P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
cm
Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$6.02K
cmarx
cmarx
@carlmarxpmt
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
January 30, 2026
Active
September 7, 2026
Balance
$7.24K
Incoming
+$54.51K
Rewards
+$42.81
Outgoing
-$68.45K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$1.44K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: +0.0%
Elections
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: +0.0%
Tech
-$159.79
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: -31.4%
Esports
-$515.75
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -103.2%
Dota 2
-$515.75
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -103.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$16.88
0.2%
Taker Volume
$9.22K
99.8%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$73.21
ROI
25.7%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$284.40
Fee
$2.39
1 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$1.44K
ROI
-81.2%
Win Rate
12.5%
Volume
$9.23K
Fee
$171.39
1 Wins in 8 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 97
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
+$73.21
+25.7%
$284.40
fee: $2.39
No
5d ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
Settled 7h ago
PnL
+$73.21
ROI
+25.7%
Volume
$284.40
fee: $2.39
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$3.56K
fee: $29.03
Active
8d ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.56K
fee: $29.03
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
-$233.00
-103.4%
$225.25
fee: $7.75
Yes
10d ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$233.00
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$225.25
fee: $7.75
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$2.34K
fee: $83.83
Active
15d ago
Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 15d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.34K
fee: $83.83
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
—
—
$367.83
fee: $0.88
Active
15d ago
Active
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Active 15d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$367.83
fee: $0.88
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
—
—
$1.19K
fee: $31.77
Active
15d ago
Active
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Active 15d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.19K
fee: $31.77
dota-2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
-$515.75
-103.1%
$500.00
fee: $15.75
Team Spirit
22d ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$515.75
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$500.00
fee: $15.75
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
-$763.56
-100.0%
$763.56
No
23d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$763.56
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$763.56
P
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
-$1.90K
-75.0%
$3.21K
fee: $35.67
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90K
ROI
-75.0%
Volume
$3.21K
fee: $35.67
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$1.03K
-60.8%
$2.36K
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$1.03K
ROI
-60.8%
Volume
$2.36K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
-$48.60
-100.0%
$48.60
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
-$48.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$48.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
-$409.42
-100.0%
$409.42
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$409.42
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$409.42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
-$35.95
-100.0%
$35.95
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$35.95
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$35.95
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$381.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$381.02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
+$241.72
+6.5%
$7.63K
fee: $90.56
Active
1mo ago
Active
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$241.72
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$7.63K
fee: $90.56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$3.64K
fee: $51.43
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.64K
fee: $51.43
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$599.12
+8.5%
$14.62K
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$599.12
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$14.62K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
+$1.73K
+230.6%
$749.81
fee: $21.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$1.73K
ROI
+230.6%
Volume
$749.81
fee: $21.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
+$336.34
+60.5%
$555.67
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$336.34
ROI
+60.5%
Volume
$555.67
P
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
+$622.07
+1244.1%
$722.07
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$622.07
ROI
+1244.1%
Volume
$722.07
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
-$108.10
-103.4%
$104.49
fee: $3.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$108.10
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$104.49
fee: $3.60
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
+$100.65
+101.1%
$299.86
No
1mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
No
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$100.65
ROI
+101.1%
Volume
$299.86
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
-$2.69K
-100.4%
$2.68K
fee: $9.40
No
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.69K
ROI
-100.4%
Volume
$2.68K
fee: $9.40
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
+$50.96
+43.1%
$287.60
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$50.96
ROI
+43.1%
Volume
$287.60
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
+$209.55
+10.1%
$4.35K
No
1mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
No
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$209.55
ROI
+10.1%
Volume
$4.35K
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
+$24.48
+28.4%
$86.05
fee: $0.74
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$24.48
ROI
+28.4%
Volume
$86.05
fee: $0.74
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
+$1.09K
+131.0%
$2.76K
Yes
1mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Yes
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.09K
ROI
+131.0%
Volume
$2.76K
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$344.65
+44.2%
$779.93
fee: $9.75
Yes
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$344.65
ROI
+44.2%
Volume
$779.93
fee: $9.75
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
-$240.24
-44.6%
$826.24
fee: $12.61
Yes
1mo ago
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$240.24
ROI
-44.6%
Volume
$826.24
fee: $12.61
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$158.43
fee: $0.37
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$158.43
fee: $0.37
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?
-$66.50
-100.0%
$66.50
No
2mo ago
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$66.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$66.50
P
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
-$7.87
-100.0%
$7.87
No
2mo ago
P
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.87
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.87
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
+$216.04
+29.4%
$1.21K
No
2mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$216.04
ROI
+29.4%
Volume
$1.21K
P
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
+$343.80
+48.0%
$716.72
fee: $9.47
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$343.80
ROI
+48.0%
Volume
$716.72
fee: $9.47
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$312.83
+47.5%
$658.01
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$312.83
ROI
+47.5%
Volume
$658.01
P
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
+$31.83
+4.8%
$662.76
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$31.83
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$662.76
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?
+$454.17
+213.0%
$213.26
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$454.17
ROI
+213.0%
Volume
$213.26
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
-$167.43
-100.0%
$167.43
No
2mo ago
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$167.43
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$167.43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
+$179.82
+8.0%
$4.69K
fee: $54.71
Active
2mo ago
Active
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$179.82
ROI
+8.0%
Volume
$4.69K
fee: $54.71
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
—
—
$65.10
fee: $2.06
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$65.10
fee: $2.06
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$1.21K
+28.1%
$9.87K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.21K
ROI
+28.1%
Volume
$9.87K
P
warships
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$1.40
+38.9%
$3.60
No
2mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.40
ROI
+38.9%
Volume
$3.60
openai-debut
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
+$0.58
+0.6%
$99.40
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
openai-debut
No
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.58
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$99.40
fee: $0.02
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
+$924.37
+197.9%
$467.00
fee: $8.63
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$924.37
ROI
+197.9%
Volume
$467.00
fee: $8.63
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$1.15K
+26.6%
$9.82K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.15K
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$9.82K
P
white-house-call-a-full-lid
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 2?
-$38.19
-103.2%
$37.00
fee: $1.19
Yes
2mo ago
P
white-house-call-a-full-lid
Yes
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 2?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$38.19
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$37.00
fee: $1.19
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
+$42.65
+65.3%
$65.32
fee: $1.05
No
2mo ago
No
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$42.65
ROI
+65.3%
Volume
$65.32
fee: $1.05
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
-$435.77
-101.7%
$428.34
fee: $7.43
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$435.77
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$428.34
fee: $7.43
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
-$966.92
-100.7%
$959.99
fee: $6.93
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$966.92
ROI
-100.7%
Volume
$959.99
fee: $6.93
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
-$58.00
-2.1%
$5.59K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$58.00
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$5.59K
P
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
+$258.84
+21.8%
$2.64K
fee: $10.77
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$258.84
ROI
+21.8%
Volume
$2.64K
fee: $10.77
P
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
-$115.61
-102.7%
$112.62
fee: $2.99
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$115.61
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$112.62
fee: $2.99
P
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$51.87
+35.3%
$345.91
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$51.87
ROI
+35.3%
Volume
$345.91
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$51.43
+133.3%
$38.57
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$51.43
ROI
+133.3%
Volume
$38.57
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
+$55.73
+33.2%
$308.34
Yes
2mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$55.73
ROI
+33.2%
Volume
$308.34
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
+$10.21
+41.7%
$24.50
fee: $0.29
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.21
ROI
+41.7%
Volume
$24.50
fee: $0.29
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
-$569.97
-100.0%
$569.97
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$569.97
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$569.97
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
-$477.95
-100.0%
$477.95
No
2mo ago
No
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$477.95
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$477.95
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
-$718.68
-100.0%
$718.68
Yes
2mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Yes
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$718.68
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$718.68
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
+$142.00
+13.4%
$1.06K
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$142.00
ROI
+13.4%
Volume
$1.06K
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
-$611.59
-67.8%
$1.19K
Yes
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$611.59
ROI
-67.8%
Volume
$1.19K
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
+$263.27
+193.7%
$135.92
fee: $3.60
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$263.27
ROI
+193.7%
Volume
$135.92
fee: $3.60
who-attend-us-x-iran-meeting
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
+$741.27
+145.7%
$741.00
Yes
2mo ago
who-attend-us-x-iran-meeting
Yes
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$741.27
ROI
+145.7%
Volume
$741.00
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
+$18.38
+31.7%
$57.90
Yes
2mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Yes
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$18.38
ROI
+31.7%
Volume
$57.90
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
+$104.18
+6.8%
$3.19K
fee: $6.38
No
2mo ago
No
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$104.18
ROI
+6.8%
Volume
$3.19K
fee: $6.38
who-attend-us-x-iran-meeting
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
+$134.68
+41.8%
$322.09
Yes
2mo ago
who-attend-us-x-iran-meeting
Yes
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$134.68
ROI
+41.8%
Volume
$322.09
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
-$10.05
-0.6%
$3.45K
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.05
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$3.45K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
+$142.59
+41.7%
$342.29
fee: $4.11
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$142.59
ROI
+41.7%
Volume
$342.29
fee: $4.11
P
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$166.24
+40.2%
$413.12
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$166.24
ROI
+40.2%
Volume
$413.12
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+$16.71
+13.6%
$122.54
No
2mo ago
No
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.71
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$122.54
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
+$59.68
+9.5%
$626.19
fee: $2.25
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$59.68
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$626.19
fee: $2.25
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
+$43.67
+22.8%
$191.86
fee: $1.46
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$43.67
ROI
+22.8%
Volume
$191.86
fee: $1.46
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
+$83.87
+25.0%
$335.46
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$83.87
ROI
+25.0%
Volume
$335.46
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
+$5.53
+24.2%
$22.86
fee: $0.18
No
2mo ago
No
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.53
ROI
+24.2%
Volume
$22.86
fee: $0.18
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
-$45.56
-9.2%
$946.22
Yes
2mo ago
trump-agree-iran
Yes
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$45.56
ROI
-9.2%
Volume
$946.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
-$228.50
-100.0%
$228.50
No
2mo ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$228.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$228.50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
+$834.12
+36.5%
$5.41K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$834.12
ROI
+36.5%
Volume
$5.41K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$1.22K
+32.3%
$4.27K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.22K
ROI
+32.3%
Volume
$4.27K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
+$355.65
+7.2%
$10.10K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$355.65
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$10.10K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
-$82.23
-100.0%
$82.23
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$82.23
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$82.23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
+$53.00
+54.6%
$97.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$53.00
ROI
+54.6%
Volume
$97.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
+$835.91
+169.0%
$494.50
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$835.91
ROI
+169.0%
Volume
$494.50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
-$195.61
-102.0%
$191.83
fee: $3.78
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$195.61
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$191.83
fee: $3.78
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?
-$153.92
-99.8%
$211.13
fee: $0.79
No
3mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$153.92
ROI
-99.8%
Volume
$211.13
fee: $0.79
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
+$212.99
+25.5%
$1.47K
fee: $7.46
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$212.99
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$1.47K
fee: $7.46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
-$112.65
-6.2%
$2.23K
fee: $27.41
No
3mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$112.65
ROI
-6.2%
Volume
$2.23K
fee: $27.41
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
-$159.40
-100.0%
$159.40
No
3mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$159.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$159.40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
+$405.67
+44.2%
$918.15
fee: $10.70
No
3mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$405.67
ROI
+44.2%
Volume
$918.15
fee: $10.70
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
+$108.82
+24.9%
$437.60
fee: $3.58
No
3mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$108.82
ROI
+24.9%
Volume
$437.60
fee: $3.58
P
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
+$66.37
+54.1%
$122.77
fee: $0.51
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$66.37
ROI
+54.1%
Volume
$122.77
fee: $0.51
P
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
+$135.19
+23.7%
$571.08
fee: $2.60
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$135.19
ROI
+23.7%
Volume
$571.08
fee: $2.60
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
+$135.77
+22.1%
$1.37K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$135.77
ROI
+22.1%
Volume
$1.37K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
+$60.29
+14.8%
$878.40
fee: $4.11
No
3mo ago
No
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$60.29
ROI
+14.8%
Volume
$878.40
fee: $4.11
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
-$360.00
-100.0%
$360.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$360.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$360.00
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
-$148.26
-100.0%
$148.26
No
3mo ago
No
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$148.26
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$148.26
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
-$286.21
-27.1%
$1.85K
fee: $26.21
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$286.21
ROI
-27.1%
Volume
$1.85K
fee: $26.21
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
-$55.00
-100.0%
$55.00
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$55.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$55.00
97 Markets