Manzana698Manzana698

View on Polymarket

Created January 10, 2026

Active September 24, 2026

Balance$1.31

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$301.31

Aug 31

Sep 8

Sep 15

Sep 23

Sep 30

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Economy+$529.52

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +73.3%

Politics+$529.52

WR: 33.3%(1/3)

ROI: +73.3%

Elections+$0.00

WR: 0.0%(0/1)

ROI: +0.0%

Geopolitics-$228.22

WR: 0.0%(0/4)

ROI: -8.8%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$0.00

0.0%

Taker Volume$14.12K

100.0%

Taker Ratio

100%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

-$228.22

ROI

-8.8%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$7.33K

Fee

$6.61

0 Wins in 2 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$301.31

ROI

9.1%

Win Rate

16.7%

Volume

$14.12K

Fee

$22.15

1 Wins in 6 Markets

Recent Markets | total 42

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

house-odds-deriv

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

—

fee: $6.61

Active

5d ago

house-odds-deriv

Active

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Active 5d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $6.61

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

-$228.22

-8.8%

Active

5d ago

Active

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Active 5d ago

PnL-$228.22

ROI-8.8%

Volume

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?

—

Active

13d ago

Active

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?

Active 13d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

+$529.52

+73.3%

fee: $15.53

Yes

28d ago

fomc

Yes

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Settled 13d ago

PnL+$529.52

ROI+73.3%

Volumefee: $15.53

Iran leadership change by October 31?

—

Active

28d ago

Active

Iran leadership change by October 31?

Active 28d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

—

Active

28d ago

Active

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Active 28d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

+$120.18

+10.0%

Active

1mo ago

Active

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$120.18

ROI+10.0%

Volume

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Iran leadership change by August 31?

+$208.93

+4.6%

1mo ago

Iran leadership change by August 31?

Settled 29d ago

PnL+$208.93

ROI+4.6%

Volume

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

+$26.33

+3.7%

2mo ago

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Settled 29d ago

PnL+$26.33

ROI+3.7%

Volume

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

+$144.27

+8.0%

2mo ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Settled 29d ago

PnL+$144.27

ROI+8.0%

Volume

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

+$136.67

+9.1%

2mo ago

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$136.67

ROI+9.1%

Volume

Iran leadership change by July 31?

+$31.40

+4.0%

2mo ago

Iran leadership change by July 31?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$31.40

ROI+4.0%

Volume

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

+$1.11

+0.1%

2mo ago

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$1.11

ROI+0.1%

Volume

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

-$4.29

-0.4%

2mo ago

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$4.29

ROI-0.4%

Volume

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

+$126.11

+14.2%

Active

2mo ago

Active

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL+$126.11

ROI+14.2%

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

+$178.92

+8.5%

Yes

2mo ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Yes

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$178.92

ROI+8.5%

Volume

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?

+$52.25

+3.5%

3mo ago

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$52.25

ROI+3.5%

Volume

which-countries-recognize-israel

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

-$120.32

-7.0%

3mo ago

which-countries-recognize-israel

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$120.32

ROI-7.0%

Volume

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

-$102.00

-2.2%

3mo ago

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$102.00

ROI-2.2%

Volume

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

+$24.55

+1.6%

3mo ago

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$24.55

ROI+1.6%

Volume

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

-$458.60

-21.4%

Yes

3mo ago

Yes

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$458.60

ROI-21.4%

Volume

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

+$92.98

+6.4%

3mo ago

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$92.98

ROI+6.4%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

-$1.26K

-100.0%

Yes

3mo ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$1.26K

ROI-100.0%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

+$453.44

+45.3%

Yes

3mo ago

nuclear-deal

Yes

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$453.44

ROI+45.3%

Volume

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

+$49.49

+2.2%

3mo ago

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$49.49

ROI+2.2%

Volume

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

+$204.10

+5.2%

4mo ago

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$204.10

ROI+5.2%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

+$628.42

+11.4%

4mo ago

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$628.42

ROI+11.4%

Volume

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

+$22.55

+1.1%

4mo ago

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$22.55

ROI+1.1%

Volume

enrichment-of-uranium

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

+$77.26

+4.2%

4mo ago

enrichment-of-uranium

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$77.26

ROI+4.2%

Volume

unrestricted-shipping

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

+$192.50

+12.8%

4mo ago

unrestricted-shipping

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$192.50

ROI+12.8%

Volume

fraukger-strike-iran

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

+$56.38

+1.4%

4mo ago

fraukger-strike-iran

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$56.38

ROI+1.4%

Volume

Iran leadership change by May 31?

+$66.38

+3.9%

4mo ago

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$66.38

ROI+3.9%

Volume

iran-regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

-$43.48

-100.0%

4mo ago

iran-regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$43.48

ROI-100.0%

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

-$22.22

-100.0%

4mo ago

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$22.22

ROI-100.0%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

+$6.68

+7.0%

4mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$6.68

ROI+7.0%

Volume

iran-regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

+$47.09

+1.5%

4mo ago

iran-regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$47.09

ROI+1.5%

Volume

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

-$119.65

-103.7%

fee: $4.24

4mo ago

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$119.65

ROI-103.7%

Volumefee: $4.24

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

-$288.13

-100.0%

4mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$288.13

ROI-100.0%

Volume

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

+$530.62

+147.6%

fee: $8.63

Yes

4mo ago

Yes

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$530.62

ROI+147.6%

Volumefee: $8.63

where-us-iran-meeting

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

-$11.10

-100.0%

5mo ago

where-us-iran-meeting

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$11.10

ROI-100.0%

Volume

42 Markets