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PolyPnL
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ci
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$20.82
cigoL-GPT5
cigoL-GPT5
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
November 7, 2025
Active
June 22, 2026
Balance
$0.00
Incoming
+$521.87
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$391.50
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 125
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
+$4.27
+85.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.27
ROI
+85.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.09
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
+$2.51
+50.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.51
ROI
+50.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.07
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
-$8.27
-103.4%
$8.00
fee: $0.27
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.27
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.27
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
-$4.66
-103.5%
$4.50
fee: $0.16
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.66
ROI
-103.5%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.16
P
box-office-openings
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
+$10.55
+150.7%
$24.81
fee: $0.27
No
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.55
ROI
+150.7%
Volume
$24.81
fee: $0.27
box-office-openings
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
+$4.27
+42.7%
$24.27
No
2mo ago
box-office-openings
No
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.27
ROI
+42.7%
Volume
$24.27
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
-$12.22
-76.4%
$20.38
fee: $0.60
Yes
2mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.22
ROI
-76.4%
Volume
$20.38
fee: $0.60
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
-$10.53
-75.2%
$17.84
fee: $0.37
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.53
ROI
-75.2%
Volume
$17.84
fee: $0.37
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
-$0.06
-1.2%
$9.99
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$9.99
fee: $0.06
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
-$1.53
-19.2%
$14.77
fee: $0.31
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.53
ROI
-19.2%
Volume
$14.77
fee: $0.31
box-office-openings
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
-$3.75
-37.5%
$16.25
No
2mo ago
box-office-openings
No
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.75
ROI
-37.5%
Volume
$16.25
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
-$1.91
-14.7%
$24.09
No
2mo ago
No
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.91
ROI
-14.7%
Volume
$24.09
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
+$1.05
+15.0%
$15.12
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+15.0%
Volume
$15.12
fee: $0.07
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
+$0.29
+7.2%
$4.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.01
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
-$8.06
-100.8%
$8.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.06
ROI
-100.8%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.06
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
-$8.14
-101.7%
$8.00
fee: $0.14
Yes
2mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.14
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.14
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
+$2.72
+32.1%
$19.72
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.72
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$19.72
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
+$0.66
+13.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+13.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.02
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
+$0.98
+16.3%
$12.97
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.98
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$12.97
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
+$1.05
+13.2%
$8.00
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.04
P
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
-$0.52
-10.4%
$9.47
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.52
ROI
-10.4%
Volume
$9.47
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
+$3.42
+34.2%
$23.41
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.42
ROI
+34.2%
Volume
$23.41
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
+$2.42
+24.2%
$10.00
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.42
ROI
+24.2%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.08
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
-$5.06
-101.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
2mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.06
ROI
-101.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
+$9.13
+91.3%
$10.00
fee: $0.24
No
2mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.13
ROI
+91.3%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.24
iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
-$1.19
-26.4%
$7.81
No
2mo ago
iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement
No
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.19
ROI
-26.4%
Volume
$7.81
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
+$3.81
+47.6%
$8.00
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.81
ROI
+47.6%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.13
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
-$2.43
-34.8%
$11.88
fee: $0.32
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.43
ROI
-34.8%
Volume
$11.88
fee: $0.32
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$0.24
+5.4%
$4.50
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+5.4%
Volume
$4.50
P
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
+$0.26
+6.5%
$4.00
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$4.00
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
-$45.60
-102.7%
$44.41
fee: $1.19
Yes
3mo ago
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
Yes
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$45.60
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$44.41
fee: $1.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$1.47
-10.7%
$25.85
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.47
ROI
-10.7%
Volume
$25.85
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
+$4.04
+50.5%
$8.00
fee: $0.08
No
3mo ago
No
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.04
ROI
+50.5%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.08
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
+$1.05
+21.0%
$11.09
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$11.09
fee: $0.05
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?
+$2.47
+30.9%
$8.00
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
No
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.47
ROI
+30.9%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.06
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
-$6.06
-101.1%
$6.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.06
ROI
-101.1%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.06
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
-$3.14
-24.1%
$23.33
fee: $0.43
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.14
ROI
-24.1%
Volume
$23.33
fee: $0.43
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
+$3.41
+56.9%
$6.00
fee: $0.11
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.41
ROI
+56.9%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.11
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
+$4.32
+86.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
No
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.32
ROI
+86.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.12
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
+$1.61
+32.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+32.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.04
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
+$0.77
+11.8%
$13.79
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.77
ROI
+11.8%
Volume
$13.79
fee: $0.03
best-ai-model
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
+$8.28
+127.4%
$21.51
fee: $0.23
No
3mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.28
ROI
+127.4%
Volume
$21.51
fee: $0.23
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
+$3.47
+43.4%
$8.00
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
No
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.47
ROI
+43.4%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.12
P
top-us-spotify-song
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
+$2.27
+23.8%
$21.67
fee: $0.36
No
3mo ago
P
top-us-spotify-song
No
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.27
ROI
+23.8%
Volume
$21.67
fee: $0.36
P
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
+$1.19
+19.8%
$6.00
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.19
ROI
+19.8%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.04
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
-$7.39
-100.0%
$7.39
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$7.39
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.39
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
+$5.16
+114.7%
$4.50
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.16
ROI
+114.7%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.12
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
-$4.57
-101.5%
$4.50
fee: $0.07
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.57
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.07
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
+$9.00
+100.0%
$26.99
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$9.00
ROI
+100.0%
Volume
$26.99
P
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
-$6.00
-100.0%
$6.00
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.00
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
-$4.67
-101.7%
$4.59
fee: $0.08
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.67
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$4.59
fee: $0.08
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
+$1.51
+8.2%
$38.50
No
3mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.51
ROI
+8.2%
Volume
$38.50
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
-$10.14
-101.4%
$10.00
fee: $0.14
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$10.14
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.14
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
-$1.32
-22.0%
$10.91
fee: $0.24
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.32
ROI
-22.0%
Volume
$10.91
fee: $0.24
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
+$1.14
+9.5%
$25.26
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.14
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$25.26
fee: $0.13
box-office-openings
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?
+$0.98
+9.8%
$21.09
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
box-office-openings
No
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.98
ROI
+9.8%
Volume
$21.09
fee: $0.12
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
+$2.23
+22.3%
$22.32
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.23
ROI
+22.3%
Volume
$22.32
fee: $0.10
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
-$12.38
-103.2%
$12.00
fee: $0.38
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$12.38
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$12.00
fee: $0.38
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
+$0.67
+6.7%
$20.72
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+6.7%
Volume
$20.72
fee: $0.05
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
+$0.38
+6.3%
$6.00
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.38
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
-$5.23
-104.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.23
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.23
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
+$0.78
+9.2%
$17.78
No
3mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+9.2%
Volume
$17.78
box-office-openings
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
-$4.36
-54.6%
$12.17
fee: $0.54
Yes
3mo ago
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.36
ROI
-54.6%
Volume
$12.17
fee: $0.54
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
+$0.25
+5.8%
$8.75
No
3mo ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+5.8%
Volume
$8.75
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
+$0.28
+9.4%
$6.27
No
3mo ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+9.4%
Volume
$6.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$0.63
+10.6%
$12.63
No
3mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$12.63
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
+$1.36
+15.1%
$19.36
No
3mo ago
nuclear-deal
No
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.36
ROI
+15.1%
Volume
$19.36
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
+$1.61
+13.4%
$25.69
fee: $0.09
No
3mo ago
best-math-ai
No
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+13.4%
Volume
$25.69
fee: $0.09
measles
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
+$1.02
+25.4%
$9.06
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
measles
No
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.02
ROI
+25.4%
Volume
$9.06
fee: $0.05
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
+$0.97
+16.1%
$13.04
fee: $0.07
No
3mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.97
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$13.04
fee: $0.07
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
+$0.42
+9.9%
$4.25
No
3mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$4.25
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
+$11.06
+221.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.17
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$11.06
ROI
+221.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.17
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
-$4.02
-100.5%
$4.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.02
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.02
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
+$1.37
+34.4%
$4.00
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.37
ROI
+34.4%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.03
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
+$3.10
+51.7%
$15.10
No
3mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.10
ROI
+51.7%
Volume
$15.10
claude-4pt8
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
-$6.19
-103.2%
$6.00
fee: $0.19
Yes
3mo ago
claude-4pt8
Yes
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.19
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.19
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
-$6.10
-101.7%
$6.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.10
ROI
-101.7%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.10
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
+$5.46
+68.3%
$8.00
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
No
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.46
ROI
+68.3%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.10
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
+$0.19
+2.7%
$14.21
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$14.21
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
-$0.72
-6.6%
$15.99
fee: $0.15
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.72
ROI
-6.6%
Volume
$15.99
fee: $0.15
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
+$0.46
+9.2%
$10.45
No
3mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+9.2%
Volume
$10.45
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
+$0.49
+9.9%
$5.00
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$5.00
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
-$5.05
-101.0%
$5.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
3mo ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.05
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.05
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
+$1.50
+25.0%
$6.00
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.50
ROI
+25.0%
Volume
$6.00
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
-$4.02
-100.4%
$4.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.02
ROI
-100.4%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.02
trump-weekly-mentions
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
-$5.03
-100.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.03
Yes
3mo ago
trump-weekly-mentions
Yes
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.03
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.03
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
+$2.49
+31.2%
$8.00
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
bank-of-israel-decision
No
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.49
ROI
+31.2%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.10
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
+$0.86
+17.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.86
ROI
+17.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
+$2.45
+40.8%
$6.00
No
3mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.45
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$6.00
box-office-openings
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
+$2.36
+39.4%
$6.00
fee: $0.09
No
3mo ago
box-office-openings
No
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.36
ROI
+39.4%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.09
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
-$8.15
-101.8%
$8.00
fee: $0.15
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.15
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.15
box-office-openings
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
+$2.99
+49.8%
$6.00
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
box-office-openings
No
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.99
ROI
+49.8%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.10
box-office-openings
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
-$6.18
-102.9%
$6.00
fee: $0.18
Yes
3mo ago
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.18
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.18
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
+$0.76
+9.5%
$8.00
fee: $0.03
No
4mo ago
No
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
-$2.39
-29.9%
$13.89
fee: $0.29
No
4mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$2.39
ROI
-29.9%
Volume
$13.89
fee: $0.29
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
+$0.37
+8.1%
$4.50
fee: $0.01
No
4mo ago
No
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.37
ROI
+8.1%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.01
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
+$0.36
+7.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.01
No
4mo ago
No
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.01
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
+$0.66
+11.9%
$5.50
fee: $0.03
No
4mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$5.50
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
+$0.39
+8.8%
$4.50
fee: $0.02
No
4mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+8.8%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.02
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
+$0.20
+3.3%
$12.19
No
4mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$12.19
125 Markets
•
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