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PolyPnL
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$24.72
0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657
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Created
October 19, 2025
Active
July 16, 2026
Balance
$734.86
Incoming
+$72.69
Rewards
+$7.15
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 22
Aug 29
Sep 6
Sep 13
Sep 21
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 45
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
-$5.28
-105.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.28
Up
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.28
ROI
-105.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.28
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$3.47
-57.8%
$9.00
fee: $0.47
Down
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.47
ROI
-57.8%
Volume
$9.00
fee: $0.47
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$35.02
+116.7%
$96.66
fee: $1.65
Down
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$35.02
ROI
+116.7%
Volume
$96.66
fee: $1.65
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
-$237.34
-45.0%
$818.03
fee: $16.96
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$237.34
ROI
-45.0%
Volume
$818.03
fee: $16.96
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
-$147.73
-35.4%
$687.57
fee: $16.61
Active
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Active
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$147.73
ROI
-35.4%
Volume
$687.57
fee: $16.61
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
-$327.36
-49.6%
$996.30
fee: $3.79
No
3mo ago
No
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$327.36
ROI
-49.6%
Volume
$996.30
fee: $3.79
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
-$320.00
-100.0%
$320.00
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$320.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$320.00
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
-$318.62
-98.4%
$342.37
fee: $5.34
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$318.62
ROI
-98.4%
Volume
$342.37
fee: $5.34
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
-$485.69
-100.7%
$482.47
fee: $3.22
No
3mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$485.69
ROI
-100.7%
Volume
$482.47
fee: $3.22
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
-$45.78
-101.7%
$45.00
fee: $0.78
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$45.78
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$45.00
fee: $0.78
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
+$8.54
+6.1%
$140.00
fee: $0.33
No
3mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$8.54
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$140.00
fee: $0.33
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$2.60
fee: $0.09
Active
3mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Active
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.60
fee: $0.09
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
-$4.58
-106.0%
$4.32
fee: $0.26
No
3mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.58
ROI
-106.0%
Volume
$4.32
fee: $0.26
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
-$36.17
-102.0%
$35.45
fee: $0.72
No
3mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$36.17
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$35.45
fee: $0.72
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
+$0.92
+1.6%
$59.04
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.92
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$59.04
fee: $0.04
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
+$22.55
+7.8%
$1.14K
fee: $1.36
No
3mo ago
No
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$22.55
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$1.14K
fee: $1.36
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
-$2.18
-103.9%
$2.10
fee: $0.08
No
3mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.18
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$2.10
fee: $0.08
openai-1t-valuation
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
+$6.61
+306.0%
$44.65
fee: $0.33
Active
3mo ago
openai-1t-valuation
Active
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$6.61
ROI
+306.0%
Volume
$44.65
fee: $0.33
AI bubble burst in 2026?
—
—
$326.26
fee: $3.19
Active
3mo ago
Active
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$326.26
fee: $3.19
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
+$0.12
+1.3%
$9.87
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$9.87
fee: $0.01
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
+$11.12
+59.8%
$18.60
fee: $0.28
No
3mo ago
No
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$11.12
ROI
+59.8%
Volume
$18.60
fee: $0.28
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
+$10.61
+1.5%
$700.00
fee: $0.43
No
3mo ago
No
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$10.61
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$700.00
fee: $0.43
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
+$22.78
+6.1%
$765.66
fee: $1.16
No
3mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$22.78
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$765.66
fee: $1.16
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?
+$29.42
+5.9%
$500.00
fee: $1.15
No
3mo ago
No
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$29.42
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$500.00
fee: $1.15
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
—
—
$9.00
fee: $0.05
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.00
fee: $0.05
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
+$3.84
+0.5%
$776.00
fee: $0.16
No
4mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.84
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$776.00
fee: $0.16
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
+$20.71
+3.0%
$1.42K
fee: $0.89
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$20.71
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$1.42K
fee: $0.89
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
+$17.60
+4.6%
$781.60
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$17.60
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$781.60
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
-$22.95
-79.7%
$34.65
No
4mo ago
best-math-ai
No
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$22.95
ROI
-79.7%
Volume
$34.65
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
-$2.29
-100.1%
$2.29
fee: $0.00
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$2.29
ROI
-100.1%
Volume
$2.29
fee: $0.00
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
—
—
$4.45
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$3.15
+9.7%
$68.15
fee: $0.09
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.15
ROI
+9.7%
Volume
$68.15
fee: $0.09
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
—
—
$157.21
Active
4mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Active
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$157.21
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
+$15.47
+4.8%
$324.27
fee: $0.25
No
4mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$15.47
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$324.27
fee: $0.25
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
+$3.49
+3.3%
$106.40
fee: $0.11
No
4mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.49
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$106.40
fee: $0.11
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$499.00
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$499.00
GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?
+$14.76
+3.7%
$682.85
fee: $1.11
No
4mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$14.76
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$682.85
fee: $1.11
best-ai-model
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
+$6.25
+2.0%
$309.75
fee: $0.24
No
4mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$6.25
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$309.75
fee: $0.24
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
-$0.23
-0.6%
$76.47
fee: $0.56
No
4mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.23
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$76.47
fee: $0.56
rev2-anera
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
+$0.10
+1.0%
$9.90
fee: $0.00
No
4mo ago
rev2-anera
No
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$9.90
fee: $0.00
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
-$7.62
-36.9%
$34.20
fee: $0.54
No
4mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$7.62
ROI
-36.9%
Volume
$34.20
fee: $0.54
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
+$1.87
+0.8%
$244.84
fee: $0.00
No
4mo ago
mythos-released
No
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.87
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$244.84
fee: $0.00
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?
-$0.70
-100.0%
$0.70
No
4mo ago
No
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.70
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.70
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
+$4.03
+1.4%
$295.80
fee: $0.17
Yes
4mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$4.03
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$295.80
fee: $0.17
best-math-ai
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
-$0.53
-104.0%
$504.39
fee: $0.02
No
4mo ago
best-math-ai
No
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.53
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$504.39
fee: $0.02
45 Markets