P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
Ma
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$10.06
ManualMan
ManualMan
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
June 3, 2026
Active
August 31, 2026
Balance
$22.08
Incoming
+$15.00
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$1.48
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 18
Aug 26
Sep 2
Sep 10
Sep 17
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$1.22
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +81.3%
Politics
-$2.70
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -90.0%
Geopolitics
-$2.70
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -90.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$7.22
96.0%
Taker Volume
$0.30
4.0%
Taker Ratio
4%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$1.48
ROI
-32.9%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$7.52
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 2 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 128
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
-$2.70
-90.0%
$3.30
No
16d ago
P
No
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$2.70
ROI
-90.0%
Volume
$3.30
chinese-ai-1
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$1.22
+81.3%
$4.22
No
28d ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$1.22
ROI
+81.3%
Volume
$4.22
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
+$1.13
+39.4%
$6.96
Active
1mo ago
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.13
ROI
+39.4%
Volume
$6.96
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
+$2.01
+72.8%
$7.53
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$2.01
ROI
+72.8%
Volume
$7.53
trump-putin-meet-where
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
+$0.21
+14.3%
$3.15
Active
1mo ago
trump-putin-meet-where
Active
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+14.3%
Volume
$3.15
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
+$0.39
+13.1%
$6.31
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
No
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$6.31
fee: $0.04
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
-$1.02
-32.7%
$5.22
No
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-32.7%
Volume
$5.22
mrbeast-views-week-1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
+$1.45
+100.0%
$4.35
No
1mo ago
mrbeast-views-week-1
No
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.45
ROI
+100.0%
Volume
$4.35
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
+$0.81
+73.0%
$3.04
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.81
ROI
+73.0%
Volume
$3.04
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+$1.30
+44.4%
$7.16
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.30
ROI
+44.4%
Volume
$7.16
Iran leadership change by August 15?
-$3.00
-100.0%
$3.00
No
1mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.00
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$0.90
+60.0%
$3.90
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.90
ROI
+60.0%
Volume
$3.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?
-$1.10
-18.5%
$10.76
No
1mo ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$1.10
ROI
-18.5%
Volume
$10.76
abraham-accords-new-member
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
+$0.11
+53.8%
$0.52
No
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-member
No
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+53.8%
Volume
$0.52
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
-$2.99
-100.0%
$2.99
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$2.99
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.99
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
-$1.69
-56.3%
$4.31
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$1.69
ROI
-56.3%
Volume
$4.31
best-math-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$1.08
+72.0%
$4.08
No
1mo ago
best-math-ai
No
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+72.0%
Volume
$4.08
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?
-$0.99
-100.0%
$0.99
No
1mo ago
P
box-office-total-gross
No
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.99
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?
+$0.33
+43.6%
$1.87
No
1mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+43.6%
Volume
$1.87
P
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$1.08
+72.0%
$4.08
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+72.0%
Volume
$4.08
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
—
—
$3.00
Active
1mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.00
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
-$0.38
-25.0%
$2.63
fee: $0.06
Active
1mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
Active
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-25.0%
Volume
$2.63
fee: $0.06
P
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?
-$0.81
-27.7%
$5.07
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.81
ROI
-27.7%
Volume
$5.07
fee: $0.02
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
-$0.36
-24.0%
$2.64
fee: $0.04
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.36
ROI
-24.0%
Volume
$2.64
fee: $0.04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?
-$0.97
-40.6%
$3.81
No
1mo ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.97
ROI
-40.6%
Volume
$3.81
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$0.07
-31.5%
$0.36
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
No
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-31.5%
Volume
$0.36
fee: $0.01
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
-$0.75
-50.0%
$2.25
fee: $0.04
Active
1mo ago
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.75
ROI
-50.0%
Volume
$2.25
fee: $0.04
highest-grossing-movie
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
-$1.35
-80.4%
$2.01
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
highest-grossing-movie
Active
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.35
ROI
-80.4%
Volume
$2.01
fee: $0.01
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$0.63
-21.4%
$5.25
fee: $0.09
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.63
ROI
-21.4%
Volume
$5.25
fee: $0.09
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$0.45
-55.6%
$1.17
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-55.6%
Volume
$1.17
next-leader-out
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
+$0.23
+56.0%
$1.07
Active
1mo ago
next-leader-out
Active
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+56.0%
Volume
$1.07
seoul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?
+$1.46
+25.1%
$13.12
No
1mo ago
seoul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.46
ROI
+25.1%
Volume
$13.12
shenzhen-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?
-$0.75
-17.3%
$7.91
No
1mo ago
shenzhen-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.75
ROI
-17.3%
Volume
$7.91
cape-town-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 2?
+$0.30
+20.0%
$3.30
No
1mo ago
cape-town-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$3.30
paris-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2?
-$0.25
-16.7%
$2.75
No
1mo ago
paris-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$2.75
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
+$0.07
+61.9%
$0.28
No
1mo ago
No
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+61.9%
Volume
$0.28
busan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 2?
-$1.24
-86.7%
$1.62
No
1mo ago
busan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.24
ROI
-86.7%
Volume
$1.62
guangzhou-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 2?
-$1.33
-88.8%
$1.67
No
1mo ago
guangzhou-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-88.8%
Volume
$1.67
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 2?
+$1.10
+73.3%
$4.10
No
1mo ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+73.3%
Volume
$4.10
tokyo-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
tokyo-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
wellington-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 2?
-$1.44
-100.0%
$1.44
No
1mo ago
wellington-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.44
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.44
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
+$0.19
+61.3%
$0.79
No
1mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+61.3%
Volume
$0.79
hong-kong-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on August 2?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?
+$0.64
+98.9%
$1.94
No
1mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+98.9%
Volume
$1.94
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$3.99
Active
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.99
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
-$0.66
-66.7%
$1.32
No
1mo ago
No
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.66
ROI
-66.7%
Volume
$1.32
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
+$0.03
+20.8%
$0.27
Active
1mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
Active
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+20.8%
Volume
$0.27
P
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
-$0.52
-36.4%
$2.34
No
1mo ago
P
No
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.52
ROI
-36.4%
Volume
$2.34
P
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
+$1.06
+52.9%
$5.06
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.06
ROI
+52.9%
Volume
$5.06
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$0.57
-33.3%
$2.86
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-33.3%
Volume
$2.86
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
-$0.77
-84.6%
$1.05
No
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.77
ROI
-84.6%
Volume
$1.05
P
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
-$0.81
-81.8%
$1.17
No
1mo ago
P
No
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.81
ROI
-81.8%
Volume
$1.17
P
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?
-$0.88
-44.0%
$3.12
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.88
ROI
-44.0%
Volume
$3.12
P
warships
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.05
+5.9%
$1.75
No
1mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$1.75
putin-out-as-president
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
+$0.20
+22.0%
$2.07
No
1mo ago
putin-out-as-president
No
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+22.0%
Volume
$2.07
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
-$0.40
-40.0%
$1.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-40.0%
Volume
$1.60
best-ai-company
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$0.20
-62.5%
$0.44
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-62.5%
Volume
$0.44
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
-$0.05
-4.5%
$1.94
No
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-4.5%
Volume
$1.94
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$0.23
+16.9%
$2.99
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+16.9%
Volume
$2.99
P
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
+$0.52
+28.3%
$4.16
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+28.3%
Volume
$4.16
Iran leadership change by July 31?
-$0.56
-60.9%
$1.28
No
1mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.56
ROI
-60.9%
Volume
$1.28
P
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
+$1.44
+72.1%
$5.42
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.44
ROI
+72.1%
Volume
$5.42
chinese-ai-1
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$0.48
+63.9%
$1.96
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+63.9%
Volume
$1.96
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by July 31?
+$0.64
+74.8%
$2.35
No
1mo ago
netanyahu-out
No
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+74.8%
Volume
$2.35
bank-of-mexico-decision
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?
+$0.81
+74.0%
$2.99
No
1mo ago
bank-of-mexico-decision
No
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.81
ROI
+74.0%
Volume
$2.99
xauusd-hit-month
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
-$0.02
-100.0%
$0.02
No
1mo ago
xauusd-hit-month
No
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.02
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$0.55
+41.7%
$3.24
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.55
ROI
+41.7%
Volume
$3.24
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
+$0.82
+67.9%
$3.22
No
1mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+67.9%
Volume
$3.22
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
+$0.39
+13.1%
$6.37
No
1mo ago
spacex-starship-flight-test
No
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$6.37
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
-$1.84
-43.6%
$6.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.84
ROI
-43.6%
Volume
$6.60
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
-$0.51
-12.7%
$7.49
No
1mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.51
ROI
-12.7%
Volume
$7.49
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
-$0.52
-52.5%
$1.50
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.52
ROI
-52.5%
Volume
$1.50
fee: $0.02
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?
-$0.00
-100.0%
$0.00
No
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.00
xauusd-hit-month
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
-$0.01
-100.0%
$0.01
No
1mo ago
xauusd-hit-month
No
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.01
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
+$1.98
+52.3%
$9.56
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.98
ROI
+52.3%
Volume
$9.56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
+$0.47
+23.9%
$4.41
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+23.9%
Volume
$4.41
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+$0.46
+45.4%
$2.50
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+45.4%
Volume
$2.50
fee: $0.00
P
databricks-valuation
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?
-$1.39
-97.5%
$1.47
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
P
databricks-valuation
No
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.39
ROI
-97.5%
Volume
$1.47
fee: $0.00
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
-$1.03
-68.8%
$1.99
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.03
ROI
-68.8%
Volume
$1.99
fee: $0.02
measles
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
-$0.93
-62.2%
$2.09
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
measles
No
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.93
ROI
-62.2%
Volume
$2.09
fee: $0.02
shanghai-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?
-$0.78
-63.2%
$1.72
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
shanghai-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.78
ROI
-63.2%
Volume
$1.72
fee: $0.02
third-best-ai-company
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$1.26
-84.0%
$1.75
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
No
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.26
ROI
-84.0%
Volume
$1.75
fee: $0.01
P
5-5-earthquake
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
-$1.50
-99.8%
$1.50
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
P
5-5-earthquake
No
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-99.8%
Volume
$1.50
fee: $0.00
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?
-$0.06
-16.7%
$0.67
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$0.67
fee: $0.01
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
-$0.60
-48.4%
$1.88
No
1mo ago
No
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-48.4%
Volume
$1.88
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?
-$1.20
-79.8%
$1.80
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-79.8%
Volume
$1.80
P
box-office-openings
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?
+$1.56
+56.9%
$7.04
No
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.56
ROI
+56.9%
Volume
$7.04
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$1.24
-100.0%
$1.24
No
2mo ago
No
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.24
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.24
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
2mo ago
No
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
pga-tour
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship?
-$1.31
-91.4%
$1.56
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
pga-tour
No
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.31
ROI
-91.4%
Volume
$1.56
fee: $0.01
tel-aviv-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 19?
+$1.05
+78.9%
$3.71
No
2mo ago
tel-aviv-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+78.9%
Volume
$3.71
P
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?
+$1.20
+80.0%
$4.20
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+80.0%
Volume
$4.20
P
5-5-earthquake
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
-$0.83
-55.5%
$2.17
No
2mo ago
P
5-5-earthquake
No
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.83
ROI
-55.5%
Volume
$2.17
pga-tour
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 The Open Championship?
+$0.36
+26.1%
$3.12
No
2mo ago
pga-tour
No
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 The Open Championship?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+26.1%
Volume
$3.12
pga-tour
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?
+$0.03
+12.8%
$0.43
No
2mo ago
pga-tour
No
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$0.43
chinese-ai-1
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$1.17
+81.8%
$4.03
No
2mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.17
ROI
+81.8%
Volume
$4.03
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?
+$1.25
+83.3%
$4.25
No
2mo ago
No
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.25
ROI
+83.3%
Volume
$4.25
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
-$1.14
-100.0%
$1.14
No
2mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.14
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.14
itf
ITF Krsko: Stefania Bojica vs Rose Marie Nijkamp
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
Rose Marie Nijkamp
2mo ago
itf
Rose Marie Nijkamp
ITF Krsko: Stefania Bojica vs Rose Marie Nijkamp
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
itf
ITF Wuning: Yan Cheng Chen vs Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
-$1.43
-100.0%
$1.43
Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
2mo ago
itf
Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
ITF Wuning: Yan Cheng Chen vs Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.43
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.43
128 Markets
•
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