8daniel88daniel8

View on Polymarket

Created March 20, 2026

Active November 9, 2026

Balance$3.45K

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL-$2.10K

Oct 11

Oct 18

Oct 26

Nov 2

Nov 10

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Economy-$1.75K

WR: 20.0%(2/10)

ROI: -2.8%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$135.33K

95.9%

Taker Volume$5.84K

4.1%

Taker Ratio

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

-$191.00

Rebate:

ROI

-1.8%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$22.98K

Fee

$14.47

0 Wins in 1 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$191.00

Rebate:

ROI

-1.8%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$22.98K

Fee

$14.47

0 Wins in 1 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

-$566.25

Rebate:

ROI

-2.8%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$41.46K

Fee

$56.84

0 Wins in 3 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

-$2.10K

Rebate:

ROI

-3.0%

Win Rate

18.2%

Volume

$141.17K

Fee

$119.80

2 Wins in 11 Markets

Recent Markets | total 77

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

fed-rate-hike

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

-$191.00

-1.8%

fee: $14.47

Active

11h ago

fed-rate-hike

Active

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Active 11h ago

PnL-$191.00

ROI-1.8%

Volumefee: $14.47

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

-$348.44

-3.9%

fee: $42.37

Active

4d ago

Active

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Active 4d ago

PnL-$348.44

ROI-3.9%

Volumefee: $42.37

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

-$26.80

-4.6%

Active

4d ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Active 4d ago

PnL-$26.80

ROI-4.6%

Volume

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?

+$2.88

+1.9%

Active

10d ago

fomc

Active

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?

Active 10d ago

PnL+$2.88

ROI+1.9%

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

+$6.26

+2.0%

Active

11d ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Active 11d ago

PnL+$6.26

ROI+2.0%

Volume

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

-$23.18

-52.1%

No change

15d ago

No change

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

Settled 13d ago

PnL-$23.18

ROI-52.1%

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

-$20.27

-6.1%

Active

18d ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Active 18d ago

PnL-$20.27

ROI-6.1%

Volume

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

-$7.05

-3.1%

Active

18d ago

fomc

Active

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Active 18d ago

PnL-$7.05

ROI-3.1%

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

-$30.78

-1.3%

Active

18d ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Active 18d ago

PnL-$30.78

ROI-1.3%

Volume

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

-$943.21

-3.9%

fee: $6.67

Yes

18d ago

fomc

Yes

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$943.21

ROI-3.9%

Volumefee: $6.67

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

-$514.67

-2.2%

fee: $56.29

18d ago

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$514.67

ROI-2.2%

Volumefee: $56.29

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

+$19.36

+3.6%

Active

1mo ago

fomc

Active

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$19.36

ROI+3.6%

Volume

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

-$542.61

-14.7%

fee: $12.40

1mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$542.61

ROI-14.7%

Volumefee: $12.40

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

-$76.79

-7.6%

fee: $22.33

Active

1mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Active

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Active 1mo ago

PnL-$76.79

ROI-7.6%

Volumefee: $22.33

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

-$4.76

-2.8%

Active

1mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Active

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Active 1mo ago

PnL-$4.76

ROI-2.8%

Volume

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

-$205.30

-19.2%

1mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$205.30

ROI-19.2%

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

-$8.96

-20.0%

fee: $1.56

Active

1mo ago

fomc

Active

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Active 1mo ago

PnL-$8.96

ROI-20.0%

Volumefee: $1.56

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

+$22.03

+2.8%

1mo ago

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$22.03

ROI+2.8%

Volume

fed-rate-hike

Fed rate hike in 2026?

-$1.26K

-4.6%

fee: $39.65

Yes

1mo ago

fed-rate-hike

Yes

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$1.26K

ROI-4.6%

Volumefee: $39.65

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

-$333.53

-2.8%

fee: $9.72

Yes

1mo ago

fed-rate-hike

Yes

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$333.53

ROI-2.8%

Volumefee: $9.72

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

-$479.90

-2.7%

fee: $3.37

Yes

1mo ago

fomc

Yes

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$479.90

ROI-2.7%

Volumefee: $3.37

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

-$962.34

-5.0%

fee: $45.38

Yes

1mo ago

fed-rate-hike

Yes

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$962.34

ROI-5.0%

Volumefee: $45.38

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

-$48.82

-1.2%

fee: $15.04

2mo ago

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$48.82

ROI-1.2%

Volumefee: $15.04

fomc

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

-$2.56

-0.9%

2mo ago

fomc

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$2.56

ROI-0.9%

Volume

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

-$97.74

-1.0%

Active

2mo ago

Active

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL-$97.74

ROI-1.0%

Volume

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?

-$186.59

-13.8%

Active

2mo ago

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Active

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL-$186.59

ROI-13.8%

Volume

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

+$14.28

+0.2%

Active

2mo ago

Active

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL+$14.28

ROI+0.2%

Volume

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

-$603.08

-8.1%

fee: $14.52

Yes

3mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Yes

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$603.08

ROI-8.1%

Volumefee: $14.52

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

-$395.31

-8.2%

fee: $2.32

3mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$395.31

ROI-8.2%

Volumefee: $2.32

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

-$640.53

-9.2%

fee: $30.19

Yes

3mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Yes

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$640.53

ROI-9.2%

Volumefee: $30.19

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

-$277.88

-10.0%

fee: $2.25

3mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$277.88

ROI-10.0%

Volumefee: $2.25

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

-$219.93

-7.8%

fee: $13.44

Yes

3mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Yes

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$219.93

ROI-7.8%

Volumefee: $13.44

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

-$27.94

-14.2%

fee: $0.08

Active

3mo ago

Active

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

Active 3mo ago

PnL-$27.94

ROI-14.2%

Volumefee: $0.08

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

-$181.49

-3.2%

fee: $10.10

3mo ago

fed-rate-hike

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$181.49

ROI-3.2%

Volumefee: $10.10

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

+$339.33

+10.9%

fee: $64.26

3mo ago

fomc

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$339.33

ROI+10.9%

Volumefee: $64.26

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

+$121.81

+0.9%

fee: $2.30

Yes

3mo ago

fomc

Yes

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$121.81

ROI+0.9%

Volumefee: $2.30

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

-$452.10

-14.0%

fee: $0.27

3mo ago

fed-3-parlay

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$452.10

ROI-14.0%

Volumefee: $0.27

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

+$9.17

+0.7%

3mo ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$9.17

ROI+0.7%

Volume

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

-$57.92

-2.3%

Active

3mo ago

Active

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Active 3mo ago

PnL-$57.92

ROI-2.3%

Volume

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

-$149.63

-18.2%

Active

3mo ago

Active

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Active 3mo ago

PnL-$149.63

ROI-18.2%

Volume

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

-$39.04

-3.8%

Active

3mo ago

Active

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Active 3mo ago

PnL-$39.04

ROI-3.8%

Volume

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

+$145.16

+10.3%

3mo ago

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$145.16

ROI+10.3%

Volume

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

-$3.74

-2.2%

fee: $0.09

Active

4mo ago

Active

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Active 4mo ago

PnL-$3.74

ROI-2.2%

Volumefee: $0.09

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

-$11.16

-3.5%

Active

4mo ago

Active

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Active 4mo ago

PnL-$11.16

ROI-3.5%

Volume

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

-$0.15

-0.1%

Active

4mo ago

Active

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Active 4mo ago

PnL-$0.15

ROI-0.1%

Volume

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

-$20.56

-3.8%

fee: $0.34

Active

4mo ago

Active

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Active 4mo ago

PnL-$20.56

ROI-3.8%

Volumefee: $0.34

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

+$15.82

+0.8%

4mo ago

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL+$15.82

ROI+0.8%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

+$20.81

+0.8%

Active

4mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Active 4mo ago

PnL+$20.81

ROI+0.8%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

-$253.34

-5.2%

4mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$253.34

ROI-5.2%

Volume

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

-$88.19

-4.4%

Active

4mo ago

Active

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Active 4mo ago

PnL-$88.19

ROI-4.4%

Volume

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

-$172.72

-18.9%

4mo ago

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$172.72

ROI-18.9%

Volume

fomc

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

-$1.46

-0.0%

4mo ago

fomc

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Settled 3mo ago

PnL-$1.46

ROI-0.0%

Volume

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

-$21.47

-2.3%

fee: $3.95

Active

5mo ago

Active

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Active 5mo ago

PnL-$21.47

ROI-2.3%

Volumefee: $3.95

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

-$48.14

-1.1%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$48.14

ROI-1.1%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

+$247.53

+4.6%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL+$247.53

ROI+4.6%

Volume

us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

-$79.69

-8.3%

Yes

5mo ago

us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting

Yes

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$79.69

ROI-8.3%

Volume

us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

-$132.19

-3.2%

Yes

5mo ago

us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting

Yes

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$132.19

ROI-3.2%

Volume

egg-prices-monthly

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

-$82.92

-15.2%

fee: $0.06

Yes

5mo ago

egg-prices-monthly

Yes

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$82.92

ROI-15.2%

Volumefee: $0.06

us-monthly-inflation

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?

-$11.71

-2.7%

fee: $0.23

5mo ago

us-monthly-inflation

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$11.71

ROI-2.7%

Volumefee: $0.23

egg-prices-monthly

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?

-$189.06

-12.5%

fee: $4.70

5mo ago

egg-prices-monthly

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$189.06

ROI-12.5%

Volumefee: $4.70

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

-$230.45

-4.0%

Yes

5mo ago

nuclear-deal

Yes

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$230.45

ROI-4.0%

Volume

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

-$12.02

-3.4%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$12.02

ROI-3.4%

Volume

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

-$248.44

-10.2%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$248.44

ROI-10.2%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

-$53.34

-5.6%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$53.34

ROI-5.6%

Volume

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

-$141.32

-29.4%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$141.32

ROI-29.4%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

-$66.46

-2.6%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$66.46

ROI-2.6%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

-$63.48

-4.3%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$63.48

ROI-4.3%

Volume

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

-$1.09K

-42.6%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Settled 4mo ago

PnL-$1.09K

ROI-42.6%

Volume

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

-$76.00

-27.4%

fee: $1.64

Active

5mo ago

Active

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Active 5mo ago

PnL-$76.00

ROI-27.4%

Volumefee: $1.64

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

-$159.70

-9.0%

5mo ago

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$159.70

ROI-9.0%

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

-$11.18

-8.3%

Yes

5mo ago

Yes

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$11.18

ROI-8.3%

Volume

us-monthly-inflation

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?

-$21.26

-5.0%

Yes

5mo ago

us-monthly-inflation

Yes

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$21.26

ROI-5.0%

Volume

us-annual-inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

+$5.75

+2.0%

Yes

5mo ago

us-annual-inflation

Yes

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL+$5.75

ROI+2.0%

Volume

us-annual-inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?

-$54.38

-15.4%

5mo ago

us-annual-inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$54.38

ROI-15.4%

Volume

us-annual-inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

-$6.30

-1.8%

5mo ago

us-annual-inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

Settled 5mo ago

PnL-$6.30

ROI-1.8%

Volume

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

-$82.36

-41.2%

Active

5mo ago

Active

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Active 5mo ago

PnL-$82.36

ROI-41.2%

Volume

us-recession-by

US recession by end of 2026?

-$0.83

-8.3%

fee: $0.74

Active

5mo ago

us-recession-by

Active

US recession by end of 2026?

Active 5mo ago

PnL-$0.83

ROI-8.3%

Volumefee: $0.74

77 Markets