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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$5.13
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Created
January 7, 2026
Active
August 26, 2026
Balance
$0.00
Incoming
+$3.27K
Rewards
+$41.29
Outgoing
-$4.09K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$11.13
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 22
Aug 29
Sep 6
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$1.00
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +2.5%
Tech
-$0.69
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -81.7%
Esports
-$11.45
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -102.2%
CS2
-$11.45
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -102.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.84
6.4%
Taker Volume
$12.36
93.6%
Taker Ratio
94%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$11.13
ROI
-21.3%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$13.20
Fee
$0.25
1 Wins in 3 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 228
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
counter-strike
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
-$11.45
-102.2%
$11.20
fee: $0.25
M80
17d ago
counter-strike
M80
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$11.45
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$11.20
fee: $0.25
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$1.00
+2.5%
$1.00
No
18d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$1.00
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
-$0.69
-81.7%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
18d ago
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.69
ROI
-81.7%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
-$2.28
-20.4%
$20.40
fee: $0.28
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$2.28
ROI
-20.4%
Volume
$20.40
fee: $0.28
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
+$2.88
+2.5%
$239.25
fee: $3.78
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$2.88
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$239.25
fee: $3.78
best-ai-agent
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
+$2.00
+11.1%
$38.00
fee: $1.23
Active
1mo ago
best-ai-agent
Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$38.00
fee: $1.23
russia-target-kyiv
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?
-$197.58
-79.9%
$297.15
No
1mo ago
russia-target-kyiv
No
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$197.58
ROI
-79.9%
Volume
$297.15
P
russia-target-kyiv
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
russia-target-kyiv
Yes
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.00
Will Natus Vincere make CS2 EWC Grand finals?
-$1.20
-100.0%
$1.20
No
1mo ago
No
Will Natus Vincere make CS2 EWC Grand finals?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.20
cyclosporiasis-cases
Will there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?
+$1.00
+4.9%
$42.60
fee: $0.40
Yes
1mo ago
cyclosporiasis-cases
Yes
Will there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+4.9%
Volume
$42.60
fee: $0.40
etor-earnings
Will Etoro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?
+$0.69
+26.0%
$6.05
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
etor-earnings
No
Will Etoro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+26.0%
Volume
$6.05
fee: $0.06
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?
+$5.20
+29.7%
$41.00
fee: $0.80
No
1mo ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.20
ROI
+29.7%
Volume
$41.00
fee: $0.80
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$6.30
+91.3%
$20.69
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.30
ROI
+91.3%
Volume
$20.69
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
-$182.06
-56.6%
$472.49
fee: $11.66
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
-$182.06
ROI
-56.6%
Volume
$472.49
fee: $11.66
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
-$7.40
-100.0%
$7.40
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.40
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$12.68
+18.2%
$158.14
fee: $6.10
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$12.68
ROI
+18.2%
Volume
$158.14
fee: $6.10
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
+$45.78
+7.6%
$1.27K
fee: $19.34
No
1mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$45.78
ROI
+7.6%
Volume
$1.27K
fee: $19.34
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
+$1.34
+1.6%
$176.92
fee: $6.55
No
1mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$1.34
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$176.92
fee: $6.55
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
-$5.47
-105.2%
$5.20
fee: $0.27
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.47
ROI
-105.2%
Volume
$5.20
fee: $0.27
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
-$8.55
-101.8%
$8.40
fee: $0.15
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.55
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$8.40
fee: $0.15
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
+$9.00
+78.3%
$32.00
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.00
ROI
+78.3%
Volume
$32.00
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?
-$5.20
-104.0%
$5.00
fee: $0.20
No
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.20
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.20
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
-$0.92
-88.0%
$1.23
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.92
ROI
-88.0%
Volume
$1.23
fee: $0.05
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
-$86.92
-83.2%
$125.27
fee: $3.35
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$86.92
ROI
-83.2%
Volume
$125.27
fee: $3.35
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?
-$0.87
-104.0%
$0.84
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.87
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$0.84
fee: $0.03
russia-target-kyiv
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?
+$4.96
+11.7%
$89.91
Yes
1mo ago
russia-target-kyiv
Yes
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.96
ROI
+11.7%
Volume
$89.91
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
+$0.55
+7.5%
$15.11
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.55
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$15.11
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
+$0.90
+1.3%
$140.89
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.90
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$140.89
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
+$0.12
+12.0%
$2.12
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+12.0%
Volume
$2.12
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
+$4.16
+15.6%
$57.72
No
1mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
No
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.16
ROI
+15.6%
Volume
$57.72
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
-$24.13
-88.4%
$30.79
fee: $0.33
Yes
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$24.13
ROI
-88.4%
Volume
$30.79
fee: $0.33
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
-$62.55
-9.7%
$1.26K
fee: $25.77
No
1mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$62.55
ROI
-9.7%
Volume
$1.26K
fee: $25.77
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
-$9.01
-7.3%
$238.81
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.01
ROI
-7.3%
Volume
$238.81
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
+$14.55
+93.4%
$45.72
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$14.55
ROI
+93.4%
Volume
$45.72
fee: $0.03
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
+$1.23
+20.8%
$13.11
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.23
ROI
+20.8%
Volume
$13.11
fee: $0.08
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
+$2.94
+24.4%
$27.20
fee: $0.11
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.94
ROI
+24.4%
Volume
$27.20
fee: $0.11
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
-$0.41
-0.4%
$209.82
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.41
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$209.82
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
-$17.58
-30.4%
$98.20
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$17.58
ROI
-30.4%
Volume
$98.20
largest-company
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
-$1.62
-26.5%
$10.97
fee: $0.34
No
1mo ago
largest-company
No
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.62
ROI
-26.5%
Volume
$10.97
fee: $0.34
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
+$8.40
+73.7%
$8.60
fee: $0.20
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.40
ROI
+73.7%
Volume
$8.60
fee: $0.20
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
+$9.26
+254.3%
$9.36
fee: $0.10
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.26
ROI
+254.3%
Volume
$9.36
fee: $0.10
P
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?
-$1.62
-6.1%
$51.98
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.62
ROI
-6.1%
Volume
$51.98
houthis-target-shipping
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?
+$1.60
+25.4%
$14.20
Yes
1mo ago
houthis-target-shipping
Yes
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.60
ROI
+25.4%
Volume
$14.20
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?
+$3.20
+72.7%
$12.00
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.20
ROI
+72.7%
Volume
$12.00
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
+$32.49
+8.1%
$839.64
fee: $5.56
Yes
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$32.49
ROI
+8.1%
Volume
$839.64
fee: $5.56
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?
-$11.65
-81.3%
$17.30
fee: $0.31
No
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$11.65
ROI
-81.3%
Volume
$17.30
fee: $0.31
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?
-$37.45
-92.7%
$44.93
fee: $1.58
No
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$37.45
ROI
-92.7%
Volume
$44.93
fee: $1.58
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?
-$11.15
-60.2%
$26.85
fee: $0.96
No
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$11.15
ROI
-60.2%
Volume
$26.85
fee: $0.96
P
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
+$2.22
+4.5%
$102.18
fee: $0.38
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.22
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$102.18
fee: $0.38
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
-$22.48
-102.9%
$21.86
fee: $0.63
No
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$22.48
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$21.86
fee: $0.63
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
-$166.03
-45.3%
$574.94
fee: $8.09
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$166.03
ROI
-45.3%
Volume
$574.94
fee: $8.09
P
elon-tweet-mention
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?
-$4.81
-94.4%
$5.40
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
P
elon-tweet-mention
Yes
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.81
ROI
-94.4%
Volume
$5.40
fee: $0.01
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?
-$10.95
-83.9%
$15.36
fee: $0.21
Yes
1mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.95
ROI
-83.9%
Volume
$15.36
fee: $0.21
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$5.96
+27.4%
$49.66
fee: $0.19
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.96
ROI
+27.4%
Volume
$49.66
fee: $0.19
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
+$1.00
+0.9%
$214.75
fee: $1.29
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$214.75
fee: $1.29
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$8.28
+7.3%
$235.15
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.28
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$235.15
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
-$0.40
-13.3%
$5.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-13.3%
Volume
$5.60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
-$0.76
-3.5%
$43.04
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.76
ROI
-3.5%
Volume
$43.04
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$0.65
+16.8%
$8.39
No
1mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+16.8%
Volume
$8.39
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
+$12.77
+15.9%
$173.56
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.77
ROI
+15.9%
Volume
$173.56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
-$8.93
-10.7%
$158.60
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.93
ROI
-10.7%
Volume
$158.60
P
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?
-$1.51
-0.6%
$278.98
fee: $1.50
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.51
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$278.98
fee: $1.50
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
+$0.32
+18.6%
$3.94
fee: $0.16
No
1mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.32
ROI
+18.6%
Volume
$3.94
fee: $0.16
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
-$0.97
-6.0%
$32.24
fee: $0.73
No
1mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.97
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$32.24
fee: $0.73
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
+$24.33
+12.5%
$419.44
fee: $5.54
Yes
1mo ago
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$24.33
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$419.44
fee: $5.54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$1.82
+41.9%
$10.50
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$1.82
ROI
+41.9%
Volume
$10.50
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?
-$0.51
-72.5%
$0.90
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
No
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.51
ROI
-72.5%
Volume
$0.90
fee: $0.01
leavitt-next-briefing
Will Leavitt say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
-$19.27
-96.3%
$21.54
fee: $0.81
Yes
1mo ago
leavitt-next-briefing
Yes
Will Leavitt say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$19.27
ROI
-96.3%
Volume
$21.54
fee: $0.81
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$0.14
+0.7%
$41.54
No
1mo ago
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
No
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$41.54
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$4.37
+2.2%
$202.29
fee: $0.18
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.37
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$202.29
fee: $0.18
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
-$0.24
-8.3%
$5.63
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.24
ROI
-8.3%
Volume
$5.63
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$1.32
+5.7%
$47.48
No
2mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.32
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$47.48
counter-strike
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Rush (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D
-$0.29
-96.8%
$0.31
fee: $0.00
ODDIK
2mo ago
counter-strike
ODDIK
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Rush (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.29
ROI
-96.8%
Volume
$0.31
fee: $0.00
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
+$15.16
+4.6%
$331.36
fee: $0.54
No
2mo ago
No
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$15.16
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$331.36
fee: $0.54
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
-$1.02
-48.4%
$3.30
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
mythos-released
No
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-48.4%
Volume
$3.30
fee: $0.12
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
-$5.95
-57.1%
$15.24
fee: $0.35
No
2mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.95
ROI
-57.1%
Volume
$15.24
fee: $0.35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
+$2.07
+6.3%
$68.04
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.07
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$68.04
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
+$115.68
+37.2%
$738.40
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$115.68
ROI
+37.2%
Volume
$738.40
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?
-$0.55
-60.0%
$1.34
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.55
ROI
-60.0%
Volume
$1.34
fee: $0.05
P
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
-$38.69
-92.3%
$45.19
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$38.69
ROI
-92.3%
Volume
$45.19
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
-$63.72
-100.6%
$63.34
fee: $0.38
No
2mo ago
mythos-released
No
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$63.72
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$63.34
fee: $0.38
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
+$3.03
+0.8%
$366.86
Yes
2mo ago
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.03
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$366.86
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
-$1.06
-100.0%
$1.06
No
2mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.06
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.06
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
+$0.01
+1.7%
$1.71
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$1.71
soccer-fifwc
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
+$0.11
+1.7%
$13.07
fee: $0.11
No
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$13.07
fee: $0.11
openai-debut
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
-$0.57
-7.0%
$15.84
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
openai-debut
No
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-7.0%
Volume
$15.84
fee: $0.07
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
+$0.16
+27.3%
$1.36
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+27.3%
Volume
$1.36
fee: $0.05
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
+$90.98
+43.7%
$514.92
fee: $7.83
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$90.98
ROI
+43.7%
Volume
$514.92
fee: $7.83
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
+$3.96
+8.0%
$102.76
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.96
ROI
+8.0%
Volume
$102.76
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
+$11.39
+5.5%
$426.39
fee: $3.96
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$11.39
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$426.39
fee: $3.96
P
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 12, 2026?
-$0.88
-84.8%
$1.25
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 12, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.88
ROI
-84.8%
Volume
$1.25
fee: $0.05
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$8.23
+18.1%
$102.19
fee: $3.06
No
2mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.23
ROI
+18.1%
Volume
$102.19
fee: $3.06
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?
+$2.60
+5.6%
$46.80
fee: $0.01
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.60
ROI
+5.6%
Volume
$46.80
fee: $0.01
P
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
-$1.37
-99.2%
$1.44
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.37
ROI
-99.2%
Volume
$1.44
fee: $0.05
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
+$41.59
+17.8%
$513.35
fee: $4.03
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$41.59
ROI
+17.8%
Volume
$513.35
fee: $4.03
P
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
-$21.29
-35.8%
$121.85
fee: $2.91
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$21.29
ROI
-35.8%
Volume
$121.85
fee: $2.91
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
-$0.64
-1.3%
$101.76
fee: $0.81
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.64
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$101.76
fee: $0.81
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
-$1.06
-42.9%
$3.99
fee: $0.11
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.06
ROI
-42.9%
Volume
$3.99
fee: $0.11
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
+$4.30
+6.9%
$131.48
fee: $1.79
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.30
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$131.48
fee: $1.79
228 Markets
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