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PolyPnL
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Mempool
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powered by
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51
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Created
N/A
Active
September 8, 2026
Balance
$0.03
Incoming
+$2.07K
Rewards
+$0.55
Outgoing
-$1.46K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$6.97
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 22
Aug 29
Sep 6
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Elections
+$8.51
WR: 100.0%
(3/3)
ROI: +40.2%
Crypto
+$5.79
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +35.1%
Pop Culture
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Finance
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/5)
ROI: +0.0%
Geopolitics
-$7.34
WR: 45.2%
(14/31)
ROI: -0.8%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$1.91K
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$61.04
ROI
44.1%
Win Rate
60.0%
Volume
$458.04
Fee
$0.21
3 Wins in 5 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$6.97
ROI
0.8%
Win Rate
43.9%
Volume
$1.91K
Fee
$2.16
18 Wins in 41 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 98
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$41.54
fee: $0.21
Active
4d ago
P
Active
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$41.54
fee: $0.21
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
+$27.35
+40.9%
$213.66
Active
5d ago
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$27.35
ROI
+40.9%
Volume
$213.66
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
+$31.37
+58.6%
$138.53
Active
5d ago
Active
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$31.37
ROI
+58.6%
Volume
$138.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
—
—
$7.73
Active
6d ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.73
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
+$2.33
+13.0%
$56.59
Active
6d ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$2.33
ROI
+13.0%
Volume
$56.59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
-$1.50
-15.2%
$18.18
Active
8d ago
Active
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-15.2%
Volume
$18.18
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
—
—
$5.27
Active
12d ago
Active
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
Active 12d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
—
—
$70.39
Active
12d ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Active 12d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$70.39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
+$4.66
+89.7%
$15.04
No
12d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$4.66
ROI
+89.7%
Volume
$15.04
Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
+$0.16
+1.5%
$11.02
fee: $0.01
No
14d ago
No
Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$11.02
fee: $0.01
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
+$5.79
+35.1%
$16.50
fee: $0.31
No
14d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$5.79
ROI
+35.1%
Volume
$16.50
fee: $0.31
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
+$2.92
+80.0%
$3.65
fee: $0.07
Yes
15d ago
Yes
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$2.92
ROI
+80.0%
Volume
$3.65
fee: $0.07
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
+$5.43
+83.3%
$6.52
fee: $0.12
No
15d ago
No
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$5.43
ROI
+83.3%
Volume
$6.52
fee: $0.12
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
-$32.30
-93.8%
$36.56
No
16d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$32.30
ROI
-93.8%
Volume
$36.56
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
+$6.34
+39.3%
$47.94
Active
16d ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$6.34
ROI
+39.3%
Volume
$47.94
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
—
—
$1.41
Active
17d ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.41
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
—
—
$2.22
Active
17d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.22
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$4.16
Active
17d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.16
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$0.11
-0.4%
$35.36
No
18d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$35.36
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$8.74
Yes
18d ago
Yes
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$8.74
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
-$37.83
-73.6%
$64.91
No
20d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$37.83
ROI
-73.6%
Volume
$64.91
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
—
—
$16.79
fee: $0.44
Active
20d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Active 20d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.79
fee: $0.44
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
+$0.02
+0.2%
$11.44
Yes
21d ago
Yes
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$11.44
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
+$6.37
+76.8%
$31.23
Active
21d ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Active 21d ago
PnL
+$6.37
ROI
+76.8%
Volume
$31.23
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
—
—
$15.97
fee: $0.51
Active
22d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Active 22d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$15.97
fee: $0.51
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$17.80
fee: $0.16
Active
22d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Active 22d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$17.80
fee: $0.16
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
-$14.78
-75.5%
$24.36
No
23d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$14.78
ROI
-75.5%
Volume
$24.36
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
—
—
$3.08
fee: $0.11
Active
25d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.08
fee: $0.11
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
—
—
$11.93
fee: $0.22
Active
25d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.93
fee: $0.22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$41.00
Active
25d ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$41.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
+$30.08
+25.3%
$119.07
No
26d ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$30.08
ROI
+25.3%
Volume
$119.07
P
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
-$58.53
-94.5%
$65.37
No
26d ago
P
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$58.53
ROI
-94.5%
Volume
$65.37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
-$11.91
-38.6%
$49.71
No
26d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$11.91
ROI
-38.6%
Volume
$49.71
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?
+$0.04
+0.6%
$6.50
No
26d ago
No
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$6.50
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$30.56
+23.1%
$295.45
No
27d ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$30.56
ROI
+23.1%
Volume
$295.45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
+$4.71
+7.0%
$138.89
Active
27d ago
Active
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Active 27d ago
PnL
+$4.71
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$138.89
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
-$3.09
-100.0%
$3.09
No
28d ago
No
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$3.09
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
+$0.07
+1.3%
$10.78
Active
28d ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Active 28d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$10.78
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
+$16.46
+13.5%
$208.43
No
28d ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$16.46
ROI
+13.5%
Volume
$208.43
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
-$7.63
-100.0%
$7.63
No
28d ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$7.63
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.63
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
—
—
$29.07
Active
29d ago
Active
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$29.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$83.91
-70.2%
$155.21
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
-$83.91
ROI
-70.2%
Volume
$155.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
-$6.29
-100.0%
$6.29
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$6.29
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.29
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$0.43
+1.6%
$55.93
Active
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$55.93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
+$1.08
+15.8%
$14.83
Active
1mo ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+15.8%
Volume
$14.83
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$14.52
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$29.46
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$29.46
P
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$11.71
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.71
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$0.14
+1.7%
$15.82
Active
1mo ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$15.82
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?
-$11.96
-100.0%
$11.96
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$11.96
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$11.96
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
+$19.35
+33.8%
$133.77
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$19.35
ROI
+33.8%
Volume
$133.77
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?
-$2.98
-100.0%
$2.98
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.98
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.98
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
-$0.02
-0.9%
$5.46
Active
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$5.46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?
+$0.11
+1.0%
$11.14
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$11.14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
-$4.61
-100.0%
$4.61
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.61
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.61
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
+$0.77
+13.5%
$36.73
Active
1mo ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.77
ROI
+13.5%
Volume
$36.73
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
-$36.40
-74.7%
$61.02
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$36.40
ROI
-74.7%
Volume
$61.02
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
—
—
$96.51
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$96.51
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
-$18.16
-100.0%
$18.16
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$18.16
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$18.16
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
+$4.35
+33.6%
$30.24
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.35
ROI
+33.6%
Volume
$30.24
Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?
+$0.14
+1.2%
$11.81
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$11.81
fee: $0.01
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
+$7.27
+8.5%
$178.98
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$7.27
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$178.98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
+$7.55
+21.6%
$77.32
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.55
ROI
+21.6%
Volume
$77.32
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
+$13.99
+67.2%
$20.82
No
1mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
No
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$13.99
ROI
+67.2%
Volume
$20.82
P
gas-price-hits
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?
+$0.27
+3.0%
$9.13
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
gas-price-hits
No
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$9.13
fee: $0.01
P
gas-price-hits
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?
+$0.23
+3.0%
$7.59
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
gas-price-hits
No
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$7.59
fee: $0.01
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
+$3.02
+28.3%
$24.38
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.02
ROI
+28.3%
Volume
$24.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
+$18.02
+33.0%
$54.56
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$18.02
ROI
+33.0%
Volume
$54.56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
+$1.08
+17.6%
$6.10
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$6.10
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$35.27
+40.3%
$142.63
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$35.27
ROI
+40.3%
Volume
$142.63
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
-$4.37
-17.4%
$45.87
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.37
ROI
-17.4%
Volume
$45.87
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
+$1.34
+12.9%
$10.38
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$1.34
ROI
+12.9%
Volume
$10.38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$10.27
+8.0%
$128.71
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$10.27
ROI
+8.0%
Volume
$128.71
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
—
—
$34.33
fee: $0.69
Active
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$34.33
fee: $0.69
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
+$16.31
+5.7%
$573.70
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.31
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$573.70
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
-$2.99
-25.8%
$20.14
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.99
ROI
-25.8%
Volume
$20.14
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
+$4.62
+355.7%
$7.22
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.62
ROI
+355.7%
Volume
$7.22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
+$4.13
+2.7%
$153.26
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.13
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$153.26
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
+$3.41
+9.5%
$52.37
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.41
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$52.37
gas-price-hits
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?
+$0.66
+5.1%
$13.01
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
gas-price-hits
No
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$13.01
fee: $0.03
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
-$7.09
-38.7%
$29.85
fee: $0.33
No
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.09
ROI
-38.7%
Volume
$29.85
fee: $0.33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
+$0.61
+6.4%
$9.50
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.61
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$9.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
+$0.43
+8.1%
$11.12
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+8.1%
Volume
$11.12
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
+$0.06
+1.6%
$3.66
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$3.66
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
-$8.52
-100.0%
$8.52
No
1mo ago
P
No
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.52
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$8.52
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?
+$0.28
+5.3%
$5.29
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$5.29
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
+$17.57
+15.7%
$111.58
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$17.57
ROI
+15.7%
Volume
$111.58
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
+$0.19
+3.2%
$5.87
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
No
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$5.87
fee: $0.01
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
-$1.49
-17.7%
$15.51
fee: $0.12
Yes
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.49
ROI
-17.7%
Volume
$15.51
fee: $0.12
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
+$0.48
+5.2%
$9.31
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+5.2%
Volume
$9.31
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?
+$0.99
+5.6%
$17.77
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.99
ROI
+5.6%
Volume
$17.77
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$4.42
-49.3%
$13.50
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.42
ROI
-49.3%
Volume
$13.50
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
—
—
$16.94
fee: $0.37
Active
2mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.94
fee: $0.37
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
+$1.43
+14.9%
$9.60
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.43
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$9.60
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
-$2.74
-100.0%
$2.74
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.74
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.74
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
+$0.40
+4.3%
$9.32
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$9.32
fee: $0.02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$2.78
Active
2mo ago
Active
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.78
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
—
—
$3.19
Active
2mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.19
98 Markets