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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
se
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$8.11
sentientsnake
sentientsnake
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Created
October 28, 2025
Active
September 30, 2026
Balance
$642.90
Incoming
+$1.71K
Rewards
+$0.63
Outgoing
-$410.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.02
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.10
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 68
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
+$6.27
+14.4%
$43.50
fee: $0.23
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$6.27
ROI
+14.4%
Volume
$43.50
fee: $0.23
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
+$1.84
+6.5%
$28.14
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.84
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$28.14
fee: $0.02
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$2.75
+1.0%
$543.25
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.75
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$543.25
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$33.60
fee: $1.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$33.60
fee: $1.02
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$53.76
fee: $1.32
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$53.76
fee: $1.32
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
—
—
$47.95
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$47.95
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$47.50
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$47.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
+$7.36
+36.5%
$57.52
fee: $1.91
Active
1mo ago
Active
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.36
ROI
+36.5%
Volume
$57.52
fee: $1.91
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$75.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$75.00
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$10.18
-71.7%
$18.60
fee: $0.38
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.18
ROI
-71.7%
Volume
$18.60
fee: $0.38
iran-npt-withdrawal
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
+$0.67
+1.6%
$110.27
Active
1mo ago
iran-npt-withdrawal
Active
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$110.27
P
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
+$6.98
+28.8%
$117.65
fee: $1.08
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.98
ROI
+28.8%
Volume
$117.65
fee: $1.08
china-invade-taiwan
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
—
—
$38.52
Active
2mo ago
china-invade-taiwan
Active
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$38.52
P
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$170.00
fee: $1.28
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$170.00
fee: $1.28
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
+$1.45
+3.0%
$48.55
No
2mo ago
No
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.45
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$48.55
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
-$15.77
-101.1%
$15.60
fee: $0.17
Yes
2mo ago
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Yes
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.77
ROI
-101.1%
Volume
$15.60
fee: $0.17
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
-$24.00
-100.0%
$24.00
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$24.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$24.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
+$3.52
+11.7%
$30.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.52
ROI
+11.7%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.13
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
-$6.48
-39.5%
$27.20
fee: $0.88
No
2mo ago
No
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.48
ROI
-39.5%
Volume
$27.20
fee: $0.88
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
—
—
$48.55
fee: $0.07
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$48.55
fee: $0.07
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
+$9.19
+22.7%
$40.50
fee: $0.31
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.19
ROI
+22.7%
Volume
$40.50
fee: $0.31
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?
+$0.05
+1.0%
$4.95
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$4.95
fee: $0.00
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
+$4.00
+31.7%
$41.80
fee: $0.37
Active
2mo ago
Active
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.00
ROI
+31.7%
Volume
$41.80
fee: $0.37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
+$2.59
+1.8%
$147.30
fee: $0.11
No
2mo ago
No
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.59
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$147.30
fee: $0.11
P
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
—
—
$34.80
fee: $0.20
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$34.80
fee: $0.20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
+$4.20
+7.5%
$55.80
No
2mo ago
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.20
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$55.80
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$0.99
+3.4%
$29.01
No
2mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.99
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$29.01
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
+$3.50
+3.6%
$96.50
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.50
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$96.50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$34.40
fee: $0.24
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$34.40
fee: $0.24
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$2.70
+22.0%
$12.30
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.70
ROI
+22.0%
Volume
$12.30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$261.00
fee: $1.36
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$261.00
fee: $1.36
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$17.00
+12.8%
$133.00
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$17.00
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$133.00
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
-$201.09
-100.0%
$201.09
No
3mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$201.09
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$201.09
P
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?
+$4.98
+5.2%
$95.00
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
P
No
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.98
ROI
+5.2%
Volume
$95.00
fee: $0.02
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
-$10.80
-8.8%
$135.69
No
3mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$10.80
ROI
-8.8%
Volume
$135.69
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
+$5.50
+12.4%
$44.50
No
3mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.50
ROI
+12.4%
Volume
$44.50
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$12.50
+33.3%
$37.50
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.50
ROI
+33.3%
Volume
$37.50
iran-nuke
Iran Nuke before 2027?
—
—
$141.90
Active
3mo ago
iran-nuke
Active
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$141.90
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$19.45
+3.7%
$435.50
fee: $3.05
Yes
3mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$19.45
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$435.50
fee: $3.05
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$26.40
+3.9%
$673.59
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$26.40
ROI
+3.9%
Volume
$673.59
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
-$8.46
-10.0%
$160.53
fee: $0.39
No
4mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.46
ROI
-10.0%
Volume
$160.53
fee: $0.39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$13.84
-100.0%
$13.84
No
4mo ago
No
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$13.84
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$13.84
soccer-fifwc
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
+$22.97
+62.8%
$36.60
fee: $0.43
No
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$22.97
ROI
+62.8%
Volume
$36.60
fee: $0.43
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
+$11.70
+8.5%
$138.00
fee: $0.30
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$11.70
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$138.00
fee: $0.30
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$6.01
-2.7%
$387.25
fee: $0.76
No
4mo ago
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.01
ROI
-2.7%
Volume
$387.25
fee: $0.76
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$12.00
+6.4%
$188.00
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$12.00
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$188.00
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$16.75
+2.8%
$1.23K
fee: $1.25
No
4mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.75
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$1.23K
fee: $1.25
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
+$15.00
+5.3%
$285.00
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$15.00
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$285.00
soccer-fifwc
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
+$4.86
+5.1%
$95.00
fee: $0.14
France
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
France
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$4.86
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$95.00
fee: $0.14
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
+$7.76
+2.7%
$292.20
fee: $0.04
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$7.76
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$292.20
fee: $0.04
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+$5.56
+1.3%
$444.15
fee: $0.29
No
4mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.56
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$444.15
fee: $0.29
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
+$30.20
+4.0%
$757.80
No
5mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$30.20
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$757.80
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
+$17.12
+3.1%
$833.24
No
5mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$17.12
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$833.24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
+$5.13
+2.8%
$184.87
No
5mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$5.13
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$184.87
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
+$4.80
+4.2%
$115.19
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$4.80
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$115.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
-$63.80
-31.9%
$336.60
No
5mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$63.80
ROI
-31.9%
Volume
$336.60
yearly-ipos
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
+$14.25
+3.8%
$375.48
fee: $0.27
Yes
5mo ago
yearly-ipos
Yes
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$14.25
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$375.48
fee: $0.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
+$8.54
+6.0%
$142.00
No
5mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$8.54
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$142.00
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
+$3.28
+33.3%
$9.84
No
5mo ago
No
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.28
ROI
+33.3%
Volume
$9.84
elon-musk-trillionaire
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
+$8.66
+6.1%
$141.00
fee: $0.34
Yes
5mo ago
elon-musk-trillionaire
Yes
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$8.66
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$141.00
fee: $0.34
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
+$3.20
+1.6%
$196.80
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$3.20
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$196.80
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
+$2.95
+7.0%
$86.95
Yes
5mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$2.95
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$86.95
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
+$0.58
+0.6%
$99.40
fee: $0.02
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$0.58
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$99.40
fee: $0.02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
+$10.00
+5.3%
$190.00
No
5mo ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$10.00
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$190.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
+$0.34
+0.6%
$56.66
No
5mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$0.34
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$56.66
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
+$1.73
+4.5%
$38.20
fee: $0.07
No
6mo ago
No
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.73
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$38.20
fee: $0.07
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
+$0.82
+1.6%
$51.18
No
6mo ago
No
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$51.18
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
+$1.71
+6.0%
$28.29
No
6mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.71
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$28.29
68 Markets