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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
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Created
N/A
Active
November 7, 2026
Balance
$46.14
Incoming
+$10.90
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$15.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$53.09
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Economy
+$55.19
WR: 30.0%
(3/10)
ROI: +212.3%
Finance
+$31.56
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: +526.0%
Politics
+$22.91
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +1145.5%
Tech
-$2.10
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -104.8%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$68.94
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$8.00
Fee
$0.43
0 Wins in 3 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$8.00
Fee
$0.43
0 Wins in 3 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$53.09
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
189.6%
Win Rate
25.0%
Volume
$68.94
Fee
$2.21
3 Wins in 12 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 95
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
AI bubble burst in 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Active
2d ago
Active
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
bank-of-mexico-decision
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Active
2d ago
bank-of-mexico-decision
Active
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
Active 2d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$4.00
fee: $0.22
Active
2d ago
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
Active
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
Active 2d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.22
P
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
-$2.10
-104.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
10d ago
P
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Yes
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-104.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.10
P
bank-of-japan
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
-$3.21
-53.5%
$9.20
fee: $0.41
Yes
12d ago
P
bank-of-japan
Yes
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$3.21
ROI
-53.5%
Volume
$9.20
fee: $0.41
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
-$4.13
-103.3%
$4.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
12d ago
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$4.13
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.13
bank-of-canada-decision
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
-$2.02
-101.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
12d ago
bank-of-canada-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
P
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
+$22.91
+1145.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
14d ago
P
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
No
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$22.91
ROI
+1145.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
P
bank-of-mexico-decision
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
+$31.56
+526.0%
$19.34
fee: $0.79
No
14d ago
P
bank-of-mexico-decision
No
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$31.56
ROI
+526.0%
Volume
$19.34
fee: $0.79
P
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
-$2.02
-101.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
14d ago
P
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
P
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
+$14.13
+706.3%
$18.40
fee: $0.27
No
14d ago
P
bank-of-brazil-decision
No
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$14.13
ROI
+706.3%
Volume
$18.40
fee: $0.27
P
bank-of-england-decision
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
-$2.02
-101.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
18d ago
P
bank-of-england-decision
Yes
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
P
central-bank-of-chile-decision
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
-$2.11
-105.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
1mo ago
P
central-bank-of-chile-decision
Yes
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
-$2.11
-105.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
1mo ago
bank-of-israel-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
-$2.09
-104.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
No
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
livebench-coding-monthly
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
livebench-coding-monthly
No
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
-$1.69
-84.6%
$2.43
fee: $0.12
No
1mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.69
ROI
-84.6%
Volume
$2.43
fee: $0.12
companies-with-1-ai
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
-$2.09
-104.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
1mo ago
companies-with-1-ai
Yes
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
+$12.81
+640.3%
$16.81
fee: $0.48
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.81
ROI
+640.3%
Volume
$16.81
fee: $0.48
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
+$9.83
+491.3%
$14.16
fee: $0.34
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$9.83
ROI
+491.3%
Volume
$14.16
fee: $0.34
best-text-to-image-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
1mo ago
best-text-to-image-ai
Yes
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
-$2.02
-101.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Active
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
livebench-coding-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
+$0.14
+6.9%
$4.33
fee: $0.19
Yes
1mo ago
livebench-coding-monthly
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$4.33
fee: $0.19
third-best-ai-company
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$0.19
+9.6%
$4.38
fee: $0.20
No
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
No
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+9.6%
Volume
$4.38
fee: $0.20
bank-of-canada-decision
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
+$6.28
+314.2%
$10.73
fee: $0.45
No
1mo ago
bank-of-canada-decision
No
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$6.28
ROI
+314.2%
Volume
$10.73
fee: $0.45
peoples-bank-of-china
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
-$2.12
-105.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
1mo ago
peoples-bank-of-china
Yes
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
-$2.11
-105.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
1mo ago
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
Yes
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
+$0.43
+21.4%
$4.43
fee: $0.19
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+21.4%
Volume
$4.43
fee: $0.19
livebench-overall-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
+$1.26
+63.1%
$5.50
fee: $0.24
Yes
1mo ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.26
ROI
+63.1%
Volume
$5.50
fee: $0.24
swiss-national-bank-decision
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?
-$2.11
-105.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
1mo ago
swiss-national-bank-decision
Yes
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
-$1.78
-89.0%
$2.33
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$1.78
ROI
-89.0%
Volume
$2.33
fee: $0.11
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
-$2.10
-104.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-104.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.10
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
+$1.42
+71.2%
$5.67
fee: $0.24
Yes
2mo ago
best-math-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.42
ROI
+71.2%
Volume
$5.67
fee: $0.24
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
-$2.12
-105.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
Yes
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
-$2.12
-105.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
+$8.02
+200.5%
$16.36
fee: $0.34
Yes
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.02
ROI
+200.5%
Volume
$16.36
fee: $0.34
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
+$2.16
+108.2%
$6.44
fee: $0.28
Yes
2mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Yes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.16
ROI
+108.2%
Volume
$6.44
fee: $0.28
second-best-math-ai
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$1.78
-88.9%
$2.33
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
second-best-math-ai
Yes
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.78
ROI
-88.9%
Volume
$2.33
fee: $0.11
2nd-largest-private-company
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?
-$1.58
-78.8%
$2.55
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
2nd-largest-private-company
Yes
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.58
ROI
-78.8%
Volume
$2.55
fee: $0.12
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$1.77
-88.7%
$2.33
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
chinese-ai-1
Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.77
ROI
-88.7%
Volume
$2.33
fee: $0.11
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
-$1.87
-93.4%
$2.23
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.87
ROI
-93.4%
Volume
$2.23
fee: $0.10
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$1.97
-98.3%
$2.13
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
best-math-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.97
ROI
-98.3%
Volume
$2.13
fee: $0.10
best-text-to-video-ai
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?
-$1.91
-95.4%
$2.19
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
best-text-to-video-ai
Yes
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.91
ROI
-95.4%
Volume
$2.19
fee: $0.10
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?
-$2.12
-105.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
Yes
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
+$4.13
+206.4%
$8.53
fee: $0.41
No
2mo ago
P
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.13
ROI
+206.4%
Volume
$8.53
fee: $0.41
second-best-ai-company
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
2mo ago
second-best-ai-company
Yes
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
best-ai-model
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
+$7.10
+355.1%
$11.66
fee: $0.55
No
2mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$7.10
ROI
+355.1%
Volume
$11.66
fee: $0.55
P
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
+$2.61
+130.4%
$6.93
fee: $0.32
Yes
2mo ago
P
best-ai-model
Yes
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.61
ROI
+130.4%
Volume
$6.93
fee: $0.32
bank-of-england-decision
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
-$2.11
-105.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
bank-of-england-decision
Yes
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
-$2.11
-105.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$2.10
-104.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Yes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-104.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.10
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
+$9.07
+453.4%
$13.47
fee: $0.40
Yes
2mo ago
best-ai-model
Yes
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.07
ROI
+453.4%
Volume
$13.47
fee: $0.40
bank-of-mexico-decision
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
-$2.11
-105.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
bank-of-mexico-decision
Yes
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
second-best-ai-company
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$3.23
+161.5%
$7.45
fee: $0.22
No
2mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.23
ROI
+161.5%
Volume
$7.45
fee: $0.22
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
-$4.18
-104.6%
$4.00
fee: $0.18
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.18
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.18
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
best-ai-company
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$1.15
-57.5%
$3.00
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.15
ROI
-57.5%
Volume
$3.00
fee: $0.15
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Active
3mo ago
Active
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
best-text-to-image-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
best-text-to-image-ai
Yes
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
putin-x-zelenskyy-where-next
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Active
3mo ago
putin-x-zelenskyy-where-next
Active
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.08
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
best-ai-agent
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
-$2.09
-104.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
best-ai-agent
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
max-chatbot-arena-math
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.08
Active
3mo ago
max-chatbot-arena-math
Active
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$2.09
-104.3%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.3%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
ECB rate cut in 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Active
3mo ago
Active
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
reserve-bank-of-india-decision
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?
-$2.11
-105.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
3mo ago
reserve-bank-of-india-decision
Yes
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?
-$2.11
-105.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
No
3mo ago
us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to
No
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
P
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
-$2.09
-104.3%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
P
best-ai-model
Yes
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.3%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
bank-of-mexico-decision
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
-$2.12
-105.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
bank-of-mexico-decision
Yes
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
-$2.12
-105.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
P
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Tele-Rallies?
-$2.10
-104.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Tele-Rallies?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-104.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.10
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
-$2.12
-105.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
Yes
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
bank-of-canada-decision
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
-$2.11
-105.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
Yes
3mo ago
bank-of-canada-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-105.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
central-bank-of-colombia-decision
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?
+$26.46
+1322.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.11
No
3mo ago
central-bank-of-colombia-decision
No
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$26.46
ROI
+1322.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.11
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
-$2.10
-104.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
3mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-104.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.10
P
elon-tweet-mention
Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?
-$2.09
-104.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
P
elon-tweet-mention
Yes
Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
P
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?
-$2.10
-105.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-105.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
-$2.02
-101.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
+$47.09
+2354.5%
$51.84
fee: $0.75
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$47.09
ROI
+2354.5%
Volume
$51.84
fee: $0.75
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$2.09
-104.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
P
mrbeast-views-day-1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 21 and 22 million views on day 2?
-$2.12
-106.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
P
mrbeast-views-day-1
Yes
Will MrBeast's next video get between 21 and 22 million views on day 2?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-106.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
bank-of-england-decision
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
-$2.12
-105.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
bank-of-england-decision
Yes
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
bank-of-japan
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
-$2.12
-105.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
bank-of-japan
Yes
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$2.09
-104.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$4.00
fee: $0.18
Active
3mo ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Active
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.18
P
best-ai-model
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
+$23.97
+1198.5%
$28.44
fee: $0.48
Yes
3mo ago
P
best-ai-model
Yes
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$23.97
ROI
+1198.5%
Volume
$28.44
fee: $0.48
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
-$0.11
-5.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.07
50-50
3mo ago
50-50
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-5.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.07
best-ai-company
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$2.09
-104.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.09
No
3mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.09
ROI
-104.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.09
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
-$2.12
-105.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-105.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.12
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$2.02
-101.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
No
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
95 Markets