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negator512
negator512
View on Polymarket
Created
March 22, 2026
Active
July 6, 2026
Balance
$0.62
Incoming
+$250.94
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$23.57
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Apr 28
May 16
Jun 2
Jun 19
Jul 7
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$50.36
WR: 66.7%
(6/9)
ROI: +9.8%
Politics
+$47.69
WR: 62.5%
(5/8)
ROI: +9.8%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$2.90K
99.0%
Taker Volume
$30.40
1.0%
Taker Ratio
1%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$756.64
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 1 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$756.64
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 1 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$3.46
ROI
16.1%
Win Rate
40.0%
Volume
$1.97K
Fee
$0.00
2 Wins in 5 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$50.36
ROI
9.8%
Win Rate
66.7%
Volume
$2.93K
Fee
$0.00
6 Wins in 9 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 73
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
—
—
$756.64
Active
23h ago
Active
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Active 23h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$756.64
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
—
—
$65.11
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$65.11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.11K
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.11K
Iran leadership change by June 30?
+$0.70
+16.2%
$9.30
No
6d ago
No
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$0.70
ROI
+16.2%
Volume
$9.30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
+$2.76
+16.0%
$37.16
No
6d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$2.76
ROI
+16.0%
Volume
$37.16
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
+$9.78
+19.5%
$109.98
No
7d ago
pete-hegseth-out
No
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$9.78
ROI
+19.5%
Volume
$109.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
+$23.60
+6.3%
$775.60
No
8d ago
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$23.60
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$775.60
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
+$2.67
+9.8%
$57.27
No
8d ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$2.67
ROI
+9.8%
Volume
$57.27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
+$10.85
+27.7%
$10.85
No
13d ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$10.85
ROI
+27.7%
Volume
$10.85
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
—
—
$33.96
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$33.96
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
—
—
$18.08
Active
1mo ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.08
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
-$16.06
-100.0%
$16.06
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$16.06
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$16.06
AI bubble burst in 2026?
—
—
$7.51
Active
1mo ago
Active
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.51
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
—
—
$170.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$170.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
+$1.40
+7.5%
$18.60
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$1.40
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$18.60
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
-$26.91
-100.0%
$26.91
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$26.91
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$26.91
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
+$150.39
+20.4%
$1.66K
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$150.39
ROI
+20.4%
Volume
$1.66K
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
+$9.48
+31.2%
$70.28
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.48
ROI
+31.2%
Volume
$70.28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
+$5.79
+9.0%
$133.79
No
1mo ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.79
ROI
+9.0%
Volume
$133.79
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
-$5.60
-100.0%
$5.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$5.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.60
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
+$0.54
+5.7%
$19.34
No
1mo ago
pete-hegseth-out
No
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.54
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$19.34
Iran leadership change by May 31?
+$9.33
+10.4%
$189.47
No
1mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.33
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$189.47
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
+$0.74
+3.8%
$19.26
No
1mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.74
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$19.26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
+$26.30
+6.9%
$383.70
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$26.30
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$383.70
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
-$21.01
-100.0%
$21.01
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$21.01
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$21.01
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
+$8.91
+43.3%
$51.05
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.91
ROI
+43.3%
Volume
$51.05
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
+$5.39
+21.7%
$54.99
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.39
ROI
+21.7%
Volume
$54.99
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
+$129.39
+117.0%
$110.59
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$129.39
ROI
+117.0%
Volume
$110.59
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
+$0.40
+8.7%
$4.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$4.60
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
-$3.55
-100.0%
$3.55
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.55
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.55
Kash Patel out by May 31?
+$9.50
+23.5%
$40.50
No
1mo ago
No
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.50
ROI
+23.5%
Volume
$40.50
Kash Patel out by June 30?
+$27.30
+63.9%
$42.70
No
1mo ago
No
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$27.30
ROI
+63.9%
Volume
$42.70
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
+$12.20
+43.9%
$27.80
No
1mo ago
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.20
ROI
+43.9%
Volume
$27.80
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
+$1.25
+33.3%
$3.75
No
1mo ago
No
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$1.25
ROI
+33.3%
Volume
$3.75
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
—
—
$39.30
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$39.30
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
-$165.37
-100.0%
$165.37
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$165.37
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$165.37
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
+$1.76
+6.2%
$73.16
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.76
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$73.16
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
-$231.00
-70.8%
$421.80
Yes
1mo ago
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$231.00
ROI
-70.8%
Volume
$421.80
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
+$1.50
+17.6%
$8.50
No
2mo ago
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.50
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$8.50
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
-$7.50
-100.0%
$7.50
Yes
2mo ago
nuclear-deal
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$7.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
+$6.80
+20.5%
$33.20
No
2mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.80
ROI
+20.5%
Volume
$33.20
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
+$2.40
+13.6%
$17.60
No
2mo ago
No
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$2.40
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$17.60
strait-of-trump
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
+$0.72
+3.8%
$38.43
No
2mo ago
strait-of-trump
No
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.72
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$38.43
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
-$0.02
-100.0%
$14.99
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$14.99
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
-$1.70
-100.0%
$8.30
No
2mo ago
No
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$1.70
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$8.30
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
+$0.58
+3.1%
$37.62
No
2mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$0.58
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$37.62
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
-$0.06
-100.0%
$19.94
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$19.94
iran-military-action-against
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
-$0.01
-100.0%
$9.99
No
2mo ago
iran-military-action-against
No
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.99
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
+$2.00
+11.1%
$18.00
No
2mo ago
No
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$18.00
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
+$5.80
+17.0%
$34.20
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.80
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$34.20
73 Markets
•
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