-43.6%
Volumefee: $8.60
P
PnL-$21.10
ROI-52.8%
Volume
PnL-$5.02
ROI-29.5%
Volume
PnL-$4.22
ROI-35.1%
Volume
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?-$59.78
-99.6%
No
1mo ago
PnL-$59.78
ROI-99.6%
Volume
-$122.70
-102.2%
fee: $2.70
No
1mo ago
largest-company
No
Settled 21d ago
PnL-$122.70
ROI-102.2%
Volumefee: $2.70
-$29.19
-97.3%
fee: $0.37
No
1mo ago
PnL-$29.19
ROI-97.3%
Volumefee: $0.37
-$133.02
-102.3%
fee: $3.02
No
1mo ago
PnL-$133.02
ROI-102.3%
Volumefee: $3.02
P
PnL-$41.66
ROI-20.8%
Volume
+$18.74
+8.4%
fee: $0.96
Yes
1mo ago
P
PnL+$18.74
ROI+8.4%
Volumefee: $0.96
PnL-$3.93
ROI-13.1%
Volume
P
PnL+$6.19
ROI+3.1%
Volume
P
PnL-$2.90
ROI-0.6%
Volume
PnL+$12.27
ROI+6.1%
Volume
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?-$996.22
-93.1%
fee: $22.41
Yes
1mo ago
PnL-$996.22
ROI-93.1%
Volumefee: $22.41
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?-$76.79
-65.1%
fee: $5.75
Yes
2mo ago
PnL-$76.79
ROI-65.1%
Volumefee: $5.75
second-largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?-$72.17
-72.2%
fee: $4.09
No
2mo ago
second-largest-company
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$72.17
ROI-72.2%
Volumefee: $4.09
-$218.97
-81.1%
fee: $2.86
No
2mo ago
largest-company
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$218.97
ROI-81.1%
Volumefee: $2.86
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?+$613.42
+120.5%
fee: $10.97
No
2mo ago
PnL+$613.42
ROI+120.5%
Volumefee: $10.97
PnL-$6.06
ROI-2.7%
Volumefee: $6.22
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?+$238.78
+119.4%
fee: $4.39
No
2mo ago
P
PnL+$238.78
ROI+119.4%
Volumefee: $4.39
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?-$24.23
-20.2%
No
2mo ago
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$24.23
ROI-20.2%
Volume
second-largest-company
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?-$520.38
-92.6%
fee: $16.93
No
2mo ago
second-largest-company
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$520.38
ROI-92.6%
Volumefee: $16.93
PnL-$18.89
ROI-104.9%
Volumefee: $0.89
PnL-$4.88
ROI-2.4%
Volumefee: $3.00
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?-$10.29
-102.9%
fee: $0.29
No
2mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$10.29
ROI-102.9%
Volumefee: $0.29
PnL-$3.65
ROI-36.5%
Volume
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?+$154.75
+73.7%
fee: $3.43
No
2mo ago
PnL+$154.75
ROI+73.7%
Volumefee: $3.43
-$2.86
-14.3%
fee: $1.24
No
2mo ago
P
PnL-$2.86
ROI-14.3%
Volumefee: $1.24
hong-kong-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 18?+$0.62
+2.9%
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$0.62
ROI+2.9%
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL+$73.65
ROI+59.9%
Volume
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?+$250.53
+62.6%
fee: $10.61
Yes
2mo ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$250.53
ROI+62.6%
Volumefee: $10.61
-$580.91
-38.7%
fee: $31.35
Yes
2mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$580.91
ROI-38.7%
Volumefee: $31.35
PnL+$4.10
ROI+20.5%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?+$0.72
+3.3%
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
PnL+$0.72
ROI+3.3%
Volumefee: $0.04
PnL+$22.83
ROI+20.8%
Volumefee: $2.28
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026?+$5.35
+5.3%
fee: $0.21
No
2mo ago
PnL+$5.35
ROI+5.3%
Volumefee: $0.21
PnL-$3.01
ROI-3.8%
Volume
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?+$2.27
+9.9%
Yes
2mo ago
spacex-starship-flight-test
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$2.27
ROI+9.9%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?-$925.16
-82.2%
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$925.16
ROI-82.2%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?-$3.53
-35.3%
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$3.53
ROI-35.3%
Volume
PnL-$198.04
ROI-22.3%
Volume
P
PnL-$30.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$15.78
ROI-15.8%
Volume
PnL+$8.96
ROI+29.9%
Volume
+$22.27
+11.1%
fee: $0.83
Yes
2mo ago
PnL+$22.27
ROI+11.1%
Volumefee: $0.83
PnL-$20.46
ROI-102.3%
Volumefee: $0.46
PnL+$30.05
ROI+5.1%
Volumefee: $1.53
PnL+$38.45
ROI+6.9%
Volumefee: $2.14
PnL-$2.17
ROI-13.6%
Volumefee: $0.72
P
PnL-$96.21
ROI-96.2%
Volume
PnL-$77.04
ROI-23.9%
Volumefee: $4.88
PnL-$328.62
ROI-73.5%
Volumefee: $7.25
PnL+$1.13
ROI+1.4%
Volumefee: $1.76
P
PnL-$4.32
ROI-8.6%
Volumefee: $1.02
P
PnL+$4.00
ROI+20.0%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?-$7.25
-5.3%
Yes
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$7.25
ROI-5.3%
Volume
PnL+$42.83
ROI+4.1%
Volumefee: $17.14
P
PnL-$1.08
ROI-0.5%
Volume
PnL+$93.20
ROI+8.7%
Volume
PnL-$2.50
ROI-25.0%
Volumefee: $0.81
P
PnL+$9.47
ROI+4.7%
Volume
PnL-$162.95
ROI-12.7%
Volume
P
PnL+$10.55
ROI+5.3%
Volume
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?-$41.40
-17.8%
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$41.40
ROI-17.8%
Volume
PnL-$11.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$45.30
ROI+11.3%
Volumefee: $1.68
PnL+$59.74
ROI+43.4%
Volumefee: $1.76
P
PnL+$10.63
ROI+5.3%
Volume
PnL+$120.99
ROI+24.2%
Volumefee: $4.13
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?-$2.16
-15.4%
fee: $0.76
Yes
2mo ago
PnL-$2.16
ROI-15.4%
Volumefee: $0.76
claude-code-commits
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?+$6.70
+33.5%
fee: $0.21
Yes
2mo ago
PnL+$6.70
ROI+33.5%
Volumefee: $0.21
PnL-$17.92
ROI-16.6%
Volumefee: $2.40
-$13.76
-32.8%
fee: $0.76
Yes
2mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$13.76
ROI-32.8%
Volumefee: $0.76
PnL+$67.43
ROI+4.7%
Volumefee: $13.23
P
PnL-$344.57
ROI-38.1%
Volumefee: $13.78
PnL+$19.19
ROI+1.1%
Volumefee: $19.57
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?+$7.04
+30.6%
fee: $0.22
No
2mo ago
PnL+$7.04
ROI+30.6%
Volumefee: $0.22
P
PnL-$204.86
ROI-47.3%
Volume
PnL-$1.39
ROI-13.9%
Volume
PnL-$21.32
ROI-56.1%
Volume
PnL-$41.78
ROI-1.3%
Volumefee: $35.28
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?+$0.00
+0.0%
Active
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Active 2mo ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volume
PnL+$40.95
ROI+6.7%
Volume
P
PnL-$92.25
ROI-92.3%
Volumefee: $2.12
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?+$33.20
+5.7%
Yes
2mo ago
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$33.20
ROI+5.7%
Volume
PnL-$180.94
ROI-21.6%
Volumefee: $21.67
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?-$113.00
-27.9%
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$113.00
ROI-27.9%
Volume
PnL-$259.19
ROI-18.0%
Volumefee: $21.18
P
PnL+$0.26
ROI+0.7%
Volumefee: $0.30
PnL-$10.69
ROI-5.3%
Volumefee: $3.89
PnL-$13.41
ROI-11.2%
Volumefee: $2.88
PnL+$23.24
ROI+11.1%
Volumefee: $2.09
PnL+$2.82
ROI+10.8%
Volumefee: $0.25
PnL+$26.84
ROI+5.2%
Volumefee: $6.00
-$47.15
-22.5%
fee: $3.47
Yes
2mo ago
P
PnL-$47.15
ROI-22.5%
Volumefee: $3.47