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simplystupid188
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Created
November 25, 2025
Active
July 3, 2026
Balance
$4.25K
Incoming
+$2.55K
Rewards
+$3.25K
Outgoing
-$8.71K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$5.20K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
May 10
May 24
Jun 8
Jun 22
Jul 7
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$1.11K
WR: 52.2%
(72/138)
ROI: +0.4%
Politics
+$843.00
WR: 46.5%
(108/232)
ROI: +0.2%
Sports
+$771.08
WR: 57.9%
(44/76)
ROI: +0.3%
Economy
+$490.05
WR: 47.6%
(10/21)
ROI: +0.9%
Soccer
+$458.34
WR: 54.0%
(20/37)
ROI: +0.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$687.00K
97.7%
Taker Volume
$16.32K
2.3%
Taker Ratio
2%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$715.57
ROI
0.2%
Win Rate
49.7%
Volume
$210.25K
Fee
$69.71
88 Wins in 177 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$1.49K
ROI
0.2%
Win Rate
47.3%
Volume
$703.33K
Fee
$156.45
198 Wins in 419 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 641
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
-$4.97
-0.2%
$5.15K
Active
3d ago
enrichment-of-uranium
Active
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$4.97
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$5.15K
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
-$0.61
-0.2%
$350.41
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$0.61
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$350.41
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
-$22.89
-20.4%
$238.68
fee: $0.10
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$22.89
ROI
-20.4%
Volume
$238.68
fee: $0.10
ai-frontiermath-score-90
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
-$55.76
-16.5%
$283.10
Active
3d ago
ai-frontiermath-score-90
Active
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$55.76
ROI
-16.5%
Volume
$283.10
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$6.05
-0.8%
$247.93
Active
3d ago
Active
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$6.05
ROI
-0.8%
Volume
$247.93
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$4.85
-2.1%
$325.05
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$4.85
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$325.05
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$3.11
+25.8%
$42.21
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$3.11
ROI
+25.8%
Volume
$42.21
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+$6.66
+0.5%
$60.49
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$6.66
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$60.49
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
-$19.40
-4.1%
$950.55
fee: $0.41
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$19.40
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$950.55
fee: $0.41
Miguel DÃaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
+$0.55
+0.1%
$810.28
Active
4d ago
Active
Miguel DÃaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$0.55
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$810.28
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$1.50
-1.2%
$247.76
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$247.76
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
-$6.40
-2.2%
$57.93
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$6.40
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$57.93
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$4.53
+0.1%
$202.93
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$4.53
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$202.93
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
+$1.54
+6.4%
$34.15
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$1.54
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$34.15
Iran leadership change by December 31?
-$8.59
-0.7%
$1.08K
Active
4d ago
Active
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$8.59
ROI
-0.7%
Volume
$1.08K
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
-$5.78
-89.2%
$8.59
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$5.78
ROI
-89.2%
Volume
$8.59
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
+$4.45
+0.0%
$973.64
fee: $0.11
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$4.45
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$973.64
fee: $0.11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
+$5.66
+0.5%
$2.19K
fee: $0.21
Active
4d ago
Active
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$5.66
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$2.19K
fee: $0.21
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$11.80
+0.2%
$162.15
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$11.80
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$162.15
greenland-deal
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
+$9.11
+5.9%
$322.57
Active
4d ago
greenland-deal
Active
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$9.11
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$322.57
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
-$8.09
-4.4%
$387.99
fee: $0.48
Active
4d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$8.09
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$387.99
fee: $0.48
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
-$9.59
-0.1%
$414.57
fee: $0.66
Active
4d ago
Active
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$9.59
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$414.57
fee: $0.66
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
+$1.74
+3.3%
$128.53
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$128.53
house-odds-deriv
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$4.62
-4.4%
$219.94
Active
4d ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$4.62
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$219.94
russia-enter-group
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
-$0.06
-1.3%
$11.45
Active
4d ago
russia-enter-group
Active
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$11.45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+$1.83
+0.2%
$973.48
fee: $0.33
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$1.83
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$973.48
fee: $0.33
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
-$17.18
-2.1%
$1.67K
Active
4d ago
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Active
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$17.18
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$1.67K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$6.79
-1.0%
$1.37K
fee: $0.36
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$6.79
ROI
-1.0%
Volume
$1.37K
fee: $0.36
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
-$0.57
-1.2%
$103.41
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$103.41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$5.51
-7.5%
$165.25
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$5.51
ROI
-7.5%
Volume
$165.25
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
-$5.21
-0.8%
$154.22
fee: $0.39
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$5.21
ROI
-0.8%
Volume
$154.22
fee: $0.39
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
-$7.38
-0.3%
$267.07
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$7.38
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$267.07
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
-$8.00
-1.2%
$1.34K
Active
4d ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$8.00
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$1.34K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$22.05
+1.1%
$4.12K
Active
4d ago
Active
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$22.05
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$4.12K
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.0%
$61.49
Active
4d ago
Active
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$61.49
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
+$2.53
+3.3%
$171.03
Active
4d ago
Active
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$2.53
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$171.03
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
+$7.33
+0.3%
$321.19
fee: $0.15
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$7.33
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$321.19
fee: $0.15
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$1.27
+0.1%
$32.77
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$1.27
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$32.77
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
-$4.56
-0.1%
$1.92K
Active
4d ago
Active
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$4.56
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$1.92K
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
+$18.39
+9.4%
$415.15
fee: $0.09
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$18.39
ROI
+9.4%
Volume
$415.15
fee: $0.09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-$16.09
-0.3%
$1.11K
fee: $1.28
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$16.09
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$1.11K
fee: $1.28
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
-$4.39
-7.0%
$154.56
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$4.39
ROI
-7.0%
Volume
$154.56
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$1.74
+0.1%
$268.24
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$268.24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$0.89
+0.6%
$288.53
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$0.89
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$288.53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
-$13.63
-2.3%
$957.45
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$13.63
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$957.45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+$0.52
+0.0%
$937.25
fee: $0.88
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$937.25
fee: $0.88
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
+$2.88
+0.6%
$453.14
fee: $0.08
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$2.88
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$453.14
fee: $0.08
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
-$3.70
-21.8%
$39.88
fee: $0.01
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$3.70
ROI
-21.8%
Volume
$39.88
fee: $0.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
+$1.73
+0.6%
$625.08
Active
4d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$1.73
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$625.08
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-$9.19
-2.1%
$53.08
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$9.19
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$53.08
641 Markets
•
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