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PolyPnL
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Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
0x
Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$2.18K
0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE4211
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Created
March 29, 2026
Active
September 11, 2026
Balance
$60.48
Incoming
+$69.81K
Rewards
+$614.38
Outgoing
-$62.67K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$606.47
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$476.47
WR: 68.8%
(11/16)
ROI: +2.3%
Geopolitics
+$476.47
WR: 68.8%
(11/16)
ROI: +2.3%
Economy
+$97.21
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +6.6%
Crypto
+$8.34
WR: 40.0%
(2/5)
ROI: +5.6%
Tech
-$61.67
WR: 33.3%
(2/6)
ROI: -3.4%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$17.39K
32.3%
Taker Volume
$36.42K
67.7%
Taker Ratio
68%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$433.09
ROI
3.3%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$31.73K
Fee
$92.41
4 Wins in 8 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$433.09
ROI
3.3%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$31.73K
Fee
$92.41
4 Wins in 8 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$606.47
ROI
2.4%
Win Rate
56.7%
Volume
$53.81K
Fee
$136.31
17 Wins in 30 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 173
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$62.34
fee: $1.55
Active
1d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Active
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$62.34
fee: $1.55
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$105.48
fee: $1.48
Active
1d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Active
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$105.48
fee: $1.48
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$727.65
+15.4%
$11.97K
Active
1d ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1d ago
PnL
+$727.65
ROI
+15.4%
Volume
$11.97K
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
-$517.79
-32.4%
$3.04K
Active
1d ago
nothing-ever-happens
Active
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Active 1d ago
PnL
-$517.79
ROI
-32.4%
Volume
$3.04K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
-$177.93
-9.4%
$4.37K
Active
2d ago
Active
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Active 2d ago
PnL
-$177.93
ROI
-9.4%
Volume
$4.37K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
+$199.27
+7.7%
$6.81K
Active
2d ago
Active
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Active 2d ago
PnL
+$199.27
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$6.81K
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$96.00
+6.7%
$3.30K
fee: $40.44
Active
2d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL
+$96.00
ROI
+6.7%
Volume
$3.30K
fee: $40.44
P
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
+$105.89
+11.7%
$2.07K
fee: $48.94
Active
2d ago
P
Active
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL
+$105.89
ROI
+11.7%
Volume
$2.07K
fee: $48.94
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
+$9.24
+13.0%
$222.03
fee: $9.20
Active
8d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$9.24
ROI
+13.0%
Volume
$222.03
fee: $9.20
bitcoin-hit-price-daily
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 4?
-$6.03
-101.8%
$5.92
fee: $0.11
No
8d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-daily
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 4?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$6.03
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$5.92
fee: $0.11
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$443.72
fee: $3.73
Active
8d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$443.72
fee: $3.73
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
+$5.13
+19.9%
$56.72
fee: $2.59
Active
8d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$5.13
ROI
+19.9%
Volume
$56.72
fee: $2.59
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$383.43
fee: $15.99
Active
8d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$383.43
fee: $15.99
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
-$82.34
-12.6%
$1.34K
Active
8d ago
Active
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$82.34
ROI
-12.6%
Volume
$1.34K
trump-putin-meet-where
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
+$136.67
+33.4%
$1.04K
Active
8d ago
trump-putin-meet-where
Active
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$136.67
ROI
+33.4%
Volume
$1.04K
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
+$570.74
+60.2%
$1.23K
fee: $10.60
Yes
11d ago
Yes
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$570.74
ROI
+60.2%
Volume
$1.23K
fee: $10.60
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
-$633.24
-91.5%
$752.77
fee: $1.29
Yes
11d ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$633.24
ROI
-91.5%
Volume
$752.77
fee: $1.29
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
+$10.85
+7.4%
$147.40
fee: $0.20
Yes
11d ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$10.85
ROI
+7.4%
Volume
$147.40
fee: $0.20
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?
-$10.02
-101.9%
$9.83
fee: $0.19
Yes
11d ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$10.02
ROI
-101.9%
Volume
$9.83
fee: $0.19
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
+$2.01
+3.7%
$1.94K
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$2.01
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$1.94K
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$1.21
+4.0%
$2.85K
Active
17d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$1.21
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$2.85K
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$1.24K
-55.4%
$3.23K
No
17d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$1.24K
ROI
-55.4%
Volume
$3.23K
P
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$326.28
+25.8%
$1.67K
No
17d ago
P
No
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$326.28
ROI
+25.8%
Volume
$1.67K
P
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$499.99
+19.2%
$3.25K
No
26d ago
P
No
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$499.99
ROI
+19.2%
Volume
$3.25K
P
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$179.87
+23.0%
$782.50
No
27d ago
P
No
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$179.87
ROI
+23.0%
Volume
$782.50
P
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$39.89
+13.2%
$302.11
No
27d ago
P
No
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$39.89
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$302.11
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$18.55
-76.9%
$29.69
No
27d ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$18.55
ROI
-76.9%
Volume
$29.69
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
-$12.36
-99.3%
$12.54
No
28d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$12.36
ROI
-99.3%
Volume
$12.54
P
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$9.08
+5.9%
$319.16
No
28d ago
P
No
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$9.08
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$319.16
P
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$383.31
+21.7%
$2.05K
No
29d ago
P
No
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$383.31
ROI
+21.7%
Volume
$2.05K
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$123.76
-12.1%
$1.93K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$123.76
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$1.93K
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$345.75
+4.2%
$13.39K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$345.75
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$13.39K
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
-$6.50
-100.0%
$6.50
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.50
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$4.30
+57.3%
$19.30
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.30
ROI
+57.3%
Volume
$19.30
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
+$0.82
+25.7%
$7.60
fee: $0.38
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+25.7%
Volume
$7.60
fee: $0.38
P
inflation-china-annual
Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
+$1.43
+0.3%
$500.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
1mo ago
P
inflation-china-annual
Yes
Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.43
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$500.00
fee: $0.07
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
+$794.21
+44.3%
$4.38K
fee: $41.16
Active
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$794.21
ROI
+44.3%
Volume
$4.38K
fee: $41.16
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
-$257.28
-8.8%
$5.59K
fee: $95.17
Active
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$257.28
ROI
-8.8%
Volume
$5.59K
fee: $95.17
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
+$20.10
+11.1%
$180.90
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$20.10
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$180.90
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
-$107.25
-60.2%
$248.87
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$107.25
ROI
-60.2%
Volume
$248.87
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?
-$63.20
-96.8%
$68.75
fee: $1.34
No
1mo ago
No
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$63.20
ROI
-96.8%
Volume
$68.75
fee: $1.34
P
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?
+$6.92
+20.0%
$76.12
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.92
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$76.12
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$2.20
+1.2%
$380.60
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$2.20
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$380.60
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
+$97.74
+4.1%
$4.91K
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$97.74
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$4.91K
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
+$35.41
+2.4%
$3.00K
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$35.41
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$3.00K
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$94.90
+11.4%
$1.76K
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$94.90
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$1.76K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
—
—
$42.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$42.00
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?
-$0.50
-9.4%
$10.10
Active
1mo ago
Active
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-9.4%
Volume
$10.10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$21.78
fee: $0.98
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$21.78
fee: $0.98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
-$101.75
-58.7%
$245.17
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$101.75
ROI
-58.7%
Volume
$245.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
+$155.23
+11.2%
$2.93K
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$155.23
ROI
+11.2%
Volume
$2.93K
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$173.18
-5.8%
$5.79K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$173.18
ROI
-5.8%
Volume
$5.79K
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
+$689.40
+26.3%
$5.92K
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$689.40
ROI
+26.3%
Volume
$5.92K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
-$33.42
-64.2%
$70.67
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$33.42
ROI
-64.2%
Volume
$70.67
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
+$40.91
+6.2%
$1.35K
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$40.91
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$1.35K
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
+$6.94
+45.9%
$38.60
fee: $1.39
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.94
ROI
+45.9%
Volume
$38.60
fee: $1.39
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
-$14.60
-85.9%
$19.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$14.60
ROI
-85.9%
Volume
$19.40
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
+$8.52
+22.2%
$88.18
fee: $2.76
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.52
ROI
+22.2%
Volume
$88.18
fee: $2.76
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
+$648.47
+169.4%
$466.84
fee: $9.65
Yes
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$648.47
ROI
+169.4%
Volume
$466.84
fee: $9.65
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
-$682.28
-93.2%
$782.85
fee: $1.43
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$682.28
ROI
-93.2%
Volume
$782.85
fee: $1.43
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
-$958.40
-43.6%
$3.43K
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$958.40
ROI
-43.6%
Volume
$3.43K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
+$1.24K
+21.9%
$12.56K
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.24K
ROI
+21.9%
Volume
$12.56K
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
-$45.01
-102.3%
$44.00
fee: $1.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$45.01
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$44.00
fee: $1.00
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
-$25.37
-103.8%
$24.43
fee: $0.93
No
1mo ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$25.37
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$24.43
fee: $0.93
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$5.61
-100.0%
$5.61
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.61
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.61
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$16.69
+70.7%
$23.59
fee: $0.40
Yes
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.69
ROI
+70.7%
Volume
$23.59
fee: $0.40
chinese-ai-1
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$350.67
+1417.7%
$403.26
fee: $3.12
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$350.67
ROI
+1417.7%
Volume
$403.26
fee: $3.12
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
+$244.58
+72.6%
$917.92
No
1mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$244.58
ROI
+72.6%
Volume
$917.92
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
-$28.84
-1.2%
$4.60K
No
1mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$28.84
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$4.60K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
+$179.08
+23.1%
$1.73K
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$179.08
ROI
+23.1%
Volume
$1.73K
Iran leadership change by December 31?
—
—
$184.70
Active
2mo ago
Active
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$184.70
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
—
—
$597.31
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$597.31
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
-$155.97
-100.0%
$155.97
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$155.97
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$155.97
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
+$15.86
+32.9%
$48.14
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$15.86
ROI
+32.9%
Volume
$48.14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
—
—
$16.64
Active
2mo ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.64
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$137.38
+23.2%
$1.32K
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$137.38
ROI
+23.2%
Volume
$1.32K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
-$17.78
-0.5%
$6.71K
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$17.78
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$6.71K
yearly-ipos
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
—
—
$1.03K
fee: $4.06
Active
2mo ago
yearly-ipos
Active
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.03K
fee: $4.06
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$297.25
fee: $6.01
Active
2mo ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$297.25
fee: $6.01
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
-$0.74
-64.1%
$1.57
No
2mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.74
ROI
-64.1%
Volume
$1.57
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$6.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.00
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
+$5.03
+11.2%
$44.97
No
2mo ago
No
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.03
ROI
+11.2%
Volume
$44.97
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$8.96
+21.9%
$90.64
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.96
ROI
+21.9%
Volume
$90.64
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
+$240.71
+11.5%
$2.44K
fee: $8.58
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$240.71
ROI
+11.5%
Volume
$2.44K
fee: $8.58
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
+$53.69
+4.8%
$2.30K
fee: $4.43
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$53.69
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$2.30K
fee: $4.43
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
-$222.53
-76.5%
$364.62
fee: $5.39
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$222.53
ROI
-76.5%
Volume
$364.62
fee: $5.39
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
-$30.70
-29.7%
$179.50
fee: $3.20
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$30.70
ROI
-29.7%
Volume
$179.50
fee: $3.20
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
-$30.69
-102.8%
$29.85
fee: $0.85
No
2mo ago
No
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$30.69
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$29.85
fee: $0.85
P
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$201.22
+49.4%
$412.91
fee: $2.51
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$201.22
ROI
+49.4%
Volume
$412.91
fee: $2.51
soccer-fifwc
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
-$283.70
-98.9%
$297.12
fee: $3.58
Morocco
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Morocco
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$283.70
ROI
-98.9%
Volume
$297.12
fee: $3.58
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
+$42.25
+1.7%
$5.01K
fee: $11.63
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$42.25
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$5.01K
fee: $11.63
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
-$5.55
-86.5%
$7.46
fee: $0.17
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.55
ROI
-86.5%
Volume
$7.46
fee: $0.17
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
+$36.92
+19.5%
$417.34
fee: $2.52
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$36.92
ROI
+19.5%
Volume
$417.34
fee: $2.52
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
+$37.49
+41.4%
$219.92
fee: $1.29
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$37.49
ROI
+41.4%
Volume
$219.92
fee: $1.29
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?
+$1.54
+8.4%
$18.40
fee: $0.06
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.54
ROI
+8.4%
Volume
$18.40
fee: $0.06
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
-$1.45
-103.7%
$1.40
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.45
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$1.40
fee: $0.05
second-best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$2.37
-103.8%
$2.28
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.37
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$2.28
fee: $0.09
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$2.29
-103.9%
$2.20
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.29
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$2.20
fee: $0.08
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$21.62
fee: $0.82
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$21.62
fee: $0.82
who-will-meet-with-iran
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
-$168.16
-84.9%
$228.03
No
2mo ago
who-will-meet-with-iran
No
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$168.16
ROI
-84.9%
Volume
$228.03
173 Markets
•
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