P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$2.42
Dan.bilds
Dan.bilds
@Dan_bilds
View on Polymarket
Save
Share
Created
March 9, 2026
Active
November 3, 2026
Balance
$5.08
Incoming
+$33.07K
Rewards
+$4.79K
Outgoing
-$22.25K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$47.49
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 11
Oct 19
Oct 26
Nov 3
Nov 10
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Basketball
-$20.19
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -61.2%
Sports
-$20.19
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -61.2%
5m
-$27.30
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -100.0%
Crypto
-$27.30
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -100.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$70.30
96.2%
Taker Volume
$2.81
3.8%
Taker Ratio
4%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$47.49
Rebate:
+$2.84
ROI
-78.8%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$73.10
Fee
$0.12
0 Wins in 3 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$47.49
Rebate:
+$2.84
ROI
-78.8%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$73.10
Fee
$0.12
0 Wins in 3 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 705
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
-$27.30
-100.0%
$27.30
Down
6d ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$27.30
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$27.30
Will Butler reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
-$6.59
-39.7%
$26.61
fee: $0.00
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Butler reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Active 6d ago
PnL
-$6.59
ROI
-39.7%
Volume
$26.61
fee: $0.00
Will Dayton reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
-$13.60
-82.9%
$19.20
fee: $0.12
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Dayton reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Active 6d ago
PnL
-$13.60
ROI
-82.9%
Volume
$19.20
fee: $0.12
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
+$6.39
+63.9%
$10.00
fee: $0.28
Up
3mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$6.39
ROI
+63.9%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.28
btc-up-or-down-4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
-$0.28
-1.4%
$39.22
fee: $0.65
Up
3mo ago
btc-up-or-down-4h
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$39.22
fee: $0.65
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
-$46.22
-100.0%
$46.22
Down
3mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$46.22
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$46.22
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
-$243.94
-101.4%
$240.48
fee: $3.47
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$243.94
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$240.48
fee: $3.47
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?
-$0.33
-1.3%
$52.15
fee: $0.00
No
3mo ago
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.33
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$52.15
fee: $0.00
sbux-earnings
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
-$2.38
-12.3%
$36.96
fee: $0.70
Yes
3mo ago
sbux-earnings
Yes
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.38
ROI
-12.3%
Volume
$36.96
fee: $0.70
P
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
+$0.04
+1.8%
$4.41
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$4.41
fee: $0.04
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
-$4.53
-4.7%
$189.28
fee: $0.77
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.53
ROI
-4.7%
Volume
$189.28
fee: $0.77
movie-delay
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?
-$7.47
-44.5%
$26.13
fee: $0.16
Active
3mo ago
movie-delay
Active
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$7.47
ROI
-44.5%
Volume
$26.13
fee: $0.16
P
h200-rental-price
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
-$1.25
-6.9%
$35.28
fee: $0.41
No
3mo ago
P
h200-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.25
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$35.28
fee: $0.41
P
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 NTT IndyCar Series?
-$10.37
-56.4%
$26.12
fee: $0.08
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 NTT IndyCar Series?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.37
ROI
-56.4%
Volume
$26.12
fee: $0.08
P
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
-$2.10
-7.6%
$53.34
fee: $0.61
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-7.6%
Volume
$53.34
fee: $0.61
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
-$4.62
-28.2%
$28.14
fee: $0.21
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.62
ROI
-28.2%
Volume
$28.14
fee: $0.21
top-netflix-movie-week
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
-$2.52
-18.8%
$24.36
Yes
3mo ago
top-netflix-movie-week
Yes
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.52
ROI
-18.8%
Volume
$24.36
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
-$2.86
-3.7%
$154.61
fee: $1.80
Yes
3mo ago
us-annual-inflation
Yes
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.86
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$154.61
fee: $1.80
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
-$0.23
-5.7%
$7.78
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
No
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.23
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$7.78
fee: $0.12
P
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?
-$0.26
-2.6%
$19.27
fee: $0.26
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.26
ROI
-2.6%
Volume
$19.27
fee: $0.26
P
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
-$11.07
-39.5%
$45.33
fee: $0.36
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$11.07
ROI
-39.5%
Volume
$45.33
fee: $0.36
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
-$0.59
-7.4%
$15.60
fee: $0.19
Yes
3mo ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-7.4%
Volume
$15.60
fee: $0.19
Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?
+$0.45
+8.8%
$20.41
fee: $0.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+8.8%
Volume
$20.41
fee: $0.00
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
+$0.02
+2.0%
$2.25
fee: $0.03
Active
3mo ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$2.25
fee: $0.03
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
-$2.97
-28.2%
$15.84
fee: $0.20
Active
3mo ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.97
ROI
-28.2%
Volume
$15.84
fee: $0.20
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?
-$1.67
-3.8%
$85.53
fee: $0.35
Yes
3mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.67
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$85.53
fee: $0.35
chinese-ai-2
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$0.34
-2.0%
$34.23
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
chinese-ai-2
No
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.34
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$34.23
fee: $0.13
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?
-$6.34
-2.9%
$434.78
fee: $2.10
No
3mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.34
ROI
-2.9%
Volume
$434.78
fee: $2.10
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
-$8.89
-14.9%
$111.18
fee: $0.75
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.89
ROI
-14.9%
Volume
$111.18
fee: $0.75
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
-$2.30
-3.4%
$138.84
fee: $1.23
No
3mo ago
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
No
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.30
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$138.84
fee: $1.23
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
-$0.61
-1.7%
$72.89
Yes
3mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Yes
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.61
ROI
-1.7%
Volume
$72.89
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
-$4.75
-3.4%
$277.11
No
3mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.75
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$277.11
P
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
-$1.89
-5.8%
$64.76
fee: $1.11
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.89
ROI
-5.8%
Volume
$64.76
fee: $1.11
houthis-target-shipping
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
-$4.28
-14.0%
$56.92
Yes
3mo ago
houthis-target-shipping
Yes
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.28
ROI
-14.0%
Volume
$56.92
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
-$0.99
-9.0%
$21.32
fee: $0.35
No
3mo ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-9.0%
Volume
$21.32
fee: $0.35
P
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
-$0.12
-3.3%
$7.20
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-3.3%
Volume
$7.20
fee: $0.12
1-us-netflix-show
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
-$0.06
-3.3%
$3.53
fee: $0.06
Yes
3mo ago
1-us-netflix-show
Yes
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-3.3%
Volume
$3.53
fee: $0.06
2-us-netflix-show
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
-$0.54
-7.6%
$13.94
fee: $0.20
Yes
3mo ago
2-us-netflix-show
Yes
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.54
ROI
-7.6%
Volume
$13.94
fee: $0.20
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 31, 2026?
-$8.77
-33.7%
$43.31
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.77
ROI
-33.7%
Volume
$43.31
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$41.48
-12.1%
$643.58
No
3mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$41.48
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$643.58
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?
-$1.77
-4.7%
$74.25
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.77
ROI
-4.7%
Volume
$74.25
houthis-target-shipping
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
-$0.21
-3.2%
$12.81
Yes
3mo ago
houthis-target-shipping
Yes
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$12.81
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
-$3.04
-14.5%
$39.24
fee: $0.47
No
3mo ago
No
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.04
ROI
-14.5%
Volume
$39.24
fee: $0.47
P
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 10%?
-$4.65
-44.0%
$16.70
fee: $0.20
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 10%?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.65
ROI
-44.0%
Volume
$16.70
fee: $0.20
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?
-$4.39
-7.3%
$115.92
fee: $0.53
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.39
ROI
-7.3%
Volume
$115.92
fee: $0.53
P
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?
-$0.45
-4.0%
$22.20
fee: $0.25
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$22.20
fee: $0.25
P
monthly-listeners
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31?
-$8.21
-20.8%
$71.01
fee: $0.43
No
3mo ago
P
monthly-listeners
No
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.21
ROI
-20.8%
Volume
$71.01
fee: $0.43
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
-$0.21
-3.0%
$13.65
fee: $0.18
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-3.0%
Volume
$13.65
fee: $0.18
pins-earnings
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
-$16.91
-41.5%
$65.10
fee: $0.53
Yes
3mo ago
pins-earnings
Yes
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$16.91
ROI
-41.5%
Volume
$65.10
fee: $0.53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
-$9.29
-20.9%
$80.03
fee: $0.58
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$9.29
ROI
-20.9%
Volume
$80.03
fee: $0.58
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?
-$0.24
-5.5%
$8.58
Yes
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Yes
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.24
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$8.58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
-$1.76
-3.7%
$94.00
fee: $0.35
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.76
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$94.00
fee: $0.35
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?
-$13.44
-44.1%
$47.46
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$13.44
ROI
-44.1%
Volume
$47.46
tsn-earnings
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?
-$3.58
-37.8%
$15.54
fee: $0.22
No
3mo ago
tsn-earnings
No
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.58
ROI
-37.8%
Volume
$15.54
fee: $0.22
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?
-$1.27
-3.2%
$77.27
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.27
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$77.27
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?
-$8.82
-50.0%
$26.46
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.82
ROI
-50.0%
Volume
$26.46
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
-$4.61
-1.7%
$525.36
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.61
ROI
-1.7%
Volume
$525.36
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
-$0.28
-1.6%
$34.28
fee: $0.28
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$34.28
fee: $0.28
P
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
-$26.07
-79.6%
$39.45
fee: $0.06
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$26.07
ROI
-79.6%
Volume
$39.45
fee: $0.06
P
uci-cycling
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
-$4.22
-11.8%
$67.95
fee: $0.73
No
3mo ago
P
uci-cycling
No
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.22
ROI
-11.8%
Volume
$67.95
fee: $0.73
tko-earnings
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?
-$9.14
-79.1%
$14.07
fee: $0.11
No
3mo ago
tko-earnings
No
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$9.14
ROI
-79.1%
Volume
$14.07
fee: $0.11
chinese-ai-2
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$3.55
-15.2%
$43.47
fee: $0.40
Yes
3mo ago
chinese-ai-2
Yes
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.55
ROI
-15.2%
Volume
$43.47
fee: $0.40
2-us-netflix-movie
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
-$3.20
-21.4%
$26.88
fee: $0.26
Yes
3mo ago
2-us-netflix-movie
Yes
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.20
ROI
-21.4%
Volume
$26.88
fee: $0.26
2-us-netflix-movie
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
-$0.46
-4.6%
$19.78
fee: $0.25
No
3mo ago
2-us-netflix-movie
No
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.46
ROI
-4.6%
Volume
$19.78
fee: $0.25
arcc-earnings
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?
-$0.07
-3.0%
$4.37
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
arcc-earnings
No
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-3.0%
Volume
$4.37
fee: $0.06
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
-$0.35
-2.8%
$22.56
fee: $0.11
Yes
3mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.35
ROI
-2.8%
Volume
$22.56
fee: $0.11
bbby-earnings
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
-$4.03
-21.5%
$33.89
fee: $0.48
No
3mo ago
bbby-earnings
No
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.03
ROI
-21.5%
Volume
$33.89
fee: $0.48
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
-$5.76
-2.0%
$579.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.76
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$579.01
best-text-to-image-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
-$0.19
-2.5%
$14.80
fee: $0.19
Yes
3mo ago
best-text-to-image-ai
Yes
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$14.80
fee: $0.19
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?
-$0.82
-3.6%
$44.62
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.82
ROI
-3.6%
Volume
$44.62
P
Will Angélica María Dueñas win the CA-29 House seat?
-$0.31
-6.4%
$9.57
fee: $0.16
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Angélica María Dueñas win the CA-29 House seat?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$0.31
ROI
-6.4%
Volume
$9.57
fee: $0.16
P
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?
-$3.57
-6.3%
$110.25
fee: $0.46
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.57
ROI
-6.3%
Volume
$110.25
fee: $0.46
top-netflix-show-week
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
-$0.66
-13.7%
$9.18
fee: $0.18
No
3mo ago
top-netflix-show-week
No
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.66
ROI
-13.7%
Volume
$9.18
fee: $0.18
P
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?
-$0.73
-2.1%
$70.62
fee: $0.83
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$0.73
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$70.62
fee: $0.83
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
-$4.57
-4.4%
$203.31
fee: $2.08
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.57
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$203.31
fee: $2.08
P
Will Luz Rivas win the CA-29 House seat?
-$0.89
-3.3%
$53.41
fee: $0.42
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Luz Rivas win the CA-29 House seat?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$0.89
ROI
-3.3%
Volume
$53.41
fee: $0.42
P
monthly-listeners
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?
-$1.35
-16.9%
$14.90
fee: $0.29
No
3mo ago
P
monthly-listeners
No
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.35
ROI
-16.9%
Volume
$14.90
fee: $0.29
P
monthly-listeners
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?
-$2.60
-15.5%
$31.20
fee: $0.20
No
3mo ago
P
monthly-listeners
No
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.60
ROI
-15.5%
Volume
$31.20
fee: $0.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$0.74
-6.7%
$21.71
fee: $0.32
No
3mo ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.74
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$21.71
fee: $0.32
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?
—
—
$31.60
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$31.60
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?
-$0.29
-2.2%
$25.89
fee: $0.18
No
3mo ago
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
No
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.29
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$25.89
fee: $0.18
P
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
-$5.80
-33.7%
$28.98
fee: $0.34
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$5.80
ROI
-33.7%
Volume
$28.98
fee: $0.34
orly-earnings
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?
-$2.46
-60.8%
$5.68
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
orly-earnings
No
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.46
ROI
-60.8%
Volume
$5.68
fee: $0.06
P
uci-cycling
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?
-$2.64
-6.5%
$78.67
fee: $0.33
No
3mo ago
P
uci-cycling
No
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.64
ROI
-6.5%
Volume
$78.67
fee: $0.33
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
-$2.24
-3.9%
$112.77
fee: $1.12
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.24
ROI
-3.9%
Volume
$112.77
fee: $1.12
P
elon-tweet-mention
Will Elon post "Always" on X this week?
-$1.33
-79.0%
$2.05
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
P
elon-tweet-mention
Yes
Will Elon post "Always" on X this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-79.0%
Volume
$2.05
fee: $0.01
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?
-$0.03
-8.1%
$0.79
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-8.1%
Volume
$0.79
fee: $0.01
tw-earnings
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?
-$2.38
-20.2%
$21.59
fee: $0.41
Yes
3mo ago
tw-earnings
Yes
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.38
ROI
-20.2%
Volume
$21.59
fee: $0.41
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
-$4.43
-5.1%
$174.62
Active
3mo ago
Active
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.43
ROI
-5.1%
Volume
$174.62
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?
-$0.08
-15.5%
$0.91
fee: $0.01
No
3mo ago
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-15.5%
Volume
$0.91
fee: $0.01
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
-$1.67
-4.2%
$78.12
fee: $0.83
Yes
3mo ago
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
Yes
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.67
ROI
-4.2%
Volume
$78.12
fee: $0.83
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
-$0.63
-32.5%
$3.30
fee: $0.03
Yes
3mo ago
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.63
ROI
-32.5%
Volume
$3.30
fee: $0.03
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$0.01
-3.0%
$0.70
fee: $0.01
No
3mo ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
No
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-3.0%
Volume
$0.70
fee: $0.01
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?
-$1.82
-29.0%
$10.78
No
3mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.82
ROI
-29.0%
Volume
$10.78
P
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
+$0.01
+2.7%
$0.56
fee: $0.00
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$0.56
fee: $0.00
P
elon-tweet-mention
Will Elon post "China" on X this week?
-$0.21
-3.8%
$10.31
fee: $0.08
No
3mo ago
P
elon-tweet-mention
No
Will Elon post "China" on X this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$10.31
fee: $0.08
cvx-earnings
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?
-$4.17
-49.8%
$12.94
fee: $0.13
Yes
3mo ago
cvx-earnings
Yes
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.17
ROI
-49.8%
Volume
$12.94
fee: $0.13
P
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?
-$1.22
-7.7%
$30.67
fee: $0.18
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.22
ROI
-7.7%
Volume
$30.67
fee: $0.18
P
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
-$0.85
-3.2%
$55.17
fee: $0.48
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.85
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$55.17
fee: $0.48
2-netflix-movie
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
-$1.27
-4.1%
$60.05
Yes
3mo ago
2-netflix-movie
Yes
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.27
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$60.05
705 Markets
•
Subscribe to PolyEdge for full data