ColdConvictionColdConvictio...

View on Polymarket

Created January 4, 2026

Active July 7, 2026

Balance$11.82K

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL-$11.89K

Apr 29

May 16

Jun 2

Jun 20

Jul 7

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Geopolitics+$1.70K

WR: 56.3%(9/16)

ROI: +5.4%

Politics+$848.80

WR: 37.5%(6/16)

ROI: +4.6%

Sports+$41.88

WR: 100.0%(4/4)

ROI: +2.3%

Soccer+$41.88

WR: 100.0%(4/4)

ROI: +2.3%

Pop Culture-$51.90

WR: 0.0%(0/1)

ROI: -12.7%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$91.36K

93.6%

Taker Volume$6.20K

6.4%

Taker Ratio

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$23.37

ROI

2.9%

Win Rate

60.0%

Volume

$15.83K

Fee

$0.00

3 Wins in 5 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$46.59

ROI

-1.3%

Win Rate

25.0%

Volume

$32.55K

Fee

$0.00

3 Wins in 12 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$735.65

ROI

5.2%

Win Rate

37.5%

Volume

$54.42K

Fee

$0.00

6 Wins in 16 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$1.62K

ROI

4.4%

Win Rate

54.2%

Volume

$97.55K

Fee

$0.00

13 Wins in 24 Markets

Recent Markets | total 44

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

+$17.76

+2.4%

Active

45m ago

Active

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Active 45m ago

PnL+$17.76

ROI+2.4%

Volume

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

+$0.35

+5.7%

Active

8h ago

Active

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Active 8h ago

PnL+$0.35

ROI+5.7%

Volume

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

—

Active

8h ago

Active

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Active 8h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

+$5.27

+9.3%

Active

14h ago

Active

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Active 14h ago

PnL+$5.27

ROI+9.3%

Volume

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

—

Active

20h ago

Active

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Active 20h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

-$69.96

-2.5%

Active

1d ago

Active

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$69.96

ROI-2.5%

Volume

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

trump-out

Trump out as President before 2027?

—

Active

1d ago

trump-out

Active

Trump out as President before 2027?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

—

Active

4d ago

Active

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

+$744.82

+9.5%

Active

4d ago

Active

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Active 4d ago

PnL+$744.82

ROI+9.5%

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

+$20.76

+1.1%

Active

5d ago

Active

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Active 5d ago

PnL+$20.76

ROI+1.1%

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

+$16.65

+1.9%

Active

5d ago

Active

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Active 5d ago

PnL+$16.65

ROI+1.9%

Volume

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by June 30?

+$133.91

+2.1%

17d ago

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$133.91

ROI+2.1%

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

+$577.34

+7.5%

18d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$577.34

ROI+7.5%

Volume

Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$3.16

+0.7%

fee: $0.00

Yes

18d ago

Yes

Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 16d ago

PnL+$3.16

ROI+0.7%

Volumefee: $0.00

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

+$185.64

+2.9%

19d ago

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$185.64

ROI+2.9%

Volume

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

-$51.90

-12.7%

Active

20d ago

Active

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Active 20d ago

PnL-$51.90

ROI-12.7%

Volume

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$13.33

+2.5%

Yes

21d ago

Yes

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 17d ago

PnL+$13.33

ROI+2.5%

Volume

Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$8.19

+2.5%

Yes

21d ago

Yes

Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 18d ago

PnL+$8.19

ROI+2.5%

Volume

Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$17.20

+3.2%

Yes

21d ago

Yes

Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Settled 14d ago

PnL+$17.20

ROI+3.2%

Volume

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

+$51.26

+5.7%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$51.26

ROI+5.7%

Volume

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

-$9.80

-100.0%

1mo ago

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL-$9.80

ROI-100.0%

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

+$1.15K

+10.1%

1mo ago

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$1.15K

ROI+10.1%

Volume

china-x-taiwan-clash

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

—

Active

1mo ago

china-x-taiwan-clash

Active

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

+$47.77

+4.6%

1mo ago

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$47.77

ROI+4.6%

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

+$251.92

+6.5%

1mo ago

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$251.92

ROI+6.5%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

+$45.11

+1.0%

1mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$45.11

ROI+1.0%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

+$186.48

+38.9%

1mo ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$186.48

ROI+38.9%

Volume

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by May 31?

+$49.55

+1.9%

1mo ago

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$49.55

ROI+1.9%

Volume

iran-regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

-$33.33

-1.6%

1mo ago

iran-regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL-$33.33

ROI-1.6%

Volume

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

+$32.63

+1.7%

fee: $1.27

1mo ago

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$32.63

ROI+1.7%

Volumefee: $1.27

russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

-$15.24K

-97.3%

Yes

1mo ago

russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$15.24K

ROI-97.3%

Volume

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by April 30?

+$8.21

+0.1%

2mo ago

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$8.21

ROI+0.1%

Volume

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

-$83.25

-100.0%

2mo ago

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$83.25

ROI-100.0%

Volume

russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

+$5.33

+0.6%

2mo ago

russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$5.33

ROI+0.6%

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

+$28.92

+0.4%

2mo ago

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$28.92

ROI+0.4%

Volume

44 Markets