mi
midnightoctopusmidnightoctop...
Created October 25, 2025
Active September 19, 2026
Balance$1.62K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL-$126.87
Aug 20
Aug 28
Sep 4
Sep 12
Sep 19
Top Categories
Last 30 DaysFinance+$84.34
WR: 33.3%(1/3)
ROI: +5.3%
Tech+$22.07
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: +19.1%
Crypto-$1.54
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: -0.1%
Elections-$4.13
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: -2.0%
Geopolitics-$60.21
WR: 40.0%(2/5)
ROI: -0.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 DaysMaker Volume$32.45K
96.5%
Taker Volume$1.18K
3.5%
Taker Ratio
4%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$54.11
ROI
-1.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$11.46K
Fee
$24.16
0 Wins in 3 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$58.61
ROI
-0.7%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$16.93K
Fee
$24.16
0 Wins in 4 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$49.91
ROI
0.4%
Win Rate
42.9%
Volume
$26.45K
Fee
$63.50
3 Wins in 7 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$126.87
ROI
-0.8%
Win Rate
35.7%
Volume
$33.63K
Fee
$88.67
5 Wins in 14 Markets
Recent Markets | total 95
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?-$2.27
-0.1%
fee: $14.02
Active
3h ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Active 3h ago
PnL-$2.27
ROI-0.1%
Volumefee: $14.02
PnL-$7.02
ROI-2.3%
Volumefee: $4.08
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?-$44.82
-2.0%
fee: $6.05
Active
19h ago
PnL-$44.82
ROI-2.0%
Volumefee: $6.05
PnL-$4.50
ROI-0.2%
Volume
PnL+$91.36
ROI+11.1%
Volumefee: $12.17
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?+$14.20
+0.4%
fee: $27.03
Active
6d ago
PnL+$14.20
ROI+0.4%
Volumefee: $27.03
PnL+$2.96
ROI+4.6%
Volumefee: $0.14
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $3.91
-$167.40
-13.2%
fee: $7.40
Yes
8d ago
fomc
Yes
Settled 2d ago
PnL-$167.40
ROI-13.2%
Volumefee: $7.40
PnL+$5.00
ROI+0.6%
Volumefee: $4.17
PnL-$4.13
ROI-2.0%
Volumefee: $1.01
second-best-ai-company
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?-$2.67
-2.4%
fee: $0.26
Yes
22d ago
second-best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 18d ago
PnL-$2.67
ROI-2.4%
Volumefee: $0.26
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?-$32.32
-4.1%
fee: $8.04
Active
23d ago
PnL-$32.32
ROI-4.1%
Volumefee: $8.04
second-best-ai-company
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?+$24.73
+374.7%
fee: $0.37
No
28d ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$24.73
ROI+374.7%
Volumefee: $0.37
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?-$27.49
-0.6%
fee: $34.41
No
1mo ago
PnL-$27.49
ROI-0.6%
Volumefee: $34.41
P
PnL+$1.10
ROI+1.2%
Volumefee: $0.90
PnL-$48.02
ROI-62.9%
Volumefee: $1.28
P
PnL+$0.83
ROI+0.3%
Volumefee: $3.18
P
PnL-$5.90
ROI-0.7%
Volumefee: $7.39
P
PnL+$3.45
ROI+3.6%
Volumefee: $0.99
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?-$4.75
-1.0%
fee: $4.75
Yes
1mo ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$4.75
ROI-1.0%
Volumefee: $4.75
+$5.21
+0.2%
fee: $24.60
Yes
1mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$5.21
ROI+0.2%
Volumefee: $24.60
+$45.99
+1.9%
fee: $20.10
Yes
1mo ago
PnL+$45.99
ROI+1.9%
Volumefee: $20.10
PnL-$51.08
ROI-21.9%
Volumefee: $2.08
PnL-$0.01
ROI-0.0%
Volumefee: $0.99
PnL-$51.60
ROI-103.2%
Volumefee: $1.60
PnL+$66.60
ROI+83.2%
Volumefee: $4.20
PnL-$10.36
ROI-103.6%
Volumefee: $0.36
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?-$36.44
-2.4%
Active
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Active 2mo ago
PnL-$36.44
ROI-2.4%
Volume
PnL-$24.99
ROI-35.9%
Volumefee: $1.71
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL-$20.44
ROI-102.2%
Volumefee: $0.44
PnL+$16.13
ROI+80.7%
Volumefee: $0.83
PnL-$36.57
ROI-73.1%
Volumefee: $1.16
PnL+$41.81
ROI+8.4%
Volumefee: $4.49
third-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?+$9.42
+13.3%
Yes
2mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$9.42
ROI+13.3%
Volume
PnL-$0.75
ROI-7.5%
Volumefee: $0.42
P
PnL-$15.39
ROI-102.6%
Volumefee: $0.39
PnL-$1.40
ROI-14.0%
Volumefee: $0.46
PnL+$120.21
ROI+40.1%
Volumefee: $20.52
PnL-$44.55
ROI-63.6%
Volumefee: $2.40
PnL+$3.24
ROI+1.6%
Volumefee: $3.67
PnL-$55.83
ROI-55.8%
Volumefee: $2.31
PnL-$4.07
ROI-4.1%
Volumefee: $2.41
PnL-$51.89
ROI-51.9%
Volumefee: $1.89
PnL+$22.39
ROI+22.4%
Volumefee: $1.49
PnL-$100.96
ROI-101.0%
Volumefee: $0.96
PnL+$40.23
ROI+80.5%
Volumefee: $0.67
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL+$42.51
ROI+74.9%
Volumefee: $0.74
PnL+$53.18
ROI+231.2%
Volumefee: $0.48
PnL+$73.17
ROI+7.3%
Volumefee: $2.10
PnL+$79.12
ROI+7.9%
Volumefee: $2.40
PnL-$5.92
ROI-11.2%
Volumefee: $2.60
PnL+$125.53
ROI+62.8%
Volumefee: $2.34
PnL-$48.87
ROI-48.9%
Volumefee: $2.93
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?+$0.32
+0.0%
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$0.32
ROI+0.0%
Volume
PnL-$430.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL-$10.36
ROI-6.9%
Volumefee: $2.36
PnL+$1.30
ROI+10.4%
Volumefee: $1.20
second-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?+$19.00
+24.1%
Yes
2mo ago
second-best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$19.00
ROI+24.1%
Volume
PnL+$73.09
ROI+17.2%
Volumefee: $1.91
PnL-$2.12
ROI-13.7%
Volumefee: $0.62
+$25.40
+14.7%
Yes
2mo ago
PnL+$25.40
ROI+14.7%
Volume
PnL-$12.49
ROI-2.0%
Volumefee: $2.27
PnL+$7.87
ROI+9.5%
Volumefee: $0.63
PnL+$11.71
ROI+13.8%
Volumefee: $0.46
PnL+$13.00
ROI+5.0%
Volumefee: $6.04
PnL+$9.40
ROI+46.1%
Volumefee: $0.20
PnL-$24.03
ROI-101.0%
Volumefee: $0.23
PnL-$21.38
ROI-99.5%
Volumefee: $0.38
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?-$21.33
-12.3%
Yes
3mo ago
PnL-$21.33
ROI-12.3%
Volume
PnL+$27.27
ROI+136.4%
Volumefee: $0.35
PnL-$17.34
ROI-102.0%
Volumefee: $0.34
PnL-$19.79
ROI-1.4%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL+$34.00
ROI+1.5%
Volume
PnL+$84.59
ROI+8.6%
Volumefee: $1.98
PnL+$59.00
ROI+17.8%
Volume
PnL-$56.62
ROI-1.0%
Volume
+$39.69
+25.3%
fee: $0.11
Yes
3mo ago
PnL+$39.69
ROI+25.3%
Volumefee: $0.11
+$0.00
+0.0%
Yes
3mo ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volume
PnL+$45.65
ROI+7.3%
Volumefee: $1.00
second-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?+$21.99
+8.3%
Yes
4mo ago
second-best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 3mo ago
PnL+$21.99
ROI+8.3%
Volume
PnL-$28.99
ROI-43.3%
Volume
-$1.20
-0.4%
fee: $18.17
Active
4mo ago
PnL-$1.20
ROI-0.4%
Volumefee: $18.17
PnL-$7.01
ROI-35.0%
Volumefee: $0.45
PnL+$11.35
ROI+40.0%
Volumefee: $0.25
PnL-$14.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$9.85
ROI+24.6%
Volume
PnL-$1.40
ROI-0.3%
Volumefee: $26.54
PnL-$12.09
ROI-8.6%
Volumefee: $1.84
third-best-ai-company
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?-$8.50
-100.0%
Yes
4mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$8.50
ROI-100.0%
Volume
second-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?-$0.58
-100.0%
Yes
4mo ago
second-best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 4mo ago
PnL-$0.58
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$0.20
ROI+1.2%
Volumefee: $0.10
95 Markets