Br

Brokeguy451

View on Polymarket
Created August 24, 2026
Active November 3, 2026
Balance$622.60

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL-$1.86K
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9

Top Categories

Last 30 Days
Geopolitics+$4.43
WR: 42.9%(3/7)
ROI: +1.4%
Sports-$4.29
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: -5.5%
Economy-$138.27
WR: 16.7%(1/6)
ROI: -14.0%
Pop Culture-$272.98
WR: 31.3%(5/16)
ROI: -6.6%
Tech-$531.57
WR: 20.0%(9/45)
ROI: -10.0%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days
Maker Volume$21.47K
70.9%
Taker Volume$8.83K
29.1%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.00
Rebate:

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00
Rebate:

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$0.80
Rebate:

ROI

1.0%

Win Rate

100.0%

Volume

$144.17

Fee

$0.29

1 Wins in 1 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

-$1.86K
Rebate:

ROI

-13.5%

Win Rate

23.1%

Volume

$30.31K

Fee

$40.00

24 Wins in 104 Markets

Recent Markets | total 187
Active
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Active 6d ago
PnL+$0.80
ROI+1.0%
Volumefee: $0.29
Active
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$0.30
ROI-0.2%
Volumefee: $1.04
a100-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$14.29
ROI-7.1%
Volumefee: $0.46
P
h100-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL-$5.42
ROI-3.4%
Volumefee: $0.00
h200-rental-price-hit
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$9.95
ROI-28.3%
Volumefee: $0.00
P
Active
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$4.29
ROI-5.5%
Volumefee: $0.22
billboard-1-album
No
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$9.79
ROI-1.2%
Volume
Active
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$26.31
ROI-2.6%
Volume
2-netflix-show
No
Will "Love Is Blind: S11: Boston" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$0.01
ROI+0.1%
Volume
2-netflix-show
No
Will "The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$0.01
ROI+0.1%
Volume
2-netflix-show
No
Will "Minimum Wage: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$0.01
ROI+0.1%
Volume
2-netflix-show
No
Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$0.01
ROI+0.1%
Volume
Active
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$20.50
ROI-9.0%
Volumefee: $0.06
discord-ipo-market-cap
Active
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$40.34
ROI-11.5%
Volumefee: $1.39
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$0.77
ROI-55.3%
Volumefee: $0.00
2-netflix-show
Yes
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$3.05
ROI-0.9%
Volume
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will Runway have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will Pika have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.00
P
ism-services-pmi
No
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October?
Settled 4d ago
PnL-$4.24
ROI-11.5%
Volumefee: $0.08
cvs-kpis
Yes
CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$22.27
ROI-12.6%
Volumefee: $0.42
steam-us-1-weekly
Yes
Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$55.53
ROI-7.6%
Volume
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$10.52
ROI-1.6%
Volumefee: $3.43
h200-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$10.33
ROI-13.2%
Volumefee: $0.42
top-netflix-movie-week
Yes
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$9.00
ROI-1.7%
Volume
Active
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$44.15
ROI-5.8%
Volume
Active
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$41.47
ROI-33.6%
Volumefee: $1.02
Active
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$44.36
ROI-42.7%
Volume
ppi-yoy
Active
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$132.78
ROI-15.3%
Volumefee: $3.48
P
Active
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$96.39
ROI-27.2%
Volumefee: $6.85
Active
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$587.97
ROI-67.2%
Volumefee: $3.84
a100-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL-$239.82
ROI-19.7%
Volumefee: $13.06
white-house-call-a-full-lid
No
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$7.03
ROI-6.8%
Volumefee: $0.44
Active
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL+$4.00
ROI+12.4%
Volume
openrouter-total-tokens-weekly
No
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2?
Settled 5h ago
PnL-$10.60
ROI-31.0%
Volume
P
No
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$2.57
ROI-1.1%
Volume
2-us-netflix-show
Yes
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$16.42
ROI-2.9%
Volume
P
No
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?
Settled 4d ago
PnL-$0.60
ROI-2.3%
Volume
No
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$8.04
ROI-1.5%
Volume
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$31.64
ROI-6.0%
Volume
alphabet-s-market-cap
No
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL-$269.89
ROI-74.9%
Volume
2-netflix-show
No
Will "The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$0.36
ROI+3.7%
Volume
2-netflix-show
No
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$2.63
ROI-6.0%
Volume
democratic-senate-odds
Yes
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?
Settled 7d ago
PnL+$2.00
ROI+37.0%
Volume
1-paid-app
No
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?
Settled 9d ago
PnL-$39.52
ROI-22.5%
Volume
billboard-2-song
Yes
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$9.40
ROI-26.4%
Volume
P
Active
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$2.20
ROI-9.7%
Volume
hormuz-shipping-targeted
Active
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$1.20
ROI+7.3%
Volume
Active
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$0.80
ROI-2.7%
Volume
Active
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$0.40
ROI-1.3%
Volume
jolts
No
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in September?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$2.20
ROI-50.0%
Volume
Active
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$5.40
ROI-27.3%
Volume
frontier-math-problem
No
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$2.60
ROI-9.4%
Volume
ukraine-target-moscow-on
Yes
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$8.60
ROI-16.4%
Volume
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$5.91
ROI-2.4%
Volumefee: $2.33
h200-rental-price-hit
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$4.20
ROI+72.4%
Volume
gis-kpis
Active
Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$0.76
ROI+6.2%
Volume
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$1.60
ROI+19.0%
Volume
Active
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?
Active 10d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$3.98
ROI+51.0%
Volume
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$9.25
ROI-6.6%
Volumefee: $1.14
image-to-video-arena-ranking
Active
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL-$0.76
ROI-8.7%
Volume
h200-rental-price-hit
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
h200-rental-price-hit
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$1.20
ROI+6.4%
Volume
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$1.40
ROI+4.6%
Volume
second-largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL+$0.94
ROI+2.5%
Volume
P
ism-services-pmi
No
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
Settled 4d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$0.78
ROI+12.6%
Volume
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on
Active
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 31?
Active 10d ago
PnL+$0.60
ROI+3.7%
Volume
Active
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
Active 11d ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volume
democratic-senate-odds
Yes
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$13.00
ROI-53.7%
Volume
No
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
Settled 8h ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volume
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL-$1.00
ROI-2.9%
Volume
claude-opus-released
Active
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
openrouter-total-tokens-weekly
No
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?
Settled 5h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
h200-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
second-largest-company
No
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
P
No
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?
Settled 4d ago
PnL+$9.39
ROI+30.9%
Volume
democratic-senate-odds
No
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?
Settled 6d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
democratic-senate-odds
No
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2?
Settled 6d ago
PnL+$0.20
ROI+0.7%
Volume
P
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Yes
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
P
Yes
Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Settled 6d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
ukraine-target-moscow-on
Yes
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$5.20
ROI+35.1%
Volume
Active
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
democratic-senate-odds
No
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1?
Settled 7d ago
PnL-$10.40
ROI-100.0%
Volume
democratic-senate-odds
No
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 1?
Settled 7d ago
PnL+$3.80
ROI+23.5%
Volume
Active
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
steam-us-1-weekly
No
Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL-$0.00
ROI-0.0%
Volume
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on
Active
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
h100-rental-price-hit
Active
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Active 11d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
187 Markets
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