PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL+$374.79
Oct 12
Oct 19
Oct 27
Nov 3
Nov 11
Top Categories
Last 30 DaysTech+$367.53
WR: 68.8%(11/16)
ROI: +34.7%
Pop Culture+$73.33
WR: 80.0%(4/5)
ROI: +20.3%
Crypto+$13.36
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: +8.4%
Finance-$21.75
WR: 0.0%(0/2)
ROI: -22.1%
Trading Style
Last 30 DaysMaker Volume$446.68
15.7%
Taker Volume$2.40K
84.3%
Taker Ratio
84%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$21.75
Rebate:
ROI
-22.1%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$175.35
Fee
$2.87
0 Wins in 1 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$21.75
Rebate:
ROI
-22.1%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$175.35
Fee
$2.87
0 Wins in 1 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$21.75
Rebate:
ROI
-22.1%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$175.35
Fee
$2.87
0 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$374.79
Rebate:
ROI
23.3%
Win Rate
66.7%
Volume
$2.85K
Fee
$20.05
14 Wins in 21 Markets
Recent Markets | total 123
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
openai-s-valuation
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?-$21.75
-22.1%
fee: $2.87
Active
15h ago
openai-s-valuation
Active
Active 15h ago
PnL-$21.75
ROI-22.1%
Volumefee: $2.87
codex-weekly-reset-negrisk
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?+$30.71
+22.9%
fee: $1.16
No
11d ago
codex-weekly-reset-negrisk
No
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$30.71
ROI+22.9%
Volumefee: $1.16
github-com-critical-incident-by
GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?+$78.65
+189.5%
Yes
11d ago
PnL+$78.65
ROI+189.5%
Volume
-$10.45
-82.1%
No
11d ago
1-free-app
No
Settled 11d ago
PnL-$10.45
ROI-82.1%
Volume
github-com-critical-incident-by
GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?+$85.89
+41.4%
Yes
13d ago
PnL+$85.89
ROI+41.4%
Volume
-$3.26
-6.5%
Active
13d ago
best-ai-company
Active
Active 13d ago
PnL-$3.26
ROI-6.5%
Volume
+$0.88
+6.0%
Yes
14d ago
1-free-app
Yes
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$0.88
ROI+6.0%
Volume
PnL-$20.91
ROI-42.4%
Volumefee: $4.71
PnL-$26.13
ROI-64.0%
Volume
+$67.25
+175.3%
Yes
18d ago
1-free-app
Yes
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$67.25
ROI+175.3%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?+$0.20
+0.1%
No
20d ago
gta-vi-extended-look-views
No
Settled 19d ago
PnL+$0.20
ROI+0.1%
Volume
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?+$15.45
+16.2%
fee: $1.57
Yes
21d ago
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Yes
Settled 19d ago
PnL+$15.45
ROI+16.2%
Volumefee: $1.57
+$28.67
+14.4%
fee: $2.72
No
23d ago
PnL+$28.67
ROI+14.4%
Volumefee: $2.72
+$38.04
+38.1%
fee: $2.93
Yes
23d ago
PnL+$38.04
ROI+38.1%
Volumefee: $2.93
+$14.68
+295.3%
fee: $0.01
Yes
23d ago
PnL+$14.68
ROI+295.3%
Volumefee: $0.01
PnL+$9.46
ROI+15.7%
Volumefee: $0.44
bitcoin-difficulty-adjustment
Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 971,712 be up 3% to 7%?+$34.27
+31.2%
fee: $1.81
Yes
25d ago
bitcoin-difficulty-adjustment
Yes
Settled 25d ago
PnL+$34.27
ROI+31.2%
Volumefee: $1.81
+$2.18
+26.3%
fee: $0.23
No
27d ago
PnL+$2.18
ROI+26.3%
Volumefee: $0.23
codex-weekly-reset-negrisk
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?+$52.06
+36.1%
fee: $1.56
No
27d ago
codex-weekly-reset-negrisk
No
Settled 23d ago
PnL+$52.06
ROI+36.1%
Volumefee: $1.56
-$1.09
-103.9%
fee: $0.04
No
28d ago
PnL-$1.09
ROI-103.9%
Volumefee: $0.04
chatgpt-outage-days
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?+$121.13
+80.2%
fee: $2.72
Yes
1mo ago
PnL+$121.13
ROI+80.2%
Volumefee: $2.72
+$9.08
+95.6%
fee: $0.19
Yes
1mo ago
PnL+$9.08
ROI+95.6%
Volumefee: $0.19
PnL+$28.14
ROI+6.4%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.07
github-com-critical-incident-by
GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?+$12.69
+9.4%
fee: $0.48
Yes
1mo ago
PnL+$12.69
ROI+9.4%
Volumefee: $0.48
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?-$16.72
-101.4%
fee: $0.22
Yes
1mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
Yes
Settled 10d ago
PnL-$16.72
ROI-101.4%
Volumefee: $0.22
openrouter-ai-market-share
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?-$69.86
-101.6%
fee: $1.08
No
1mo ago
openrouter-ai-market-share
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$69.86
ROI-101.6%
Volumefee: $1.08
openrouter-ai-market-share
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?-$28.74
-101.5%
fee: $0.42
No
1mo ago
openrouter-ai-market-share
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$28.74
ROI-101.5%
Volumefee: $0.42
-$319.20
-97.7%
fee: $5.78
No
1mo ago
PnL-$319.20
ROI-97.7%
Volumefee: $5.78
P
PnL+$28.40
ROI+41.8%
Volumefee: $6.75
P
PnL+$328.28
ROI+83.1%
Volumefee: $8.11
P
PnL+$215.89
ROI+135.7%
Volumefee: $6.40
-$82.90
-85.8%
fee: $2.63
No
1mo ago
PnL-$82.90
ROI-85.8%
Volumefee: $2.63
chatgpt-outage-days
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?+$159.76
+57.2%
fee: $4.68
Yes
1mo ago
PnL+$159.76
ROI+57.2%
Volumefee: $4.68
-$6.32
-74.1%
fee: $0.22
No
1mo ago
PnL-$6.32
ROI-74.1%
Volumefee: $0.22
P
-$22.83
-103.2%
fee: $0.76
No
1mo ago
P
alphabet-s-market-cap
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$22.83
ROI-103.2%
Volumefee: $0.76
PnL+$36.23
ROI+24.2%
Volumefee: $1.51
PnL-$115.22
ROI-58.6%
Volumefee: $3.73
anthropic-vs-openai-private-return
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026+$28.93
+52.6%
fee: $1.28
OpenAI
1mo ago
anthropic-vs-openai-private-return
OpenAI
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$28.93
ROI+52.6%
Volumefee: $1.28
-$8.11
-5.9%
fee: $9.61
No
1mo ago
PnL-$8.11
ROI-5.9%
Volumefee: $9.61
P
+$5.44
+14.0%
fee: $0.21
No
1mo ago
P
alphabet-s-market-cap
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$5.44
ROI+14.0%
Volumefee: $0.21
PnL+$237.84
ROI+72.6%
Volumefee: $5.20
+$21.14
+46.9%
fee: $1.17
Yes
1mo ago
PnL+$21.14
ROI+46.9%
Volumefee: $1.17
P
PnL-$223.32
ROI-50.3%
Volumefee: $18.60
P
-$3.05
-61.1%
fee: $0.28
No
1mo ago
P
openai-s-valuation
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$3.05
ROI-61.1%
Volumefee: $0.28
-$370.56
-86.0%
fee: $12.90
Yes
1mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$370.56
ROI-86.0%
Volumefee: $12.90
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?-$13.32
-44.9%
fee: $0.85
Yes
1mo ago
PnL-$13.32
ROI-44.9%
Volumefee: $0.85
+$737.46
+59.7%
fee: $66.60
Active
1mo ago
largest-company
Active
Active 1mo ago
PnL+$737.46
ROI+59.7%
Volumefee: $66.60
-$10.84
-8.5%
fee: $6.53
No
1mo ago
P
openai-s-valuation
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$10.84
ROI-8.5%
Volumefee: $6.53
-$17.76
-67.5%
fee: $1.39
Yes
1mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$17.76
ROI-67.5%
Volumefee: $1.39
P
-$1.33
-33.4%
fee: $0.27
No
1mo ago
P
openai-s-valuation
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$1.33
ROI-33.4%
Volumefee: $0.27
P
+$50.17
+14.8%
fee: $2.77
No
1mo ago
P
openai-s-valuation
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$50.17
ROI+14.8%
Volumefee: $2.77
PnL+$9.06
ROI+93.5%
Volumefee: $0.19
P
PnL+$119.04
ROI+77.7%
Volumefee: $2.71
P
PnL+$59.41
ROI+120.0%
Volumefee: $1.09
P
PnL+$86.40
ROI+94.1%
Volumefee: $1.80
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $1.75
P
PnL+$90.55
ROI+84.6%
Volumefee: $1.97
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?-$18.09
-4.7%
fee: $22.51
No
1mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$18.09
ROI-4.7%
Volumefee: $22.51
github-com-critical-incident-by
GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?+$6.28
+6.7%
fee: $0.24
Yes
1mo ago
github-com-critical-incident-by
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$6.28
ROI+6.7%
Volumefee: $0.24
github-com-critical-incident-by
GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?+$8.34
+6.2%
fee: $0.33
Yes
1mo ago
github-com-critical-incident-by
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$8.34
ROI+6.2%
Volumefee: $0.33
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?+$16.44
+3.3%
fee: $10.18
Yes
1mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$16.44
ROI+3.3%
Volumefee: $10.18
PnL+$12.33
ROI+33.3%
Volumefee: $0.67
PnL+$145.31
ROI+279.4%
Volumefee: $2.69
PnL+$0.88
ROI+100.0%
Volume
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by September 30?+$1.59
+11.9%
fee: $0.06
Yes
2mo ago
PnL+$1.59
ROI+11.9%
Volumefee: $0.06
P
-$2.97
-43.8%
fee: $0.28
Yes
2mo ago
P
openai-s-valuation
Yes
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$2.97
ROI-43.8%
Volumefee: $0.28
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?-$95.99
-67.3%
fee: $6.21
No
2mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
No
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$95.99
ROI-67.3%
Volumefee: $6.21
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?-$28.55
-61.8%
fee: $2.02
Yes
2mo ago
PnL-$28.55
ROI-61.8%
Volumefee: $2.02
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?-$0.51
-0.6%
fee: $1.39
Yes
2mo ago
PnL-$0.51
ROI-0.6%
Volumefee: $1.39
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?+$42.45
+42.4%
fee: $1.22
Yes
2mo ago
PnL+$42.45
ROI+42.4%
Volumefee: $1.22
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?+$9.15
+22.9%
fee: $1.93
Yes
2mo ago
PnL+$9.15
ROI+22.9%
Volumefee: $1.93
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?-$38.45
-12.3%
fee: $8.11
Yes
2mo ago
PnL-$38.45
ROI-12.3%
Volumefee: $8.11
PnL-$93.07
ROI-97.6%
Volumefee: $0.49
P
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?+$77.82
+152.8%
fee: $1.24
No
2mo ago
P
PnL+$77.82
ROI+152.8%
Volumefee: $1.24
PnL-$22.86
ROI-73.7%
Volumefee: $0.86
privates-largest-increase-in-valuation-monthly
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?-$54.44
-73.4%
fee: $3.34
No
2mo ago
privates-largest-increase-in-valuation-monthly
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$54.44
ROI-73.4%
Volumefee: $3.34
anthropic-vs-openai-private-return
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026+$208.48
+47.6%
fee: $5.42
Anthropic
2mo ago
anthropic-vs-openai-private-return
Anthropic
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$208.48
ROI+47.6%
Volumefee: $5.42
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?+$52.61
+7.8%
fee: $2.40
Yes
2mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$52.61
ROI+7.8%
Volumefee: $2.40
privates-largest-increase-in-valuation-monthly
Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?-$86.85
-103.5%
fee: $2.95
Yes
2mo ago
privates-largest-increase-in-valuation-monthly
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$86.85
ROI-103.5%
Volumefee: $2.95
P
PnL-$209.08
ROI-100.8%
Volumefee: $1.72
P
PnL-$236.83
ROI-57.7%
Volumefee: $5.95
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be at least 12 hours?-$9.35
-53.5%
fee: $0.90
No
2mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$9.35
ROI-53.5%
Volumefee: $0.90
+$18.21
+41.5%
fee: $2.57
Yes
2mo ago
P
openai-s-valuation
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$18.21
ROI+41.5%
Volumefee: $2.57
P
PnL+$38.02
ROI+760.4%
Volumefee: $1.03
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?-$9.90
-102.1%
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$9.90
ROI-102.1%
Volumefee: $0.20
second-largest-company
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?-$315.48
-31.8%
fee: $44.60
No
2mo ago
second-largest-company
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$315.48
ROI-31.8%
Volumefee: $44.60
-$310.28
-98.1%
fee: $12.09
No
2mo ago
largest-company
No
Settled 2mo ago
PnL-$310.28
ROI-98.1%
Volumefee: $12.09
+$3.87
+1.7%
fee: $7.44
No
2mo ago
PnL+$3.87
ROI+1.7%
Volumefee: $7.44
+$15.80
+43.3%
fee: $0.24
No
2mo ago
PnL+$15.80
ROI+43.3%
Volumefee: $0.24
+$521.02
+37.5%
fee: $33.92
Yes
3mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Settled 2mo ago
PnL+$521.02
ROI+37.5%
Volumefee: $33.92
PnL-$141.21
ROI-100.8%
Volumefee: $1.16
-$9.20
-36.4%
fee: $1.64
Active
3mo ago
largest-company
Active
Active 3mo ago
PnL-$9.20
ROI-36.4%
Volumefee: $1.64
-$674.23
-103.0%
fee: $19.58
No
3mo ago
PnL-$674.23
ROI-103.0%
Volumefee: $19.58
PnL-$2.52
ROI-56.5%
Volumefee: $0.15
P
PnL+$19.46
ROI+7.4%
Volumefee: $23.44
-$260.17
-100.5%
fee: $1.28
Yes
3mo ago
PnL-$260.17
ROI-100.5%
Volumefee: $1.28
-$232.10
-103.8%
fee: $8.40
No
3mo ago
PnL-$232.10
ROI-103.8%
Volumefee: $8.40
PnL+$238.26
ROI+64.2%
Volumefee: $6.69