weather-alpha.con

weather-alpha...

@weatheralpha888View on Polymarket
Created June 22, 2026
Active November 11, 2026
Balance$2.65K

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$684.76
Oct 12
Oct 19
Oct 27
Nov 3
Nov 11

Top Categories

Last 30 Days
Weather+$744.49
WR: 88.0%(140/159)
ROI: +1.8%
Tweets+$145.91
WR: 66.7%(10/15)
ROI: +1.1%
Pop Culture+$145.91
WR: 66.7%(10/15)
ROI: +1.1%
Sports-$0.12
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: -6.3%
Geopolitics-$27.35
WR: 18.2%(2/11)
ROI: -1.4%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days
Maker Volume$43.43K
45.3%
Taker Volume$52.44K
54.7%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

-$239.05
Rebate:

ROI

-3.1%

Win Rate

41.7%

Volume

$16.96K

Fee

$30.98

5 Wins in 12 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$69.08
Rebate:

ROI

-0.6%

Win Rate

42.1%

Volume

$24.14K

Fee

$35.92

8 Wins in 19 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$25.63
Rebate:

ROI

0.1%

Win Rate

41.0%

Volume

$38.13K

Fee

$61.06

16 Wins in 39 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$684.76
Rebate:

ROI

1.1%

Win Rate

76.6%

Volume

$95.87K

Fee

$119.22

157 Wins in 205 Markets

Recent Markets | total 3023
elon-tweets-48h
Active
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?
Active 18m ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $3.56
elon-tweets-48h
Active
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?
Active 1h ago
PnL+$22.66
ROI+6.8%
Volumefee: $0.43
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Active 9h ago
PnL-$55.80
ROI-41.4%
Volume
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Settled 10h ago
PnL+$12.34
ROI+3.4%
Volumefee: $1.14
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Settled 10h ago
PnL+$173.82
ROI+7.4%
Volumefee: $6.61
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Settled 10h ago
PnL-$369.22
ROI-21.8%
Volumefee: $14.85
pete-hegseth-out
Active
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Active 15h ago
PnL-$4.65
ROI-1.7%
Volumefee: $3.75
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Settled 10h ago
PnL+$14.30
ROI+2.0%
Volumefee: $0.65
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Active 18h ago
PnL-$5.12
ROI-1.3%
Volume
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Active 20h ago
PnL+$1.74
ROI+0.6%
Volume
fed-rate-hike
Active
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 20h ago
PnL-$5.19
ROI-1.1%
Volume
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Active 20h ago
PnL-$23.95
ROI-3.8%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 10?
Settled 2h ago
PnL+$169.49
ROI+6.3%
Volumefee: $3.85
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on November 10?
Settled 2h ago
PnL+$7.31
ROI+2.8%
Volumefee: $0.40
Active
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?
Active 1d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
fomc
Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Active 2d ago
PnL-$1.60
ROI-8.3%
Volumefee: $0.69
P
Active
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL-$5.31
ROI-4.2%
Volume
Active
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 2d ago
PnL+$0.09
ROI+0.0%
Volume
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Active 2d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 3d ago
PnL-$13.61
ROI-10.1%
Volumefee: $4.33
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Active 3d ago
PnL-$13.33
ROI-5.0%
Volume
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL+$26.37
ROI+2.6%
Volumefee: $0.27
Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 4d ago
PnL-$17.33
ROI-12.9%
Volume
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Settled 4d ago
PnL+$120.49
ROI+36.0%
Volumefee: $7.10
Active
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Active 4d ago
PnL+$0.05
ROI+0.0%
Volume
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Active 4d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Active 4d ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volume
fomc
Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Active 4d ago
PnL+$0.82
ROI+3.4%
Volume
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Settled 4d ago
PnL-$136.44
ROI-60.8%
Volumefee: $6.98
trump-administration-resignations
Active
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Active 4d ago
PnL-$11.97
ROI-30.4%
Volume
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Settled 4d ago
PnL+$118.91
ROI+7.3%
Volumefee: $1.69
Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 4d ago
PnL-$0.44
ROI-0.2%
Volume
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
largest-company
Active
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL-$28.53
ROI-21.1%
Volumefee: $2.95
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 5d ago
PnL-$0.84
ROI-1.6%
Volume
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Active
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volume
Active
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL-$19.44
ROI-9.3%
Volume
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL+$70.00
ROI+4.3%
Volumefee: $1.80
Active
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL+$1.06
ROI+1.4%
Volume
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
Active 7d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL+$102.49
ROI+5.3%
Volumefee: $3.64
P
Active
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
Active 8d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Active 8d ago
PnL-$2.16
ROI-3.0%
Volumefee: $0.98
nfl-2026
Bears
Bears vs. Seahawks
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$0.12
ROI-6.3%
Volumefee: $0.07
chongqing-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$0.52
ROI+2.6%
Volume
chongqing-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$2.04
ROI+4.2%
Volume
tokyo-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$21.03
ROI+4.3%
Volume
chengdu-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$2.64
ROI+1.6%
Volume
wuhan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL+$3.74
ROI+2.0%
Volume
amsterdam-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$8.00
ROI+2.0%
Volume
paris-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$2.13
ROI+5.3%
Volume
paris-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$1.42
ROI+4.2%
Volume
chongqing-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$1.62
ROI+1.1%
Volume
beijing-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$1.72
ROI+5.9%
Volume
chongqing-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$4.98
ROI+4.2%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?
Settled 9d ago
PnL+$85.76
ROI+2.6%
Volume
wellington-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL-$6.61
ROI-2.1%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL-$6.94
ROI-38.0%
Volume
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$5.39
ROI+0.7%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$4.02
ROI+4.1%
Volume
seoul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$1.34
ROI+3.2%
Volume
wuhan-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$50.12
ROI+11.5%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$2.71
ROI+4.2%
Volume
qingdao-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$2.52
ROI+11.7%
Volume
qingdao-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$28.27
ROI+12.8%
Volume
tokyo-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL-$25.65
ROI-99.4%
Volume
shenzhen-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$7.40
ROI+2.0%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$111.68
ROI+11.5%
Volume
wellington-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$13.89
ROI+2.5%
Volume
wellington-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL-$82.46
ROI-86.7%
Volume
tokyo-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?
Settled 12d ago
PnL+$40.05
ROI+72.9%
Volume
chongqing-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$3.76
ROI+2.2%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$69.65
ROI+4.6%
Volume
tokyo-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$8.74
ROI+11.1%
Volume
guangzhou-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL-$407.21
ROI-70.4%
Volume
guangzhou-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL-$4.20
ROI-24.8%
Volume
guangzhou-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$55.31
ROI+5.5%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL-$134.09
ROI-59.6%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$26.10
ROI+5.1%
Volume
wuhan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 28?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$4.13
ROI+17.6%
Volume
wuhan-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?
Settled 14d ago
PnL+$1.00
ROI+3.1%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?
Settled 14d ago
PnL+$2.24
ROI+2.6%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?
Settled 14d ago
PnL+$11.57
ROI+4.2%
Volume
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL-$11.23
ROI-2.7%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 26?
Settled 15d ago
PnL+$17.50
ROI+2.6%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?
Settled 16d ago
PnL+$59.28
ROI+10.0%
Volume
shenzhen-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$489.55
ROI+24.9%
Volume
shenzhen-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?
Settled 17d ago
PnL+$39.93
ROI+5.3%
Volume
amsterdam-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$1.61
ROI+2.2%
Volume
amsterdam-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL-$6.19
ROI-99.8%
Volume
amsterdam-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL-$1.19
ROI-97.5%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?
Settled 19d ago
PnL+$13.35
ROI+5.1%
Volume
hong-kong-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?
Settled 19d ago
PnL+$1.57
ROI+5.1%
Volume
beijing-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$3.69
ROI+3.1%
Volume
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL-$4.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
shenzhen-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$25.08
ROI+68.3%
Volume
shanghai-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$18.98
ROI+6.2%
Volume
shenzhen-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 22?
Settled 17d ago
PnL-$18.94
ROI-75.8%
Volume
wuhan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 22?
Settled 18d ago
PnL+$1.60
ROI+1.0%
Volume
3,023 Markets
Subscribe to PolyEdge for full data