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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
PL
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$0.88
PLLP
PLLP
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Share
Created
June 5, 2026
Active
October 27, 2026
Balance
$505.27
Incoming
+$500.00
Rewards
+$427.43
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$2.99
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 13
Oct 20
Oct 28
Nov 4
Nov 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$2.99
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +21.3%
Elections
+$2.99
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +21.3%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$20.62
66.5%
Taker Volume
$10.37
33.5%
Taker Ratio
33%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$2.99
Rebate:
+$2.21
ROI
21.3%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$30.99
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 1 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 184
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
+$2.99
+21.3%
$30.99
Active
15d ago
Active
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
Active 15d ago
PnL
+$2.99
ROI
+21.3%
Volume
$30.99
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?
+$8.97
+22.4%
$88.99
fee: $0.03
Yes
1mo ago
madrid-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.97
ROI
+22.4%
Volume
$88.99
fee: $0.03
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8?
-$2.41
-19.5%
$22.39
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.41
ROI
-19.5%
Volume
$22.39
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?
-$0.14
-12.1%
$2.25
fee: $0.03
Yes
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$2.25
fee: $0.03
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8?
-$1.60
-47.1%
$5.20
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.60
ROI
-47.1%
Volume
$5.20
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?
-$2.00
-16.7%
$22.00
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$22.00
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?
+$1.59
+16.2%
$19.80
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.59
ROI
+16.2%
Volume
$19.80
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 4?
+$2.91
+48.6%
$13.13
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 4?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.91
ROI
+48.6%
Volume
$13.13
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4?
-$3.21
-72.1%
$5.69
Yes
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.21
ROI
-72.1%
Volume
$5.69
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 3?
-$2.85
-22.6%
$22.60
fee: $0.25
No
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 3?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.85
ROI
-22.6%
Volume
$22.60
fee: $0.25
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3?
+$2.61
+17.4%
$27.21
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.61
ROI
+17.4%
Volume
$27.21
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?
+$0.20
+3.8%
$10.60
No
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$10.60
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?
-$0.03
-8.7%
$0.68
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-8.7%
Volume
$0.68
fee: $0.01
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2?
-$0.00
-0.6%
$1.68
fee: $0.02
Yes
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$1.68
fee: $0.02
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 2?
-$0.28
-6.1%
$8.83
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-6.1%
Volume
$8.83
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?
-$0.41
-4.7%
$17.17
fee: $0.23
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.41
ROI
-4.7%
Volume
$17.17
fee: $0.23
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?
-$0.36
-5.2%
$13.61
Yes
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.36
ROI
-5.2%
Volume
$13.61
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2?
+$0.30
+4.6%
$13.18
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$13.18
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 1?
—
—
$26.00
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$26.00
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30?
-$4.58
-95.4%
$5.02
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.58
ROI
-95.4%
Volume
$5.02
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30?
-$1.22
-87.1%
$1.58
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.22
ROI
-87.1%
Volume
$1.58
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 30?
-$1.45
-51.8%
$4.15
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.45
ROI
-51.8%
Volume
$4.15
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 1?
-$3.80
-26.4%
$25.00
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.80
ROI
-26.4%
Volume
$25.00
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?
-$2.22
-15.2%
$26.90
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.22
ROI
-15.2%
Volume
$26.90
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 1?
+$1.28
+9.0%
$29.68
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.28
ROI
+9.0%
Volume
$29.68
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?
+$0.80
+7.8%
$21.20
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$21.20
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 30?
-$1.20
-10.7%
$21.20
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-10.7%
Volume
$21.20
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 30?
-$3.66
-23.7%
$27.15
Yes
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.66
ROI
-23.7%
Volume
$27.15
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?
-$0.79
-9.2%
$16.65
fee: $0.24
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.79
ROI
-9.2%
Volume
$16.65
fee: $0.24
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?
-$2.40
-100.0%
$2.40
Yes
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.40
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28?
-$10.80
-100.0%
$10.80
Yes
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.80
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?
+$6.80
+65.4%
$27.60
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.80
ROI
+65.4%
Volume
$27.60
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27?
-$1.80
-100.0%
$1.80
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.80
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?
-$68.00
-100.0%
$68.00
Yes
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$68.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$68.00
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 27?
+$0.19
+1.5%
$25.75
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$25.75
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28?
+$1.92
+16.3%
$25.52
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.92
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$25.52
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 27?
+$0.20
+1.8%
$22.20
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$22.20
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24?
-$0.99
-100.0%
$0.99
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.99
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24?
-$9.00
-100.0%
$9.00
No
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.00
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 24?
+$1.38
+44.9%
$3.07
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.38
ROI
+44.9%
Volume
$3.07
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?
+$0.21
+2.7%
$15.96
Yes
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$15.96
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23?
—
—
$0.80
Yes
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.80
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 23?
-$1.74
-14.1%
$23.19
fee: $0.23
No
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.74
ROI
-14.1%
Volume
$23.19
fee: $0.23
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23?
-$0.02
-24.3%
$0.13
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-24.3%
Volume
$0.13
fee: $0.00
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?
—
—
$17.32
Yes
1mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$17.32
openai-resets-codex-weekly-limit-on
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 23?
-$3.08
-29.7%
$18.27
fee: $0.56
No
1mo ago
openai-resets-codex-weekly-limit-on
No
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.08
ROI
-29.7%
Volume
$18.27
fee: $0.56
perplexity-valuation
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
+$11.45
+29.7%
$88.45
Yes
1mo ago
perplexity-valuation
Yes
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$11.45
ROI
+29.7%
Volume
$88.45
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 18?
+$7.37
+10.1%
$88.66
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 18?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.37
ROI
+10.1%
Volume
$88.66
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?
-$1.71
-43.5%
$6.23
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.71
ROI
-43.5%
Volume
$6.23
fee: $0.09
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?
-$15.20
-100.0%
$15.20
Yes
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$15.20
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?
-$14.79
-100.0%
$14.79
Yes
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$14.79
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$14.79
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16?
+$0.60
+4.5%
$27.40
No
1mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$27.40
3rd-largest-company
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
-$5.15
-85.6%
$6.92
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
3rd-largest-company
No
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.15
ROI
-85.6%
Volume
$6.92
fee: $0.03
Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?
-$5.40
-52.9%
$15.00
fee: $0.15
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.40
ROI
-52.9%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 0%-5%?
-$5.60
-82.4%
$8.00
fee: $0.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 0%-5%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.60
ROI
-82.4%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.05
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
-$0.59
-26.4%
$3.91
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
No
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-26.4%
Volume
$3.91
fee: $0.04
Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
-$3.96
-60.2%
$9.20
fee: $0.09
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.96
ROI
-60.2%
Volume
$9.20
fee: $0.09
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
-$5.74
-60.7%
$13.18
fee: $0.15
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.74
ROI
-60.7%
Volume
$13.18
fee: $0.15
second-best-math-ai
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
-$4.77
-44.2%
$17.00
fee: $0.17
No
1mo ago
second-best-math-ai
No
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$4.77
ROI
-44.2%
Volume
$17.00
fee: $0.17
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
-$2.60
-26.5%
$17.00
fee: $0.18
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.60
ROI
-26.5%
Volume
$17.00
fee: $0.18
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
-$0.06
-2.8%
$3.94
fee: $0.03
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-2.8%
Volume
$3.94
fee: $0.03
claude-opus-hle-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
-$0.97
-6.4%
$29.76
fee: $0.33
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-hle-debut
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
-$0.97
ROI
-6.4%
Volume
$29.76
fee: $0.33
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
-$0.60
-9.1%
$12.60
Yes
2mo ago
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-9.1%
Volume
$12.60
P
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
-$1.80
-17.0%
$19.40
fee: $0.25
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-17.0%
Volume
$19.40
fee: $0.25
P
Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
-$0.60
-33.3%
$3.00
fee: $0.06
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-33.3%
Volume
$3.00
fee: $0.06
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$28.00
No
2mo ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
No
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$28.00
P
euro-gdp
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
-$2.00
-14.7%
$25.20
No
2mo ago
P
euro-gdp
No
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-14.7%
Volume
$25.20
P
Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?
-$0.68
-9.0%
$14.41
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.68
ROI
-9.0%
Volume
$14.41
fee: $0.04
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
+$0.11
+5.1%
$4.46
fee: $0.01
Active
2mo ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$4.46
fee: $0.01
Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?
-$0.60
-4.8%
$24.60
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$24.60
P
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?
-$0.64
-4.9%
$25.32
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.64
ROI
-4.9%
Volume
$25.32
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$34.40
Yes
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$34.40
P
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
—
—
$3.50
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.50
discord-ipo-market-cap
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
+$7.06
+28.3%
$56.96
fee: $0.46
Active
2mo ago
discord-ipo-market-cap
Active
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$7.06
ROI
+28.3%
Volume
$56.96
fee: $0.46
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
-$29.80
-64.1%
$63.50
fee: $0.30
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$29.80
ROI
-64.1%
Volume
$63.50
fee: $0.30
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
-$2.00
-6.0%
$65.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$65.00
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
-$0.74
-3.2%
$45.87
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.74
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$45.87
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
-$1.20
-4.3%
$54.60
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
No
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$54.60
fee: $0.20
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
+$0.01
+0.0%
$24.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$24.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
-$2.33
-6.6%
$69.04
fee: $0.37
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$2.33
ROI
-6.6%
Volume
$69.04
fee: $0.37
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?
+$0.12
+1.2%
$20.32
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
No
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$20.32
fee: $0.13
P
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
+$0.03
+0.2%
$27.40
fee: $0.17
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$27.40
fee: $0.17
P
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?
-$2.26
-7.1%
$60.98
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.26
ROI
-7.1%
Volume
$60.98
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
-$0.36
-1.4%
$51.44
fee: $0.22
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.36
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$51.44
fee: $0.22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
+$0.05
+0.1%
$79.85
fee: $0.32
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$79.85
fee: $0.32
Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
+$3.32
+51.2%
$16.48
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
No
Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.32
ROI
+51.2%
Volume
$16.48
fee: $0.20
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
-$1.40
-11.3%
$23.40
No
2mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-11.3%
Volume
$23.40
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
-$0.80
-3.8%
$41.60
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$41.60
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
—
—
$16.40
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.40
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
-$1.50
-3.4%
$86.50
Yes
2mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$86.50
Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
-$5.70
-100.0%
$5.70
No
2mo ago
No
Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.70
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.70
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
-$0.12
-0.8%
$28.20
fee: $0.21
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-0.8%
Volume
$28.20
fee: $0.21
P
median-home-price-dc
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?
-$2.10
-21.9%
$17.26
fee: $0.24
No
2mo ago
P
median-home-price-dc
No
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-21.9%
Volume
$17.26
fee: $0.24
third-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
-$0.09
-2.8%
$6.20
fee: $0.09
Yes
2mo ago
third-best-math-ai
Yes
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-2.8%
Volume
$6.20
fee: $0.09
Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?
-$2.00
-25.0%
$14.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-25.0%
Volume
$14.00
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$16.80
Yes
2mo ago
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$16.80
waymo-operate
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
-$1.20
-4.1%
$56.90
fee: $0.49
Active
2mo ago
waymo-operate
Active
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$56.90
fee: $0.49
Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?
-$1.20
-17.1%
$12.80
fee: $0.16
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-17.1%
Volume
$12.80
fee: $0.16
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
-$1.77
-22.7%
$14.00
fee: $0.17
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.77
ROI
-22.7%
Volume
$14.00
fee: $0.17
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?
-$0.60
-5.2%
$22.60
fee: $0.20
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-5.2%
Volume
$22.60
fee: $0.20
184 Markets
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