P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
Br
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$214.82
BrownBees
BrownBees
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Created
April 25, 2025
Active
November 9, 2026
Balance
$67.16K
Incoming
+$14.83K
Rewards
+$2.54K
Outgoing
-$206.01
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$6.33K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$6.33K
WR: 33.3%
(6/18)
ROI: +61.0%
Economy
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Politics
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Geopolitics
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$25.97K
83.3%
Taker Volume
$5.20K
16.7%
Taker Ratio
17%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.18
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$11.28K
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 6 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$6.33
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$11.28K
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 6 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$327.56
Rebate:
+$206.78
ROI
-100.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$20.59K
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 11 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$6.33K
Rebate:
+$358.31
ROI
61.0%
Win Rate
31.6%
Volume
$31.17K
Fee
$23.24
6 Wins in 19 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 144
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?
—
—
$1.76K
Active
13m ago
Active
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?
Active 13m ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.76K
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?
—
—
$682.05
Active
2h ago
Active
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$682.05
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
—
—
$768.58
Active
3h ago
Active
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
Active 3h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$768.58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
—
—
$14.46
Active
5h ago
Active
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
Active 5h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?
—
—
$151.99
Active
5h ago
Active
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?
Active 5h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$151.99
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
—
—
$7.90K
Active
18h ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 18h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.90K
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?
-$327.56
-100.0%
$327.56
No
3d ago
No
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$327.56
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$327.56
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?
—
—
$3.61K
Active
3d ago
Active
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?
Active 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.61K
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$1.22K
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.22K
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.30K
Active
6d ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Active
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.30K
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?
—
—
$2.86K
Active
6d ago
Active
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.86K
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$17.97
Active
8d ago
Active
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$17.97
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
+$5.09K
+164.4%
$3.10K
fee: $16.63
Yes
12d ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$5.09K
ROI
+164.4%
Volume
$3.10K
fee: $16.63
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?
+$305.44
+10.0%
$3.06K
fee: $1.28
Yes
27d ago
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$305.44
ROI
+10.0%
Volume
$3.06K
fee: $1.28
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?
+$278.48
+21.9%
$1.27K
fee: $0.38
Yes
27d ago
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$278.48
ROI
+21.9%
Volume
$1.27K
fee: $0.38
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$500.00
fee: $0.30
Active
27d ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Active
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Active 27d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$500.00
fee: $0.30
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?
+$447.56
+39.0%
$1.15K
Yes
27d ago
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$447.56
ROI
+39.0%
Volume
$1.15K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?
+$406.70
+53.8%
$755.48
fee: $0.10
Yes
27d ago
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$406.70
ROI
+53.8%
Volume
$755.48
fee: $0.10
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?
+$130.05
+17.7%
$736.18
fee: $4.55
No
28d ago
No
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$130.05
ROI
+17.7%
Volume
$736.18
fee: $4.55
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
+$1.47K
+41.9%
$4.15K
fee: $0.31
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$1.47K
ROI
+41.9%
Volume
$4.15K
fee: $0.31
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?
-$2.75
-103.2%
$2.66
fee: $0.09
Yes
1mo ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.75
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$2.66
fee: $0.09
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
-$137.91
-101.5%
$135.90
fee: $2.01
Yes
1mo ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$137.91
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$135.90
fee: $2.01
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
-$2.95
-103.3%
$2.86
fee: $0.09
Yes
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.95
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$2.86
fee: $0.09
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
-$3.39K
-87.8%
$4.38K
fee: $47.92
No
1mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.39K
ROI
-87.8%
Volume
$4.38K
fee: $47.92
best-ai-agent
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
-$164.71
-103.2%
$159.53
fee: $5.18
No
1mo ago
best-ai-agent
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$164.71
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$159.53
fee: $5.18
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
-$3.15K
-100.2%
$3.15K
fee: $6.76
Yes
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.15K
ROI
-100.2%
Volume
$3.15K
fee: $6.76
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
-$2.76K
-100.0%
$2.76K
No
1mo ago
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
No
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.76K
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.76K
Will GPT Sol 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?
+$5.64
+39.7%
$14.20
fee: $0.16
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will GPT Sol 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.64
ROI
+39.7%
Volume
$14.20
fee: $0.16
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
-$378.24
-75.4%
$518.24
Yes
1mo ago
claude-sonnet-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$378.24
ROI
-75.4%
Volume
$518.24
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?
-$560.30
-100.0%
$560.30
No
1mo ago
claude-sonnet-released
No
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$560.30
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$560.30
Will Claude Sonnet 5.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?
+$8.00
+25.0%
$32.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Sonnet 5.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.00
ROI
+25.0%
Volume
$32.00
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?
+$16.83
+61.3%
$27.45
Yes
1mo ago
claude-sonnet-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.83
ROI
+61.3%
Volume
$27.45
P
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?
+$51.53
+22.0%
$234.73
Yes
1mo ago
P
claude-sonnet-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$51.53
ROI
+22.0%
Volume
$234.73
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?
+$668.99
+24.6%
$2.72K
Yes
1mo ago
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$668.99
ROI
+24.6%
Volume
$2.72K
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?
+$217.01
+52.4%
$413.84
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$217.01
ROI
+52.4%
Volume
$413.84
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
+$1.26K
+38.6%
$3.27K
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.26K
ROI
+38.6%
Volume
$3.27K
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?
+$660.37
+66.5%
$993.05
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$660.37
ROI
+66.5%
Volume
$993.05
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?
+$462.80
+25.0%
$1.85K
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$462.80
ROI
+25.0%
Volume
$1.85K
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
-$1.62K
-94.6%
$1.87K
fee: $4.41
No
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.62K
ROI
-94.6%
Volume
$1.87K
fee: $4.41
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
+$126.45
+22.0%
$576.06
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$126.45
ROI
+22.0%
Volume
$576.06
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
-$14.79
-12.1%
$230.98
fee: $1.37
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$14.79
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$230.98
fee: $1.37
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
+$48.58
+203.0%
$23.93
Yes
1mo ago
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$48.58
ROI
+203.0%
Volume
$23.93
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?
+$1.87K
+28.6%
$14.99K
fee: $59.93
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.87K
ROI
+28.6%
Volume
$14.99K
fee: $59.93
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
+$1.88K
+194.1%
$3.83K
fee: $6.44
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.88K
ROI
+194.1%
Volume
$3.83K
fee: $6.44
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?
+$2.66K
+87.3%
$8.81K
fee: $40.60
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.66K
ROI
+87.3%
Volume
$8.81K
fee: $40.60
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?
+$400.70
+37.6%
$1.06K
fee: $11.90
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$400.70
ROI
+37.6%
Volume
$1.06K
fee: $11.90
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
+$6.37K
+2311.4%
$6.92K
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.37K
ROI
+2311.4%
Volume
$6.92K
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
+$2.31K
+2305.0%
$2.50K
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.31K
ROI
+2305.0%
Volume
$2.50K
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
+$5.39K
+144.0%
$12.89K
fee: $11.68
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.39K
ROI
+144.0%
Volume
$12.89K
fee: $11.68
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?
-$76.85
-100.0%
$76.85
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$76.85
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$76.85
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?
+$2.31K
+94.4%
$7.21K
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.31K
ROI
+94.4%
Volume
$7.21K
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
+$2.34K
+114.8%
$6.41K
fee: $2.32
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.34K
ROI
+114.8%
Volume
$6.41K
fee: $2.32
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
+$2.77K
+30.3%
$21.08K
fee: $47.80
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.77K
ROI
+30.3%
Volume
$21.08K
fee: $47.80
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
+$9.60
+20.4%
$103.88
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.60
ROI
+20.4%
Volume
$103.88
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
+$609.73
+75.0%
$2.24K
fee: $2.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$609.73
ROI
+75.0%
Volume
$2.24K
fee: $2.18
Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?
+$841.21
+52.7%
$4.03K
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$841.21
ROI
+52.7%
Volume
$4.03K
google-gemini-flash-model-released-by
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?
+$350.19
+14.1%
$2.84K
fee: $11.56
Yes
2mo ago
google-gemini-flash-model-released-by
Yes
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$350.19
ROI
+14.1%
Volume
$2.84K
fee: $11.56
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?
-$450.00
-100.0%
$450.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$450.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$450.00
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?
-$21.05
-45.8%
$71.70
fee: $0.93
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$21.05
ROI
-45.8%
Volume
$71.70
fee: $0.93
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 4, 2026?
-$3.78
-100.0%
$3.78
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 4, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.78
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.78
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
+$12.63K
+130.8%
$9.65K
fee: $0.21
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.63K
ROI
+130.8%
Volume
$9.65K
fee: $0.21
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
+$7.90K
+73.7%
$10.71K
fee: $79.47
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$7.90K
ROI
+73.7%
Volume
$10.71K
fee: $79.47
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
+$772.53
+51.6%
$3.77K
fee: $6.01
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$772.53
ROI
+51.6%
Volume
$3.77K
fee: $6.01
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
+$2.17K
+31.1%
$16.13K
fee: $14.17
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.17K
ROI
+31.1%
Volume
$16.13K
fee: $14.17
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
+$634.29
+30.2%
$2.10K
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$634.29
ROI
+30.2%
Volume
$2.10K
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
+$631.68
+75.8%
$2.30K
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$631.68
ROI
+75.8%
Volume
$2.30K
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
+$92.32
+43.9%
$210.09
Yes
2mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$92.32
ROI
+43.9%
Volume
$210.09
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?
+$51.51
+34.9%
$147.61
fee: $0.43
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$51.51
ROI
+34.9%
Volume
$147.61
fee: $0.43
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
+$136.65
+423.1%
$32.30
fee: $1.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$136.65
ROI
+423.1%
Volume
$32.30
fee: $1.05
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
+$464.64
+55.0%
$2.16K
No
2mo ago
mythos-released
No
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$464.64
ROI
+55.0%
Volume
$2.16K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$1.15K
fee: $40.60
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.15K
fee: $40.60
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
-$3.93K
-100.0%
$3.93K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.93K
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.93K
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
+$435.51
+52.8%
$2.09K
Active
2mo ago
Active
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$435.51
ROI
+52.8%
Volume
$2.09K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
-$661.36
-100.0%
$661.36
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$661.36
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$661.36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
-$102.75
-100.0%
$102.75
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$102.75
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$102.75
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?
-$23.59
-104.0%
$22.69
fee: $0.90
No
2mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$23.59
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$22.69
fee: $0.90
gemini-flash-release-by
Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?
+$13.47
+177.8%
$13.47
Yes
2mo ago
gemini-flash-release-by
Yes
Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.47
ROI
+177.8%
Volume
$13.47
Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?
+$80.00
+8.7%
$920.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$80.00
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$920.00
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
+$2.25K
+126.7%
$1.78K
fee: $1.54
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.25K
ROI
+126.7%
Volume
$1.78K
fee: $1.54
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?
+$991.00
+109.0%
$909.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$991.00
ROI
+109.0%
Volume
$909.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
+$869.98
+669.2%
$130.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$869.98
ROI
+669.2%
Volume
$130.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
—
—
$312.14
Active
3mo ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$312.14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
-$892.53
-100.0%
$892.53
No
3mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$892.53
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$892.53
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
-$683.80
-100.0%
$683.80
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$683.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$683.80
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
-$270.00
-100.0%
$270.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$270.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$270.00
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
+$2.79K
+60.8%
$4.62K
fee: $1.04
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.79K
ROI
+60.8%
Volume
$4.62K
fee: $1.04
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?
-$24.88
-14.2%
$328.99
fee: $2.57
No
3mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$24.88
ROI
-14.2%
Volume
$328.99
fee: $2.57
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?
+$1.49K
+40.4%
$3.69K
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.49K
ROI
+40.4%
Volume
$3.69K
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
+$1.91K
+213.8%
$895.24
Yes
3mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.91K
ROI
+213.8%
Volume
$895.24
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
+$8.54K
+131.5%
$14.76K
fee: $0.03
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.54K
ROI
+131.5%
Volume
$14.76K
fee: $0.03
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$1.66K
+19.4%
$12.94K
fee: $3.95
Yes
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.66K
ROI
+19.4%
Volume
$12.94K
fee: $3.95
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
-$10.72K
-97.1%
$11.37K
fee: $5.41
No
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$10.72K
ROI
-97.1%
Volume
$11.37K
fee: $5.41
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?
-$9.07
-30.3%
$50.87
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$9.07
ROI
-30.3%
Volume
$50.87
fee: $0.02
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
-$112.54
-20.5%
$1.74K
fee: $0.23
No
3mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$112.54
ROI
-20.5%
Volume
$1.74K
fee: $0.23
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
+$1.25K
+104.4%
$3.65K
No
3mo ago
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.25K
ROI
+104.4%
Volume
$3.65K
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
-$1.48K
-100.0%
$1.48K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.48K
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.48K
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$2.80K
+87.4%
$9.28K
fee: $79.60
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.80K
ROI
+87.4%
Volume
$9.28K
fee: $79.60
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$727.36
+36.6%
$4.80K
fee: $91.81
No
3mo ago
No
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$727.36
ROI
+36.6%
Volume
$4.80K
fee: $91.81
P
trump-praise
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by July 31?
+$250.00
+125.0%
$750.00
Yes
3mo ago
P
trump-praise
Yes
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$250.00
ROI
+125.0%
Volume
$750.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$4.81K
+111.7%
$13.52K
fee: $80.74
No
3mo ago
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.81K
ROI
+111.7%
Volume
$13.52K
fee: $80.74
144 Markets
•
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