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PolyPnL
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Weighted Vol:
$33.56
Ultimus1
Ultimus1
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Created
January 8, 2026
Active
August 9, 2026
Balance
$13.40
Incoming
+$100.78
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 13
Aug 21
Aug 28
Sep 5
Sep 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 28
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$10.33
-103.3%
$10.00
fee: $0.33
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.33
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.33
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
-$11.69
-106.3%
$11.00
fee: $0.69
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$11.69
ROI
-106.3%
Volume
$11.00
fee: $0.69
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
—
—
$1.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
—
—
$3.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.00
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
-$1.03
-102.8%
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.03
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
-$5.31
-106.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.31
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.31
ROI
-106.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.31
eth-up-or-down-5m
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
-$2.13
-106.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.13
Down
1mo ago
eth-up-or-down-5m
Down
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.13
ROI
-106.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.13
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
+$0.01
+0.9%
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
btc-up-or-down-daily
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
+$1.39
+27.9%
$5.00
fee: $0.08
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-daily
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.39
ROI
+27.9%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$1.54
+30.9%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.54
ROI
+30.9%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
-$10.00
-100.0%
$10.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$10.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.00
P
trump-weekly-mentions
Will Trump say "Melania" this week?
-$1.01
-101.2%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
trump-weekly-mentions
No
Will Trump say "Melania" this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-101.2%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
P
trump-weekly-mentions
Will Trump say "First Lady" this week?
-$1.01
-100.6%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
trump-weekly-mentions
No
Will Trump say "First Lady" this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
P
trump-weekly-mentions
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
-$3.03
-101.0%
$3.00
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
P
trump-weekly-mentions
No
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.03
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$3.00
fee: $0.03
P
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
-$3.03
-100.9%
$3.00
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
P
best-ai-model
No
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.03
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$3.00
fee: $0.03
P
rogan-mentions
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?
+$0.13
+13.2%
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
rogan-mentions
Yes
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
-$8.00
-100.0%
$8.00
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$8.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$8.00
P
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
-$3.00
-100.0%
$3.00
No
1mo ago
No
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.00
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
+$1.35
+44.9%
$3.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.35
ROI
+44.9%
Volume
$3.00
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
P
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
-$3.00
-100.0%
$3.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.00
P
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
P
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
—
—
$5.00
Active
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$1.76
+17.6%
$10.00
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
+$1.76
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$10.00
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
—
—
$3.00
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.00
28 Markets