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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
B0
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$250.64
B0192i39041
B0192i39041
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Created
July 31, 2026
Active
August 8, 2026
Balance
$0.00
Incoming
+$999.50
Rewards
+$236.04
Outgoing
-$739.72
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 229
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?
-$1.89
-9.1%
$38.35
fee: $0.24
Yes
3mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.89
ROI
-9.1%
Volume
$38.35
fee: $0.24
P
Will "Widow's Bay" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?
-$1.98
-10.0%
$37.63
fee: $0.01
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will "Widow's Bay" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.98
ROI
-10.0%
Volume
$37.63
fee: $0.01
P
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
-$0.22
-37.4%
$0.97
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$0.22
ROI
-37.4%
Volume
$0.97
fee: $0.01
xagusd-hit-month
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?
+$1.20
+32.1%
$11.21
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
xagusd-hit-month
Yes
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$11.21
fee: $0.01
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
-$0.82
-19.1%
$7.25
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.82
ROI
-19.1%
Volume
$7.25
fee: $0.03
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
+$0.07
+0.8%
$16.08
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$16.08
fee: $0.01
livebench-overall-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
-$0.38
-8.3%
$9.65
fee: $0.03
Yes
3mo ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-8.3%
Volume
$9.65
fee: $0.03
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
-$0.20
-6.8%
$6.53
fee: $0.02
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-6.8%
Volume
$6.53
fee: $0.02
us-x-china-tariff-agreement
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?
-$3.27
-81.7%
$4.76
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
us-x-china-tariff-agreement
No
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.27
ROI
-81.7%
Volume
$4.76
fee: $0.03
P
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
+$0.05
+0.4%
$30.08
fee: $0.03
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+0.4%
Volume
$30.08
fee: $0.03
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
-$0.76
-3.1%
$48.06
fee: $0.02
Yes
3mo ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$0.76
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$48.06
fee: $0.02
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
-$1.18
-65.8%
$2.44
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
No
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$1.18
ROI
-65.8%
Volume
$2.44
fee: $0.02
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
-$2.62
-25.3%
$17.61
fee: $0.02
Active
3mo ago
Active
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.62
ROI
-25.3%
Volume
$17.61
fee: $0.02
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$10.05
-89.7%
$12.40
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.05
ROI
-89.7%
Volume
$12.40
fee: $0.05
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
-$1.80
-64.3%
$3.80
fee: $0.04
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-64.3%
Volume
$3.80
fee: $0.04
Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
-$0.87
-14.1%
$11.06
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.87
ROI
-14.1%
Volume
$11.06
fee: $0.03
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
+$0.46
+2.9%
$32.05
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$32.05
fee: $0.03
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
+$0.16
+0.4%
$72.04
No
3mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+0.4%
Volume
$72.04
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
-$0.92
-0.8%
$221.08
Active
3mo ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.92
ROI
-0.8%
Volume
$221.08
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
-$1.46
-48.6%
$4.60
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
No
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.46
ROI
-48.6%
Volume
$4.60
fee: $0.06
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by August 31, 2026?
-$2.12
-62.5%
$9.46
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-62.5%
Volume
$9.46
fee: $0.03
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
—
—
$20.00
fee: $0.03
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.03
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
-$1.20
-23.4%
$8.46
fee: $0.05
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-23.4%
Volume
$8.46
fee: $0.05
P
Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?
-$9.38
-33.0%
$47.53
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.38
ROI
-33.0%
Volume
$47.53
fee: $0.03
P
perplexity-valuation
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by August 31?
+$1.18
+28.2%
$9.61
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
P
perplexity-valuation
No
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.18
ROI
+28.2%
Volume
$9.61
fee: $0.02
P
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
-$2.00
-43.5%
$7.20
fee: $0.09
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-43.5%
Volume
$7.20
fee: $0.09
P
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
+$0.15
+1.2%
$24.20
fee: $0.05
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$24.20
fee: $0.05
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$0.10
-3.6%
$5.45
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
No
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-3.6%
Volume
$5.45
fee: $0.05
P
bank-of-japan
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-$0.25
-7.5%
$7.59
fee: $0.09
No
3mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
No
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-7.5%
Volume
$7.59
fee: $0.09
P
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
-$0.55
-4.4%
$28.45
fee: $0.08
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.55
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$28.45
fee: $0.08
P
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$0.40
-10.3%
$9.60
fee: $0.11
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-10.3%
Volume
$9.60
fee: $0.11
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
-$0.20
-5.1%
$9.80
fee: $0.09
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-5.1%
Volume
$9.80
fee: $0.09
inflation-canada-annual
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
+$0.09
+2.7%
$10.09
fee: $0.11
Active
3mo ago
inflation-canada-annual
Active
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$10.09
fee: $0.11
chinese-ai-3
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$0.07
-1.8%
$6.66
fee: $0.06
Yes
3mo ago
chinese-ai-3
Yes
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$6.66
fee: $0.06
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
-$2.00
-19.0%
$18.00
fee: $0.12
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-19.0%
Volume
$18.00
fee: $0.12
P
Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
-$0.52
-11.6%
$9.60
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.52
ROI
-11.6%
Volume
$9.60
fee: $0.12
chinese-ai-3
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$0.20
-4.6%
$9.90
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
chinese-ai-3
No
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-4.6%
Volume
$9.90
fee: $0.10
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
-$0.92
-5.9%
$29.01
fee: $0.12
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.92
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$29.01
fee: $0.12
P
rtx-5090-rental-price
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
-$0.40
-8.7%
$9.70
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
P
rtx-5090-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-8.7%
Volume
$9.70
fee: $0.10
critical-cloudflare-incident
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$10.00
No
3mo ago
critical-cloudflare-incident
No
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
—
—
$10.00
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
-$0.51
-4.8%
$19.59
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.51
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$19.59
fee: $0.10
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
-$0.06
-1.2%
$9.95
fee: $0.12
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$9.95
fee: $0.12
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
-$0.75
-7.1%
$19.37
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
fed-3-parlay
Yes
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.75
ROI
-7.1%
Volume
$19.37
fee: $0.12
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
-$0.20
-3.8%
$9.72
fee: $0.10
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$9.72
fee: $0.10
hood-hit-month
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
-$3.56
-40.4%
$16.60
fee: $0.16
No
3mo ago
hood-hit-month
No
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.56
ROI
-40.4%
Volume
$16.60
fee: $0.16
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
-$0.60
-10.2%
$9.40
fee: $0.12
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-10.2%
Volume
$9.40
fee: $0.12
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
-$0.22
-0.6%
$79.50
fee: $0.12
Active
3mo ago
Active
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.22
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$79.50
fee: $0.12
P
grok-web-outage
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
-$0.30
-5.4%
$9.80
fee: $0.10
Yes
3mo ago
P
grok-web-outage
Yes
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-5.4%
Volume
$9.80
fee: $0.10
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
-$0.65
-6.4%
$19.35
fee: $0.10
Active
3mo ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.65
ROI
-6.4%
Volume
$19.35
fee: $0.10
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
—
—
$10.00
fee: $0.10
Active
3mo ago
Active
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.10
P
median-home-price-austin
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?
-$0.12
-1.9%
$10.00
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
P
median-home-price-austin
Yes
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-1.9%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.12
inflation-canada-annual
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
-$9.83
-63.8%
$20.97
fee: $0.25
Active
3mo ago
inflation-canada-annual
Active
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$9.83
ROI
-63.8%
Volume
$20.97
fee: $0.25
P
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
-$1.27
-16.6%
$18.73
fee: $0.22
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.27
ROI
-16.6%
Volume
$18.73
fee: $0.22
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
-$0.38
-5.7%
$12.97
fee: $0.13
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$12.97
fee: $0.13
P
mexico-gdp
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
-$2.22
-25.8%
$15.20
fee: $0.22
No
3mo ago
P
mexico-gdp
No
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$2.22
ROI
-25.8%
Volume
$15.20
fee: $0.22
neurolink-valuation
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
-$0.91
-7.0%
$24.57
fee: $0.15
Active
3mo ago
neurolink-valuation
Active
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.91
ROI
-7.0%
Volume
$24.57
fee: $0.15
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
-$9.06
-8.1%
$217.45
fee: $0.17
No
3mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.06
ROI
-8.1%
Volume
$217.45
fee: $0.17
Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?
-$1.39
-6.6%
$43.60
fee: $0.19
No
3mo ago
No
Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.39
ROI
-6.6%
Volume
$43.60
fee: $0.19
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
-$0.87
-7.6%
$19.13
Active
3mo ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.87
ROI
-7.6%
Volume
$19.13
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
-$0.05
-0.3%
$39.94
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$39.94
P
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
-$1.40
-8.5%
$31.40
fee: $0.15
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-8.5%
Volume
$31.40
fee: $0.15
P
median-home-price-miami
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
-$2.05
-9.8%
$48.40
fee: $0.45
No
3mo ago
P
median-home-price-miami
No
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.05
ROI
-9.8%
Volume
$48.40
fee: $0.45
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
-$4.00
-16.0%
$46.00
fee: $0.85
Active
3mo ago
Active
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.00
ROI
-16.0%
Volume
$46.00
fee: $0.85
lambda-valuation
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?
-$3.00
-10.9%
$52.50
fee: $0.50
Yes
3mo ago
lambda-valuation
Yes
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-10.9%
Volume
$52.50
fee: $0.50
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
-$0.50
-1.8%
$54.50
fee: $0.62
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$54.50
fee: $0.62
P
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
-$2.01
-51.1%
$5.94
fee: $0.07
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$2.01
ROI
-51.1%
Volume
$5.94
fee: $0.07
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
-$2.71
-59.0%
$7.40
fee: $0.11
No
3mo ago
No
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.71
ROI
-59.0%
Volume
$7.40
fee: $0.11
ukraine-strikes-in-caspian-sea
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?
+$0.91
+14.0%
$13.85
No
3mo ago
ukraine-strikes-in-caspian-sea
No
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+14.0%
Volume
$13.85
P
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?
-$1.83
-32.6%
$9.50
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.83
ROI
-32.6%
Volume
$9.50
fee: $0.13
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
-$2.67
-13.3%
$37.78
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.67
ROI
-13.3%
Volume
$37.78
fee: $0.12
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
-$1.90
-14.6%
$28.10
Yes
3mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90
ROI
-14.6%
Volume
$28.10
P
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
-$2.35
-12.7%
$36.16
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.35
ROI
-12.7%
Volume
$36.16
P
grok-web-outage
Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026?
-$0.72
-2.0%
$72.47
No
3mo ago
P
grok-web-outage
No
Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.72
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$72.47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
-$3.90
-65.0%
$6.10
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.90
ROI
-65.0%
Volume
$6.10
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
-$2.00
-11.1%
$38.00
No
3mo ago
spacex-starship-flight-test
No
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-11.1%
Volume
$38.00
P
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
+$0.27
+3.0%
$18.87
Yes
3mo ago
P
bank-of-brazil-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$18.87
coin-hit-month
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 in August?
+$1.60
+18.2%
$21.60
No
3mo ago
coin-hit-month
No
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.60
ROI
+18.2%
Volume
$21.60
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
-$0.60
-16.2%
$9.40
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-16.2%
Volume
$9.40
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
-$2.93
-22.7%
$24.09
Yes
3mo ago
P
box-office-total-gross
Yes
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.93
ROI
-22.7%
Volume
$24.09
P
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
+$0.13
+0.5%
$50.13
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$50.13
gdp-quarterly
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
-$1.40
-25.5%
$8.60
Yes
3mo ago
gdp-quarterly
Yes
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-25.5%
Volume
$8.60
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
—
—
$9.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.00
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$6.01
-4.7%
$247.20
No
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.01
ROI
-4.7%
Volume
$247.20
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?
+$0.52
+0.6%
$163.62
No
3mo ago
No
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$163.62
P
leavitt-next-briefing
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
-$13.50
-39.1%
$55.49
No
3mo ago
P
leavitt-next-briefing
No
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$13.50
ROI
-39.1%
Volume
$55.49
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
-$0.94
-3.7%
$49.06
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.94
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$49.06
P
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?
-$0.00
-0.0%
$46.20
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$46.20
measles
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
+$0.20
+1.0%
$40.20
Yes
3mo ago
measles
Yes
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$40.20
rocket-lab-hit-price-monthly
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
-$2.80
-26.7%
$27.20
No
3mo ago
rocket-lab-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.80
ROI
-26.7%
Volume
$27.20
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
-$0.58
-2.7%
$39.24
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.58
ROI
-2.7%
Volume
$39.24
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
-$0.89
-5.8%
$29.10
No
3mo ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.89
ROI
-5.8%
Volume
$29.10
P
StripChain FDV above $100M one day after launch?
-$0.05
-1.8%
$4.95
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
StripChain FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$4.95
P
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
-$0.20
-4.0%
$9.80
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$9.80
P
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
-$4.60
-47.9%
$14.60
No
3mo ago
P
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
No
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$4.60
ROI
-47.9%
Volume
$14.60
spy-hit-month
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
-$1.53
-15.4%
$18.47
No
3mo ago
spy-hit-month
No
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.53
ROI
-15.4%
Volume
$18.47
yearly-ipos
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
—
—
$10.00
Active
3mo ago
yearly-ipos
Active
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
-$0.50
-3.6%
$29.50
No
3mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-3.6%
Volume
$29.50
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
+$0.32
+1.3%
$51.49
Yes
3mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Yes
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.32
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$51.49
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
-$0.50
-2.9%
$34.50
Active
3mo ago
Active
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-2.9%
Volume
$34.50
229 Markets
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