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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
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Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$2.51K
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729
0x4025c911Cf2...
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Created
June 10, 2026
Active
November 10, 2026
Balance
$387.14
Incoming
+$1.48K
Rewards
+$21.30
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$41.57
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 11
Oct 18
Oct 26
Nov 2
Nov 10
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$642.90
WR: 36.0%
(9/25)
ROI: +62.4%
Finance
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Politics
-$601.33
WR: 28.6%
(2/7)
ROI: -33.0%
Elections
-$601.33
WR: 28.6%
(2/7)
ROI: -33.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$481.28
7.6%
Taker Volume
$5.85K
92.4%
Taker Ratio
92%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$53.31
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
18.2%
Win Rate
18.2%
Volume
$1.22K
Fee
$26.74
2 Wins in 11 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$53.31
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
18.2%
Win Rate
18.2%
Volume
$1.22K
Fee
$26.74
2 Wins in 11 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$53.31
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
18.2%
Win Rate
18.2%
Volume
$1.22K
Fee
$26.74
2 Wins in 11 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$41.57
Rebate:
+$2.73
ROI
1.5%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$6.34K
Fee
$108.95
11 Wins in 33 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 133
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
claude-downtime
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?
+$41.02
+28.7%
$327.00
fee: $6.44
Active
1h ago
claude-downtime
Active
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?
Active 1h ago
PnL
+$41.02
ROI
+28.7%
Volume
$327.00
fee: $6.44
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
—
—
$200.00
fee: $4.44
Active
1h ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Active 1h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$200.00
fee: $4.44
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
—
—
$32.22
fee: $1.18
Active
1h ago
Active
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Active 1h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$32.22
fee: $1.18
chinese-ai-2
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
—
—
$27.60
fee: $0.72
Active
2h ago
chinese-ai-2
Active
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$27.60
fee: $0.72
chinese-ai-2
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
+$12.74
+25.5%
$112.74
fee: $3.17
Active
2h ago
chinese-ai-2
Active
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
+$12.74
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$112.74
fee: $3.17
claude-downtime
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026?
-$0.45
-0.4%
$199.55
fee: $5.58
Active
2h ago
claude-downtime
Active
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$199.55
fee: $5.58
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
—
—
$100.00
fee: $2.62
Active
2h ago
chinese-ai-1
Active
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
fee: $2.62
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?
—
—
$3.40
fee: $0.04
Active
2h ago
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Active
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.40
fee: $0.04
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
—
—
$5.38
fee: $0.21
Active
2h ago
Active
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.38
fee: $0.21
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$101.64
fee: $0.40
Active
2h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$101.64
fee: $0.40
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?
—
—
$113.15
fee: $1.94
Active
2h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$113.15
fee: $1.94
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$204.17
fee: $1.73
Active
7d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$204.17
fee: $1.73
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?
—
—
$48.24
Active
13d ago
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Active
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Active 13d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$48.24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
-$100.00
-100.0%
$100.00
No
15d ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$100.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$100.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
-$150.00
-100.0%
$150.00
No
16d ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$150.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$150.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
-$392.57
-44.9%
$1.37K
fee: $18.55
No
17d ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$392.57
ROI
-44.9%
Volume
$1.37K
fee: $18.55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
-$89.20
-48.8%
$278.27
fee: $2.26
No
18d ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$89.20
ROI
-48.8%
Volume
$278.27
fee: $2.26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
+$18.86
+9.6%
$418.27
fee: $6.93
Yes
19d ago
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$18.86
ROI
+9.6%
Volume
$418.27
fee: $6.93
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?
+$44.56
+23.2%
$435.38
fee: $6.82
Yes
20d ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$44.56
ROI
+23.2%
Volume
$435.38
fee: $6.82
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
—
—
$345.24
fee: $7.58
Active
20d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Active 20d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$345.24
fee: $7.58
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
+$188.15
+313.6%
$60.00
fee: $1.82
No
20d ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$188.15
ROI
+313.6%
Volume
$60.00
fee: $1.82
claude-downtime
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?
+$91.73
+262.1%
$165.80
fee: $4.06
No
22d ago
claude-downtime
No
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$91.73
ROI
+262.1%
Volume
$165.80
fee: $4.06
claude-downtime
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?
+$3.69
+2.6%
$290.34
fee: $6.66
Yes
22d ago
claude-downtime
Yes
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$3.69
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$290.34
fee: $6.66
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?
-$27.74
-46.2%
$95.82
fee: $3.57
Yes
22d ago
Yes
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$27.74
ROI
-46.2%
Volume
$95.82
fee: $3.57
chinese-ai-2
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
—
—
$33.00
fee: $1.10
Active
24d ago
chinese-ai-2
Active
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$33.00
fee: $1.10
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$33.16
-50.2%
$101.61
fee: $2.53
No
24d ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$33.16
ROI
-50.2%
Volume
$101.61
fee: $2.53
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
+$139.32
+53.6%
$502.40
fee: $10.60
Yes
24d ago
Yes
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$139.32
ROI
+53.6%
Volume
$502.40
fee: $10.60
claude-opus-hle-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
+$86.55
+216.4%
$167.64
fee: $1.10
Yes
26d ago
claude-opus-hle-debut
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$86.55
ROI
+216.4%
Volume
$167.64
fee: $1.10
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
+$173.78
+146.5%
$158.73
fee: $3.96
Yes
26d ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$173.78
ROI
+146.5%
Volume
$158.73
fee: $3.96
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
-$30.52
-101.7%
$30.00
fee: $0.52
No
27d ago
No
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$30.52
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.52
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
+$64.80
+117.8%
$55.00
fee: $0.20
No
28d ago
No
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$64.80
ROI
+117.8%
Volume
$55.00
fee: $0.20
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?
—
—
$55.60
fee: $0.99
Active
28d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?
Active 28d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$55.60
fee: $0.99
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
—
—
$43.00
fee: $1.22
Active
28d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
Active 28d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$43.00
fee: $1.22
P
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?
-$7.41
-10.6%
$136.42
fee: $3.83
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$7.41
ROI
-10.6%
Volume
$136.42
fee: $3.83
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
-$203.83
-101.9%
$200.00
fee: $3.83
No
1mo ago
No
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$203.83
ROI
-101.9%
Volume
$200.00
fee: $3.83
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$31.41
-30.9%
$176.91
fee: $4.94
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$31.41
ROI
-30.9%
Volume
$176.91
fee: $4.94
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
-$30.39
-101.3%
$30.00
fee: $0.39
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$30.39
ROI
-101.3%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.39
P
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?
+$108.46
+49.3%
$299.46
fee: $6.08
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$108.46
ROI
+49.3%
Volume
$299.46
fee: $6.08
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
-$15.43
-10.3%
$289.65
fee: $5.09
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$15.43
ROI
-10.3%
Volume
$289.65
fee: $5.09
P
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
+$30.82
+106.6%
$88.64
fee: $0.74
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$30.82
ROI
+106.6%
Volume
$88.64
fee: $0.74
P
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
+$2.63
+263.2%
$4.63
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.63
ROI
+263.2%
Volume
$4.63
fee: $0.03
P
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
+$211.20
+328.0%
$339.98
fee: $1.85
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$211.20
ROI
+328.0%
Volume
$339.98
fee: $1.85
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?
+$3.15
+12.6%
$78.15
fee: $2.63
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.15
ROI
+12.6%
Volume
$78.15
fee: $2.63
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
-$0.69
-6.9%
$20.00
fee: $0.69
No
1mo ago
No
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.69
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.69
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$62.02
-52.8%
$179.79
fee: $6.85
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$62.02
ROI
-52.8%
Volume
$179.79
fee: $6.85
third-best-ai-company
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
+$122.37
+116.5%
$105.00
fee: $2.28
Yes
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Yes
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$122.37
ROI
+116.5%
Volume
$105.00
fee: $2.28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
-$1.35
-6.7%
$39.90
fee: $1.24
No
1mo ago
No
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$1.35
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$39.90
fee: $1.24
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
+$1.74
+6.0%
$61.51
fee: $1.85
No
1mo ago
No
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$61.51
fee: $1.85
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
+$50.99
+509.9%
$25.08
fee: $0.35
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$50.99
ROI
+509.9%
Volume
$25.08
fee: $0.35
Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
+$51.06
+392.8%
$77.57
fee: $0.52
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$51.06
ROI
+392.8%
Volume
$77.57
fee: $0.52
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
-$13.13
-52.5%
$57.87
fee: $1.32
Active
1mo ago
Active
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$13.13
ROI
-52.5%
Volume
$57.87
fee: $1.32
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
+$42.78
+85.6%
$143.87
fee: $1.10
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$42.78
ROI
+85.6%
Volume
$143.87
fee: $1.10
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
-$9.62
-96.2%
$10.81
fee: $0.42
No
1mo ago
No
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.62
ROI
-96.2%
Volume
$10.81
fee: $0.42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
-$22.01
-57.8%
$56.19
fee: $1.98
No
1mo ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$22.01
ROI
-57.8%
Volume
$56.19
fee: $1.98
P
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$41.48
-103.7%
$40.00
fee: $1.48
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$41.48
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $1.48
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$10.40
-104.0%
$10.00
fee: $0.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.40
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.40
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$56.16
-104.0%
$54.00
fee: $2.16
No
1mo ago
No
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$56.16
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$54.00
fee: $2.16
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
+$10.68
+35.6%
$72.54
fee: $1.86
No
1mo ago
No
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$10.68
ROI
+35.6%
Volume
$72.54
fee: $1.86
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
+$19.43
+149.5%
$45.43
fee: $0.87
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$19.43
ROI
+149.5%
Volume
$45.43
fee: $0.87
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
+$29.76
+74.4%
$109.76
fee: $1.89
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$29.76
ROI
+74.4%
Volume
$109.76
fee: $1.89
Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?
+$211.43
+64.2%
$329.36
fee: $5.02
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$211.43
ROI
+64.2%
Volume
$329.36
fee: $5.02
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
+$77.27
+257.6%
$30.00
fee: $0.81
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$77.27
ROI
+257.6%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.81
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
-$592.04
-53.6%
$1.65K
fee: $30.20
No
1mo ago
No
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$592.04
ROI
-53.6%
Volume
$1.65K
fee: $30.20
Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
-$61.98
-103.3%
$60.00
fee: $1.98
No
1mo ago
No
Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$61.98
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$60.00
fee: $1.98
Will Rayssa Furlan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
-$20.63
-103.2%
$20.00
fee: $0.63
No
1mo ago
No
Will Rayssa Furlan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.63
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.63
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
-$2.31
-4.6%
$100.31
fee: $2.61
No
1mo ago
No
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.31
ROI
-4.6%
Volume
$100.31
fee: $2.61
Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
+$254.82
+335.3%
$76.00
fee: $2.13
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$254.82
ROI
+335.3%
Volume
$76.00
fee: $2.13
Will Petecão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?
-$10.38
-103.8%
$10.00
fee: $0.38
No
1mo ago
No
Will Petecão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.38
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.38
Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
-$10.38
-103.8%
$10.00
fee: $0.38
No
1mo ago
No
Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.38
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.38
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
-$15.54
-103.6%
$15.00
fee: $0.54
No
1mo ago
No
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$15.54
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.54
Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
+$35.41
+177.0%
$20.00
fee: $0.51
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$35.41
ROI
+177.0%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.51
Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?
-$10.34
-103.4%
$10.00
fee: $0.34
No
1mo ago
No
Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.34
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.34
P
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
-$15.58
-103.9%
$15.00
fee: $0.58
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.58
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.58
P
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$35.36
-39.3%
$148.94
fee: $4.30
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$35.36
ROI
-39.3%
Volume
$148.94
fee: $4.30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
-$78.05
-18.7%
$784.90
fee: $26.77
No
1mo ago
No
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$78.05
ROI
-18.7%
Volume
$784.90
fee: $26.77
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
-$44.60
-29.8%
$261.40
fee: $6.41
No
1mo ago
No
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$44.60
ROI
-29.8%
Volume
$261.40
fee: $6.41
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
-$73.27
-101.8%
$72.00
fee: $1.27
No
1mo ago
No
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$73.27
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$72.00
fee: $1.27
Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
-$41.28
-103.2%
$40.00
fee: $1.28
No
1mo ago
No
Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$41.28
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $1.28
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?
+$140.78
+81.9%
$486.39
fee: $1.60
No
1mo ago
No
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$140.78
ROI
+81.9%
Volume
$486.39
fee: $1.60
Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
-$30.96
-103.2%
$30.00
fee: $0.96
No
1mo ago
No
Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$30.96
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.96
P
Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$15.55
-103.7%
$15.00
fee: $0.55
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.55
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.55
P
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$10.37
-103.7%
$10.00
fee: $0.37
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.37
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.37
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$10.40
-104.0%
$10.00
fee: $0.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.40
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.40
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
+$143.72
+1048.3%
$171.62
fee: $0.49
No
1mo ago
No
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$143.72
ROI
+1048.3%
Volume
$171.62
fee: $0.49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?
+$71.63
+257.0%
$128.20
fee: $0.84
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$71.63
ROI
+257.0%
Volume
$128.20
fee: $0.84
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
+$40.15
+58.3%
$179.72
fee: $1.85
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$40.15
ROI
+58.3%
Volume
$179.72
fee: $1.85
Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
-$12.20
-81.4%
$18.37
fee: $0.57
No
1mo ago
No
Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$12.20
ROI
-81.4%
Volume
$18.37
fee: $0.57
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?
-$1.04
-104.0%
$1.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.04
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.04
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
+$2.60
+21.6%
$27.00
fee: $0.40
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$2.60
ROI
+21.6%
Volume
$27.00
fee: $0.40
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
+$3.14
+62.9%
$13.30
fee: $0.16
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.14
ROI
+62.9%
Volume
$13.30
fee: $0.16
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
+$8.80
+89.7%
$28.65
fee: $0.23
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$8.80
ROI
+89.7%
Volume
$28.65
fee: $0.23
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
+$21.56
+51.3%
$106.34
fee: $0.80
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$21.56
ROI
+51.3%
Volume
$106.34
fee: $0.80
Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
-$30.94
-103.1%
$30.00
fee: $0.94
No
1mo ago
No
Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$30.94
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.94
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
-$1.34
-21.1%
$11.75
fee: $0.44
No
1mo ago
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
No
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.34
ROI
-21.1%
Volume
$11.75
fee: $0.44
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
+$17.92
+119.5%
$49.50
fee: $1.58
No
1mo ago
No
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$17.92
ROI
+119.5%
Volume
$49.50
fee: $1.58
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
-$3.12
-103.9%
$3.00
fee: $0.12
No
1mo ago
No
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.12
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$3.00
fee: $0.12
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?
+$0.11
+1.1%
$20.90
fee: $0.79
No
1mo ago
No
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$20.90
fee: $0.79
Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
-$22.28
-49.0%
$70.62
fee: $2.04
No
1mo ago
No
Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$22.28
ROI
-49.0%
Volume
$70.62
fee: $2.04
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
-$2.87
-26.1%
$19.37
fee: $0.25
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.87
ROI
-26.1%
Volume
$19.37
fee: $0.25
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
-$9.08
-45.7%
$31.68
fee: $1.04
No
1mo ago
No
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.08
ROI
-45.7%
Volume
$31.68
fee: $1.04
133 Markets
•
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