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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
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NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$1.03K
defeatatmarengo
defeatatmaren...
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Share
Created
July 10, 2025
Active
November 10, 2026
Balance
$161.01
Incoming
+$3.25K
Rewards
+$30.22
Outgoing
-$0.01
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$938.57
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 15
Oct 22
Oct 29
Nov 6
Nov 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
-$2.92
WR: 60.0%
(3/5)
ROI: -22.5%
Elections
-$417.45
WR: 16.7%
(4/24)
ROI: -25.0%
Politics
-$938.57
WR: 14.8%
(4/27)
ROI: -38.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$812.51
16.4%
Taker Volume
$4.15K
83.6%
Taker Ratio
84%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.02
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$69.42
Rebate:
+$0.04
ROI
-10.5%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$1.91K
Fee
$29.62
0 Wins in 16 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$938.57
Rebate:
+$0.11
ROI
-38.6%
Win Rate
14.8%
Volume
$4.96K
Fee
$63.50
4 Wins in 27 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 86
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
-$35.17
-7.1%
$1.04K
9 orders · fee $9.59
Active
3d ago
Bought
779.01
Yes
shares at avg
$0.74
costing
$576.98
Sold
615.74
Yes
shares at
$0.75
receiving
$461.81
Active
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$35.17
ROI
-7.1%
Volume
$1.04K
9 orders · fee $9.59
Bought
779.01
Yes
shares at avg
$0.74
costing
$576.98
Sold
615.74
Yes
shares at
$0.75
receiving
$461.81
Will PSOE receive between 26% and 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?
—
—
$100.00
1 order · fee $2.72
Active
3d ago
Bought
311.79
Yes
shares at
$0.32
costing
$100.00
Active
Will PSOE receive between 26% and 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $2.72
Bought
311.79
Yes
shares at
$0.32
costing
$100.00
merz-out
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
—
—
$30.00
1 order · fee $0.25
Active
3d ago
Bought
37.89
No
shares at
$0.79
costing
$30.00
merz-out
Active
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
Active 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$30.00
1 order · fee $0.25
Bought
37.89
No
shares at
$0.79
costing
$30.00
Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.67
Active
3d ago
Bought
124.22
Yes
shares at
$0.16
costing
$20.00
Active
Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.67
Bought
124.22
Yes
shares at
$0.16
costing
$20.00
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
—
—
$1.00
1 order · fee $0.04
Active
3d ago
Bought
50.00
Yes
shares at
$0.02
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order · fee $0.04
Bought
50.00
Yes
shares at
$0.02
costing
$1.00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
—
—
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.77
Active
3d ago
Bought
526.32
Yes
shares at
$0.04
costing
$20.00
Active
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.77
Bought
526.32
Yes
shares at
$0.04
costing
$20.00
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
-$2.86
-3.6%
$259.68
5 orders · fee $5.72
Active
3d ago
Bought
402.34
Yes
shares at avg
$0.45
costing
$182.63
Sold
176.02
Yes
shares at avg
$0.44
receiving
$77.04
Active
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$2.86
ROI
-3.6%
Volume
$259.68
5 orders · fee $5.72
Bought
402.34
Yes
shares at avg
$0.45
costing
$182.63
Sold
176.02
Yes
shares at avg
$0.44
receiving
$77.04
P
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?
-$13.94
-27.9%
$136.05
2 orders · fee $2.32
Active
3d ago
Bought
161.55
No
shares at
$0.62
costing
$100.00
Sold
80.77
No
shares at
$0.45
receiving
$36.05
P
Active
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$13.94
ROI
-27.9%
Volume
$136.05
2 orders · fee $2.32
Bought
161.55
No
shares at
$0.62
costing
$100.00
Sold
80.77
No
shares at
$0.45
receiving
$36.05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$11.00
2 orders
Active
4d ago
Bought
39.92
Yes
shares at avg
$0.28
costing
$11.00
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.00
2 orders
Bought
39.92
Yes
shares at avg
$0.28
costing
$11.00
Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?
—
—
$73.20
3 orders · fee $1.56
Active
4d ago
Bought
211.57
Yes
shares at avg
$0.35
costing
$73.20
Active
Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$73.20
3 orders · fee $1.56
Bought
211.57
Yes
shares at avg
$0.35
costing
$73.20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$10.00
1 order · fee $0.38
Active
4d ago
Bought
175.44
Yes
shares at
$0.06
costing
$10.00
Active
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
1 order · fee $0.38
Bought
175.44
Yes
shares at
$0.06
costing
$10.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$10.00
1 order · fee $0.39
Active
4d ago
Bought
400.00
Yes
shares at
$0.03
costing
$10.00
Active
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
1 order · fee $0.39
Bought
400.00
Yes
shares at
$0.03
costing
$10.00
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
-$7.50
-75.0%
$12.50
2 orders · fee $0.47
Active
4d ago
Bought
166.67
Yes
shares at
$0.06
costing
$10.00
Sold
166.66
Yes
shares at
$0.02
receiving
$2.50
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$7.50
ROI
-75.0%
Volume
$12.50
2 orders · fee $0.47
Bought
166.67
Yes
shares at
$0.06
costing
$10.00
Sold
166.66
Yes
shares at
$0.02
receiving
$2.50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$9.95
-39.6%
$40.24
4 orders · fee $1.38
Active
4d ago
Bought
721.23
Yes
shares at avg
$0.03
costing
$25.09
Sold
721.22
Yes
shares at
$0.02
receiving
$15.15
Active
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$9.95
ROI
-39.6%
Volume
$40.24
4 orders · fee $1.38
Bought
721.23
Yes
shares at avg
$0.03
costing
$25.09
Sold
721.22
Yes
shares at
$0.02
receiving
$15.15
Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
—
—
$50.00
1 order · fee $1.73
Active
4d ago
Bought
370.04
Yes
shares at
$0.14
costing
$50.00
Active
Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$50.00
1 order · fee $1.73
Bought
370.04
Yes
shares at
$0.14
costing
$50.00
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
—
—
$100.00
1 order · fee $1.63
Active
6d ago
Bought
168.95
Yes
shares at
$0.59
costing
$100.00
Active
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
Active 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $1.63
Bought
168.95
Yes
shares at
$0.59
costing
$100.00
Will PSOE win 114-119 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
—
—
$50.00
1 order · fee $1.51
Active
9d ago
Bought
204.40
Yes
shares at
$0.24
costing
$50.00
Active
Will PSOE win 114-119 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 9d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$50.00
1 order · fee $1.51
Bought
204.40
Yes
shares at
$0.24
costing
$50.00
Will PSOE win 108-113 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
—
—
$100.00
1 order · fee $3.05
Active
9d ago
Bought
422.50
Yes
shares at
$0.24
costing
$100.00
Active
Will PSOE win 108-113 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 9d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $3.05
Bought
422.50
Yes
shares at
$0.24
costing
$100.00
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$1.00
+100.0%
$3.00
2 orders
Active
15d ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Sold
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
receiving
$2.00
Active
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 15d ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+100.0%
Volume
$3.00
2 orders
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Sold
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
receiving
$2.00
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$6.98
-2.2%
$617.84
6 orders · fee $3.19
Active
15d ago
Bought
355.01
No
shares at avg
$0.88
costing
$312.41
Sold
355.01
No
shares at avg
$0.86
receiving
$305.43
Active
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 15d ago
PnL
-$6.98
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$617.84
6 orders · fee $3.19
Bought
355.01
No
shares at avg
$0.88
costing
$312.41
Sold
355.01
No
shares at avg
$0.86
receiving
$305.43
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$1.62
+162.0%
$3.62
2 orders
Active
15d ago
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Sold
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.01
receiving
$2.62
Active
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 15d ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+162.0%
Volume
$3.62
2 orders
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Sold
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.01
receiving
$2.62
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$1.96
+196.0%
$3.96
2 orders
Active
15d ago
Bought
986.54
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Sold
986.54
Yes
shares at
$0.003
receiving
$2.96
Active
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 15d ago
PnL
+$1.96
ROI
+196.0%
Volume
$3.96
2 orders
Bought
986.54
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Sold
986.54
Yes
shares at
$0.003
receiving
$2.96
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
-$357.16
-100.6%
$355.10
3 orders · fee $2.06
No
17d ago
Bought
514.93
Yes
shares at avg
$0.69
costing
$355.10
No
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$357.16
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$355.10
3 orders · fee $2.06
Bought
514.93
Yes
shares at avg
$0.69
costing
$355.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$513.61
-68.3%
$993.55
4 orders · fee $3.05
No
20d ago
Bought
1,298.74
Yes
shares at avg
$0.58
costing
$752.06
Sold
299.99
Yes
shares at
$0.80
receiving
$241.49
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$513.61
ROI
-68.3%
Volume
$993.55
4 orders · fee $3.05
Bought
1,298.74
Yes
shares at avg
$0.58
costing
$752.06
Sold
299.99
Yes
shares at
$0.80
receiving
$241.49
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$3.69
-3.8%
$292.31
3 orders · fee $5.73
Active
22d ago
Bought
910.93
Yes
shares at avg
$0.22
costing
$200.00
Sold
369.23
Yes
shares at
$0.25
receiving
$92.31
Active
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$3.69
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$292.31
3 orders · fee $5.73
Bought
910.93
Yes
shares at avg
$0.22
costing
$200.00
Sold
369.23
Yes
shares at
$0.25
receiving
$92.31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$7.89
-4.0%
$576.91
4 orders · fee $14.79
Active
24d ago
Bought
1,038.54
Yes
shares at avg
$0.37
costing
$386.80
Sold
632.15
Yes
shares at
$0.30
receiving
$190.11
Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$7.89
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$576.91
4 orders · fee $14.79
Bought
1,038.54
Yes
shares at avg
$0.37
costing
$386.80
Sold
632.15
Yes
shares at
$0.30
receiving
$190.11
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
+$15.60
+29.0%
$53.90
1 order · fee $0.50
Yes
24d ago
Bought
70.00
Yes
shares at
$0.77
costing
$53.90
Yes
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$15.60
ROI
+29.0%
Volume
$53.90
1 order · fee $0.50
Bought
70.00
Yes
shares at
$0.77
costing
$53.90
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$20.30
2 orders · fee $0.73
Active
1mo ago
Bought
202.04
Yes
shares at avg
$0.10
costing
$20.30
Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.30
2 orders · fee $0.73
Bought
202.04
Yes
shares at avg
$0.10
costing
$20.30
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
—
—
$20.81
2 orders · fee $0.36
Active
1mo ago
Bought
36.89
Yes
shares at avg
$0.56
costing
$20.81
Active
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.81
2 orders · fee $0.36
Bought
36.89
Yes
shares at avg
$0.56
costing
$20.81
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
-$102.07
-102.1%
$100.00
1 order · fee $2.07
No
1mo ago
Bought
207.14
Yes
shares at
$0.48
costing
$100.00
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$102.07
ROI
-102.1%
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $2.07
Bought
207.14
Yes
shares at
$0.48
costing
$100.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
-$102.50
-102.5%
$100.00
1 order · fee $2.50
No
1mo ago
Bought
266.23
Yes
shares at
$0.38
costing
$100.00
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$102.50
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $2.50
Bought
266.23
Yes
shares at
$0.38
costing
$100.00
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-$2.38
-2.5%
$391.05
3 orders · fee $2.97
Active
1mo ago
Bought
363.90
Yes
shares at avg
$0.82
costing
$297.20
Sold
118.80
Yes
shares at
$0.79
receiving
$93.85
Active
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.38
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$391.05
3 orders · fee $2.97
Bought
363.90
Yes
shares at avg
$0.82
costing
$297.20
Sold
118.80
Yes
shares at
$0.79
receiving
$93.85
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
+$52.45
+52.4%
$100.00
1 order · fee $1.40
Yes
1mo ago
Bought
153.85
Yes
shares at
$0.65
costing
$100.00
Yes
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$52.45
ROI
+52.4%
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $1.40
Bought
153.85
Yes
shares at
$0.65
costing
$100.00
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
500.00
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
622.80
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
622.80
Yes
shares at
$0.002
costing
$1.00
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
1mo ago
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1,000.00
Yes
shares at
$0.001
costing
$1.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
-$10.39
-103.9%
$10.00
1 order · fee $0.39
No
1mo ago
Bought
336.67
Yes
shares at
$0.03
costing
$10.00
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.39
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$10.00
1 order · fee $0.39
Bought
336.67
Yes
shares at
$0.03
costing
$10.00
P
bolsonaro-vote-share
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$5.17
+733.3%
$0.71
1 order
Yes
1mo ago
Bought
5.88
Yes
shares at
$0.12
costing
$0.71
P
bolsonaro-vote-share
Yes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.17
ROI
+733.3%
Volume
$0.71
1 order
Bought
5.88
Yes
shares at
$0.12
costing
$0.71
P
bolsonaro-vote-share
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$22.74
+10.8%
$210.00
2 orders · fee $0.85
Yes
1mo ago
Bought
233.59
Yes
shares at avg
$0.90
costing
$210.00
P
bolsonaro-vote-share
Yes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$22.74
ROI
+10.8%
Volume
$210.00
2 orders · fee $0.85
Bought
233.59
Yes
shares at avg
$0.90
costing
$210.00
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?
-$20.70
-103.5%
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.70
Bolsonaro
1mo ago
Bought
153.85
Lula
shares at
$0.13
costing
$20.00
Bolsonaro
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.70
ROI
-103.5%
Volume
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.70
Bought
153.85
Lula
shares at
$0.13
costing
$20.00
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$180.32
+120.2%
$150.00
1 order · fee $3.30
Yes
1mo ago
Bought
333.63
Yes
shares at
$0.45
costing
$150.00
Yes
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$180.32
ROI
+120.2%
Volume
$150.00
1 order · fee $3.30
Bought
333.63
Yes
shares at
$0.45
costing
$150.00
P
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$20.70
-103.5%
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.70
No
1mo ago
Bought
155.98
Yes
shares at
$0.13
costing
$20.00
P
No
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.70
ROI
-103.5%
Volume
$20.00
1 order · fee $0.70
Bought
155.98
Yes
shares at
$0.13
costing
$20.00
P
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
+$817.91
+264.1%
$851.24
13 orders · fee $10.33
Yes
2mo ago
Bought
1,223.98
Yes
shares at avg
$0.25
costing
$309.74
Sold
627.51
Yes
shares at avg
$0.86
receiving
$541.50
P
Yes
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$817.91
ROI
+264.1%
Volume
$851.24
13 orders · fee $10.33
Bought
1,223.98
Yes
shares at avg
$0.25
costing
$309.74
Sold
627.51
Yes
shares at avg
$0.86
receiving
$541.50
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
-$432.89
-101.6%
$425.99
3 orders · fee $6.90
Yes
2mo ago
Bought
1,006.32
No
shares at avg
$0.42
costing
$425.99
Yes
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$432.89
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$425.99
3 orders · fee $6.90
Bought
1,006.32
No
shares at avg
$0.42
costing
$425.99
P
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?
-$305.53
-101.8%
$300.11
4 orders · fee $5.43
No
2mo ago
Bought
833.96
Yes
shares at avg
$0.36
costing
$300.11
P
No
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$305.53
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$300.11
4 orders · fee $5.43
Bought
833.96
Yes
shares at avg
$0.36
costing
$300.11
P
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
-$293.31
-101.7%
$288.40
7 orders · fee $4.91
No
2mo ago
Bought
743.29
Yes
shares at avg
$0.39
costing
$288.40
P
No
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$293.31
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$288.40
7 orders · fee $4.91
Bought
743.29
Yes
shares at avg
$0.39
costing
$288.40
P
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
+$52.49
+177.8%
$29.52
1 order
Yes
2mo ago
Bought
82.01
Yes
shares at
$0.36
costing
$29.52
P
Yes
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$52.49
ROI
+177.8%
Volume
$29.52
1 order
Bought
82.01
Yes
shares at
$0.36
costing
$29.52
P
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
-$208.36
-102.3%
$203.73
6 orders · fee $4.63
No
2mo ago
Bought
487.89
Yes
shares at avg
$0.42
costing
$203.73
P
No
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$208.36
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$203.73
6 orders · fee $4.63
Bought
487.89
Yes
shares at avg
$0.42
costing
$203.73
P
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
-$26.68
-67.0%
$54.20
4 orders · fee $1.28
No
2mo ago
Bought
318.32
Yes
shares at avg
$0.13
costing
$39.80
Sold
159.99
Yes
shares at
$0.09
receiving
$14.40
P
No
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$26.68
ROI
-67.0%
Volume
$54.20
4 orders · fee $1.28
Bought
318.32
Yes
shares at avg
$0.13
costing
$39.80
Sold
159.99
Yes
shares at
$0.09
receiving
$14.40
P
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?
-$33.75
-93.7%
$39.30
2 orders · fee $1.05
No
2mo ago
Bought
100.00
Yes
shares at
$0.36
costing
$36.00
Sold
100.00
Yes
shares at
$0.03
receiving
$3.30
P
No
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$33.75
ROI
-93.7%
Volume
$39.30
2 orders · fee $1.05
Bought
100.00
Yes
shares at
$0.36
costing
$36.00
Sold
100.00
Yes
shares at
$0.03
receiving
$3.30
P
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
-$284.18
-102.4%
$277.40
3 orders · fee $6.78
No
2mo ago
Bought
716.08
Yes
shares at avg
$0.39
costing
$277.40
P
No
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$284.18
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$277.40
3 orders · fee $6.78
Bought
716.08
Yes
shares at avg
$0.39
costing
$277.40
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
-$230.95
-100.9%
$228.80
3 orders · fee $2.15
No
2mo ago
Bought
302.50
Yes
shares at avg
$0.76
costing
$228.80
No
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$230.95
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$228.80
3 orders · fee $2.15
Bought
302.50
Yes
shares at avg
$0.76
costing
$228.80
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$3.59
+2.1%
$344.68
4 orders
Yes
2mo ago
Bought
176.97
Yes
shares at avg
$0.96
costing
$170.55
Sold
176.97
Yes
shares at
$0.98
receiving
$174.14
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.59
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$344.68
4 orders
Bought
176.97
Yes
shares at avg
$0.96
costing
$170.55
Sold
176.97
Yes
shares at
$0.98
receiving
$174.14
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$5.00
1 order · fee $0.20
Active
2mo ago
Bought
416.67
Yes
shares at
$0.01
costing
$5.00
Active
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
1 order · fee $0.20
Bought
416.67
Yes
shares at
$0.01
costing
$5.00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$5.00
1 order · fee $0.20
Active
2mo ago
Bought
384.62
Yes
shares at
$0.01
costing
$5.00
Active
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
1 order · fee $0.20
Bought
384.62
Yes
shares at
$0.01
costing
$5.00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
+$13.00
+18.8%
$151.00
2 orders · fee $1.45
Active
2mo ago
Bought
100.00
No
shares at
$0.69
costing
$69.00
Sold
100.00
No
shares at
$0.82
receiving
$82.00
Active
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.00
ROI
+18.8%
Volume
$151.00
2 orders · fee $1.45
Bought
100.00
No
shares at
$0.69
costing
$69.00
Sold
100.00
No
shares at
$0.82
receiving
$82.00
P
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
+$270.20
+156.6%
$172.56
2 orders · fee $4.24
Yes
2mo ago
Bought
447.00
Yes
shares at avg
$0.39
costing
$172.56
P
Yes
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$270.20
ROI
+156.6%
Volume
$172.56
2 orders · fee $4.24
Bought
447.00
Yes
shares at avg
$0.39
costing
$172.56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.01
+0.0%
$301.78
3 orders · fee $1.78
No
2mo ago
Bought
178.57
Yes
shares at
$0.84
costing
$150.00
Sold
178.57
Yes
shares at avg
$0.85
receiving
$151.78
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$301.78
3 orders · fee $1.78
Bought
178.57
Yes
shares at
$0.84
costing
$150.00
Sold
178.57
Yes
shares at avg
$0.85
receiving
$151.78
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.57
+0.3%
$406.25
2 orders · fee $5.69
Yes
2mo ago
Bought
312.50
Yes
shares at
$0.64
costing
$200.00
Sold
312.50
Yes
shares at
$0.66
receiving
$206.25
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$406.25
2 orders · fee $5.69
Bought
312.50
Yes
shares at
$0.64
costing
$200.00
Sold
312.50
Yes
shares at
$0.66
receiving
$206.25
P
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
+$20.70
+900.0%
$2.30
1 order
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
23.00
Yes
shares at
$0.10
costing
$2.30
P
Yes
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$20.70
ROI
+900.0%
Volume
$2.30
1 order
Bought
23.00
Yes
shares at
$0.10
costing
$2.30
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$5.25
-104.9%
$5.00
1 order · fee $0.25
No
3mo ago
Bought
416.67
Yes
shares at
$0.01
costing
$5.00
fomc
No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.25
ROI
-104.9%
Volume
$5.00
1 order · fee $0.25
Bought
416.67
Yes
shares at
$0.01
costing
$5.00
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
-$100.76
-100.8%
$100.00
1 order · fee $0.76
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
123.46
No
shares at
$0.81
costing
$100.00
Yes
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$100.76
ROI
-100.8%
Volume
$100.00
1 order · fee $0.76
Bought
123.46
No
shares at
$0.81
costing
$100.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$8.61
-4.3%
$392.58
2 orders · fee $1.19
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
212.54
No
shares at
$0.94
costing
$200.00
Sold
212.53
No
shares at
$0.91
receiving
$192.58
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.61
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$392.58
2 orders · fee $1.19
Bought
212.54
No
shares at
$0.94
costing
$200.00
Sold
212.53
No
shares at
$0.91
receiving
$192.58
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
+$1.39
+1.6%
$86.00
1 order · fee $0.06
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
87.45
Yes
shares at
$0.98
costing
$86.00
Yes
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.39
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$86.00
1 order · fee $0.06
Bought
87.45
Yes
shares at
$0.98
costing
$86.00
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
+$14.13
+6.4%
$308.40
5 orders · fee $1.99
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
260.00
Yes
shares at avg
$0.85
costing
$221.40
Sold
109.47
Yes
shares at avg
$0.79
receiving
$87.00
Yes
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$14.13
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$308.40
5 orders · fee $1.99
Bought
260.00
Yes
shares at avg
$0.85
costing
$221.40
Sold
109.47
Yes
shares at avg
$0.79
receiving
$87.00
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
3mo ago
Bought
2.50
Yes
shares at
$0.40
costing
$1.00
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
2.50
Yes
shares at
$0.40
costing
$1.00
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
3mo ago
Bought
1.08
No
shares at
$0.93
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1.08
No
shares at
$0.93
costing
$1.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.00
1 order
Active
3mo ago
Bought
1.93
Yes
shares at
$0.52
costing
$1.00
Active
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
1 order
Bought
1.93
Yes
shares at
$0.52
costing
$1.00
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.6%
$1.00
1 order · fee $0.00
No
3mo ago
Bought
1.01
No
shares at
$0.99
costing
$1.00
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$1.00
1 order · fee $0.00
Bought
1.01
No
shares at
$0.99
costing
$1.00
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$15.26
+9.5%
$160.00
2 orders · fee $0.58
No
3mo ago
Bought
175.84
No
shares at avg
$0.91
costing
$160.00
No
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$15.26
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$160.00
2 orders · fee $0.58
Bought
175.84
No
shares at avg
$0.91
costing
$160.00
P
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$15.50
+7.8%
$200.00
1 order · fee $0.60
No
3mo ago
Bought
216.10
No
shares at
$0.93
costing
$200.00
P
No
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$15.50
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$200.00
1 order · fee $0.60
Bought
216.10
No
shares at
$0.93
costing
$200.00
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
+$8.39
+2.4%
$714.97
2 orders · fee $0.81
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
367.97
Yes
shares at
$0.96
costing
$352.88
Sold
367.97
Yes
shares at
$0.98
receiving
$362.08
Yes
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.39
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$714.97
2 orders · fee $0.81
Bought
367.97
Yes
shares at
$0.96
costing
$352.88
Sold
367.97
Yes
shares at
$0.98
receiving
$362.08
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?
-$24.44
-87.1%
$32.59
5 orders · fee $0.94
No
3mo ago
Bought
300.00
Yes
shares at avg
$0.09
costing
$28.05
Sold
300.00
Yes
shares at
$0.02
receiving
$4.54
No
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$24.44
ROI
-87.1%
Volume
$32.59
5 orders · fee $0.94
Bought
300.00
Yes
shares at avg
$0.09
costing
$28.05
Sold
300.00
Yes
shares at
$0.02
receiving
$4.54
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
—
—
$4.45
1 order · fee $0.02
Active
3mo ago
Bought
5.00
Yes
shares at
$0.89
costing
$4.45
Active
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.45
1 order · fee $0.02
Bought
5.00
Yes
shares at
$0.89
costing
$4.45
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
-$1.19
-1.2%
$198.80
2 orders · fee $1.31
Active
3mo ago
Bought
119.05
No
shares at
$0.84
costing
$100.00
Sold
119.04
No
shares at
$0.83
receiving
$98.80
Active
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.19
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$198.80
2 orders · fee $1.31
Bought
119.05
No
shares at
$0.84
costing
$100.00
Sold
119.04
No
shares at
$0.83
receiving
$98.80
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$24.75
1 order · fee $0.94
Active
3mo ago
Bought
505.00
Yes
shares at
$0.05
costing
$24.75
Active
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$24.75
1 order · fee $0.94
Bought
505.00
Yes
shares at
$0.05
costing
$24.75
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
—
—
$2.00
1 order · fee $0.02
Active
3mo ago
Bought
2.47
No
shares at
$0.81
costing
$2.00
Active
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
1 order · fee $0.02
Bought
2.47
No
shares at
$0.81
costing
$2.00
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
-$1.01
-100.6%
$1.00
1 order · fee $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Bought
1.16
No
shares at
$0.86
costing
$1.00
Yes
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$1.00
1 order · fee $0.01
Bought
1.16
No
shares at
$0.86
costing
$1.00
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
-$0.11
-11.3%
$1.95
2 orders · fee $0.06
No
3mo ago
Bought
5.00
No
shares at
$0.20
costing
$1.00
Sold
5.00
No
shares at
$0.19
receiving
$0.95
No
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-11.3%
Volume
$1.95
2 orders · fee $0.06
Bought
5.00
No
shares at
$0.20
costing
$1.00
Sold
5.00
No
shares at
$0.19
receiving
$0.95
86 Markets