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PolyPnL
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Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$0.00
0x11B53AF0db7d807e20c54420232099C11D608c02-1780728892156
0x11B53AF0db7...
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Created
June 6, 2026
Active
November 5, 2026
Balance
$1.28K
Incoming
+$1.20K
Rewards
+$2.37K
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$19.95
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Finance
+$0.51
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +30.6%
Elections
-$3.85
WR: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: -29.3%
Politics
-$3.85
WR: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: -29.3%
Tech
-$4.11
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -27.1%
Geopolitics
-$4.11
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -27.1%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$107.88
100.0%
Taker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Ratio
0%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$0.10
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
-4.4%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$5.06
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$19.95
Rebate:
+$8.30
ROI
-41.8%
Win Rate
12.5%
Volume
$107.88
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 8 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 859
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
-$0.10
-4.4%
$5.06
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$5.06
Will Mkhululi Dlevu be the next mayor of Buffalo City?
-$0.10
-25.0%
$3.98
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Mkhululi Dlevu be the next mayor of Buffalo City?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-25.0%
Volume
$3.98
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
-$1.77
-87.6%
$8.31
Active
10d ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.77
ROI
-87.6%
Volume
$8.31
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
-$3.65
-34.8%
$18.85
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$3.65
ROI
-34.8%
Volume
$18.85
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
-$4.11
-27.1%
$28.08
Active
16d ago
Active
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$4.11
ROI
-27.1%
Volume
$28.08
P
Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
-$2.44
-35.6%
$27.41
Active
19d ago
P
Active
Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
Active 19d ago
PnL
-$2.44
ROI
-35.6%
Volume
$27.41
P
Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?
+$0.51
+30.5%
$6.85
Active
26d ago
P
Active
Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?
Active 26d ago
PnL
+$0.51
ROI
+30.5%
Volume
$6.85
Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
-$8.30
-94.0%
$9.35
No
29d ago
No
Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$8.30
ROI
-94.0%
Volume
$9.35
Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?
-$3.01
-26.6%
$49.28
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.01
ROI
-26.6%
Volume
$49.28
P
Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?
-$4.40
-73.3%
$9.60
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.40
ROI
-73.3%
Volume
$9.60
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
-$8.91
-57.9%
$22.33
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.91
ROI
-57.9%
Volume
$22.33
P
Will Michael Wilson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
+$3.60
+112.5%
$10.00
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Michael Wilson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.60
ROI
+112.5%
Volume
$10.00
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
-$7.06
-89.8%
$8.66
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$7.06
ROI
-89.8%
Volume
$8.66
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
-$0.80
-28.1%
$5.40
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-28.1%
Volume
$5.40
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
+$7.65
+23.8%
$55.85
No
1mo ago
No
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.65
ROI
+23.8%
Volume
$55.85
Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
-$31.75
-53.0%
$85.05
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$31.75
ROI
-53.0%
Volume
$85.05
P
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2027?
—
—
$59.99
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$59.99
Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
+$3.53
+10.5%
$70.57
No
1mo ago
No
Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.53
ROI
+10.5%
Volume
$70.57
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
+$1.15
+22.7%
$11.61
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.15
ROI
+22.7%
Volume
$11.61
P
Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
+$1.15
+572.5%
$1.57
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.15
ROI
+572.5%
Volume
$1.57
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?
-$2.30
-34.8%
$10.90
Active
1mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.30
ROI
-34.8%
Volume
$10.90
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
-$1.55
-13.6%
$21.25
Active
1mo ago
Active
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.55
ROI
-13.6%
Volume
$21.25
best-ai-company
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
+$6.50
+812.5%
$8.10
Yes
1mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$6.50
ROI
+812.5%
Volume
$8.10
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
-$0.93
-17.3%
$26.06
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.93
ROI
-17.3%
Volume
$26.06
third-best-ai-company
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
-$10.95
-30.9%
$59.89
No
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
No
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$10.95
ROI
-30.9%
Volume
$59.89
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
+$0.45
+69.2%
$6.99
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+69.2%
Volume
$6.99
P
Will Oregon have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
-$5.37
-49.7%
$16.23
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Oregon have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$5.37
ROI
-49.7%
Volume
$16.23
Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?
-$1.99
-3.3%
$116.99
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.99
ROI
-3.3%
Volume
$116.99
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?
+$0.25
+10.6%
$12.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$12.00
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
-$1.11
-7.8%
$27.58
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.11
ROI
-7.8%
Volume
$27.58
Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
-$15.21
-90.5%
$18.39
No
1mo ago
No
Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.21
ROI
-90.5%
Volume
$18.39
Will Zach Currier win the 2026 PLL Midfielder of the Year?
+$5.90
+210.7%
$11.50
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Zach Currier win the 2026 PLL Midfielder of the Year?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.90
ROI
+210.7%
Volume
$11.50
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?
-$0.67
-83.3%
$9.18
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.67
ROI
-83.3%
Volume
$9.18
P
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?
-$0.15
-1.0%
$28.65
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$0.15
ROI
-1.0%
Volume
$28.65
who-attend-us-iran-peace-talks
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
-$0.45
-12.5%
$6.75
Active
1mo ago
who-attend-us-iran-peace-talks
Active
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$6.75
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
+$1.37
+19.0%
$18.16
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.37
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$18.16
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
-$0.04
-3.9%
$3.61
Active
1mo ago
fomc
Active
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-3.9%
Volume
$3.61
P
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
-$0.09
-1.6%
$14.71
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$14.71
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?
-$1.33
-6.7%
$30.61
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$30.61
P
Will Romeo Doubs have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-$3.50
-25.6%
$28.35
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Romeo Doubs have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.50
ROI
-25.6%
Volume
$28.35
P
Will "The Pitt" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?
-$5.82
-86.5%
$7.62
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will "The Pitt" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.82
ROI
-86.5%
Volume
$7.62
second-largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
+$0.44
+2.6%
$34.04
No
1mo ago
second-largest-company
No
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.44
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$34.04
third-best-ai-company
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$0.30
+8.8%
$7.10
No
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
No
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+8.8%
Volume
$7.10
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
-$1.78
-27.8%
$11.93
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.78
ROI
-27.8%
Volume
$11.93
P
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
+$2.00
+13.1%
$37.20
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$37.20
P
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
-$0.02
-2.5%
$1.88
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$1.88
Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?
+$5.80
+14.4%
$79.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.80
ROI
+14.4%
Volume
$79.00
P
Will Oregon have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
+$1.51
+24.4%
$13.06
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Oregon have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$1.51
ROI
+24.4%
Volume
$13.06
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?
-$7.22
-21.0%
$59.39
No
1mo ago
No
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.22
ROI
-21.0%
Volume
$59.39
Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
-$0.40
-6.5%
$12.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-6.5%
Volume
$12.00
P
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
-$0.08
-8.2%
$2.19
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-8.2%
Volume
$2.19
P
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$8.85
+75.0%
$32.45
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.85
ROI
+75.0%
Volume
$32.45
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
-$11.30
-27.9%
$81.90
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$11.30
ROI
-27.9%
Volume
$81.90
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
+$1.55
+17.6%
$19.15
Over
2mo ago
Over
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.55
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$19.15
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$1.08
-6.0%
$34.92
No
2mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$1.08
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$34.92
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
+$2.58
+11.7%
$46.74
No
2mo ago
No
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.58
ROI
+11.7%
Volume
$46.74
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?
+$2.50
+11.8%
$14.74
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.50
ROI
+11.8%
Volume
$14.74
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?
-$4.60
-48.9%
$14.20
Active
2mo ago
Active
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.60
ROI
-48.9%
Volume
$14.20
P
Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
+$4.35
+36.7%
$26.73
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.35
ROI
+36.7%
Volume
$26.73
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?
+$0.23
+35.4%
$3.28
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+35.4%
Volume
$3.28
P
avg-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
-$4.63
-60.4%
$10.70
No
2mo ago
P
avg-bab-el-mandeb-strait
No
Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.63
ROI
-60.4%
Volume
$10.70
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?
-$0.43
-10.8%
$11.57
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.43
ROI
-10.8%
Volume
$11.57
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?
-$3.49
-47.2%
$11.31
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.49
ROI
-47.2%
Volume
$11.31
P
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
+$0.60
+4.5%
$27.40
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$27.40
P
jobs-added
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?
-$0.01
-0.5%
$4.19
No
2mo ago
P
jobs-added
No
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$4.19
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?
-$0.70
-45.2%
$3.95
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.70
ROI
-45.2%
Volume
$3.95
P
mamdani-announcement-mentions
Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?
-$9.30
-100.0%
$9.30
Yes
2mo ago
P
mamdani-announcement-mentions
Yes
Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.30
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.30
Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?
-$2.66
-86.9%
$3.46
No
2mo ago
No
Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$2.66
ROI
-86.9%
Volume
$3.46
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
+$4.55
+108.3%
$8.95
No
2mo ago
No
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$4.55
ROI
+108.3%
Volume
$8.95
P
Over $15M committed to the Linera public sale?
-$1.80
-100.0%
$1.80
No
2mo ago
P
No
Over $15M committed to the Linera public sale?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.80
P
Will The Pitt be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
-$3.20
-72.6%
$6.41
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will The Pitt be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.20
ROI
-72.6%
Volume
$6.41
stripe-valuation
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by September 30?
-$3.60
-100.0%
$3.60
No
2mo ago
stripe-valuation
No
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.60
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
-$0.80
-4.5%
$29.80
Yes
2mo ago
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-4.5%
Volume
$29.80
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?
-$3.40
-27.0%
$21.80
No
2mo ago
No
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.40
ROI
-27.0%
Volume
$21.80
P
avg-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
-$7.08
-27.6%
$45.50
No
2mo ago
P
avg-bab-el-mandeb-strait
No
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$7.08
ROI
-27.6%
Volume
$45.50
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
+$5.42
+14.7%
$79.38
No
2mo ago
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$5.42
ROI
+14.7%
Volume
$79.38
iran-target-iraq-by
Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?
-$0.64
-6.0%
$15.19
No
2mo ago
iran-target-iraq-by
No
Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.64
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$15.19
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$0.49
+1.5%
$72.93
Yes
2mo ago
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$72.93
P
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
-$2.48
-65.9%
$5.05
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.48
ROI
-65.9%
Volume
$5.05
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
-$1.06
-10.4%
$19.38
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.06
ROI
-10.4%
Volume
$19.38
P
Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027?
—
—
$19.50
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$19.50
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
-$1.47
-10.1%
$26.94
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.47
ROI
-10.1%
Volume
$26.94
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?
-$3.71
-22.9%
$28.69
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.71
ROI
-22.9%
Volume
$28.69
P
h200-rental-price
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?
-$7.20
-87.8%
$9.20
No
2mo ago
P
h200-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$7.20
ROI
-87.8%
Volume
$9.20
third-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
-$0.40
-4.6%
$17.00
No
2mo ago
third-best-math-ai
No
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-4.6%
Volume
$17.00
P
a100-rental-price
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?
-$5.55
-39.6%
$22.45
Yes
2mo ago
P
a100-rental-price
Yes
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$5.55
ROI
-39.6%
Volume
$22.45
P
germany-gdp
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
+$5.48
+22.6%
$51.95
No
2mo ago
P
germany-gdp
No
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$5.48
ROI
+22.6%
Volume
$51.95
P
canada-gdp-mom
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
-$4.19
-31.2%
$22.69
No
2mo ago
P
canada-gdp-mom
No
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.19
ROI
-31.2%
Volume
$22.69
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$0.74
-73.5%
$1.27
Yes
2mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Yes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.74
ROI
-73.5%
Volume
$1.27
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
-$2.48
-17.7%
$25.52
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.48
ROI
-17.7%
Volume
$25.52
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
-$5.44
-29.2%
$31.80
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.44
ROI
-29.2%
Volume
$31.80
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
-$1.30
-11.2%
$21.90
No
2mo ago
No
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.30
ROI
-11.2%
Volume
$21.90
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
+$10.32
+62.1%
$40.66
No
2mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.32
ROI
+62.1%
Volume
$40.66
chinese-ai-3
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
+$5.48
+12.5%
$87.31
Yes
2mo ago
chinese-ai-3
Yes
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.48
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$87.31
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
+$2.60
+24.1%
$26.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.60
ROI
+24.1%
Volume
$26.00
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
-$2.13
-13.8%
$28.72
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.13
ROI
-13.8%
Volume
$28.72
P
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
-$0.05
-1.2%
$20.45
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$20.45
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
+$3.17
+13.1%
$45.80
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.17
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$45.80
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
-$0.21
-1.2%
$30.36
Yes
2mo ago
best-ai-model
Yes
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$30.36
P
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
-$3.18
-36.2%
$17.48
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.18
ROI
-36.2%
Volume
$17.48
859 Markets
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