ArsAmatoriaArsAmatoria

View on Polymarket

Created March 1, 2026

Active November 10, 2026

Balance$72.32

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$13.08

Oct 12

Oct 20

Oct 27

Nov 4

Nov 11

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Politics+$7.53

WR: 25.0%(1/4)

ROI: +129.8%

Finance+$3.20

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +58.2%

Economy+$3.20

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +58.2%

Tech+$2.35

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +45.2%

Elections-$0.10

WR: 0.0%(0/3)

ROI: -2.9%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$26.95

58.4%

Taker Volume$19.17

41.6%

Taker Ratio

42%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.00

Rebate:

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$2.35

Rebate:

ROI

45.2%

Win Rate

100.0%

Volume

$12.75

Fee

$0.00

1 Wins in 1 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$2.35

Rebate:

ROI

45.2%

Win Rate

50.0%

Volume

$16.12

Fee

$0.09

1 Wins in 2 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$13.08

Rebate:

ROI

79.3%

Win Rate

50.0%

Volume

$46.12

Fee

$0.16

3 Wins in 6 Markets

Recent Markets | total 21

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

best-ai-company

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

+$2.35

+45.2%

Active

1d ago

best-ai-company

Active

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$2.35

ROI+45.2%

Volume

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

—

fee: $0.09

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.09

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

-$0.10

-2.9%

Active

9d ago

Active

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Active 9d ago

PnL-$0.10

ROI-2.9%

Volume

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

—

Active

12d ago

Active

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Active 12d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

bank-of-mexico-decision

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

+$3.20

+58.2%

13d ago

bank-of-mexico-decision

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$3.20

ROI+58.2%

Volume

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

+$7.63

+331.7%

fee: $0.07

Yes

22d ago

Yes

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Settled 16d ago

PnL+$7.63

ROI+331.7%

Volumefee: $0.07

how-high-30-year-treasury

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?

—

Active

1mo ago

how-high-30-year-treasury

Active

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

how-high-30-year-treasury

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?

+$2.17

+50.1%

fee: $0.24

Active

1mo ago

how-high-30-year-treasury

Active

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$2.17

ROI+50.1%

Volumefee: $0.24

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

+$0.71

+20.9%

fee: $0.09

1mo ago

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Settled 7d ago

PnL+$0.71

ROI+20.9%

Volumefee: $0.09

best-ai-company

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-$1.76

-18.4%

fee: $0.26

Active

1mo ago

best-ai-company

Active

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL-$1.76

ROI-18.4%

Volumefee: $0.26

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

+$0.84

+11.9%

fee: $0.38

1mo ago

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Settled 14d ago

PnL+$0.84

ROI+11.9%

Volumefee: $0.38

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

+$7.87

+78.7%

fee: $0.61

2mo ago

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$7.87

ROI+78.7%

Volumefee: $0.61

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

-$7.18

-102.6%

fee: $0.18

2mo ago

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$7.18

ROI-102.6%

Volumefee: $0.18

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

-$0.30

-7.1%

fee: $0.20

Active

2mo ago

Active

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL-$0.30

ROI-7.1%

Volumefee: $0.20

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

+$1.17

+87.3%

fee: $0.16

Yes

3mo ago

fomc

Yes

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$1.17

ROI+87.3%

Volumefee: $0.16

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

-$8.59

-102.3%

fee: $0.19

3mo ago

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Settled 7d ago

PnL-$8.59

ROI-102.3%

Volumefee: $0.19

X banned in any European country by December 31?

—

fee: $0.06

Active

4mo ago

Active

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Active 4mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.06

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$42.95

+429.5%

fee: $0.24

Yes

4mo ago

Yes

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$42.95

ROI+429.5%

Volumefee: $0.24

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-$10.20

-102.0%

fee: $0.20

4mo ago

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$10.20

ROI-102.0%

Volumefee: $0.20

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

-$15.26

-101.7%

fee: $0.26

5mo ago

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$15.26

ROI-101.7%

Volumefee: $0.26

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

+$15.57

+1.1%

fee: $0.64

6mo ago

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL+$15.57

ROI+1.1%

Volumefee: $0.64

21 Markets