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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
Ha
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$25.57
Hakadashi
Hakadashi
View on Polymarket
Save
Share
Created
July 16, 2025
Active
November 5, 2026
Balance
$0.13
Incoming
+$550.13
Rewards
+$4.51
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$6.15
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 11
Oct 18
Oct 26
Nov 2
Nov 10
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$4.59
WR: 28.6%
(2/7)
ROI: +1.8%
Economy
+$1.55
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +7.8%
Finance
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Politics
-$28.95
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: -36.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$149.07
20.8%
Taker Volume
$568.48
79.2%
Taker Ratio
79%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$28.95
Rebate:
+$0.00
ROI
-36.6%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$141.26
Fee
$2.25
1 Wins in 2 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$6.15
Rebate:
+$0.02
ROI
2.2%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$717.55
Fee
$5.19
3 Wins in 9 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 92
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
-$30.36
-43.9%
$119.96
fee: $2.20
Active
4d ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$30.36
ROI
-43.9%
Volume
$119.96
fee: $2.20
putin-out-as-president
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+$1.41
+14.2%
$21.30
fee: $0.05
Active
5d ago
putin-out-as-president
Active
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$1.41
ROI
+14.2%
Volume
$21.30
fee: $0.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$242.99
fee: $0.99
Active
7d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$242.99
fee: $0.99
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
—
—
$36.75
fee: $0.08
Active
8d ago
Active
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$36.75
fee: $0.08
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$24.32
fee: $0.67
Active
9d ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
Active 9d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$24.32
fee: $0.67
P
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
+$1.55
+7.8%
$20.00
Yes
13d ago
P
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$1.55
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$20.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$49.85
fee: $0.17
Active
17d ago
Active
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$49.85
fee: $0.17
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$19.99
fee: $0.10
Active
17d ago
Active
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$19.99
fee: $0.10
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
+$33.55
+18.4%
$182.38
fee: $0.91
No
17d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$33.55
ROI
+18.4%
Volume
$182.38
fee: $0.91
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
+$16.22
+22.3%
$72.87
fee: $0.46
Yes
1mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$16.22
ROI
+22.3%
Volume
$72.87
fee: $0.46
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
+$1.49
+14.9%
$10.00
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.49
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$10.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$9.94
fee: $0.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.94
fee: $0.05
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$26.27
-82.8%
$37.27
fee: $0.12
No
1mo ago
No
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$26.27
ROI
-82.8%
Volume
$37.27
fee: $0.12
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
-$4.11
-82.6%
$5.86
fee: $0.03
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.11
ROI
-82.6%
Volume
$5.86
fee: $0.03
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
-$9.66
-96.6%
$10.34
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.66
ROI
-96.6%
Volume
$10.34
fee: $0.00
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
-$8.97
-45.0%
$31.44
fee: $0.54
No
1mo ago
No
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.97
ROI
-45.0%
Volume
$31.44
fee: $0.54
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$36.14
-93.5%
$45.86
fee: $0.13
No
1mo ago
No
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$36.14
ROI
-93.5%
Volume
$45.86
fee: $0.13
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
+$2.26
+22.6%
$22.26
No
1mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
No
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$2.26
ROI
+22.6%
Volume
$22.26
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
+$5.46
+7.3%
$90.52
fee: $0.62
No
1mo ago
No
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.46
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$90.52
fee: $0.62
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$1.75
+17.7%
$9.87
fee: $0.13
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.75
ROI
+17.7%
Volume
$9.87
fee: $0.13
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
+$17.88
+34.7%
$51.55
Yes
2mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$17.88
ROI
+34.7%
Volume
$51.55
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
-$25.73
-102.6%
$25.09
fee: $0.64
No
2mo ago
No
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$25.73
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$25.09
fee: $0.64
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$40.26
+84.2%
$65.32
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$40.26
ROI
+84.2%
Volume
$65.32
fee: $0.02
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$4.52
+13.0%
$34.92
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.52
ROI
+13.0%
Volume
$34.92
fee: $0.05
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
—
—
$34.52
fee: $0.48
Active
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$34.52
fee: $0.48
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$4.76
-47.9%
$15.19
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
No
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.76
ROI
-47.9%
Volume
$15.19
fee: $0.08
dota-2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
-$19.16
-86.6%
$25.72
fee: $0.62
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$19.16
ROI
-86.6%
Volume
$25.72
fee: $0.62
Iran leadership change by August 31?
+$2.42
+4.9%
$59.68
fee: $0.30
No
2mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.42
ROI
+4.9%
Volume
$59.68
fee: $0.30
dota-2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
-$0.30
-2.6%
$13.56
fee: $0.34
TEAM VISION
2mo ago
dota-2
TEAM VISION
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-2.6%
Volume
$13.56
fee: $0.34
dota-2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
+$4.79
+85.8%
$5.58
fee: $0.16
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.79
ROI
+85.8%
Volume
$5.58
fee: $0.16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
+$4.46
+12.8%
$39.73
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.46
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$39.73
fee: $0.20
dota-2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
-$7.09
-102.5%
$6.92
fee: $0.17
TEAM VISION
2mo ago
dota-2
TEAM VISION
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$7.09
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$6.92
fee: $0.17
dota-2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
+$1.02
+20.6%
$4.96
fee: $0.07
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.02
ROI
+20.6%
Volume
$4.96
fee: $0.07
dota-2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
+$2.43
+82.5%
$2.95
fee: $0.08
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.43
ROI
+82.5%
Volume
$2.95
fee: $0.08
dota-2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
+$0.88
+45.0%
$1.95
fee: $0.04
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.88
ROI
+45.0%
Volume
$1.95
fee: $0.04
dota-2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
+$1.53
+79.1%
$1.94
fee: $0.05
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.53
ROI
+79.1%
Volume
$1.94
fee: $0.05
dota-2
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
+$0.47
+47.1%
$1.00
fee: $0.02
Team Spirit
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Spirit
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+47.1%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.02
dota-2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
-$2.54
-103.3%
$2.46
fee: $0.08
Team Falcons
2mo ago
dota-2
Team Falcons
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.54
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$2.46
fee: $0.08
dota-2
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
+$0.41
+15.1%
$2.75
fee: $0.03
BoomBoys
2mo ago
dota-2
BoomBoys
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+15.1%
Volume
$2.75
fee: $0.03
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?
+$0.54
+10.9%
$4.97
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
No
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.54
ROI
+10.9%
Volume
$4.97
fee: $0.02
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$5.61
+6.2%
$89.98
fee: $0.45
No
2mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.61
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$89.98
fee: $0.45
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$2.71
+13.6%
$42.71
fee: $0.21
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.71
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$42.71
fee: $0.21
ukraine-cede-territory
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?
+$0.33
+3.4%
$20.33
fee: $0.10
No
2mo ago
ukraine-cede-territory
No
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$20.33
fee: $0.10
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
+$4.93
+61.9%
$7.96
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.93
ROI
+61.9%
Volume
$7.96
fee: $0.04
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
+$3.19
+6.4%
$50.00
No
2mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.19
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$50.00
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
+$1.38
+27.7%
$4.97
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.38
ROI
+27.7%
Volume
$4.97
fee: $0.02
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
+$3.39
+21.2%
$15.99
fee: $0.00
No
3mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.39
ROI
+21.2%
Volume
$15.99
fee: $0.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
+$0.02
+0.7%
$2.95
fee: $0.01
No
3mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$2.95
fee: $0.01
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$36.99
-100.5%
$36.81
fee: $0.18
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$36.99
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$36.81
fee: $0.18
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
-$22.01
-88.3%
$27.82
fee: $0.09
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$22.01
ROI
-88.3%
Volume
$27.82
fee: $0.09
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
-$6.49
-100.5%
$6.46
fee: $0.03
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.49
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$6.46
fee: $0.03
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
-$16.49
-100.3%
$16.44
fee: $0.06
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$16.49
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$16.44
fee: $0.06
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$2.54
+25.8%
$9.84
fee: $0.15
Yes
3mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.54
ROI
+25.8%
Volume
$9.84
fee: $0.15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
-$2.00
-100.5%
$1.99
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$1.99
fee: $0.01
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
+$3.57
+18.0%
$19.90
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
P
No
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.57
ROI
+18.0%
Volume
$19.90
fee: $0.10
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
-$53.52
-85.6%
$65.85
fee: $1.39
No
3mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
No
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$53.52
ROI
-85.6%
Volume
$65.85
fee: $1.39
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?
+$0.70
+7.0%
$9.95
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
P
No
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.70
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$9.95
fee: $0.05
Iran leadership change by July 31?
+$2.99
+2.1%
$140.29
fee: $0.70
No
3mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.99
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$140.29
fee: $0.70
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
—
—
$4.97
fee: $0.02
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.97
fee: $0.02
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$1.63
+8.2%
$19.90
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.63
ROI
+8.2%
Volume
$19.90
fee: $0.10
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$1.95
+19.6%
$9.94
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.95
ROI
+19.6%
Volume
$9.94
fee: $0.05
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$1.10
+7.4%
$14.92
fee: $0.07
No
3mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+7.4%
Volume
$14.92
fee: $0.07
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$1.07
+10.7%
$9.94
fee: $0.05
No
4mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.07
ROI
+10.7%
Volume
$9.94
fee: $0.05
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$3.14
+12.6%
$24.87
fee: $0.12
No
4mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.14
ROI
+12.6%
Volume
$24.87
fee: $0.12
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$0.36
+3.7%
$9.95
fee: $0.05
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$9.95
fee: $0.05
Iran leadership change by September 30?
+$0.41
+8.2%
$4.97
fee: $0.02
No
4mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+8.2%
Volume
$4.97
fee: $0.02
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
+$1.97
+2.0%
$99.50
fee: $0.50
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.97
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$99.50
fee: $0.50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
+$0.24
+1.2%
$19.90
fee: $0.10
No
4mo ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$19.90
fee: $0.10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$9.95
fee: $0.05
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.95
fee: $0.05
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$1.83
+6.1%
$50.30
fee: $0.15
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.83
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$50.30
fee: $0.15
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
+$2.46
+9.9%
$24.87
fee: $0.12
No
4mo ago
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
No
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.46
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$24.87
fee: $0.12
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
+$0.28
+2.8%
$9.95
fee: $0.05
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$9.95
fee: $0.05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
+$5.76
+35.0%
$16.47
fee: $0.08
No
4mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.76
ROI
+35.0%
Volume
$16.47
fee: $0.08
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
-$3.78
-36.4%
$11.57
fee: $0.05
No
4mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$3.78
ROI
-36.4%
Volume
$11.57
fee: $0.05
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
+$0.35
+7.0%
$4.97
fee: $0.02
No
4mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$4.97
fee: $0.02
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$2.45
+12.3%
$19.95
fee: $0.10
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.45
ROI
+12.3%
Volume
$19.95
fee: $0.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
+$7.75
+38.8%
$19.97
fee: $0.10
No
4mo ago
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$7.75
ROI
+38.8%
Volume
$19.97
fee: $0.10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
-$2.10
-100.5%
$2.09
fee: $0.01
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$2.09
fee: $0.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$18.18
-100.5%
$18.09
fee: $0.09
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$18.18
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$18.09
fee: $0.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
+$5.38
+4.5%
$120.00
fee: $0.60
No
4mo ago
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.38
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$120.00
fee: $0.60
Iran leadership change by June 30?
+$1.82
+1.7%
$110.00
fee: $0.55
No
4mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.82
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$110.00
fee: $0.55
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$2.29
+16.7%
$13.69
fee: $0.02
No
4mo ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.29
ROI
+16.7%
Volume
$13.69
fee: $0.02
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$18.72
+46.8%
$40.00
fee: $0.20
No
4mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$18.72
ROI
+46.8%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $0.20
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
-$15.07
-100.5%
$15.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
4mo ago
nuclear-deal
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$15.07
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.07
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
+$2.80
+2.9%
$97.20
No
4mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.80
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$97.20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
+$0.60
+6.4%
$9.39
No
5mo ago
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$9.39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
+$0.19
+1.9%
$10.00
fee: $0.05
No
5mo ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.05
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
+$0.08
+0.8%
$10.00
fee: $0.05
No
5mo ago
iran-regime
No
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.05
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$0.07
+1.5%
$8.91
fee: $0.02
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$8.91
fee: $0.02
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
+$0.32
+3.2%
$10.00
fee: $0.05
No
5mo ago
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
No
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.32
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
+$4.14
+82.8%
$5.00
fee: $0.12
No
5mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$4.14
ROI
+82.8%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
+$1.59
+31.8%
$5.00
fee: $0.07
No
5mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.59
ROI
+31.8%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.07
92 Markets