P
PolyPnL
Rank
Leaderboard
Mempool
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PolyEdge Engine
TR
TRADER420
TRADER420
View on Polymarket
Created
November 5, 2024
Active
July 6, 2026
Balance
$1.90K
Incoming
+$5.10K
Rewards
+$155.88
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$4.48K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
May 3
May 20
Jun 5
Jun 21
Jul 7
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$3.15K
WR: 75.0%
(3/4)
ROI: +145.2%
Politics
+$2.93K
WR: 54.5%
(6/11)
ROI: +74.5%
Tech
+$635.68
WR: 71.4%
(5/7)
ROI: +45.1%
Elections
+$17.39
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: +3.0%
Pop Culture
+$0.70
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +107.7%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$5.51K
63.3%
Taker Volume
$3.19K
36.7%
Taker Ratio
37%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$1.04K
Fee
$23.69
0 Wins in 1 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$1.04K
Fee
$23.69
0 Wins in 1 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$1.04K
Fee
$23.69
0 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$3.56K
ROI
66.7%
Win Rate
63.2%
Volume
$8.70K
Fee
$58.53
12 Wins in 19 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 58
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
—
—
$1.04K
fee: $23.69
Active
13h ago
Active
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Active 13h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.04K
fee: $23.69
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
—
—
$19.50
Active
10d ago
mythos-released
Active
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$19.50
P
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
+$440.00
+733.3%
$60.00
Yes
12d ago
P
Yes
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$440.00
ROI
+733.3%
Volume
$60.00
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
+$0.70
+107.7%
$2.10
Active
14d ago
Active
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$0.70
ROI
+107.7%
Volume
$2.10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
-$3.90
-97.5%
$4.10
No
15d ago
No
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$3.90
ROI
-97.5%
Volume
$4.10
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
+$12.50
+26.4%
$47.38
Yes
17d ago
Yes
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$12.50
ROI
+26.4%
Volume
$47.38
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
+$0.43
+0.3%
$259.21
fee: $1.34
Yes
18d ago
Yes
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$259.21
fee: $1.34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
-$258.72
-26.0%
$1.76K
fee: $24.51
Yes
18d ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$258.72
ROI
-26.0%
Volume
$1.76K
fee: $24.51
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
+$9.91
+5.3%
$382.20
fee: $1.26
No
19d ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$9.91
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$382.20
fee: $1.26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
+$19.83
+11.0%
$180.00
fee: $0.17
No
19d ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$19.83
ROI
+11.0%
Volume
$180.00
fee: $0.17
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
-$2.63
-6.5%
$277.95
fee: $6.21
Active
19d ago
mythos-released
Active
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Active 19d ago
PnL
-$2.63
ROI
-6.5%
Volume
$277.95
fee: $6.21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
+$34.56
+7.2%
$476.85
fee: $1.34
No
19d ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$34.56
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$476.85
fee: $1.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$3.83
-1.4%
$543.88
Yes
20d ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$3.83
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$543.88
P
trump-praise
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?
-$0.40
-100.0%
$0.40
Yes
20d ago
P
trump-praise
Yes
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.40
unrestricted-shipping
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
+$161.96
+37.0%
$437.90
No
20d ago
unrestricted-shipping
No
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$161.96
ROI
+37.0%
Volume
$437.90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$2.25K
+261.5%
$1.35K
Yes
22d ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$2.25K
ROI
+261.5%
Volume
$1.35K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$742.00
+123.4%
$824.40
Yes
22d ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$742.00
ROI
+123.4%
Volume
$824.40
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
+$134.00
+28.8%
$466.00
No
23d ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$134.00
ROI
+28.8%
Volume
$466.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
+$21.29
+3.7%
$578.69
fee: $0.01
No
28d ago
No
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$21.29
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$578.69
fee: $0.01
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
+$359.39
+226.0%
$694.01
fee: $16.52
Yes
1mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$359.39
ROI
+226.0%
Volume
$694.01
fee: $16.52
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
-$337.99
-100.0%
$337.99
No
1mo ago
No
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$337.99
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$337.99
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
-$41.02
-18.6%
$409.66
fee: $10.69
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$41.02
ROI
-18.6%
Volume
$409.66
fee: $10.69
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
+$13.28
+8.1%
$166.72
No
1mo ago
No
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$13.28
ROI
+8.1%
Volume
$166.72
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?
+$1.88
+7.4%
$25.37
No
1mo ago
No
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$1.88
ROI
+7.4%
Volume
$25.37
maine-senate-primary-deriv
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
+$0.80
+10.0%
$16.80
Yes
1mo ago
maine-senate-primary-deriv
Yes
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+10.0%
Volume
$16.80
house-odds-deriv
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
—
—
$109.29
Active
1mo ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$109.29
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
-$282.41
-81.2%
$415.23
fee: $2.03
No
1mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
No
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$282.41
ROI
-81.2%
Volume
$415.23
fee: $2.03
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
+$34.00
+1.0%
$4.69K
fee: $27.74
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$34.00
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$4.69K
fee: $27.74
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
-$1.52
-100.0%
$1.52
No
1mo ago
No
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$1.52
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.52
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$23.00
+1.0%
$3.02K
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$23.00
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$3.02K
top-ai-company-style-on
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
-$5.31
-93.1%
$6.10
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
No
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.31
ROI
-93.1%
Volume
$6.10
fee: $0.02
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
+$280.98
+21.3%
$1.32K
No
1mo ago
No
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$280.98
ROI
+21.3%
Volume
$1.32K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
+$97.76
+7.0%
$2.89K
No
1mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$97.76
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$2.89K
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
+$166.75
+94.3%
$434.60
fee: $12.51
No
1mo ago
No
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$166.75
ROI
+94.3%
Volume
$434.60
fee: $12.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
+$20.00
+2.8%
$780.00
No
1mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$20.00
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$780.00
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
+$8.33
+5.2%
$161.63
No
1mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.33
ROI
+5.2%
Volume
$161.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
-$158.30
-14.3%
$2.06K
No
1mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$158.30
ROI
-14.3%
Volume
$2.06K
best-ai-model
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
+$1.05
+75.0%
$3.85
No
1mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+75.0%
Volume
$3.85
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
-$7.00
-100.0%
$7.00
Yes
1mo ago
best-ai-model
Yes
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.00
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
-$159.00
-80.3%
$237.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$159.00
ROI
-80.3%
Volume
$237.00
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
+$9.79
+9.4%
$103.76
No
1mo ago
No
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$9.79
ROI
+9.4%
Volume
$103.76
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
+$77.19
+62.9%
$122.78
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$77.19
ROI
+62.9%
Volume
$122.78
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
—
—
$72.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$72.00
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
+$25.80
+6.9%
$374.20
No
1mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$25.80
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$374.20
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
-$387.81
-95.2%
$433.72
fee: $6.47
No
1mo ago
No
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$387.81
ROI
-95.2%
Volume
$433.72
fee: $6.47
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
+$76.00
+61.3%
$124.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$76.00
ROI
+61.3%
Volume
$124.00
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
—
—
$8.10
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.10
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
-$415.24
-74.7%
$699.58
fee: $2.83
No
1mo ago
No
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$415.24
ROI
-74.7%
Volume
$699.58
fee: $2.83
confirmed-case-of-hantavirus
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
+$1.61K
+166.1%
$992.86
fee: $11.32
Yes
1mo ago
confirmed-case-of-hantavirus
Yes
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.61K
ROI
+166.1%
Volume
$992.86
fee: $11.32
58 Markets
•
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