Balance$45.69
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL+$101.47
Sep 1
Sep 8
Sep 16
Sep 23
Oct 1
Top Categories
Last 30 DaysTech+$105.78
WR: 37.5%(39/104)
ROI: +14.6%
Tweets Markets+$12.38
WR: 42.1%(8/19)
ROI: +17.1%
Politics+$10.17
WR: 38.1%(8/21)
ROI: +11.6%
Weather+$5.53
WR: 66.7%(6/9)
ROI: +2.3%
Esports+$1.13
WR: 100.0%(2/2)
ROI: +5.8%
Trading Style
Last 30 DaysMaker Volume$630.67
24.1%
Taker Volume$1.98K
75.9%
Taker Ratio
76%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$8.18
ROI
12.0%
Win Rate
21.4%
Volume
$233.56
Fee
$2.73
3 Wins in 14 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$53.05
ROI
29.6%
Win Rate
29.6%
Volume
$548.65
Fee
$6.32
8 Wins in 27 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$76.34
ROI
26.6%
Win Rate
32.1%
Volume
$819.06
Fee
$9.74
17 Wins in 53 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$101.47
ROI
8.8%
Win Rate
37.5%
Volume
$2.61K
Fee
$34.02
60 Wins in 160 Markets
Recent Markets | total 310
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
+$4.90
+17.7%
fee: $0.32
Active
5h ago
PnL+$4.90
ROI+17.7%
Volumefee: $0.32
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?-$2.25
-27.3%
fee: $0.40
Active
5h ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Active 5h ago
PnL-$2.25
ROI-27.3%
Volumefee: $0.40
openrouter-ai-market-share
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?—
—
fee: $0.06
Active
5h ago
openrouter-ai-market-share
Active
Active 5h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.06
second-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?—
—
fee: $0.16
Active
5h ago
second-best-ai-company
Active
Active 5h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.16
—
—
fee: $0.29
Active
5h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.29
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.30
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?—
—
Active
6h ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Active
Active 6h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?—
—
Active
6h ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Active
Active 6h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
image-edit-arena-ranking
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?—
—
fee: $0.06
Active
6h ago
image-edit-arena-ranking
Active
Active 6h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.06
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?—
—
fee: $0.50
Active
6h ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Active 6h ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.50
+$17.70
+536.4%
Active
6h ago
PnL+$17.70
ROI+536.4%
Volume
+$1.17
+12.0%
fee: $0.19
Active
7h ago
PnL+$1.17
ROI+12.0%
Volumefee: $0.19
PnL-$13.34
ROI-69.7%
Volumefee: $0.45
—
—
fee: $0.20
Active
1d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.20
claude-sonnet-released
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?—
—
fee: $0.20
Active
1d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.20
+$6.00
+33.3%
fee: $0.48
Active
1d ago
PnL+$6.00
ROI+33.3%
Volumefee: $0.48
P
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?+$0.10
+2.0%
fee: $0.10
Active
1d ago
P
spacex-starship-flight-test
Active
Active 1d ago
PnL+$0.10
ROI+2.0%
Volumefee: $0.10
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?+$22.20
+97.4%
fee: $0.57
Active
1d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Active
Active 1d ago
PnL+$22.20
ROI+97.4%
Volumefee: $0.57
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next GPT Sol (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?+$21.00
+66.0%
fee: $0.60
Yes
1d ago
PnL+$21.00
ROI+66.0%
Volumefee: $0.60
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
P
1-free-app
Active
Active 2d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?-$2.29
-78.0%
fee: $0.03
Yes
2d ago
claude-sonnet-released
Yes
Settled 2d ago
PnL-$2.29
ROI-78.0%
Volumefee: $0.03
+$0.90
+4.8%
fee: $0.72
Active
2d ago
PnL+$0.90
ROI+4.8%
Volumefee: $0.72
—
—
fee: $0.06
Active
2d ago
P
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.06
-$3.04
-24.5%
fee: $0.64
Yes
2d ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Settled 1h ago
PnL-$3.04
ROI-24.5%
Volumefee: $0.64
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
P
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.01
—
—
fee: $0.11
Active
3d ago
P
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.11
third-best-math-ai
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?-$1.04
-103.9%
fee: $0.04
No
3d ago
third-best-math-ai
No
Settled 9h ago
PnL-$1.04
ROI-103.9%
Volumefee: $0.04
third-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?-$2.90
-103.4%
fee: $0.10
No
3d ago
third-best-math-ai
No
Settled 8h ago
PnL-$2.90
ROI-103.4%
Volumefee: $0.10
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
+$0.06
+80.0%
fee: $0.18
Active
3d ago
PnL+$0.06
ROI+80.0%
Volumefee: $0.18
chinese-ai-1
Active
Active 4d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
+$5.40
+77.2%
fee: $0.30
No
4d ago
PnL+$5.40
ROI+77.2%
Volumefee: $0.30
+$11.60
+78.1%
fee: $0.28
No
4d ago
PnL+$11.60
ROI+78.1%
Volumefee: $0.28
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026?-$1.62
-102.3%
fee: $0.04
No
4d ago
claude-sonnet-released
No
Settled 2d ago
PnL-$1.62
ROI-102.3%
Volumefee: $0.04
claude-sonnet-released
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026?-$1.43
-103.7%
fee: $0.05
No
4d ago
claude-sonnet-released
No
Settled 2d ago
PnL-$1.43
ROI-103.7%
Volumefee: $0.05
—
—
fee: $0.08
Active
4d ago
P
1-paid-app
Active
Active 4d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.08
+$9.77
+66.2%
fee: $0.25
No
4d ago
PnL+$9.77
ROI+66.2%
Volumefee: $0.25
+$4.32
+24.4%
fee: $0.45
No
4d ago
PnL+$4.32
ROI+24.4%
Volumefee: $0.45
inflation-uk-annual
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?—
—
fee: $0.11
Active
5d ago
inflation-uk-annual
Active
Active 5d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.11
mrbeast-views-week-1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?-$4.70
-100.0%
No
5d ago
mrbeast-views-week-1
No
Settled 4d ago
PnL-$4.70
ROI-100.0%
Volume
chatgpt-outage-days
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in September 2026?-$2.62
-93.6%
fee: $0.10
Active
5d ago
PnL-$2.62
ROI-93.6%
Volumefee: $0.10
-$1.09
-98.7%
fee: $0.05
No
5d ago
PnL-$1.09
ROI-98.7%
Volumefee: $0.05
chatgpt-outage-days
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?-$0.46
-14.3%
fee: $0.20
Active
5d ago
PnL-$0.46
ROI-14.3%
Volumefee: $0.20
P
next-alibaba-qwen-plus-released-by
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?-$1.10
-67.5%
fee: $0.08
Active
5d ago
P
next-alibaba-qwen-plus-released-by
Active
Active 5d ago
PnL-$1.10
ROI-67.5%
Volumefee: $0.08
-$5.24
-75.7%
fee: $0.15
No
5d ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Settled 9h ago
PnL-$5.24
ROI-75.7%
Volumefee: $0.15
P
PnL+$0.85
ROI+12.5%
Volumefee: $0.32
+$0.00
+0.0%
fee: $0.29
No
5d ago
PnL+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Volumefee: $0.29
openrouter-ai-market-share
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?+$7.86
+170.9%
fee: $0.14
Yes
6d ago
openrouter-ai-market-share
Yes
Settled 2d ago
PnL+$7.86
ROI+170.9%
Volumefee: $0.14
+$5.62
+236.1%
fee: $0.08
Active
6d ago
P
PnL+$5.62
ROI+236.1%
Volumefee: $0.08
+$0.75
+9.1%
Active
7d ago
PnL+$0.75
ROI+9.1%
Volume
+$2.64
+203.4%
fee: $0.06
Yes
7d ago
trump-truth-social
Yes
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$2.64
ROI+203.4%
Volumefee: $0.06
-$1.01
-3.4%
fee: $0.61
No
8d ago
PnL-$1.01
ROI-3.4%
Volumefee: $0.61
-$4.58
-81.8%
fee: $0.04
Yes
8d ago
PnL-$4.58
ROI-81.8%
Volumefee: $0.04
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?-$6.58
-87.0%
fee: $0.10
Yes
8d ago
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Yes
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$6.58
ROI-87.0%
Volumefee: $0.10
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?—
—
fee: $0.45
Active
8d ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Active
Active 8d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.45
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?-$0.83
-5.2%
fee: $0.98
Yes
8d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Settled 4d ago
PnL-$0.83
ROI-5.2%
Volumefee: $0.98
+$5.55
+163.3%
fee: $0.25
No
8d ago
PnL+$5.55
ROI+163.3%
Volumefee: $0.25
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?+$1.21
+10.8%
fee: $0.04
Yes
8d ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Settled 8d ago
PnL+$1.21
ROI+10.8%
Volumefee: $0.04
-$0.96
-87.2%
fee: $0.06
No
9d ago
trump-truth-social
No
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$0.96
ROI-87.2%
Volumefee: $0.06
-$3.92
-103.0%
fee: $0.16
No
9d ago
trump-truth-social
No
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$3.92
ROI-103.0%
Volumefee: $0.16
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?+$9.90
+399.0%
fee: $0.02
Yes
9d ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Settled 8d ago
PnL+$9.90
ROI+399.0%
Volumefee: $0.02
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL+$7.33
ROI+11.2%
Volumefee: $0.04
PnL-$3.14
ROI-102.6%
Volumefee: $0.08
+$1.10
+11.3%
fee: $0.50
No
9d ago
1-paid-app
No
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$1.10
ROI+11.3%
Volumefee: $0.50
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?-$2.90
-69.1%
fee: $0.20
No
9d ago
claude-opus-released
No
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$2.90
ROI-69.1%
Volumefee: $0.20
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?-$8.93
-37.3%
fee: $0.46
No
9d ago
claude-opus-released
No
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$8.93
ROI-37.3%
Volumefee: $0.46
PnL+$0.30
ROI+1.8%
Volumefee: $0.30
+$3.16
+43.9%
fee: $0.35
Active
9d ago
PnL+$3.16
ROI+43.9%
Volumefee: $0.35
—
—
fee: $0.47
Active
10d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.47
—
—
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.08
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?-$1.21
-101.0%
fee: $0.01
No
10d ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
No
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$1.21
ROI-101.0%
Volumefee: $0.01
+$3.64
+77.8%
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
P
PnL+$3.64
ROI+77.8%
Volumefee: $0.08
+$1.73
+133.4%
fee: $0.17
No
10d ago
trump-truth-social
No
Settled 5d ago
PnL+$1.73
ROI+133.4%
Volumefee: $0.17
+$2.46
+53.8%
fee: $0.35
Active
11d ago
PnL+$2.46
ROI+53.8%
Volumefee: $0.35
PnL-$35.89
ROI-39.7%
Volumefee: $0.70
drought-d4-weekly
Will North Carolina have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?+$8.07
+25.5%
fee: $0.33
Yes
12d ago
PnL+$8.07
ROI+25.5%
Volumefee: $0.33
third-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?-$5.81
-72.6%
fee: $0.08
Active
12d ago
third-best-ai-company
Active
Active 12d ago
PnL-$5.81
ROI-72.6%
Volumefee: $0.08
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?-$0.77
-77.8%
fee: $0.05
Active
13d ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Active
Active 13d ago
PnL-$0.77
ROI-77.8%
Volumefee: $0.05
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?-$0.68
-87.5%
fee: $0.03
Active
13d ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Active
Active 13d ago
PnL-$0.68
ROI-87.5%
Volumefee: $0.03
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?-$0.33
-1.3%
fee: $0.73
Yes
13d ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Settled 4d ago
PnL-$0.33
ROI-1.3%
Volumefee: $0.73
drought-d4-weekly
Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?+$10.08
+25.6%
fee: $0.42
Yes
13d ago
PnL+$10.08
ROI+25.6%
Volumefee: $0.42
drought-d4-weekly
Will Nevada have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?+$10.47
+26.8%
fee: $0.43
Yes
13d ago
PnL+$10.47
ROI+26.8%
Volumefee: $0.43
drought-d4-weekly
Will Nebraska have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?+$4.21
+25.4%
fee: $0.18
Yes
13d ago
PnL+$4.21
ROI+25.4%
Volumefee: $0.18
-$0.25
-2.6%
fee: $0.59
Active
13d ago
PnL-$0.25
ROI-2.6%
Volumefee: $0.59
P
median-home-price-austin
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?-$1.13
-90.9%
fee: $0.07
No
14d ago
P
median-home-price-austin
No
Settled 12h ago
PnL-$1.13
ROI-90.9%
Volumefee: $0.07
P
median-home-price-austin
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30?-$1.05
-99.5%
fee: $0.05
No
14d ago
P
median-home-price-austin
No
Settled 12h ago
PnL-$1.05
ROI-99.5%
Volumefee: $0.05
P
median-home-price-austin
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30?-$0.11
-97.7%
fee: $0.01
No
14d ago
P
median-home-price-austin
No
Settled 12h ago
PnL-$0.11
ROI-97.7%
Volumefee: $0.01
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?-$2.90
-96.8%
fee: $0.00
No
14d ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Settled 12d ago
PnL-$2.90
ROI-96.8%
Volumefee: $0.00
-$2.00
-20.0%
fee: $0.70
Active
14d ago
P
PnL-$2.00
ROI-20.0%
Volumefee: $0.70
-$0.56
-44.5%
fee: $0.08
No
14d ago
PnL-$0.56
ROI-44.5%
Volumefee: $0.08
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?-$5.10
-47.2%
fee: $0.34
Active
14d ago
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Active
Active 14d ago
PnL-$5.10
ROI-47.2%
Volumefee: $0.34
—
—
fee: $0.13
Active
15d ago
P
h100-rental-price
Active
Active 15d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.13
PnL-$7.35
ROI-100.0%
Volume
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET-$5.34
-106.8%
fee: $0.34
Up
15d ago
PnL-$5.34
ROI-106.8%
Volumefee: $0.34
PnL-$1.15
ROI-11.4%
Volumefee: $0.62