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PolyPnL
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Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
ma
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$28.30
marcelomilq
marcelomilq
View on Polymarket
Save
Share
Created
October 9, 2025
Active
November 5, 2026
Balance
$43.62
Incoming
+$5.18
Rewards
+$0.02
Outgoing
-$5.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$17.79
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Elections
+$6.16
WR: 40.0%
(2/5)
ROI: +14.8%
Politics
+$6.16
WR: 25.0%
(2/8)
ROI: +14.8%
Finance
+$2.00
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +25.0%
Geopolitics
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/5)
ROI: +0.0%
Economy
-$23.95
WR: 28.6%
(2/7)
ROI: -19.3%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$39.90
10.6%
Taker Volume
$337.66
89.4%
Taker Ratio
89%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$86.50
Fee
$0.08
0 Wins in 6 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$17.79
Rebate:
+$0.02
ROI
-10.7%
Win Rate
25.0%
Volume
$377.56
Fee
$1.88
4 Wins in 16 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 110
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$15.00
Active
4d ago
Active
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$15.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
—
—
$25.00
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$25.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
—
—
$32.50
Active
4d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$32.50
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
—
—
$2.00
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
—
—
$7.00
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.00
P
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
—
—
$5.00
fee: $0.08
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
—
—
$18.80
Active
17d ago
Active
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.80
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
-$1.52
-60.6%
$12.42
fee: $0.40
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$1.52
ROI
-60.6%
Volume
$12.42
fee: $0.40
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
+$2.00
+25.0%
$8.00
Yes
18d ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+25.0%
Volume
$8.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
+$9.30
+56.3%
$16.50
fee: $0.02
Yes
19d ago
Yes
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$9.30
ROI
+56.3%
Volume
$16.50
fee: $0.02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
-$10.00
-100.0%
$10.00
No
19d ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$10.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.00
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
+$3.64
+12.1%
$63.85
fee: $0.17
Yes
19d ago
bank-of-israel-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$3.64
ROI
+12.1%
Volume
$63.85
fee: $0.17
us-recession-by
US recession by end of 2026?
-$0.46
-1.2%
$75.08
fee: $0.26
Active
25d ago
us-recession-by
Active
US recession by end of 2026?
Active 25d ago
PnL
-$0.46
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$75.08
fee: $0.26
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
—
—
$6.42
fee: $0.14
Active
25d ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.42
fee: $0.14
P
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
-$27.61
-60.0%
$65.00
fee: $0.61
No
26d ago
P
bank-of-brazil-decision
No
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$27.61
ROI
-60.0%
Volume
$65.00
fee: $0.61
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
+$6.87
+45.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.19
Yes
26d ago
Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$6.87
ROI
+45.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.19
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
—
—
$25.94
fee: $0.21
Active
1mo ago
Active
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$25.94
fee: $0.21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$27.17
-94.8%
$11.82
fee: $0.10
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$27.17
ROI
-94.8%
Volume
$11.82
fee: $0.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$14.59
-49.8%
$44.38
fee: $0.35
No
1mo ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$14.59
ROI
-49.8%
Volume
$44.38
fee: $0.35
inflation-argentina-monthly
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
+$1.35
+67.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
1mo ago
inflation-argentina-monthly
Yes
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$1.35
ROI
+67.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
—
—
$16.29
fee: $0.37
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.29
fee: $0.37
P
bank-of-england-decision
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
+$7.61
+30.6%
$24.86
fee: $0.28
Yes
1mo ago
P
bank-of-england-decision
Yes
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$7.61
ROI
+30.6%
Volume
$24.86
fee: $0.28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$10.00
fee: $0.25
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
+$58.92
+1878.9%
$65.27
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$58.92
ROI
+1878.9%
Volume
$65.27
fee: $0.08
P
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$3.08
-102.4%
$3.01
fee: $0.07
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.08
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$3.01
fee: $0.07
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
—
—
$9.04
fee: $0.12
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.04
fee: $0.12
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$14.72
+27.9%
$136.62
fee: $1.13
No
1mo ago
No
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$14.72
ROI
+27.9%
Volume
$136.62
fee: $1.13
trump-out
Trump out as President before 2027?
+$0.16
+0.3%
$95.31
Active
1mo ago
trump-out
Active
Trump out as President before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$95.31
P
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
-$7.43
-49.5%
$23.07
fee: $0.51
Yes
1mo ago
P
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$7.43
ROI
-49.5%
Volume
$23.07
fee: $0.51
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
-$0.76
-75.7%
$1.24
fee: $0.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.76
ROI
-75.7%
Volume
$1.24
fee: $0.05
P
bank-of-japan
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-$4.36
-53.2%
$12.20
fee: $0.16
No
1mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
No
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$4.36
ROI
-53.2%
Volume
$12.20
fee: $0.16
P
bolsonaro-vote-share
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$7.47
+24.9%
$30.00
fee: $0.25
Yes
1mo ago
P
bolsonaro-vote-share
Yes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.47
ROI
+24.9%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.25
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$8.00
fee: $0.28
Active
1mo ago
fomc
Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.28
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$7.93
+19.3%
$41.00
fee: $0.34
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.93
ROI
+19.3%
Volume
$41.00
fee: $0.34
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
-$3.58
-71.5%
$6.67
fee: $0.24
No
1mo ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.58
ROI
-71.5%
Volume
$6.67
fee: $0.24
Lula participates in debate before first round?
-$11.03
-44.1%
$39.44
fee: $0.48
No
1mo ago
No
Lula participates in debate before first round?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$11.03
ROI
-44.1%
Volume
$39.44
fee: $0.48
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
+$6.04
+17.4%
$67.73
fee: $0.33
Yes
1mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.04
ROI
+17.4%
Volume
$67.73
fee: $0.33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
+$17.79
+23.1%
$172.14
fee: $1.20
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$17.79
ROI
+23.1%
Volume
$172.14
fee: $1.20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
-$28.03
-101.5%
$27.60
fee: $0.43
No
2mo ago
No
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$28.03
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$27.60
fee: $0.43
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
-$2.45
-24.5%
$18.18
fee: $0.63
Yes
2mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.45
ROI
-24.5%
Volume
$18.18
fee: $0.63
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$2.26
-20.6%
$20.16
fee: $0.43
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.26
ROI
-20.6%
Volume
$20.16
fee: $0.43
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
+$0.33
+3.3%
$20.36
fee: $0.04
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$20.36
fee: $0.04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$1.05
-52.6%
$3.05
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.05
ROI
-52.6%
Volume
$3.05
fee: $0.11
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
-$5.72
-28.6%
$35.13
fee: $0.84
Yes
2mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.72
ROI
-28.6%
Volume
$35.13
fee: $0.84
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
+$4.80
+32.9%
$34.20
fee: $0.20
Yes
2mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
Yes
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.80
ROI
+32.9%
Volume
$34.20
fee: $0.20
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?
+$0.67
+7.2%
$0.70
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
No
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$0.70
fee: $0.03
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
+$1.20
+12.0%
$21.26
fee: $0.06
Yes
2mo ago
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+12.0%
Volume
$21.26
fee: $0.06
largest-company
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
-$9.84
-98.4%
$10.32
fee: $0.16
No
2mo ago
largest-company
No
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.84
ROI
-98.4%
Volume
$10.32
fee: $0.16
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$1.61
+16.1%
$21.61
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$21.61
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$0.45
+22.3%
$4.44
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+22.3%
Volume
$4.44
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
-$7.42
-49.5%
$22.99
fee: $0.41
No
3mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
No
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.42
ROI
-49.5%
Volume
$22.99
fee: $0.41
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$6.23
+31.1%
$46.48
fee: $0.26
Yes
3mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$6.23
ROI
+31.1%
Volume
$46.48
fee: $0.26
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
+$3.00
+17.6%
$17.00
Yes
3mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.00
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$17.00
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
—
—
$23.86
Active
3mo ago
Active
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$23.86
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$4.13
+59.5%
$24.24
fee: $0.11
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.13
ROI
+59.5%
Volume
$24.24
fee: $0.11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.57
+5.7%
$10.00
fee: $0.02
No
4mo ago
No
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.02
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
-$12.06
-60.3%
$28.38
fee: $0.44
No
4mo ago
second-largest-company
No
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$12.06
ROI
-60.3%
Volume
$28.38
fee: $0.44
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
-$4.89
-48.9%
$15.44
fee: $0.33
No
4mo ago
ecb-interest-rates
No
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.89
ROI
-48.9%
Volume
$15.44
fee: $0.33
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
-$12.83
-80.2%
$19.50
fee: $0.33
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$12.83
ROI
-80.2%
Volume
$19.50
fee: $0.33
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
-$9.60
-48.0%
$31.01
fee: $0.60
No
4mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
No
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$9.60
ROI
-48.0%
Volume
$31.01
fee: $0.60
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
+$0.61
+6.1%
$20.60
No
4mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.61
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$20.60
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
+$5.72
+95.3%
$17.85
fee: $0.14
No
4mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.72
ROI
+95.3%
Volume
$17.85
fee: $0.14
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
-$0.63
-1.8%
$70.97
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.63
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$70.97
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
+$1.10
+11.0%
$21.14
fee: $0.05
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+11.0%
Volume
$21.14
fee: $0.05
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
+$6.51
+32.6%
$20.00
fee: $0.25
No
4mo ago
fed-rate-hike
No
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$6.51
ROI
+32.6%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.25
unrestricted-shipping
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
+$5.58
+27.9%
$45.58
No
4mo ago
unrestricted-shipping
No
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.58
ROI
+27.9%
Volume
$45.58
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
+$1.19
+11.9%
$21.24
fee: $0.05
Yes
4mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.19
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$21.24
fee: $0.05
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
-$1.86
-86.6%
$2.50
fee: $0.06
No
4mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.86
ROI
-86.6%
Volume
$2.50
fee: $0.06
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?
+$2.00
+200.4%
$1.00
fee: $0.03
No
4mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+200.4%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?
-$1.01
-101.3%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
4mo ago
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-101.3%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?
+$0.57
+37.8%
$1.50
fee: $0.02
Yes
4mo ago
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+37.8%
Volume
$1.50
fee: $0.02
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
-$3.89
-100.9%
$3.85
fee: $0.04
No
4mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$3.89
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$3.85
fee: $0.04
soccer-fifwc
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
-$5.06
-101.1%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
No
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$5.06
ROI
-101.1%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
+$5.74
+28.0%
$46.95
fee: $0.21
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.74
ROI
+28.0%
Volume
$46.95
fee: $0.21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
+$5.83
+41.7%
$14.00
fee: $0.17
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$5.83
ROI
+41.7%
Volume
$14.00
fee: $0.17
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
+$5.51
+27.5%
$20.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.51
ROI
+27.5%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.13
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
-$6.30
-18.6%
$61.30
Yes
5mo ago
nuclear-deal
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$6.30
ROI
-18.6%
Volume
$61.30
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
+$0.14
+16.6%
$113.76
fee: $0.14
Active
5mo ago
Active
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Active 5mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+16.6%
Volume
$113.76
fee: $0.14
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
-$9.29
-50.2%
$28.00
fee: $0.29
Yes
5mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$9.29
ROI
-50.2%
Volume
$28.00
fee: $0.29
bank-of-japan
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
+$2.03
+21.1%
$10.44
fee: $0.12
Yes
5mo ago
bank-of-japan
Yes
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.03
ROI
+21.1%
Volume
$10.44
fee: $0.12
bank-of-japan
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
+$9.84
+65.6%
$40.25
fee: $0.43
No
5mo ago
bank-of-japan
No
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$9.84
ROI
+65.6%
Volume
$40.25
fee: $0.43
atp
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
+$3.63
+57.6%
$6.30
fee: $0.07
Jakub Mensik
5mo ago
atp
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$3.63
ROI
+57.6%
Volume
$6.30
fee: $0.07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$8.70
-100.0%
$8.70
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$8.70
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$8.70
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
-$4.94
-12.3%
$75.76
fee: $0.71
Yes
5mo ago
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$4.94
ROI
-12.3%
Volume
$75.76
fee: $0.71
second-largest-company
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
+$6.69
+31.9%
$20.97
fee: $0.24
Yes
5mo ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$6.69
ROI
+31.9%
Volume
$20.97
fee: $0.24
atp
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
+$7.02
+350.8%
$4.30
fee: $0.05
Joao Fonseca
5mo ago
atp
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$7.02
ROI
+350.8%
Volume
$4.30
fee: $0.05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
-$7.96
-60.5%
$18.74
fee: $0.36
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$7.96
ROI
-60.5%
Volume
$18.74
fee: $0.36
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
-$15.38
-100.0%
$15.38
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$15.38
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$15.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
+$1.36
+13.1%
$22.00
No
5mo ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.36
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$22.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
+$1.85
+6.8%
$36.45
No
5mo ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.85
ROI
+6.8%
Volume
$36.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
+$1.79
+17.9%
$21.78
No
5mo ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.79
ROI
+17.9%
Volume
$21.78
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
+$9.41
+43.3%
$52.91
No
5mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$9.41
ROI
+43.3%
Volume
$52.91
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
+$4.77
+32.1%
$34.76
fee: $0.26
No
5mo ago
No
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$4.77
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$34.76
fee: $0.26
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
+$3.05
+47.1%
$6.49
Yes
5mo ago
bank-of-israel-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$3.05
ROI
+47.1%
Volume
$6.49
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
+$5.15
+31.4%
$38.14
fee: $0.19
No
5mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$5.15
ROI
+31.4%
Volume
$38.14
fee: $0.19
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
+$1.48
+18.1%
$18.01
fee: $0.24
No
5mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.48
ROI
+18.1%
Volume
$18.01
fee: $0.24
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
+$3.27
+18.2%
$18.00
No
5mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$3.27
ROI
+18.2%
Volume
$18.00
bank-of-england-decision
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
+$1.01
+10.2%
$20.94
fee: $0.09
Yes
5mo ago
bank-of-england-decision
Yes
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.01
ROI
+10.2%
Volume
$20.94
fee: $0.09
inflation-argentina-monthly
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
+$0.45
+45.5%
$1.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
6mo ago
inflation-argentina-monthly
Yes
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+45.5%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.02
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
+$4.22
+38.1%
$26.59
fee: $0.18
Yes
6mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$4.22
ROI
+38.1%
Volume
$26.59
fee: $0.18
110 Markets
•
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