Mr
Balance$5.91
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL+$16.04
Aug 31
Sep 8
Sep 15
Sep 23
Sep 30
Top Categories
Last 30 DaysTech+$27.43
WR: 51.6%(16/31)
ROI: +19.8%
Pop Culture+$3.11
WR: 26.7%(4/15)
ROI: +13.3%
Geopolitics+$2.79
WR: 33.3%(3/9)
ROI: +16.1%
Weather+$0.48
WR: 100.0%(1/1)
ROI: +10.5%
Elections+$0.43
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: +8.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 DaysMaker Volume$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume$479.41
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$5.29
ROI
26.6%
Win Rate
37.5%
Volume
$63.76
Fee
$0.82
3 Wins in 8 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$2.77
ROI
-4.3%
Win Rate
35.0%
Volume
$170.82
Fee
$1.92
7 Wins in 20 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$2.77
ROI
-4.3%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$174.27
Fee
$1.97
7 Wins in 21 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$16.04
ROI
7.6%
Win Rate
44.1%
Volume
$479.41
Fee
$5.51
26 Wins in 59 Markets
Recent Markets | total 59
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
—
—
fee: $0.08
Active
1m ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.08
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.08
putin-x-zelenskyy-where-next
Active
Active 2m ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.11
+$3.42
+21.6%
fee: $0.32
Active
7m ago
PnL+$3.42
ROI+21.6%
Volumefee: $0.32
—
—
fee: $0.03
Active
3h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.03
+$1.74
+87.1%
fee: $0.15
Active
3h ago
P
fomc
Active
Active 3h ago
PnL+$1.74
ROI+87.1%
Volumefee: $0.15
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?+$0.13
+6.5%
fee: $0.06
Active
19h ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Active
Active 19h ago
PnL+$0.13
ROI+6.5%
Volumefee: $0.06
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?—
—
fee: $0.05
Active
1d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Active
Active 1d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL+$0.01
ROI+0.2%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
—
—
fee: $0.05
Active
1d ago
fomc
Active
Active 1d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.09
—
—
fee: $0.16
Active
1d ago
fomc
Active
Active 1d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.16
+$1.08
+6.7%
fee: $0.09
Active
1d ago
PnL+$1.08
ROI+6.7%
Volumefee: $0.09
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.15
PnL+$0.43
ROI+8.6%
Volumefee: $0.26
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL-$10.63
ROI-101.1%
Volumefee: $0.11
PnL+$1.05
ROI+10.8%
Volumefee: $0.13
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.05
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.10
+$0.75
+25.0%
fee: $0.18
Active
7d ago
PnL+$0.75
ROI+25.0%
Volumefee: $0.18
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?+$1.83
+183.1%
fee: $0.03
Yes
7d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Settled 3d ago
PnL+$1.83
ROI+183.1%
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL+$0.34
ROI+6.9%
Volumefee: $0.05
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?+$7.47
+49.1%
fee: $0.20
Yes
7d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Settled 3d ago
PnL+$7.47
ROI+49.1%
Volumefee: $0.20
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?+$8.80
+89.1%
fee: $0.35
Yes
7d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Settled 3d ago
PnL+$8.80
ROI+89.1%
Volumefee: $0.35
—
—
fee: $0.07
Active
7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.07
P
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.02
PnL+$2.19
ROI+21.9%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.04
PnL+$1.68
ROI+35.4%
Volumefee: $0.10
PnL+$0.03
ROI+0.7%
Volumefee: $0.01
-$1.43
-71.3%
fee: $0.09
Active
20d ago
PnL-$1.43
ROI-71.3%
Volumefee: $0.09
—
—
fee: $0.16
Active
21d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.16
+$0.34
+16.9%
fee: $0.01
No
22d ago
PnL+$0.34
ROI+16.9%
Volumefee: $0.01
+$1.30
+65.1%
fee: $0.03
No
22d ago
PnL+$1.30
ROI+65.1%
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.03
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?+$0.48
+10.5%
fee: $0.02
No
22d ago
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
No
Settled 22d ago
PnL+$0.48
ROI+10.5%
Volumefee: $0.02
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?-$0.20
-3.9%
fee: $0.07
Yes
24d ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Settled 7d ago
PnL-$0.20
ROI-3.9%
Volumefee: $0.07
—
—
fee: $0.03
Active
24d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.03
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.04
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.04
-$2.05
-102.4%
fee: $0.05
No
24d ago
PnL-$2.05
ROI-102.4%
Volumefee: $0.05
+$1.62
+43.4%
fee: $0.16
No
24d ago
PnL+$1.62
ROI+43.4%
Volumefee: $0.16
PnL+$0.59
ROI+17.6%
Volume
-$9.91
-101.0%
fee: $0.10
No
25d ago
PnL-$9.91
ROI-101.0%
Volumefee: $0.10
livebench-overall-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?+$1.20
+35.3%
fee: $0.06
Active
25d ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Active
Active 25d ago
PnL+$1.20
ROI+35.3%
Volumefee: $0.06
PnL-$8.30
ROI-59.3%
Volumefee: $0.60
PnL+$2.10
ROI+70.1%
Volumefee: $0.09
-$2.06
-102.8%
fee: $0.06
No
29d ago
fomc
No
Settled 13d ago
PnL-$2.06
ROI-102.8%
Volumefee: $0.06
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?+$0.55
+11.1%
fee: $0.23
Yes
29d ago
PnL+$0.55
ROI+11.1%
Volumefee: $0.23
PnL+$5.75
ROI+57.5%
Volumefee: $0.23
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?+$1.47
+18.4%
fee: $0.05
Yes
29d ago
PnL+$1.47
ROI+18.4%
Volumefee: $0.05
+$4.23
+32.3%
fee: $0.13
Yes
29d ago
PnL+$4.23
ROI+32.3%
Volumefee: $0.13
—
—
fee: $0.09
Active
29d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.09
59 Markets