rar111rar111

View on Polymarket

Created January 14, 2026

Active September 14, 2026

Balance$16.86

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$55.12

Aug 16

Aug 23

Aug 31

Sep 7

Sep 15

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Finance+$53.05

WR: 44.8%(13/29)

ROI: +4.9%

Economy+$30.22

WR: 41.0%(16/39)

ROI: +2.3%

Politics+$25.26

WR: 50.0%(2/4)

ROI: +85.7%

Pop Culture+$2.70

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +11.4%

Tech+$0.00

WR: 0.0%(0/1)

ROI: +0.0%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$580.67

19.5%

Taker Volume$2.39K

80.5%

Taker Ratio

80%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

-$57.86

ROI

-59.6%

Win Rate

40.0%

Volume

$364.17

Fee

$2.25

2 Wins in 5 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$61.51

ROI

-17.1%

Win Rate

37.5%

Volume

$930.84

Fee

$5.41

3 Wins in 8 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$27.43

ROI

2.1%

Win Rate

40.0%

Volume

$2.64K

Fee

$13.07

14 Wins in 35 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$55.12

ROI

3.9%

Win Rate

40.4%

Volume

$2.97K

Fee

$20.46

21 Wins in 52 Markets

Recent Markets | total 116

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

+$1.20

+5.2%

fee: $0.20

Active

3h ago

Active

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Active 3h ago

PnL+$1.20

ROI+5.2%

Volumefee: $0.20

reserve-bank-of-india-decision

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

+$1.44

+240.0%

Active

9h ago

reserve-bank-of-india-decision

Active

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Active 9h ago

PnL+$1.44

ROI+240.0%

Volume

fed-rate-hike

Fed rate hike in 2026?

-$60.50

-82.3%

fee: $1.73

Active

10h ago

fed-rate-hike

Active

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Active 10h ago

PnL-$60.50

ROI-82.3%

Volumefee: $1.73

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?

—

Active

12h ago

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Active

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?

Active 12h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

10-year-treasur

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

—

fee: $0.32

Active

19h ago

10-year-treasur

Active

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Active 19h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.32

10-year-treasur

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.97% in September?

-$6.35

-2.7%

fee: $1.32

Yes

1d ago

10-year-treasur

Yes

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.97% in September?

Settled 2h ago

PnL-$6.35

ROI-2.7%

Volumefee: $1.32

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?

—

fee: $1.64

Active

1d ago

Active

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $1.64

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?

+$2.70

+11.4%

fee: $0.20

Active

2d ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$2.70

ROI+11.4%

Volumefee: $0.20

10-year-treasur

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?

—

fee: $0.65

Active

3d ago

10-year-treasur

Active

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.65

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?

—

fee: $0.04

Active

3d ago

Active

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.04

fomc

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

-$1.00

-1.1%

fee: $1.17

Active

3d ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Active 3d ago

PnL-$1.00

ROI-1.1%

Volumefee: $1.17

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September?

+$3.84

+5.0%

fee: $0.19

Yes

3d ago

Yes

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$3.84

ROI+5.0%

Volumefee: $0.19

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

—

fee: $0.86

Active

3d ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.86

bank-of-russia-decision

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

—

Active

3d ago

bank-of-russia-decision

Active

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 7 2026?

+$8.00

+133.3%

Yes

3d ago

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Yes

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 7 2026?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$8.00

ROI+133.3%

Volume

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?

-$12.60

-100.0%

3d ago

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?

Settled 3d ago

PnL-$12.60

ROI-100.0%

Volume

bank-of-england-decision

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

—

Active

4d ago

bank-of-england-decision

Active

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

—

Active

4d ago

Active

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?

+$7.50

+300.0%

Yes

4d ago

core-cpi-mom

Yes

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$7.50

ROI+300.0%

Volume

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 7 2026?

-$7.80

-103.7%

fee: $0.28

4d ago

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 7 2026?

Settled 3d ago

PnL-$7.80

ROI-103.7%

Volumefee: $0.28

bank-of-japan

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

—

fee: $0.79

Active

4d ago

bank-of-japan

Active

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.79

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in September?

+$4.26

+6.5%

fee: $0.23

Yes

4d ago

Yes

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in September?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$4.26

ROI+6.5%

Volumefee: $0.23

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September?

+$7.69

+2.8%

fee: $0.38

Yes

4d ago

Yes

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$7.69

ROI+2.8%

Volumefee: $0.38

10-year-treasur

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.94% in September?

-$2.80

-5.9%

fee: $0.30

Yes

4d ago

10-year-treasur

Yes

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.94% in September?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$2.80

ROI-5.9%

Volumefee: $0.30

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September?

+$21.06

+15.8%

fee: $0.73

Yes

4d ago

Yes

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$21.06

ROI+15.8%

Volumefee: $0.73

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.33% in September?

+$0.95

+5.0%

fee: $0.05

Yes

4d ago

Yes

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.33% in September?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$0.95

ROI+5.0%

Volumefee: $0.05

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.67% in September?

+$6.91

+6.3%

fee: $0.34

Yes

4d ago

Yes

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.67% in September?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$6.91

ROI+6.3%

Volumefee: $0.34

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?

—

Active

4d ago

Active

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

bank-of-england-decision

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

+$2.08

+44.2%

fee: $0.31

Active

4d ago

bank-of-england-decision

Active

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Active 4d ago

PnL+$2.08

ROI+44.2%

Volumefee: $0.31

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?

+$42.88

+386.4%

fee: $0.06

Active

4d ago

ecb-interest-rates

Active

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?

Active 4d ago

PnL+$42.88

ROI+386.4%

Volumefee: $0.06

10-year-treasur

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?

—

Active

4d ago

10-year-treasur

Active

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?

—

fee: $0.06

Active

5d ago

Active

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?

Active 5d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.06

10-year-treasur

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?

+$9.78

+48.9%

fee: $0.58

Yes

5d ago

10-year-treasur

Yes

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$9.78

ROI+48.9%

Volumefee: $0.58

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?

-$0.50

-1.2%

fee: $0.65

Active

5d ago

Active

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?

Active 5d ago

PnL-$0.50

ROI-1.2%

Volumefee: $0.65

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?

-$1.34

-100.0%

6d ago

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?

Settled 3d ago

PnL-$1.34

ROI-100.0%

Volume

bank-of-canada-decision

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

-$1.38

-27.3%

fee: $0.23

Active

10d ago

bank-of-canada-decision

Active

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Active 10d ago

PnL-$1.38

ROI-27.3%

Volumefee: $0.23

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?

-$0.96

-100.0%

10d ago

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?

Settled 10d ago

PnL-$0.96

ROI-100.0%

Volume

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?

-$3.85

-104.3%

fee: $0.16

10d ago

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?

Settled 3d ago

PnL-$3.85

ROI-104.3%

Volumefee: $0.16

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?

+$1.88

+18.8%

fee: $0.10

Yes

10d ago

wti-crude-oil-hit-price-weekly

Yes

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?

Settled 10d ago

PnL+$1.88

ROI+18.8%

Volumefee: $0.10

bank-of-canada-decision

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?

+$7.30

+429.4%

12d ago

bank-of-canada-decision

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$7.30

ROI+429.4%

Volume

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

+$2.87

+73.7%

fee: $0.23

13d ago

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

Settled 11d ago

PnL+$2.87

ROI+73.7%

Volumefee: $0.23

crude-oil-cl-hit

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?

—

Active

13d ago

crude-oil-cl-hit

Active

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?

Active 13d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

ism-services-pmi

Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?

-$1.05

-100.0%

14d ago

ism-services-pmi

Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?

Settled 11d ago

PnL-$1.05

ROI-100.0%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-hit

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?

—

Active

14d ago

crude-oil-cl-hit

Active

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?

Active 14d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

+$20.32

+77.2%

Active

20d ago

Active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

Active 20d ago

PnL+$20.32

ROI+77.2%

Volume

peak-us-national-debt

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

+$6.38

+366.5%

Active

22d ago

peak-us-national-debt

Active

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

Active 22d ago

PnL+$6.38

ROI+366.5%

Volume

trump-weekly-mentions

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

-$1.45

-103.4%

fee: $0.05

Yes

24d ago

trump-weekly-mentions

Yes

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

Settled 23d ago

PnL-$1.45

ROI-103.4%

Volumefee: $0.05

bank-of-russia-decision

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

+$1.59

+47.6%

fee: $0.06

Yes

24d ago

bank-of-russia-decision

Yes

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$1.59

ROI+47.6%

Volumefee: $0.06

bank-of-japan

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

—

Active

24d ago

bank-of-japan

Active

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Active 24d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

-$6.18

-8.1%

fee: $6.47

Yes

27d ago

ecb-interest-rates

Yes

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$6.18

ROI-8.1%

Volumefee: $6.47

crude-oil-cl-hit

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?

+$2.20

+40.0%

fee: $0.10

Yes

28d ago

crude-oil-cl-hit

Yes

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?

Settled 28d ago

PnL+$2.20

ROI+40.0%

Volumefee: $0.10

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?

—

Active

28d ago

Active

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?

Active 28d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

-$14.70

-100.0%

1mo ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL-$14.70

ROI-100.0%

Volume

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?

-$1.57

-104.3%

fee: $0.07

1mo ago

core-cpi-mom

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$1.57

ROI-104.3%

Volumefee: $0.07

crude-oil-cl-hit

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

-$22.73

-100.6%

fee: $0.14

1mo ago

crude-oil-cl-hit

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

Settled 14d ago

PnL-$22.73

ROI-100.6%

Volumefee: $0.14

reserve-bank-of-india-decision

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?

-$0.50

-100.0%

1mo ago

reserve-bank-of-india-decision

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$0.50

ROI-100.0%

Volume

btc-up-or-down-5m

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

+$0.35

+7.0%

fee: $0.02

1mo ago

btc-up-or-down-5m

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$0.35

ROI+7.0%

Volumefee: $0.02

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

+$4.00

+25.0%

Yes

1mo ago

Yes

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$4.00

ROI+25.0%

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

+$1.40

+51.9%

fee: $0.09

Active

1mo ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$1.40

ROI+51.9%

Volumefee: $0.09

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

+$2.55

+25.5%

fee: $0.11

Yes

1mo ago

fomc

Yes

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$2.55

ROI+25.5%

Volumefee: $0.11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

+$11.89

+45.0%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$11.89

ROI+45.0%

Volume

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

+$4.50

+60.8%

fee: $0.11

Active

1mo ago

fed-rate-hike

Active

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$4.50

ROI+60.8%

Volumefee: $0.11

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$25.14

+10.1%

fee: $17.68

Yes

2mo ago

Yes

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$25.14

ROI+10.1%

Volumefee: $17.68

soccer-fifwc

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

-$93.80

-104.2%

fee: $3.80

2mo ago

soccer-fifwc

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$93.80

ROI-104.2%

Volumefee: $3.80

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-$61.54

-102.6%

fee: $1.54

2mo ago

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$61.54

ROI-102.6%

Volumefee: $1.54

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-$154.40

-102.9%

fee: $4.40

2mo ago

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$154.40

ROI-102.9%

Volumefee: $4.40

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-$154.37

-102.9%

fee: $4.37

2mo ago

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$154.37

ROI-102.9%

Volumefee: $4.37

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

+$2.90

+26.6%

2mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$2.90

ROI+26.6%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?

-$4.40

-29.5%

2mo ago

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$4.40

ROI-29.5%

Volume

bank-of-england-decision

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?

-$0.43

-14.9%

2mo ago

bank-of-england-decision

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$0.43

ROI-14.9%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

-$2.60

-100.0%

2mo ago

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$2.60

ROI-100.0%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

+$7.20

+31.9%

2mo ago

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$7.20

ROI+31.9%

Volume

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

+$8.10

+90.0%

fee: $0.06

2mo ago

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$8.10

ROI+90.0%

Volumefee: $0.06

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

+$4.80

+154.8%

Active

2mo ago

Active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL+$4.80

ROI+154.8%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?

+$0.84

+13.1%

fee: $0.37

2mo ago

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$0.84

ROI+13.1%

Volumefee: $0.37

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

+$0.12

+1.2%

fee: $0.35

Active

2mo ago

Active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL+$0.12

ROI+1.2%

Volumefee: $0.35

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

-$1.40

-100.0%

3mo ago

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$1.40

ROI-100.0%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

+$10.50

+19.5%

3mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$10.50

ROI+19.5%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-settle

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?

+$16.48

+171.9%

fee: $0.56

Yes

3mo ago

crude-oil-cl-settle

Yes

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$16.48

ROI+171.9%

Volumefee: $0.56

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

-$7.36

-103.7%

fee: $0.26

3mo ago

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$7.36

ROI-103.7%

Volumefee: $0.26

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

+$5.28

+75.4%

3mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$5.28

ROI+75.4%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

+$7.16

+22.6%

Yes

3mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Yes

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$7.16

ROI+22.6%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

+$1.30

+19.4%

Active

3mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Active 3mo ago

PnL+$1.30

ROI+19.4%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

+$2.00

+111.1%

Yes

3mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Yes

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$2.00

ROI+111.1%

Volume

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

+$23.50

+52.1%

Yes

3mo ago

Yes

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$23.50

ROI+52.1%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

+$7.40

+35.4%

Yes

3mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Yes

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$7.40

ROI+35.4%

Volume

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

+$4.50

+71.4%

Yes

3mo ago

Yes

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$4.50

ROI+71.4%

Volume

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

-$1.48

-12.0%

fee: $0.58

Yes

3mo ago

ecb-interest-rates

Yes

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$1.48

ROI-12.0%

Volumefee: $0.58

bank-of-canada-decision

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?

+$2.19

+0.9%

fee: $0.06

Yes

3mo ago

bank-of-canada-decision

Yes

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$2.19

ROI+0.9%

Volumefee: $0.06

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

+$1.29

+0.2%

fee: $0.11

Yes

3mo ago

trump-insult-on

Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$1.29

ROI+0.2%

Volumefee: $0.11

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in May?

+$0.40

+19.0%

3mo ago

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$0.40

ROI+19.0%

Volume

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?

+$3.08

+47.3%

fee: $0.12

Yes

3mo ago

Yes

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$3.08

ROI+47.3%

Volumefee: $0.12

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in May?

-$0.90

-100.0%

3mo ago

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$0.90

ROI-100.0%

Volume

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in May?

-$8.00

-100.0%

3mo ago

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$8.00

ROI-100.0%

Volume

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

-$12.50

-100.0%

3mo ago

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$12.50

ROI-100.0%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

-$5.14

-102.9%

fee: $0.14

Yes

3mo ago

trump-insult-on

Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$5.14

ROI-102.9%

Volumefee: $0.14

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

+$9.00

+28.1%

3mo ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$9.00

ROI+28.1%

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

+$165.09

+846.6%

3mo ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$165.09

ROI+846.6%

Volume

crude-oil-cl-hit

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

+$4.70

+32.9%

fee: $0.10

Yes

3mo ago

crude-oil-cl-hit

Yes

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$4.70

ROI+32.9%

Volumefee: $0.10

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

+$4.65

+19.3%

3mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$4.65

ROI+19.3%

Volume

116 Markets

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