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PolyPnL
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Stats
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
hp
Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$2.71K
hp210210
hp210210
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Created
August 5, 2026
Active
November 2, 2026
Balance
$250.67
Incoming
+$9.78K
Rewards
+$171.78
Outgoing
-$8.02K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$1.07K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 12
Oct 19
Oct 27
Nov 3
Nov 11
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Sports
+$976.68
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +35.2%
Soccer
+$976.68
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +35.2%
Politics
+$151.56
WR: 42.4%
(25/59)
ROI: +2.1%
Elections
+$47.71
WR: 70.0%
(7/10)
ROI: +10.5%
Crypto
+$36.57
WR: 71.4%
(5/7)
ROI: +19.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$13.41K
36.8%
Taker Volume
$23.04K
63.2%
Taker Ratio
63%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$1.07K
Rebate:
+$51.15
ROI
5.6%
Win Rate
53.0%
Volume
$36.45K
Fee
$103.40
87 Wins in 164 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 558
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
-$0.57
-52.8%
$1.77
fee: $0.06
Active
8d ago
P
Active
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-52.8%
Volume
$1.77
fee: $0.06
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
+$0.63
+700.0%
$0.81
fee: $0.03
Active
8d ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+700.0%
Volume
$0.81
fee: $0.03
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
-$1.74
-48.3%
$5.70
Active
8d ago
Active
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$1.74
ROI
-48.3%
Volume
$5.70
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
-$0.41
-5.6%
$14.53
Active
8d ago
nothing-ever-happens
Active
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$0.41
ROI
-5.6%
Volume
$14.53
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
-$3.60
-16.7%
$39.60
Active
8d ago
Active
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$3.60
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$39.60
P
how-high-5-year-treasury
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?
+$23.92
+34.5%
$162.78
fee: $1.62
Active
8d ago
P
how-high-5-year-treasury
Active
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$23.92
ROI
+34.5%
Volume
$162.78
fee: $1.62
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
+$6.35
+30.1%
$49.84
fee: $0.89
Active
8d ago
Active
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$6.35
ROI
+30.1%
Volume
$49.84
fee: $0.89
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?
-$85.80
-11.0%
$1.47K
fee: $3.90
Active
8d ago
Active
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$85.80
ROI
-11.0%
Volume
$1.47K
fee: $3.90
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+$0.68
+1.6%
$87.87
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.68
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$87.87
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
-$9.72
-75.0%
$16.20
fee: $0.44
Active
14d ago
Active
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$9.72
ROI
-75.0%
Volume
$16.20
fee: $0.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
-$3.09
-21.2%
$26.03
Active
14d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$3.09
ROI
-21.2%
Volume
$26.03
how-low-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?
+$0.09
+0.1%
$136.29
Active
14d ago
how-low-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$136.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
-$0.22
-4.5%
$9.46
Active
14d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$0.22
ROI
-4.5%
Volume
$9.46
P
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?
+$0.88
+22.6%
$7.68
No
14d ago
P
No
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$0.88
ROI
+22.6%
Volume
$7.68
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
+$0.05
+1.0%
$9.71
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$9.71
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
-$12.78
-35.8%
$58.95
Active
14d ago
Active
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$12.78
ROI
-35.8%
Volume
$58.95
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?
+$0.39
+7.1%
$11.31
No
14d ago
No
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$11.31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
-$3.69
-11.7%
$59.27
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$3.69
ROI
-11.7%
Volume
$59.27
P
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
+$9.09
+22.5%
$87.37
No
14d ago
P
No
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$9.09
ROI
+22.5%
Volume
$87.37
P
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?
-$0.08
-0.2%
$81.90
fee: $0.05
Active
14d ago
P
Active
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$81.90
fee: $0.05
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
-$1.16
-13.3%
$16.24
fee: $0.24
Active
14d ago
Active
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$1.16
ROI
-13.3%
Volume
$16.24
fee: $0.24
P
10-year-treasur
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?
+$2.12
+36.8%
$13.64
No
14d ago
P
10-year-treasur
No
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$2.12
ROI
+36.8%
Volume
$13.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
+$0.36
+4.7%
$15.72
Active
14d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+4.7%
Volume
$15.72
iran-npt-withdrawal
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
-$4.56
-12.5%
$68.71
Active
14d ago
iran-npt-withdrawal
Active
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$4.56
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$68.71
P
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
+$1.42
+18.0%
$17.22
Active
14d ago
P
Active
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$1.42
ROI
+18.0%
Volume
$17.22
how-low-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.9% before 2027?
-$0.70
-6.6%
$20.58
Yes
14d ago
how-low-10-year-treasury
Yes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.9% before 2027?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$0.70
ROI
-6.6%
Volume
$20.58
trump-putin-meet-where
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
-$16.53
-59.2%
$39.33
Active
14d ago
trump-putin-meet-where
Active
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$16.53
ROI
-59.2%
Volume
$39.33
how-low-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?
+$2.58
+15.7%
$70.80
Active
14d ago
how-low-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$2.58
ROI
+15.7%
Volume
$70.80
P
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
-$0.56
-3.7%
$29.68
Active
14d ago
P
Active
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$0.56
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$29.68
hyperliquid-hit-price-monthly
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
+$2.64
+21.4%
$27.28
fee: $0.07
Active
14d ago
hyperliquid-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$2.64
ROI
+21.4%
Volume
$27.28
fee: $0.07
P
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?
-$24.61
-62.2%
$54.57
Active
14d ago
P
Active
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$24.61
ROI
-62.2%
Volume
$54.57
china-x-philippines-clash
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
-$10.18
-40.2%
$40.42
Active
14d ago
china-x-philippines-clash
Active
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$10.18
ROI
-40.2%
Volume
$40.42
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
+$4.40
+40.8%
$26.10
Active
14d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$4.40
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$26.10
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
+$11.10
+148.9%
$27.62
fee: $0.48
Active
14d ago
Active
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$11.10
ROI
+148.9%
Volume
$27.62
fee: $0.48
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?
-$0.04
-0.2%
$30.62
No
14d ago
No
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$30.62
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
-$4.62
-12.8%
$67.62
fee: $0.03
Active
14d ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$4.62
ROI
-12.8%
Volume
$67.62
fee: $0.03
P
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
+$3.15
+16.1%
$42.21
fee: $0.33
Active
14d ago
P
Active
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$3.15
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$42.21
fee: $0.33
P
how-low-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?
+$0.06
+0.3%
$36.82
Active
14d ago
P
how-low-2-year-treasury
Active
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$36.82
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
-$6.12
-23.1%
$46.80
fee: $0.05
Active
14d ago
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Active
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$6.12
ROI
-23.1%
Volume
$46.80
fee: $0.05
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
-$10.23
-18.1%
$102.07
No
14d ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
No
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$10.23
ROI
-18.1%
Volume
$102.07
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
+$0.82
+4.1%
$40.66
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$40.66
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?
+$14.36
+197.3%
$28.92
fee: $1.11
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$14.36
ROI
+197.3%
Volume
$28.92
fee: $1.11
P
how-high-5-year-treasury
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
-$1.40
-6.2%
$44.28
Active
14d ago
P
how-high-5-year-treasury
Active
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-6.2%
Volume
$44.28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
-$63.99
-14.3%
$833.41
Active
14d ago
Active
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$63.99
ROI
-14.3%
Volume
$833.41
how-high-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
+$42.78
+35.3%
$441.02
fee: $9.68
Active
14d ago
how-high-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$42.78
ROI
+35.3%
Volume
$441.02
fee: $9.68
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
-$10.51
-23.4%
$79.85
Active
14d ago
Active
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$10.51
ROI
-23.4%
Volume
$79.85
P
how-low-30-year-treasury
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?
+$7.14
+45.9%
$38.22
Active
14d ago
P
how-low-30-year-treasury
Active
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$7.14
ROI
+45.9%
Volume
$38.22
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
+$3.82
+16.1%
$51.38
fee: $0.60
Active
14d ago
pete-hegseth-out
Active
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$3.82
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$51.38
fee: $0.60
susie-wiles-out
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
-$7.72
-21.8%
$63.12
Yes
14d ago
susie-wiles-out
Yes
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$7.72
ROI
-21.8%
Volume
$63.12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
+$5.46
+17.4%
$68.22
fee: $0.60
Active
14d ago
Active
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$5.46
ROI
+17.4%
Volume
$68.22
fee: $0.60
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
+$26.36
+20.3%
$293.36
fee: $2.00
No
14d ago
No
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$26.36
ROI
+20.3%
Volume
$293.36
fee: $2.00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
+$8.12
+25.5%
$71.92
Yes
14d ago
Yes
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$8.12
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$71.92
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
+$9.28
+29.6%
$71.92
fee: $0.58
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$9.28
ROI
+29.6%
Volume
$71.92
fee: $0.58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
-$61.77
-15.5%
$736.50
Active
14d ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$61.77
ROI
-15.5%
Volume
$736.50
P
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?
+$1.48
+3.6%
$88.06
Active
14d ago
P
Active
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$1.48
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$88.06
P
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?
+$3.62
+7.4%
$102.03
fee: $0.11
No
14d ago
P
No
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$3.62
ROI
+7.4%
Volume
$102.03
fee: $0.11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
+$7.86
+18.2%
$94.43
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$7.86
ROI
+18.2%
Volume
$94.43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
+$44.38
+25.8%
$388.58
Active
14d ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$44.38
ROI
+25.8%
Volume
$388.58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$88.85
+5.6%
$2.98K
No
14d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$88.85
ROI
+5.6%
Volume
$2.98K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
+$14.15
+27.9%
$117.29
fee: $1.70
Yes
14d ago
Yes
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$14.15
ROI
+27.9%
Volume
$117.29
fee: $1.70
P
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?
+$20.48
+41.3%
$117.55
fee: $0.79
No
14d ago
P
No
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$20.48
ROI
+41.3%
Volume
$117.55
fee: $0.79
P
how-high-5-year-treasury
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
-$72.66
-40.1%
$396.48
fee: $5.40
Active
14d ago
P
how-high-5-year-treasury
Active
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$72.66
ROI
-40.1%
Volume
$396.48
fee: $5.40
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
-$131.58
-41.9%
$673.74
No
14d ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$131.58
ROI
-41.9%
Volume
$673.74
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?
+$3.10
+2.5%
$247.14
No
14d ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$3.10
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$247.14
P
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
+$4.99
+3.8%
$264.63
No
14d ago
P
No
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
Settled 3h ago
PnL
+$4.99
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$264.63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
+$13.64
+6.1%
$461.18
Yes
14d ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$13.64
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$461.18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
-$15.24
-19.4%
$536.69
No
14d ago
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$15.24
ROI
-19.4%
Volume
$536.69
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
+$27.78
+7.3%
$791.00
No
14d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$27.78
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$791.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+$976.68
+35.2%
$2.77K
fee: $22.02
Yes
15d ago
Yes
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$976.68
ROI
+35.2%
Volume
$2.77K
fee: $22.02
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
+$8.36
+30.2%
$63.80
fee: $0.41
Active
16d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$8.36
ROI
+30.2%
Volume
$63.80
fee: $0.41
P
how-high-30-year-treasury
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
-$17.02
-9.6%
$338.62
fee: $2.95
Active
16d ago
P
how-high-30-year-treasury
Active
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$17.02
ROI
-9.6%
Volume
$338.62
fee: $2.95
P
how-low-5-year-treasury
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
-$9.03
-17.2%
$96.05
Active
16d ago
P
how-low-5-year-treasury
Active
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$9.03
ROI
-17.2%
Volume
$96.05
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
+$6.00
+15.4%
$84.00
Active
16d ago
Active
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$6.00
ROI
+15.4%
Volume
$84.00
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
+$13.34
+40.4%
$79.46
fee: $0.57
Active
16d ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$13.34
ROI
+40.4%
Volume
$79.46
fee: $0.57
P
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
-$11.39
-17.2%
$121.28
Active
16d ago
P
Active
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$11.39
ROI
-17.2%
Volume
$121.28
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
-$3.42
-5.7%
$116.28
Active
16d ago
Active
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$3.42
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$116.28
P
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
-$18.00
-21.5%
$149.10
Active
16d ago
P
Active
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$18.00
ROI
-21.5%
Volume
$149.10
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
+$7.44
+5.7%
$267.18
fee: $0.93
Active
16d ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$7.44
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$267.18
fee: $0.93
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
+$15.39
+28.0%
$124.49
No
16d ago
No
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$15.39
ROI
+28.0%
Volume
$124.49
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
-$0.53
-0.5%
$207.32
fee: $0.51
Active
16d ago
Active
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$0.53
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$207.32
fee: $0.51
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
-$1.72
-0.9%
$373.66
Active
16d ago
enrichment-of-uranium
Active
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$1.72
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$373.66
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
+$7.87
+6.1%
$267.82
Active
16d ago
Active
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$7.87
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$267.82
P
how-high-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
-$219.06
-43.2%
$828.43
fee: $6.90
Active
16d ago
P
how-high-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$219.06
ROI
-43.2%
Volume
$828.43
fee: $6.90
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?
-$10.91
-3.4%
$638.21
fee: $1.63
Active
16d ago
Active
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$10.91
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$638.21
fee: $1.63
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
+$38.28
+33.1%
$269.70
fee: $4.01
Active
16d ago
Active
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$38.28
ROI
+33.1%
Volume
$269.70
fee: $4.01
what-will-gold-gc-hit
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
+$105.38
+70.6%
$403.70
fee: $4.73
Active
16d ago
what-will-gold-gc-hit
Active
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$105.38
ROI
+70.6%
Volume
$403.70
fee: $4.73
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
-$3.23
-2.0%
$325.07
Active
16d ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$3.23
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$325.07
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
-$3.03
-1.1%
$555.57
fee: $9.05
Active
16d ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$3.03
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$555.57
fee: $9.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
-$66.09
-14.4%
$934.44
Active
16d ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$66.09
ROI
-14.4%
Volume
$934.44
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
+$66.30
+32.2%
$291.75
fee: $2.19
No
16d ago
No
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$66.30
ROI
+32.2%
Volume
$291.75
fee: $2.19
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
-$19.84
-89.2%
$24.64
Yes
16d ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$19.84
ROI
-89.2%
Volume
$24.64
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
+$67.53
+126.8%
$174.01
fee: $1.06
Active
16d ago
Active
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$67.53
ROI
+126.8%
Volume
$174.01
fee: $1.06
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
+$93.91
+171.1%
$203.69
fee: $0.85
Active
16d ago
Active
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$93.91
ROI
+171.1%
Volume
$203.69
fee: $0.85
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?
+$3.42
+11.0%
$66.44
Active
16d ago
Active
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$3.42
ROI
+11.0%
Volume
$66.44
P
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
-$2.52
-49.2%
$7.72
Active
16d ago
P
Active
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$2.52
ROI
-49.2%
Volume
$7.72
how-low-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?
-$10.71
-8.0%
$289.88
Active
16d ago
how-low-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?
Active 16d ago
PnL
-$10.71
ROI
-8.0%
Volume
$289.88
P
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?
—
—
$3.84
Active
16d ago
P
Active
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.84
P
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
-$53.54
-39.0%
$351.62
Active
17d ago
P
Active
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$53.54
ROI
-39.0%
Volume
$351.62
P
how-low-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
+$18.00
+67.5%
$33.05
Yes
17d ago
P
how-low-2-year-treasury
Yes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$18.00
ROI
+67.5%
Volume
$33.05
hormuz-shipping-targeted
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?
-$31.05
-100.0%
$31.05
No
17d ago
hormuz-shipping-targeted
No
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$31.05
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$31.05
558 Markets
•
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