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PolyPnL
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DistortedReality
DistortedReal...
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Created
December 20, 2025
Active
July 7, 2026
Balance
$10.35
Incoming
+$42.31K
Rewards
+$56.33
Outgoing
-$48.79K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$6.81K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Apr 28
May 16
Jun 2
Jun 20
Jul 8
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$1.92K
WR: 40.0%
(8/20)
ROI: +25.6%
Geopolitics
+$322.91
WR: 40.9%
(9/22)
ROI: +3.2%
Economy
+$6.88
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +2.3%
Pop Culture
-$0.89
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -3.4%
Elections
-$139.65
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -58.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$6.89K
30.3%
Taker Volume
$15.87K
69.7%
Taker Ratio
70%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$271.48
ROI
-30.5%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$1.52K
Fee
$33.06
0 Wins in 3 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$271.48
ROI
-30.5%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$1.52K
Fee
$33.06
0 Wins in 3 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$292.95
ROI
12.5%
Win Rate
38.5%
Volume
$5.03K
Fee
$61.57
5 Wins in 13 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$700.87
ROI
-5.3%
Win Rate
31.1%
Volume
$22.75K
Fee
$122.33
14 Wins in 45 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 165
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
-$46.78
-11.6%
$760.74
fee: $18.17
Active
13h ago
Active
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Active 13h ago
PnL
-$46.78
ROI
-11.6%
Volume
$760.74
fee: $18.17
soccer-fifwc
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
-$159.28
-43.4%
$586.59
fee: $11.70
Yes
14h ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Settled 13h ago
PnL
-$159.28
ROI
-43.4%
Volume
$586.59
fee: $11.70
soccer-fifwc
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
-$65.42
-54.8%
$176.74
fee: $3.19
Egypt
15h ago
soccer-fifwc
Egypt
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Settled 13h ago
PnL
-$65.42
ROI
-54.8%
Volume
$176.74
fee: $3.19
soccer-fifwc
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
+$6.72
+13.2%
$110.79
fee: $2.52
Morocco
3d ago
soccer-fifwc
Morocco
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$6.72
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$110.79
fee: $2.52
soccer-fifwc
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
+$49.42
+50.3%
$249.10
fee: $3.02
Yes
3d ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$49.42
ROI
+50.3%
Volume
$249.10
fee: $3.02
soccer-fifwc
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
-$27.30
-102.6%
$26.60
fee: $0.70
No
5d ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$27.30
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$26.60
fee: $0.70
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
+$494.93
+57.4%
$2.22K
No
5d ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
No
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
+$494.93
ROI
+57.4%
Volume
$2.22K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$10.01
-10.0%
$196.50
fee: $5.51
No
5d ago
No
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$10.01
ROI
-10.0%
Volume
$196.50
fee: $5.51
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.00
+0.0%
$370.98
fee: $10.22
Active
5d ago
Active
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$370.98
fee: $10.22
soccer-fifwc
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
+$91.82
+94.4%
$291.66
fee: $5.40
No
6d ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$91.82
ROI
+94.4%
Volume
$291.66
fee: $5.40
soccer-fifwc
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
-$10.28
-102.8%
$10.00
fee: $0.28
No
6d ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$10.28
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.28
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?
-$15.43
-102.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.43
No
6d ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$15.43
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.43
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?
-$15.45
-103.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.45
No
6d ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$15.45
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.45
No one announced as next James Bond?
-$0.89
-3.4%
$52.50
fee: $1.39
Yes
7d ago
Yes
No one announced as next James Bond?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$0.89
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$52.50
fee: $1.39
us-forces-in-venezuela
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
-$67.43
-61.2%
$152.87
Yes
10d ago
us-forces-in-venezuela
Yes
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$67.43
ROI
-61.2%
Volume
$152.87
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
-$50.00
-100.0%
$50.00
No
12d ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$50.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$50.00
soccer-fifwc
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
-$171.13
-60.7%
$401.70
fee: $9.23
Under
15d ago
soccer-fifwc
Under
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$171.13
ROI
-60.7%
Volume
$401.70
fee: $9.23
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$89.44
+71.3%
$340.31
No
15d ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$89.44
ROI
+71.3%
Volume
$340.31
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
-$248.50
-103.4%
$240.41
fee: $8.09
Yes
16d ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$248.50
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$240.41
fee: $8.09
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
-$1.90K
-75.2%
$3.16K
No
17d ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$1.90K
ROI
-75.2%
Volume
$3.16K
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
-$660.49
-50.8%
$1.94K
No
18d ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$660.49
ROI
-50.8%
Volume
$1.94K
soccer-fifwc
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
-$78.42
-80.8%
$118.69
fee: $3.01
No
20d ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$78.42
ROI
-80.8%
Volume
$118.69
fee: $3.01
P
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
+$16.14
+29.4%
$126.04
No
20d ago
P
No
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$16.14
ROI
+29.4%
Volume
$126.04
soccer-fifwc
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
-$100.02
-102.6%
$97.48
fee: $2.54
No
21d ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$100.02
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$97.48
fee: $2.54
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$96.05
-102.8%
$93.43
fee: $2.63
No
21d ago
No
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$96.05
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$93.43
fee: $2.63
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
+$111.15
+22.6%
$1.10K
No
21d ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$111.15
ROI
+22.6%
Volume
$1.10K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$42.69
-42.7%
$157.31
No
21d ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$42.69
ROI
-42.7%
Volume
$157.31
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
-$0.00
-0.0%
$20.39
No
22d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$20.39
soccer-fifwc
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
-$7.14
-6.3%
$222.55
fee: $4.17
Egypt
22d ago
soccer-fifwc
Egypt
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$7.14
ROI
-6.3%
Volume
$222.55
fee: $4.17
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
-$28.36
-20.3%
$258.46
fee: $6.82
No
22d ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$28.36
ROI
-20.3%
Volume
$258.46
fee: $6.82
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$15.28
-7.9%
$372.69
fee: $9.41
Active
22d ago
Active
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$15.28
ROI
-7.9%
Volume
$372.69
fee: $9.41
P
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
-$157.15
-58.2%
$382.44
Yes
22d ago
P
Yes
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$157.15
ROI
-58.2%
Volume
$382.44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$103.86
-9.7%
$2.03K
Yes
22d ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$103.86
ROI
-9.7%
Volume
$2.03K
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
+$246.30
+144.5%
$587.18
No
22d ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$246.30
ROI
+144.5%
Volume
$587.18
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
-$48.21
-100.0%
$48.21
Yes
23d ago
nuclear-deal
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
-$48.21
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$48.21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
+$2.55K
+124.0%
$3.59K
Yes
23d ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$2.55K
ROI
+124.0%
Volume
$3.59K
P
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
+$63.64
+31.8%
$463.62
No
23d ago
P
No
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$63.64
ROI
+31.8%
Volume
$463.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
+$0.00
+0.0%
$72.90
Yes
23d ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$72.90
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
-$0.53
-7.5%
$13.48
Yes
23d ago
trump-agree-iran
Yes
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$0.53
ROI
-7.5%
Volume
$13.48
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
+$33.89
+159.4%
$76.42
Yes
23d ago
trump-agree-iran
Yes
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$33.89
ROI
+159.4%
Volume
$76.42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
-$55.14
-20.7%
$477.35
Yes
23d ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Settled 23d ago
PnL
-$55.14
ROI
-20.7%
Volume
$477.35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
-$121.15
-100.0%
$121.15
No
24d ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$121.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$121.15
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$6.88
+2.3%
$597.84
No
25d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 16h ago
PnL
+$6.88
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$597.84
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
-$16.00
-100.0%
$16.00
No
27d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$16.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$16.00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
-$139.65
-58.0%
$355.74
fee: $13.46
No
27d ago
No
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$139.65
ROI
-58.0%
Volume
$355.74
fee: $13.46
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
-$186.91
-93.4%
$213.11
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$186.91
ROI
-93.4%
Volume
$213.11
P
Will MrBeast say "Lose" or "Loser" during his next gaming YouTube video?
-$0.25
-100.0%
$0.25
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will MrBeast say "Lose" or "Loser" during his next gaming YouTube video?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.25
canadian-secession-referendum
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
+$89.92
+74.3%
$339.94
fee: $8.03
Yes
1mo ago
canadian-secession-referendum
Yes
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$89.92
ROI
+74.3%
Volume
$339.94
fee: $8.03
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
+$0.30
+17.7%
$3.75
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
No
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+17.7%
Volume
$3.75
fee: $0.05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
-$139.45
-103.1%
$135.26
fee: $4.19
No
1mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$139.45
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$135.26
fee: $4.19
165 Markets
•
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