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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$1.79K
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Created
June 12, 2026
Active
September 12, 2026
Balance
$38.08
Incoming
+$497.90
Rewards
+$192.56
Outgoing
-$1.00K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$7.95
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 16
Aug 23
Aug 31
Sep 7
Sep 15
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Weather
+$14.89
WR: 58.4%
(187/320)
ROI: +1.5%
Tech
+$3.92
WR: 56.0%
(28/50)
ROI: +3.2%
Economy
+$1.53
WR: 87.5%
(7/8)
ROI: +6.3%
Soccer
-$0.07
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -1.4%
Tweets Markets
-$0.32
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -5.7%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$121.76
3.3%
Taker Volume
$3.52K
96.7%
Taker Ratio
97%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$5.29
ROI
14.7%
Win Rate
72.7%
Volume
$77.42
Fee
$0.49
8 Wins in 11 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$7.95
ROI
-0.4%
Win Rate
57.6%
Volume
$3.64K
Fee
$46.82
331 Wins in 575 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 4708
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
+$1.55
+109.4%
$4.39
fee: $0.08
Active
3d ago
P
Active
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$1.55
ROI
+109.4%
Volume
$4.39
fee: $0.08
P
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
+$0.05
+4.7%
$2.45
fee: $0.08
Yes
3d ago
P
Yes
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+4.7%
Volume
$2.45
fee: $0.08
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
-$0.07
-1.4%
$9.21
fee: $0.04
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$9.21
fee: $0.04
P
Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
+$2.76
+265.1%
$5.01
fee: $0.18
No
3d ago
P
No
Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$2.76
ROI
+265.1%
Volume
$5.01
fee: $0.18
Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
+$0.46
+23.1%
$4.46
fee: $0.03
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+23.1%
Volume
$4.46
fee: $0.03
P
median-home-price-sf
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?
+$0.33
+11.0%
$6.32
fee: $0.02
Active
3d ago
P
median-home-price-sf
Active
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+11.0%
Volume
$6.32
fee: $0.02
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
+$0.48
+11.3%
$8.96
fee: $0.05
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$8.96
fee: $0.05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
-$0.06
-1.5%
$8.23
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-1.5%
Volume
$8.23
Iran leadership change by December 31?
+$0.24
+1.9%
$24.53
Active
5d ago
Active
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$24.53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
-$0.56
-50.8%
$1.65
fee: $0.03
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.56
ROI
-50.8%
Volume
$1.65
fee: $0.03
north-x-south-korea-talks
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
+$0.11
+10.7%
$2.21
Active
5d ago
north-x-south-korea-talks
Active
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+10.7%
Volume
$2.21
P
inflation-china-annual
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
+$0.00
+0.1%
$4.88
fee: $0.07
No
9d ago
P
inflation-china-annual
No
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$4.88
fee: $0.07
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
+$0.23
+22.2%
$2.29
fee: $0.03
Active
9d ago
Active
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Active 9d ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+22.2%
Volume
$2.29
fee: $0.03
stripe-valuation
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?
+$0.14
+8.3%
$3.62
fee: $0.04
Active
10d ago
stripe-valuation
Active
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+8.3%
Volume
$3.62
fee: $0.04
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
+$0.20
+20.0%
$2.24
fee: $0.11
Active
10d ago
Active
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$2.24
fee: $0.11
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?
+$0.03
+1.5%
$3.55
fee: $0.01
Active
10d ago
Active
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$3.55
fee: $0.01
livebench-overall-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
+$0.04
+2.6%
$2.79
fee: $0.07
Active
11d ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$2.79
fee: $0.07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
-$0.08
-7.3%
$2.19
fee: $0.01
Active
12d ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Active 12d ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-7.3%
Volume
$2.19
fee: $0.01
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
-$0.14
-9.4%
$2.90
fee: $0.02
Yes
12d ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-9.4%
Volume
$2.90
fee: $0.02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
+$0.04
+0.9%
$10.10
fee: $0.01
Active
13d ago
Active
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Active 13d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$10.10
fee: $0.01
P
bytedance-valuation
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by August 31?
+$0.01
+0.6%
$3.59
fee: $0.00
No
15d ago
P
bytedance-valuation
No
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by August 31?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$3.59
fee: $0.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
+$0.80
+67.5%
$3.18
fee: $0.02
No
16d ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+67.5%
Volume
$3.18
fee: $0.02
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
+$0.09
+3.0%
$6.06
fee: $0.02
Active
17d ago
max-chatbot-arena
Active
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$6.06
fee: $0.02
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$0.04
+1.2%
$5.72
fee: $0.14
Active
17d ago
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$5.72
fee: $0.14
P
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$0.01
+12.2%
$0.14
fee: $0.00
Yes
17d ago
P
Yes
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+12.2%
Volume
$0.14
fee: $0.00
meta-hit-price-monthly
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in August?
+$0.11
+6.1%
$3.59
fee: $0.01
No
17d ago
meta-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$3.59
fee: $0.01
best-text-to-image-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
+$0.10
+1.8%
$10.25
fee: $0.16
Active
17d ago
best-text-to-image-ai
Active
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$10.25
fee: $0.16
P
Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?
-$0.03
-16.7%
$0.29
fee: $0.01
Active
18d ago
P
Active
Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?
Active 18d ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$0.29
fee: $0.01
P
Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
+$0.74
+65.1%
$3.04
fee: $0.04
Yes
18d ago
P
Yes
Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$0.74
ROI
+65.1%
Volume
$3.04
fee: $0.04
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$5.50
-23.8%
$41.70
fee: $1.63
Active
18d ago
Active
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 18d ago
PnL
-$5.50
ROI
-23.8%
Volume
$41.70
fee: $1.63
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$0.28
-86.3%
$0.38
fee: $0.01
Yes
19d ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Yes
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-86.3%
Volume
$0.38
fee: $0.01
third-best-ai-agent-lab
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
+$0.67
+15.9%
$8.74
fee: $0.17
Active
19d ago
third-best-ai-agent-lab
Active
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 19d ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+15.9%
Volume
$8.74
fee: $0.17
trump-approval-rating-floor
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
+$0.29
+3.9%
$15.35
fee: $0.17
Active
20d ago
trump-approval-rating-floor
Active
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Active 20d ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+3.9%
Volume
$15.35
fee: $0.17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
+$0.05
+1.8%
$6.09
fee: $0.04
Active
20d ago
Active
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Active 20d ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$6.09
fee: $0.04
ng-hit-month
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August?
+$0.02
+1.3%
$1.58
fee: $0.00
No
20d ago
ng-hit-month
No
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$1.58
fee: $0.00
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
-$0.21
-11.8%
$3.40
fee: $0.07
Active
21d ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-11.8%
Volume
$3.40
fee: $0.07
amazon-hit-price-monthly
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
-$1.15
-95.3%
$1.32
fee: $0.05
No
21d ago
amazon-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$1.15
ROI
-95.3%
Volume
$1.32
fee: $0.05
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
-$4.25
-85.1%
$5.83
fee: $0.10
No
21d ago
P
box-office-total-gross
No
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$4.25
ROI
-85.1%
Volume
$5.83
fee: $0.10
P
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.66
fee: $0.01
Active
21d ago
P
Active
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.66
fee: $0.01
P
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.59
fee: $0.01
Active
21d ago
P
Active
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.59
fee: $0.01
P
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.63
fee: $0.01
Active
21d ago
P
Active
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.63
fee: $0.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
-$0.00
-0.0%
$6.55
fee: $0.03
No
21d ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$6.55
fee: $0.03
best-text-to-video-ai
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
+$0.91
+22.5%
$7.41
fee: $0.16
Active
21d ago
best-text-to-video-ai
Active
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+22.5%
Volume
$7.41
fee: $0.16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-$0.87
-3.1%
$55.87
fee: $0.36
Active
21d ago
Active
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 21d ago
PnL
-$0.87
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$55.87
fee: $0.36
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$0.09
-1.1%
$17.76
No
22d ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$17.76
xagusd-hit-month
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?
+$0.57
+22.9%
$5.63
fee: $0.08
No
22d ago
xagusd-hit-month
No
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+22.9%
Volume
$5.63
fee: $0.08
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
-$0.23
-8.6%
$5.19
fee: $0.09
Active
22d ago
Active
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$0.23
ROI
-8.6%
Volume
$5.19
fee: $0.09
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
+$0.31
+10.7%
$6.07
fee: $0.04
No
22d ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.31
ROI
+10.7%
Volume
$6.07
fee: $0.04
P
next-openai-gpt-image-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by August 31, 2026?
+$1.42
+47.0%
$6.17
fee: $0.10
No
22d ago
P
next-openai-gpt-image-release-by
No
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$1.42
ROI
+47.0%
Volume
$6.17
fee: $0.10
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
-$0.10
-9.9%
$1.89
fee: $0.01
Active
22d ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-9.9%
Volume
$1.89
fee: $0.01
second-best-math-ai
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
-$1.37
-8.7%
$26.68
fee: $0.43
Active
23d ago
second-best-math-ai
Active
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$1.37
ROI
-8.7%
Volume
$26.68
fee: $0.43
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.06
+5.0%
$2.54
fee: $0.02
Active
23d ago
Active
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+5.0%
Volume
$2.54
fee: $0.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?
+$0.13
+2.6%
$10.19
fee: $0.01
No
23d ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$10.19
fee: $0.01
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
-$0.19
-15.0%
$2.37
Active
23d ago
Active
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-15.0%
Volume
$2.37
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
-$0.66
-4.9%
$26.55
fee: $0.14
Active
23d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$0.66
ROI
-4.9%
Volume
$26.55
fee: $0.14
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
+$0.39
+17.0%
$5.01
fee: $0.05
Active
23d ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Active 23d ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$5.01
fee: $0.05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
—
—
$1.10
fee: $0.02
Active
23d ago
Active
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 23d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.10
fee: $0.02
P
stripe-valuation
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by August 31?
+$0.03
+1.1%
$6.10
fee: $0.01
No
23d ago
P
stripe-valuation
No
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by August 31?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$6.10
fee: $0.01
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
+$0.40
+32.3%
$2.89
fee: $0.04
No
24d ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+32.3%
Volume
$2.89
fee: $0.04
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
-$0.29
-6.0%
$9.60
fee: $0.22
No
24d ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$0.29
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$9.60
fee: $0.22
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
+$0.64
+11.6%
$13.35
fee: $0.42
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$13.35
fee: $0.42
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$0.78
-4.7%
$32.48
fee: $1.16
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.78
ROI
-4.7%
Volume
$32.48
fee: $1.16
livebench-overall-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
+$0.13
+3.4%
$7.12
fee: $0.12
Active
24d ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$7.12
fee: $0.12
best-ai-agent
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$1.43
fee: $0.01
Active
24d ago
best-ai-agent
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.43
fee: $0.01
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
—
—
$1.43
fee: $0.02
Active
24d ago
best-math-ai
Active
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.43
fee: $0.02
P
trump-weekly-mentions
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?
-$0.11
-5.6%
$3.91
fee: $0.01
Yes
24d ago
P
trump-weekly-mentions
Yes
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-5.6%
Volume
$3.91
fee: $0.01
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?
+$0.39
+18.8%
$4.59
fee: $0.01
Yes
24d ago
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Yes
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+18.8%
Volume
$4.59
fee: $0.01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$0.09
-9.5%
$1.90
fee: $0.02
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-9.5%
Volume
$1.90
fee: $0.02
P
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
-$0.14
-13.1%
$2.04
fee: $0.01
Active
24d ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-13.1%
Volume
$2.04
fee: $0.01
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.36
+9.5%
$3.78
fee: $0.01
Yes
24d ago
P
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$3.78
fee: $0.01
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
-$3.31
-46.9%
$10.80
No
24d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$3.31
ROI
-46.9%
Volume
$10.80
P
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?
-$0.21
-17.0%
$3.91
Active
24d ago
P
Active
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-17.0%
Volume
$3.91
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$0.06
+3.1%
$1.80
No
24d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$1.80
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
+$0.49
+6.6%
$18.59
fee: $0.21
Active
24d ago
Active
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+6.6%
Volume
$18.59
fee: $0.21
tesla-multi-strikes-weekly
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 17 above $365?
+$0.04
+1.2%
$7.13
fee: $0.10
No
24d ago
tesla-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 17 above $365?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$7.13
fee: $0.10
GTA VI released before November 2026?
-$1.34
-26.0%
$9.01
fee: $0.43
Active
24d ago
Active
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$1.34
ROI
-26.0%
Volume
$9.01
fee: $0.43
milan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 21?
-$0.06
-4.7%
$2.45
fee: $0.01
Yes
24d ago
milan-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-4.7%
Volume
$2.45
fee: $0.01
milan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?
-$0.99
-75.7%
$1.71
fee: $0.08
No
24d ago
milan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-75.7%
Volume
$1.71
fee: $0.08
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
+$0.43
+28.4%
$3.42
Active
24d ago
Active
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+28.4%
Volume
$3.42
milan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on August 21?
+$0.36
+26.8%
$3.04
fee: $0.03
No
24d ago
milan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+26.8%
Volume
$3.04
fee: $0.03
tesla-hit-price-monthly
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in August?
+$0.03
+2.3%
$2.52
fee: $0.08
No
24d ago
tesla-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in August?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$2.52
fee: $0.08
london-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?
-$0.12
-7.5%
$3.04
fee: $0.04
Yes
24d ago
london-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-7.5%
Volume
$3.04
fee: $0.04
munich-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?
-$1.30
-13.5%
$20.90
fee: $0.12
Yes
24d ago
munich-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$1.30
ROI
-13.5%
Volume
$20.90
fee: $0.12
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
+$0.16
+15.5%
$2.28
fee: $0.06
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+15.5%
Volume
$2.28
fee: $0.06
london-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?
-$0.30
-21.1%
$2.59
fee: $0.06
No
24d ago
london-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-21.1%
Volume
$2.59
fee: $0.06
milan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on August 21?
-$0.21
-11.8%
$3.49
fee: $0.14
No
24d ago
milan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-11.8%
Volume
$3.49
fee: $0.14
warsaw-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 21?
+$0.00
+0.2%
$3.36
fee: $0.04
Yes
24d ago
warsaw-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$3.36
fee: $0.04
ankara-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?
-$0.12
-4.6%
$5.19
fee: $0.06
No
24d ago
ankara-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-4.6%
Volume
$5.19
fee: $0.06
munich-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?
-$0.82
-62.4%
$1.88
fee: $0.08
No
24d ago
munich-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.82
ROI
-62.4%
Volume
$1.88
fee: $0.08
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$21.46
fee: $0.01
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$21.46
fee: $0.01
P
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
-$0.28
-4.0%
$13.97
No
24d ago
P
No
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$13.97
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
-$1.97
-9.9%
$37.61
fee: $0.67
Active
24d ago
Active
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$1.97
ROI
-9.9%
Volume
$37.61
fee: $0.67
bank-of-canada-decision
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
+$0.42
+4.5%
$19.04
fee: $0.16
Active
24d ago
bank-of-canada-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$19.04
fee: $0.16
jeddah-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 21?
+$0.26
+19.6%
$1.32
fee: $0.01
Yes
24d ago
jeddah-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+19.6%
Volume
$1.32
fee: $0.01
P
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
-$0.11
-10.1%
$2.05
fee: $0.02
Active
24d ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-10.1%
Volume
$2.05
fee: $0.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.75
Active
24d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.75
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
+$0.50
+8.1%
$7.36
fee: $0.10
No
25d ago
P
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+8.1%
Volume
$7.36
fee: $0.10
wuhan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 21?
+$2.10
+147.6%
$4.97
fee: $0.04
Yes
25d ago
wuhan-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$2.10
ROI
+147.6%
Volume
$4.97
fee: $0.04
seoul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
+$2.71
+12.8%
$46.10
fee: $1.16
Yes
25d ago
seoul-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$2.71
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$46.10
fee: $1.16
tel-aviv-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 21?
-$0.65
-49.8%
$2.06
fee: $0.09
No
25d ago
tel-aviv-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 21?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.65
ROI
-49.8%
Volume
$2.06
fee: $0.09
4,708 Markets
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