P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
0x
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$14.33
0x3C4277a5d899f8319a54D6d6D8430379CA202adC-1778963222969
0x3C4277a5d89...
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Save
Created
May 16, 2026
Active
September 8, 2026
Balance
$4.88
Incoming
+$431.74
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$24.50
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 22
Aug 29
Sep 6
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$28.10
WR: 42.9%
(6/14)
ROI: +26.6%
Politics
+$20.70
WR: 33.3%
(4/12)
ROI: +25.7%
Elections
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: +0.0%
Finance
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Pop Culture
-$3.60
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -22.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$8.62
2.1%
Taker Volume
$392.93
97.9%
Taker Ratio
98%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$35.37
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 2 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$24.50
ROI
20.1%
Win Rate
35.3%
Volume
$401.55
Fee
$0.42
6 Wins in 17 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 142
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
—
—
$10.10
Active
4d ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$25.27
Active
4d ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$25.27
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$14.41
Active
13d ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 13d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.41
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
-$3.60
-22.2%
$28.80
fee: $0.39
Active
15d ago
Active
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Active 15d ago
PnL
-$3.60
ROI
-22.2%
Volume
$28.80
fee: $0.39
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
—
—
$17.20
Active
16d ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$17.20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
+$11.60
+28.2%
$117.40
Active
17d ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$11.60
ROI
+28.2%
Volume
$117.40
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
+$3.60
+24.3%
$33.20
Active
19d ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Active 19d ago
PnL
+$3.60
ROI
+24.3%
Volume
$33.20
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
—
—
$14.75
Active
19d ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Active 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.75
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
+$1.50
+19.2%
$17.10
Active
19d ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
Active 19d ago
PnL
+$1.50
ROI
+19.2%
Volume
$17.10
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
—
—
$6.96
fee: $0.04
Active
19d ago
Active
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Active 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.96
fee: $0.04
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
—
—
$7.10
Active
21d ago
Active
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.10
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
—
—
$7.77
Active
21d ago
Active
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.77
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
—
—
$8.40
Active
21d ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.40
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$2.92
+17.2%
$36.92
No
22d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$2.92
ROI
+17.2%
Volume
$36.92
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$4.68
+32.1%
$33.88
No
22d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$4.68
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$33.88
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
+$3.80
+37.3%
$10.20
No
25d ago
No
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$3.80
ROI
+37.3%
Volume
$10.20
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$12.09
Active
27d ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 27d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$12.09
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$18.80
-100.0%
$18.80
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$18.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$18.80
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
+$3.22
+19.9%
$35.62
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$3.22
ROI
+19.9%
Volume
$35.62
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$4.10
-100.0%
$4.10
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.10
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.10
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$13.95
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$13.95
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$18.77
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.77
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$9.30
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.30
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$4.63
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.63
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$9.20
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.20
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$9.47
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.47
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$9.12
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.12
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$9.10
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.10
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$19.00
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$19.00
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$9.55
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
—
—
$17.80
Active
1mo ago
Active
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$17.80
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
—
—
$23.60
Active
1mo ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$23.60
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$3.60
+11.2%
$67.99
No
1mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.60
ROI
+11.2%
Volume
$67.99
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
+$3.20
+20.3%
$34.80
No
1mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$3.20
ROI
+20.3%
Volume
$34.80
ukraine-cede-territory
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
—
—
$8.90
Active
1mo ago
ukraine-cede-territory
Active
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.90
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
+$5.76
+49.3%
$11.70
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$5.76
ROI
+49.3%
Volume
$11.70
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
+$3.45
+27.0%
$12.80
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.45
ROI
+27.0%
Volume
$12.80
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
+$0.70
+7.5%
$9.30
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.70
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$9.30
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
-$7.84
-39.6%
$32.32
fee: $0.56
No
1mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.84
ROI
-39.6%
Volume
$32.32
fee: $0.56
us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
+$2.59
+25.9%
$22.58
No
1mo ago
us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by
No
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.59
ROI
+25.9%
Volume
$22.58
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
+$16.48
+50.0%
$82.38
Yes
1mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.48
ROI
+50.0%
Volume
$82.38
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
-$28.64
-102.1%
$28.05
fee: $0.59
No
1mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$28.64
ROI
-102.1%
Volume
$28.05
fee: $0.59
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
-$9.00
-64.3%
$19.00
Yes
1mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.00
ROI
-64.3%
Volume
$19.00
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
+$29.05
+207.5%
$57.62
fee: $0.57
Yes
1mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$29.05
ROI
+207.5%
Volume
$57.62
fee: $0.57
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
-$10.77
-100.6%
$10.70
fee: $0.07
Yes
2mo ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.77
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$10.70
fee: $0.07
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
-$14.33
-100.9%
$14.20
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$14.33
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$14.20
fee: $0.13
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
+$0.52
+10.4%
$10.57
fee: $0.05
Up
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$10.57
fee: $0.05
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
-$0.94
-5.3%
$34.66
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.94
ROI
-5.3%
Volume
$34.66
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$0.46
+13.1%
$7.48
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$7.48
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$1.31
+3.7%
$72.90
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.31
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$72.90
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
+$2.23
+12.0%
$39.42
No
2mo ago
No
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.23
ROI
+12.0%
Volume
$39.42
P
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
+$1.23
+14.1%
$18.63
No
2mo ago
P
No
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.23
ROI
+14.1%
Volume
$18.63
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
-$1.90
-11.6%
$30.90
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90
ROI
-11.6%
Volume
$30.90
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$0.04
-0.3%
$26.76
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$26.76
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
+$1.28
+11.6%
$23.36
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.28
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$23.36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$0.40
-10.3%
$7.40
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-10.3%
Volume
$7.40
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
-$27.63
-100.8%
$27.40
fee: $0.23
No
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$27.63
ROI
-100.8%
Volume
$27.40
fee: $0.23
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
-$3.93
-15.7%
$46.63
fee: $0.55
No
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.93
ROI
-15.7%
Volume
$46.63
fee: $0.55
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
-$5.81
-30.3%
$33.00
fee: $0.45
No
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.81
ROI
-30.3%
Volume
$33.00
fee: $0.45
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
-$5.16
-103.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.16
Down
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.16
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.16
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
+$2.90
+11.6%
$25.00
fee: $0.19
Up
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.90
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$25.00
fee: $0.19
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$7.46
+48.0%
$27.84
fee: $0.42
Up
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$7.46
ROI
+48.0%
Volume
$27.84
fee: $0.42
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$0.01
+0.0%
$48.31
fee: $1.22
Down
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$48.31
fee: $1.22
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$2.90
+11.6%
$25.00
fee: $0.19
Down
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.90
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$25.00
fee: $0.19
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$2.73
-9.1%
$58.82
fee: $1.55
Up
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.73
ROI
-9.1%
Volume
$58.82
fee: $1.55
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
+$1.58
+31.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.09
Up
2mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.58
ROI
+31.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.09
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?
-$6.00
-100.0%
$6.00
Yes
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.00
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?
-$6.47
-100.0%
$6.47
Yes
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.47
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.47
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?
-$0.72
-100.0%
$0.72
Yes
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.72
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.72
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$2.68
+15.5%
$17.32
Yes
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.68
ROI
+15.5%
Volume
$17.32
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
+$1.88
+4.3%
$69.88
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.88
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$69.88
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
+$1.06
+11.9%
$8.90
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
No
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.06
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$8.90
fee: $0.04
P
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
+$54.27
+76.4%
$198.46
fee: $2.19
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$54.27
ROI
+76.4%
Volume
$198.46
fee: $2.19
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
-$15.23
-44.4%
$53.30
No
2mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
No
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.23
ROI
-44.4%
Volume
$53.30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
-$6.40
-100.0%
$6.40
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.40
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
+$2.55
+13.6%
$40.04
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
No
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.55
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$40.04
fee: $0.09
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
+$1.84
+10.5%
$37.04
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.84
ROI
+10.5%
Volume
$37.04
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
+$1.62
+4.5%
$53.96
fee: $0.34
Yes
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$53.96
fee: $0.34
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
-$31.99
-101.5%
$31.52
fee: $0.47
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$31.99
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$31.52
fee: $0.47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
+$0.63
+6.3%
$20.62
No
2mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$20.62
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
-$5.22
-3.8%
$269.18
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.22
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$269.18
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$4.84
+7.9%
$126.84
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.84
ROI
+7.9%
Volume
$126.84
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?
+$5.65
+62.8%
$24.00
fee: $0.35
No
2mo ago
No
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.65
ROI
+62.8%
Volume
$24.00
fee: $0.35
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
+$23.26
+77.5%
$83.76
fee: $0.50
Yes
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$23.26
ROI
+77.5%
Volume
$83.76
fee: $0.50
unrestricted-shipping
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
+$3.95
+19.8%
$43.95
No
2mo ago
unrestricted-shipping
No
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.95
ROI
+19.8%
Volume
$43.95
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
-$21.98
-101.8%
$21.60
fee: $0.39
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$21.98
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$21.60
fee: $0.39
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
-$5.84
-103.1%
$5.66
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.84
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$5.66
fee: $0.18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
-$6.78
-102.7%
$6.60
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.78
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$6.60
fee: $0.18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
+$3.85
+18.4%
$20.92
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.85
ROI
+18.4%
Volume
$20.92
fee: $0.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
+$3.70
+18.5%
$20.00
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.70
ROI
+18.5%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.12
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
+$3.06
+9.9%
$65.05
No
2mo ago
No
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.06
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$65.05
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
+$26.67
+30.7%
$86.81
fee: $0.63
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$26.67
ROI
+30.7%
Volume
$86.81
fee: $0.63
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$0.07
+1.4%
$10.06
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$10.06
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
-$20.39
-36.7%
$90.69
Yes
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.39
ROI
-36.7%
Volume
$90.69
P
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
-$17.80
-101.0%
$17.63
fee: $0.17
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$17.80
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$17.63
fee: $0.17
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
+$1.36
+13.6%
$10.00
No
2mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.36
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$10.00
P
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
+$3.78
+37.8%
$10.00
fee: $0.11
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.78
ROI
+37.8%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.11
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
+$1.30
+14.9%
$8.70
No
2mo ago
No
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.30
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$8.70
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
-$0.17
-0.9%
$39.25
fee: $0.42
Yes
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.17
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$39.25
fee: $0.42
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
-$37.11
-100.3%
$37.01
fee: $0.10
No
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$37.11
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$37.01
fee: $0.10
142 Markets
•
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