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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$1.64
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cassettes6
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Save
Created
March 17, 2026
Active
October 1, 2026
Balance
$0.97
Incoming
+$1.60
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$2.96
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Sep 3
Sep 10
Sep 18
Sep 25
Oct 3
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Elections
+$0.20
WR: 50.0%
(4/8)
ROI: +3.8%
Finance
+$0.11
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +8.6%
Economy
+$0.11
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +8.6%
Politics
-$0.83
WR: 50.0%
(7/14)
ROI: -8.2%
Geopolitics
-$0.89
WR: 66.7%
(4/6)
ROI: -14.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$38.23
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.29
ROI
6.2%
Win Rate
40.0%
Volume
$14.78
Fee
$0.02
4 Wins in 10 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.29
ROI
6.2%
Win Rate
40.0%
Volume
$14.78
Fee
$0.02
4 Wins in 10 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$2.96
ROI
-15.8%
Win Rate
54.5%
Volume
$38.23
Fee
$0.05
12 Wins in 22 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 183
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.01
Active
1d ago
Active
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Active
1d ago
Active
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Active
1d ago
Active
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Active
1d ago
Active
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.01
Active
1d ago
Active
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Active 1d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
+$0.12
+9.5%
$2.67
No
1d ago
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
Settled 9h ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$2.67
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
+$0.09
+7.4%
$2.46
Active
1d ago
Active
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
Active 1d ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+7.4%
Volume
$2.46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
+$0.07
+5.4%
$2.65
No
1d ago
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+5.4%
Volume
$2.65
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.00
Active
2d ago
Active
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Active 2d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
P
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
+$0.02
+1.6%
$1.00
fee: $0.00
No
2d ago
P
No
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.00
best-ai-agent
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
+$0.07
+6.1%
$1.16
fee: $0.00
Yes
7d ago
best-ai-agent
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$1.16
fee: $0.00
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
+$0.11
+8.6%
$2.54
fee: $0.00
Yes
7d ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$2.54
fee: $0.00
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
+$0.13
+10.7%
$1.17
fee: $0.00
Yes
8d ago
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+10.7%
Volume
$1.17
fee: $0.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$0.03
+2.2%
$2.74
Active
8d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$2.74
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
-$1.29
-100.1%
$1.29
fee: $0.00
Yes
11d ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$1.29
ROI
-100.1%
Volume
$1.29
fee: $0.00
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$1.29
-100.3%
$1.29
fee: $0.00
No
11d ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$1.29
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$1.29
fee: $0.00
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?
—
—
$1.29
Active
11d ago
Active
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?
Active 11d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.29
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
+$0.07
+4.8%
$2.78
No
11d ago
No
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$2.78
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$0.11
+7.8%
$2.84
fee: $0.00
Yes
11d ago
Yes
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$2.84
fee: $0.00
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
-$1.20
-100.0%
$1.20
No
14d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.20
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$0.01
+0.8%
$2.74
Yes
14d ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$2.74
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
+$0.02
+1.4%
$2.40
fee: $0.00
Yes
19d ago
Yes
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$2.40
fee: $0.00
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$0.16
+11.9%
$1.37
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$1.37
fee: $0.01
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
+$0.12
+8.7%
$1.37
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$1.37
fee: $0.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$1.37
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.37
fee: $0.01
P
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
-$1.38
-100.6%
$1.37
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
gta-vi-extended-look-views
No
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$1.38
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$1.37
fee: $0.01
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
+$0.06
+4.1%
$2.94
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$2.94
Will Spain accuse Morocco of facilitating the Ceuta migrant influx by August 31?
+$0.05
+3.6%
$1.45
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Spain accuse Morocco of facilitating the Ceuta migrant influx by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$1.45
fee: $0.00
P
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
-$1.49
-100.0%
$1.49
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.49
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$0.05
+3.6%
$2.93
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$2.93
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$0.05
+3.6%
$2.78
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$2.78
fee: $0.00
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
+$0.02
+1.5%
$1.48
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$1.48
fee: $0.00
warships
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
+$0.02
+1.0%
$1.49
No
1mo ago
warships
No
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$1.49
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$0.51
+38.3%
$3.19
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.51
ROI
+38.3%
Volume
$3.19
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?
+$0.03
+2.0%
$1.42
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$1.42
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
+$0.03
+2.4%
$1.42
No
1mo ago
No
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$1.42
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?
+$0.10
+7.1%
$1.41
No
1mo ago
No
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$1.41
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?
+$0.14
+9.9%
$1.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$1.40
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$0.09
+6.1%
$1.39
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$1.39
fee: $0.00
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$0.03
+1.8%
$3.49
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$3.49
fee: $0.00
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
+$0.03
+1.7%
$1.62
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$1.62
fee: $0.00
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
+$0.01
+0.9%
$1.62
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$1.62
fee: $0.00
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
+$0.39
+24.2%
$1.63
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+24.2%
Volume
$1.63
fee: $0.01
P
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$0.07
+3.8%
$1.73
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$1.73
fee: $0.00
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$0.15
+8.6%
$3.66
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$3.66
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
+$0.41
+24.2%
$1.69
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+24.2%
Volume
$1.69
fee: $0.01
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
+$0.04
+2.2%
$1.69
fee: $0.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$1.69
fee: $0.00
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
-$1.69
-100.1%
$1.69
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.69
ROI
-100.1%
Volume
$1.69
fee: $0.00
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
+$0.67
+39.7%
$1.70
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+39.7%
Volume
$1.70
fee: $0.02
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?
+$0.02
+1.0%
$3.76
No
2mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
No
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$3.76
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
-$1.75
-100.9%
$1.73
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.75
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$1.73
fee: $0.02
3rd-largest-company
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
+$0.07
+3.8%
$1.73
fee: $0.00
Yes
2mo ago
3rd-largest-company
Yes
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$1.73
fee: $0.00
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$0.19
+10.6%
$3.77
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
best-math-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$3.77
fee: $0.01
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
+$0.06
+3.3%
$1.73
fee: $0.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$1.73
fee: $0.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$0.47
+29.2%
$3.66
No
2mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+29.2%
Volume
$3.66
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$0.11
+6.0%
$3.68
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$3.68
largest-company
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
-$1.91
-100.2%
$1.91
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
largest-company
No
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.91
ROI
-100.2%
Volume
$1.91
fee: $0.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
+$0.12
+6.4%
$1.89
No
2mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$1.89
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
+$0.46
+28.6%
$3.70
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
fed-3-parlay
Yes
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+28.6%
Volume
$3.70
fee: $0.02
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$0.17
+10.5%
$3.35
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.17
ROI
+10.5%
Volume
$3.35
fee: $0.01
P
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
-$1.81
-100.0%
$1.81
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.81
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.81
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$0.21
+12.6%
$3.51
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+12.6%
Volume
$3.51
fee: $0.01
P
warships
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.07
+3.6%
$1.81
No
2mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$1.81
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
+$0.13
+7.8%
$3.37
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$3.37
fee: $0.01
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$0.06
+3.6%
$3.25
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$3.25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$0.04
+2.0%
$1.79
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$1.79
fee: $0.00
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
-$0.03
-1.8%
$3.58
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$3.58
fee: $0.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 27, 2026?
+$0.03
+1.4%
$3.54
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 27, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$3.54
fee: $0.00
P
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
+$0.20
+11.3%
$3.70
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$3.70
fee: $0.01
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
+$0.31
+19.4%
$3.51
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.31
ROI
+19.4%
Volume
$3.51
fee: $0.01
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$0.15
+9.7%
$3.31
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+9.7%
Volume
$3.31
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
+$0.03
+1.9%
$3.19
fee: $0.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$3.19
fee: $0.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
+$0.04
+2.3%
$3.15
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$3.15
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
-$0.00
-0.5%
$2.01
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$2.01
fee: $0.02
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
+$0.02
+1.2%
$1.62
No
3mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$1.62
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
+$0.26
+16.3%
$3.44
No
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$3.44
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?
+$0.04
+2.3%
$3.15
No
3mo ago
P
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$3.15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
+$0.05
+5.1%
$2.05
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$2.05
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
+$0.33
+21.2%
$1.55
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+21.2%
Volume
$1.55
fee: $0.01
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
+$0.02
+1.2%
$1.56
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$1.56
P
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$0.03
+1.7%
$1.56
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$1.56
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
+$0.08
+5.3%
$1.56
fee: $0.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$1.56
fee: $0.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
+$0.03
+2.0%
$1.53
fee: $0.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$1.53
fee: $0.00
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
+$0.03
+2.3%
$1.53
fee: $0.00
Up
3mo ago
Up
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$1.53
fee: $0.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
+$0.05
+3.5%
$1.53
fee: $0.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.5%
Volume
$1.53
fee: $0.00
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$0.08
+5.3%
$1.53
Yes
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$1.53
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$0.12
+11.7%
$2.11
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+11.7%
Volume
$2.11
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$0.04
+2.5%
$2.91
No
3mo ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$2.91
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
+$0.06
+3.8%
$3.03
No
3mo ago
No
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$3.03
No one announced as next James Bond?
+$0.10
+6.8%
$3.02
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
No one announced as next James Bond?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+6.8%
Volume
$3.02
fee: $0.01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
-$0.06
-6.3%
$1.94
fee: $0.03
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-6.3%
Volume
$1.94
fee: $0.03
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?
+$0.13
+8.7%
$1.52
No
3mo ago
No
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$1.52
warships
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.8%
$1.52
No
3mo ago
warships
No
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$1.52
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
+$0.08
+8.2%
$2.08
fee: $0.00
Yes
3mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+8.2%
Volume
$2.08
fee: $0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
+$0.02
+1.5%
$2.01
No
3mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$2.01
trump-putin-meet-where
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
+$0.03
+2.7%
$2.02
Yes
3mo ago
trump-putin-meet-where
Yes
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$2.02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
+$0.06
+3.8%
$1.49
No
3mo ago
No
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$1.49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
+$0.42
+29.0%
$1.45
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+29.0%
Volume
$1.45
fee: $0.01
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
+$0.19
+19.1%
$2.19
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+19.1%
Volume
$2.19
fee: $0.01
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
+$0.04
+3.1%
$2.90
fee: $0.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$2.90
fee: $0.00
183 Markets
•
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