cigoL-GPT5cigoL-GPT5

View on Polymarket

Created November 7, 2025

Active June 13, 2026

Performance Curve

Cumulative PnL

May 14

May 22

May 29

Jun 6

Jun 13

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

geopolitics+14.78

WR: 86.7%(13/15)

ROI: +13.4%

finance+7.79

WR: 100.0%(2/2)

ROI: +59.9%

hockey+2.82

WR: 66.7%(2/3)

ROI: +17.6%

economy+2.49

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +31.2%

weather+1.02

WR: 50.0%(1/2)

ROI: +25.4%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$0.00

0.0%

Taker Volume$719.20

100.0%

Taker Ratio

100%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

$-0.37

ROI

-2.0%

Win Rate

25.0%

Volume

$52.95

1 Wins in 4 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$19.04

ROI

26.0%

Win Rate

50.0%

Volume

$199.66

7 Wins in 14 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$0.63

ROI

0.4%

Win Rate

41.7%

Volume

$319.05

10 Wins in 24 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

$-19.31

ROI

-4.8%

Win Rate

58.7%

Volume

$719.20

37 Wins in 63 Markets

Recent Markets | 114 total

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

-$1.47

-10.7%

Active

1h ago

Active

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Active 1h ago

PnL-$1.47

ROI-10.7%

Volume

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

—

Active

7h ago

Active

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

Active 7h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

+$1.10

+22.0%

Active

13h ago

Active

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Active 13h ago

PnL+$1.10

ROI+22.0%

Volume

Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?

—

Active

20h ago

Active

Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?

Active 20h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

—

Active

1d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Active

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

-$3.14

-24.1%

Yes

1d ago

elon-tweets

Yes

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Settled 22h ago

PnL-$3.14

ROI-24.1%

Volume

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

+$3.41

+56.9%

2d ago

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$3.41

ROI+56.9%

Volume

Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

+$4.32

+86.3%

2d ago

Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Settled 19h ago

PnL+$4.32

ROI+86.3%

Volume

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

—

Active

2d ago

Active

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Active 2d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

+$3.47

+43.4%

2d ago

Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Settled 19h ago

PnL+$3.47

ROI+43.4%

Volume

best-ai-model

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

+$8.28

+127.4%

2d ago

best-ai-model

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Settled 23m ago

PnL+$8.28

ROI+127.4%

Volume

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

+$0.79

+12.2%

Active

2d ago

Active

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.79

ROI+12.2%

Volume

top-us-spotify-song

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

+$2.27

+23.8%

2d ago

top-us-spotify-song

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Settled 23h ago

PnL+$2.27

ROI+23.8%

Volume

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

—

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

mythos-released

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

-$7.39

-100.0%

Yes

4d ago

mythos-released

Yes

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$7.39

ROI-100.0%

Volume

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

+$5.16

+114.7%

4d ago

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$5.16

ROI+114.7%

Volume

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

-$4.57

-101.5%

Yes

4d ago

elon-tweets-48h

Yes

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Settled 3d ago

PnL-$4.57

ROI-101.5%

Volume

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

+$9.00

+100.0%

5d ago

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$9.00

ROI+100.0%

Volume

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

-$6.00

-100.0%

Yes

5d ago

Yes

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$6.00

ROI-100.0%

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

+$1.51

+8.2%

5d ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$1.51

ROI+8.2%

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

-$4.67

-101.7%

Yes

5d ago

elon-tweets

Yes

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Settled 3d ago

PnL-$4.67

ROI-101.7%

Volume

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

-$1.32

-22.0%

6d ago

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL-$1.32

ROI-22.0%

Volume

mythos-released

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

-$10.14

-101.4%

Yes

6d ago

mythos-released

Yes

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$10.14

ROI-101.4%

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

+$1.14

+9.5%

7d ago

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Settled 2d ago

PnL+$1.14

ROI+9.5%

Volume

box-office-openings

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

+$0.98

+9.8%

8d ago

box-office-openings

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$0.98

ROI+9.8%

Volume

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

+$2.23

+22.3%

8d ago

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$2.23

ROI+22.3%

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

-$12.38

-103.2%

Yes

8d ago

elon-tweets

Yes

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Settled 8d ago

PnL-$12.38

ROI-103.2%

Volume

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

+$0.67

+6.7%

9d ago

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Settled 7d ago

PnL+$0.67

ROI+6.7%

Volume

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

+$0.38

+6.3%

10d ago

elon-tweets-48h

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Settled 10d ago

PnL+$0.38

ROI+6.3%

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

-$5.23

-104.6%

Yes

11d ago

elon-tweets

Yes

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Settled 10d ago

PnL-$5.23

ROI-104.6%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

+$0.78

+9.2%

12d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$0.78

ROI+9.2%

Volume

box-office-openings

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

-$4.36

-54.6%

Yes

13d ago

box-office-openings

Yes

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Settled 11d ago

PnL-$4.36

ROI-54.6%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

+$0.63

+10.6%

13d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.63

ROI+10.6%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

+$1.36

+15.1%

13d ago

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$1.36

ROI+15.1%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

+$0.28

+9.4%

13d ago

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.28

ROI+9.4%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

+$0.25

+5.8%

13d ago

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.25

ROI+5.8%

Volume

best-math-ai

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

+$1.61

+13.4%

13d ago

best-math-ai

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$1.61

ROI+13.4%

Volume

measles

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

+$1.02

+25.4%

14d ago

measles

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$1.02

ROI+25.4%

Volume

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

+$0.97

+16.1%

14d ago

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.97

ROI+16.1%

Volume

enrichment-of-uranium

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

+$0.42

+9.9%

15d ago

enrichment-of-uranium

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.42

ROI+9.9%

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

+$11.06

+221.2%

15d ago

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Settled 15d ago

PnL+$11.06

ROI+221.2%

Volume

Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

+$1.37

+34.4%

16d ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$1.37

ROI+34.4%

Volume

Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

-$4.02

-100.5%

Yes

16d ago

Yes

Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$4.02

ROI-100.5%

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

+$3.10

+51.7%

16d ago

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Settled 13d ago

PnL+$3.10

ROI+51.7%

Volume

claude-4pt8

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

-$6.19

-103.2%

Yes

16d ago

claude-4pt8

Yes

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Settled 16d ago

PnL-$6.19

ROI-103.2%

Volume

Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

+$5.46

+68.3%

16d ago

Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Settled 13d ago

PnL+$5.46

ROI+68.3%

Volume

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

-$6.10

-101.7%

Yes

16d ago

Yes

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Settled 13d ago

PnL-$6.10

ROI-101.7%

Volume

GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?

+$0.19

+2.7%

23d ago

GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?

Settled 19d ago

PnL+$0.19

ROI+2.7%

Volume

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

-$0.72

-6.6%

23d ago

elon-tweets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Settled 23d ago

PnL-$0.72

ROI-6.6%

Volume

114 Markets

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