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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$8.08
silverstud
silverstud
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
May 31, 2026
Active
September 2, 2026
Balance
$1.93K
Incoming
+$4.09K
Rewards
+$9.82
Outgoing
-$1.36K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$353.27
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$358.49
WR: 66.7%
(2/3)
ROI: +723.1%
Elections
+$341.40
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +6878.0%
Geopolitics
-$2.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -100.0%
Pop Culture
-$3.22
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -100.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$111.46
100.0%
Taker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Ratio
0%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$353.27
ROI
644.7%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$111.46
Fee
$0.00
2 Wins in 6 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 686
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
russia-target-kyiv-on
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 2, 2026?
-$1.84
-100.0%
$1.84
Yes
10d ago
russia-target-kyiv-on
Yes
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 2, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$1.84
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.84
iran-target-kuwait-by
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?
-$0.16
-100.0%
$0.16
Yes
11d ago
iran-target-kuwait-by
Yes
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$0.16
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.16
P
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$3.40
Active
12d ago
P
Active
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Active 12d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.40
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?
-$3.22
-100.0%
$3.22
Yes
13d ago
P
trump-insult-on
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$3.22
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.22
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?
+$341.40
+6878.0%
$4.96
Over
15d ago
Over
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$341.40
ROI
+6878.0%
Volume
$4.96
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
+$17.10
+38.3%
$97.88
Active
18d ago
Active
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Active 18d ago
PnL
+$17.10
ROI
+38.3%
Volume
$97.88
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
-$0.90
-100.0%
$0.90
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.90
P
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
+$7.11
+113.0%
$7.89
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.11
ROI
+113.0%
Volume
$7.89
us-ai-safety-bill
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
+$1.35
+51.9%
$5.75
Active
1mo ago
us-ai-safety-bill
Active
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.35
ROI
+51.9%
Volume
$5.75
P
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$14.85
-100.0%
$14.85
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$14.85
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$14.85
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
+$0.10
+2.0%
$14.09
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$14.09
us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
-$4.67
-20.9%
$33.46
No
1mo ago
us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by
No
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.67
ROI
-20.9%
Volume
$33.46
waymo-launch
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?
—
—
$9.60
Active
1mo ago
waymo-launch
Active
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.60
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
+$0.85
+29.3%
$16.56
Active
1mo ago
Active
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.85
ROI
+29.3%
Volume
$16.56
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
—
—
$5.40
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.40
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$10.12
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.12
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
+$1.49
+9.9%
$29.36
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.49
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$29.36
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$3.85
+4.2%
$184.25
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.85
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$184.25
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?
+$4.46
+82.5%
$5.54
No
1mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
No
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.46
ROI
+82.5%
Volume
$5.54
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
+$1.65
+26.4%
$8.35
No
1mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$1.65
ROI
+26.4%
Volume
$8.35
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
+$0.73
+3.4%
$44.63
fee: $0.40
Active
1mo ago
Active
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.73
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$44.63
fee: $0.40
P
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
-$4.06
-100.0%
$4.06
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.06
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.06
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$20.40
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.40
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?
-$0.60
-100.0%
$0.60
No
1mo ago
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.60
P
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$2.77
-48.4%
$7.77
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$2.77
ROI
-48.4%
Volume
$7.77
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?
-$4.95
-100.0%
$4.95
No
1mo ago
No
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.95
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.95
Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?
-$10.81
-100.0%
$10.81
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.81
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.81
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$14.38
Active
1mo ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Active
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.38
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?
—
—
$8.40
Active
1mo ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Active
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?
-$5.14
-100.0%
$5.14
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.14
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.14
P
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
+$5.09
+59.1%
$12.41
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.09
ROI
+59.1%
Volume
$12.41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
+$0.69
+12.8%
$5.87
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$5.87
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
-$1.97
-59.5%
$16.97
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.97
ROI
-59.5%
Volume
$16.97
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
+$0.23
+5.5%
$12.21
Active
1mo ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$12.21
P
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?
+$0.65
+164.9%
$3.74
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+164.9%
Volume
$3.74
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?
—
—
$45.00
No
1mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$45.00
Government shutdown by October 1?
—
—
$10.11
Active
1mo ago
Active
Government shutdown by October 1?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.11
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
+$9.20
+28.9%
$42.94
No
1mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.20
ROI
+28.9%
Volume
$42.94
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
—
—
$12.83
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$12.83
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$13.65
Active
1mo ago
Active
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$13.65
congress-stock-trading-ban
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
—
—
$2.25
Active
1mo ago
congress-stock-trading-ban
Active
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.25
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?
+$1.20
+12.7%
$14.10
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+12.7%
Volume
$14.10
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?
—
—
$3.73
Active
1mo ago
Active
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.73
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
+$0.12
+2.5%
$12.01
Active
1mo ago
Active
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$12.01
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?
-$8.75
-89.7%
$10.16
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.75
ROI
-89.7%
Volume
$10.16
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
—
—
$14.41
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.41
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
-$0.65
-100.0%
$0.65
No
1mo ago
No
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.65
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.65
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?
-$2.72
-100.0%
$2.72
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.72
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.72
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
+$5.40
+11.7%
$109.60
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.40
ROI
+11.7%
Volume
$109.60
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
+$0.60
+50.0%
$13.60
Active
1mo ago
Active
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+50.0%
Volume
$13.60
P
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
+$15.20
+59.2%
$52.30
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$15.20
ROI
+59.2%
Volume
$52.30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?
+$7.05
+68.7%
$22.95
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.05
ROI
+68.7%
Volume
$22.95
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
-$4.35
-100.0%
$4.35
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.35
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.35
P
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?
+$10.40
+71.2%
$14.60
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$10.40
ROI
+71.2%
Volume
$14.60
houthi-military-action-against-israel
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026?
-$1.90
-100.0%
$1.90
No
1mo ago
houthi-military-action-against-israel
No
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.90
houthi-military-action-against-israel
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?
-$2.10
-100.0%
$2.10
No
1mo ago
houthi-military-action-against-israel
No
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
+$14.54
+23.3%
$126.39
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$14.54
ROI
+23.3%
Volume
$126.39
P
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?
+$10.16
+460.5%
$2.21
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$10.16
ROI
+460.5%
Volume
$2.21
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: July
-$1.66
-4.3%
$87.66
Nothing
1mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.66
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$87.66
howard-lutnick-out
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
+$0.87
+28.4%
$22.69
Active
1mo ago
howard-lutnick-out
Active
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.87
ROI
+28.4%
Volume
$22.69
P
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?
+$0.94
+64.4%
$14.06
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.94
ROI
+64.4%
Volume
$14.06
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
+$6.46
+9.3%
$141.67
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$6.46
ROI
+9.3%
Volume
$141.67
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
+$5.13
+127.0%
$8.55
Yes
1mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.13
ROI
+127.0%
Volume
$8.55
fda-approval
FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?
+$9.84
+190.7%
$5.16
Yes
1mo ago
fda-approval
Yes
FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.84
ROI
+190.7%
Volume
$5.16
California voter ID referendum passes?
—
—
$4.96
Active
1mo ago
Active
California voter ID referendum passes?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
+$5.20
+21.4%
$34.80
No
2mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.20
ROI
+21.4%
Volume
$34.80
switzerland-referenda
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
+$0.60
+44.4%
$14.40
Active
2mo ago
switzerland-referenda
Active
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+44.4%
Volume
$14.40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
+$1.68
+27.0%
$14.52
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.68
ROI
+27.0%
Volume
$14.52
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?
-$5.24
-100.0%
$5.24
No
2mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.24
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.24
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?
-$7.05
-32.4%
$37.05
No
2mo ago
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.05
ROI
-32.4%
Volume
$37.05
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$2.13
+1.6%
$274.51
Active
2mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.13
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$274.51
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$11.03
-51.1%
$32.84
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$11.03
ROI
-51.1%
Volume
$32.84
Natural Disaster in 2026?
—
—
$2.70
Active
2mo ago
Active
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.70
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
-$1.80
-21.4%
$31.80
No
2mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-21.4%
Volume
$31.80
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
—
—
$30.60
Active
2mo ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$30.60
P
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?
+$9.77
+46.7%
$20.91
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.77
ROI
+46.7%
Volume
$20.91
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
—
—
$1.95
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.95
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
-$3.39
-12.9%
$38.39
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$3.39
ROI
-12.9%
Volume
$38.39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$17.15
-100.0%
$17.15
No
2mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$17.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$17.15
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?
-$2.29
-37.6%
$12.29
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.29
ROI
-37.6%
Volume
$12.29
Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?
-$3.30
-100.0%
$3.30
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.30
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.30
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
+$4.04
+31.5%
$30.83
No
2mo ago
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.04
ROI
+31.5%
Volume
$30.83
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
+$15.43
+40.1%
$60.53
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$15.43
ROI
+40.1%
Volume
$60.53
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$5.86
+13.9%
$75.26
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.86
ROI
+13.9%
Volume
$75.26
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$2.10
+5.5%
$52.90
No
2mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.10
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$52.90
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
—
—
$16.80
Active
2mo ago
Active
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.80
Will Jacqui Smith be in the Burnham cabinet?
-$2.93
-100.0%
$2.93
No
2mo ago
No
Will Jacqui Smith be in the Burnham cabinet?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.93
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.93
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
-$3.77
-12.1%
$42.11
Yes
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.77
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$42.11
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
—
—
$7.67
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.67
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
-$2.00
-6.8%
$52.00
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-6.8%
Volume
$52.00
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
-$30.68
-100.0%
$30.68
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$30.68
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$30.68
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
+$0.07
+4.5%
$13.73
Active
2mo ago
Active
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$13.73
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?
+$7.33
+174.6%
$12.67
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.33
ROI
+174.6%
Volume
$12.67
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
+$0.35
+8.5%
$9.05
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$9.05
trump-approval-binary
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
-$1.79
-57.3%
$3.64
Down
2mo ago
trump-approval-binary
Down
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.79
ROI
-57.3%
Volume
$3.64
switzerland-referenda
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
—
—
$3.15
Active
2mo ago
switzerland-referenda
Active
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.15
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
+$0.55
+2.0%
$52.96
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.55
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$52.96
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
—
—
$9.67
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.67
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
—
—
$15.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$15.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
-$0.75
-17.0%
$15.75
No
2mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.75
ROI
-17.0%
Volume
$15.75
686 Markets
•
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