P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
ob
Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$2.33K
obscure1
obscure1
View on Polymarket
Save
Share
Created
September 16, 2026
Active
November 6, 2026
Balance
$0.00
Incoming
+$25.62K
Rewards
+$2.75K
Outgoing
-$23.71K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$2.70K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 12
Oct 19
Oct 27
Nov 3
Nov 11
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Dota 2
-$0.06
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -2.1%
Tennis
-$1.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -13.2%
Tweets
-$8.43
WR: 10.5%
(2/19)
ROI: -3.5%
LoL
-$10.27
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -58.6%
Baseball
-$17.72
WR: 12.5%
(1/8)
ROI: -24.4%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$33.09K
68.1%
Taker Volume
$15.49K
31.9%
Taker Ratio
32%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$279.61
Rebate:
+$46.97
ROI
-13.0%
Win Rate
1.0%
Volume
$4.02K
Fee
$25.12
1 Wins in 104 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$2.70K
Rebate:
+$745.06
ROI
-10.6%
Win Rate
10.8%
Volume
$48.58K
Fee
$114.97
154 Wins in 1425 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 2785
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit 30% by December 31?
-$0.50
-6.3%
$15.50
fee: $0.26
Active
4d ago
Active
Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit 30% by December 31?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-6.3%
Volume
$15.50
fee: $0.26
P
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?
-$1.92
-9.9%
$36.72
fee: $0.27
Active
4d ago
P
Active
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$1.92
ROI
-9.9%
Volume
$36.72
fee: $0.27
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
-$1.52
-3.1%
$98.18
fee: $0.55
Yes
4d ago
Yes
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Settled 5h ago
PnL
-$1.52
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$98.18
fee: $0.55
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
-$16.98
-18.3%
$169.02
fee: $1.01
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$16.98
ROI
-18.3%
Volume
$169.02
fee: $1.01
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
-$1.85
-6.1%
$60.00
fee: $0.85
Yes
4d ago
Yes
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Settled 5h ago
PnL
-$1.85
ROI
-6.1%
Volume
$60.00
fee: $0.85
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?
-$2.55
-5.1%
$97.81
fee: $0.36
Yes
4d ago
Yes
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$2.55
ROI
-5.1%
Volume
$97.81
fee: $0.36
3rd-largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
-$1.82
-52.3%
$5.14
fee: $0.06
Active
4d ago
3rd-largest-company
Active
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$1.82
ROI
-52.3%
Volume
$5.14
fee: $0.06
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?
-$0.14
-1.4%
$19.46
fee: $0.15
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$19.46
fee: $0.15
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?
-$0.68
-2.4%
$55.30
fee: $0.38
Active
5d ago
Active
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.68
ROI
-2.4%
Volume
$55.30
fee: $0.38
P
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
-$0.00
-0.0%
$77.10
fee: $0.62
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$77.10
fee: $0.62
chinese-ai-2
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
-$5.60
-25.9%
$37.60
fee: $0.27
Active
5d ago
chinese-ai-2
Active
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.60
ROI
-25.9%
Volume
$37.60
fee: $0.27
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by November 30, 2026?
-$3.10
-18.9%
$29.62
fee: $0.24
Active
5d ago
who-trump-insult
Active
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by November 30, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.10
ROI
-18.9%
Volume
$29.62
fee: $0.24
P
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
-$0.09
-0.2%
$111.33
fee: $0.42
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$111.33
fee: $0.42
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by November 30?
-$0.22
-46.7%
$0.73
fee: $0.02
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.22
ROI
-46.7%
Volume
$0.73
fee: $0.02
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?
-$1.50
-10.7%
$26.50
Active
5d ago
Active
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-10.7%
Volume
$26.50
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
-$2.00
-5.7%
$68.00
fee: $0.56
Active
5d ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$68.00
fee: $0.56
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?
-$0.17
-2.4%
$13.46
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.17
ROI
-2.4%
Volume
$13.46
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
-$2.51
-7.9%
$54.73
fee: $0.34
Active
5d ago
second-largest-company
Active
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.51
ROI
-7.9%
Volume
$54.73
fee: $0.34
bank-of-mexico-decision
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
-$1.40
-4.2%
$65.80
fee: $0.13
Active
5d ago
bank-of-mexico-decision
Active
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-4.2%
Volume
$65.80
fee: $0.13
trump-truth-social
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
-$2.23
-14.4%
$29.20
fee: $0.43
No
5d ago
trump-truth-social
No
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Settled 10h ago
PnL
-$2.23
ROI
-14.4%
Volume
$29.20
fee: $0.43
how-low-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?
-$1.02
-9.9%
$19.59
fee: $0.34
Active
5d ago
how-low-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-9.9%
Volume
$19.59
fee: $0.34
kr-kpis
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?
-$4.00
-26.7%
$26.00
fee: $0.20
Active
5d ago
kr-kpis
Active
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$4.00
ROI
-26.7%
Volume
$26.00
fee: $0.20
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
-$0.03
-0.3%
$24.83
fee: $0.23
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$24.83
fee: $0.23
iran-target-oman-by
Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$35.60
Active
5d ago
iran-target-oman-by
Active
Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$35.60
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
-$0.10
-2.5%
$7.90
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$7.90
h200-rental-price
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on December 31, 2026?
-$1.40
-8.5%
$31.40
Active
5d ago
h200-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-8.5%
Volume
$31.40
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
-$0.87
-0.9%
$191.63
fee: $0.33
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.87
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$191.63
fee: $0.33
trump-administration-resignations
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
-$1.00
-3.6%
$55.00
fee: $0.89
Active
5d ago
trump-administration-resignations
Active
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-3.6%
Volume
$55.00
fee: $0.89
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
-$1.00
-14.3%
$13.00
fee: $0.26
Active
5d ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-14.3%
Volume
$13.00
fee: $0.26
P
Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference?
-$0.20
-1.3%
$31.80
fee: $0.17
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$31.80
fee: $0.17
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
-$0.05
-3.2%
$3.05
fee: $0.06
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$3.05
fee: $0.06
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
-$0.04
-3.2%
$2.38
fee: $0.06
Active
5d ago
Active
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$2.38
fee: $0.06
P
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?
-$1.00
-4.3%
$46.00
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$46.00
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$0.12
-1.6%
$15.71
fee: $0.32
Active
5d ago
Active
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$15.71
fee: $0.32
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
-$0.11
-0.4%
$59.48
fee: $0.24
Active
5d ago
Active
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$59.48
fee: $0.24
us-recession-by
US recession by end of 2027?
-$0.20
-1.4%
$28.20
fee: $0.21
Active
5d ago
us-recession-by
Active
US recession by end of 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$28.20
fee: $0.21
P
Will Manchester United finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?
-$0.20
-1.3%
$30.53
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Manchester United finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$30.53
fee: $0.18
P
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?
—
—
$4.00
fee: $0.09
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.09
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
-$2.20
-19.3%
$20.60
fee: $0.20
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.20
ROI
-19.3%
Volume
$20.60
fee: $0.20
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
-$2.56
-51.1%
$7.45
fee: $0.09
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.56
ROI
-51.1%
Volume
$7.45
fee: $0.09
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?
-$3.60
-19.4%
$33.60
fee: $0.38
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.60
ROI
-19.4%
Volume
$33.60
fee: $0.38
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
-$7.15
-19.6%
$65.85
fee: $0.48
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$7.15
ROI
-19.6%
Volume
$65.85
fee: $0.48
hyperliquid-hit-price-monthly
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?
-$0.90
-6.8%
$25.50
fee: $0.33
Active
5d ago
hyperliquid-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-6.8%
Volume
$25.50
fee: $0.33
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
-$5.50
-44.0%
$19.50
fee: $0.30
Active
5d ago
P
biggest-opening-weekend
Active
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.50
ROI
-44.0%
Volume
$19.50
fee: $0.30
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
-$1.00
-8.0%
$24.00
fee: $0.44
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-8.0%
Volume
$24.00
fee: $0.44
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
-$0.80
-5.9%
$26.19
fee: $0.18
Yes
5d ago
Yes
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$26.19
fee: $0.18
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
-$2.12
-1.9%
$223.86
fee: $0.73
Active
5d ago
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.12
ROI
-1.9%
Volume
$223.86
fee: $0.73
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
-$1.67
-3.9%
$85.05
fee: $1.22
No
5d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$1.67
ROI
-3.9%
Volume
$85.05
fee: $1.22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
-$1.86
-4.1%
$84.86
Active
5d ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.86
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$84.86
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?
-$5.43
-7.5%
$139.62
fee: $0.89
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.43
ROI
-7.5%
Volume
$139.62
fee: $0.89
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
-$1.30
-3.1%
$94.89
fee: $0.44
Active
5d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.30
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$94.89
fee: $0.44
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?
-$0.50
-1.2%
$80.50
fee: $0.32
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$80.50
fee: $0.32
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
-$0.91
-14.0%
$12.35
fee: $0.26
No
5d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$0.91
ROI
-14.0%
Volume
$12.35
fee: $0.26
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
-$0.07
-0.9%
$15.96
fee: $0.27
Yes
5d ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$15.96
fee: $0.27
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$31.92
Active
5d ago
Active
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$31.92
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?
-$0.20
-2.8%
$14.20
Active
5d ago
Active
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-2.8%
Volume
$14.20
Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
+$0.60
+3.0%
$40.60
fee: $0.15
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$40.60
fee: $0.15
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
-$0.05
-0.1%
$69.45
fee: $0.42
Active
5d ago
Active
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$69.45
fee: $0.42
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
-$0.20
-0.5%
$81.00
fee: $0.39
Active
5d ago
Active
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$81.00
fee: $0.39
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
-$3.97
-5.3%
$146.82
fee: $0.43
Active
5d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.97
ROI
-5.3%
Volume
$146.82
fee: $0.43
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
-$1.13
-3.7%
$59.95
fee: $0.48
No
5d ago
No
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$1.13
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$59.95
fee: $0.48
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
-$0.08
-8.0%
$1.93
fee: $0.02
No
5d ago
No
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-8.0%
Volume
$1.93
fee: $0.02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?
-$0.35
-1.2%
$59.54
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
Active
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.35
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$59.54
fee: $0.18
elon-tweet-daily
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?
-$0.50
-1.4%
$71.49
fee: $0.51
Active
5d ago
elon-tweet-daily
Active
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$71.49
fee: $0.51
ism-manufacturing-pmi
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November?
-$5.35
-95.5%
$5.85
fee: $0.01
Active
5d ago
ism-manufacturing-pmi
Active
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in November?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.35
ROI
-95.5%
Volume
$5.85
fee: $0.01
lambda-valuation
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by November 30?
-$6.64
-51.1%
$19.36
fee: $0.17
Active
5d ago
lambda-valuation
Active
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$6.64
ROI
-51.1%
Volume
$19.36
fee: $0.17
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 115 mph?
-$6.80
-59.6%
$16.00
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 115 mph?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$6.80
ROI
-59.6%
Volume
$16.00
fee: $0.18
ukmto-notices-weekly
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between November 2-November 8?
-$4.40
-52.4%
$12.40
Yes
5d ago
ukmto-notices-weekly
Yes
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between November 2-November 8?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$4.40
ROI
-52.4%
Volume
$12.40
P
h200-rental-price
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
-$2.20
-38.9%
$9.12
fee: $0.11
Active
5d ago
P
h200-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.20
ROI
-38.9%
Volume
$9.12
fee: $0.11
gas-price-hits
Will US gas hit $4.15 (High) in November?
-$8.00
-88.9%
$10.00
fee: $0.04
Active
5d ago
gas-price-hits
Active
Will US gas hit $4.15 (High) in November?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$8.00
ROI
-88.9%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.04
how-high-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.68% in November?
-$2.25
-17.3%
$24.00
fee: $0.25
Yes
5d ago
how-high-2-year-treasury
Yes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.68% in November?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
-$2.25
ROI
-17.3%
Volume
$24.00
fee: $0.25
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?
-$2.55
-16.3%
$28.65
Active
5d ago
Active
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.55
ROI
-16.3%
Volume
$28.65
OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
-$9.76
-65.3%
$20.12
fee: $0.15
Active
5d ago
Active
OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$9.76
ROI
-65.3%
Volume
$20.12
fee: $0.15
P
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
-$4.60
-20.2%
$41.00
fee: $0.25
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$4.60
ROI
-20.2%
Volume
$41.00
fee: $0.25
jolts
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in October?
-$2.40
-40.0%
$9.60
fee: $0.15
Active
5d ago
jolts
Active
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in October?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.40
ROI
-40.0%
Volume
$9.60
fee: $0.15
databricks-valuation
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $182.5B by November 30?
-$10.50
-93.8%
$11.90
fee: $0.03
Active
5d ago
databricks-valuation
Active
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $182.5B by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$10.50
ROI
-93.8%
Volume
$11.90
fee: $0.03
1-paid-app
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
-$3.39
-30.8%
$18.80
fee: $0.19
Yes
5d ago
1-paid-app
Yes
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$3.39
ROI
-30.8%
Volume
$18.80
fee: $0.19
bank-of-england-decision
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting?
-$1.80
-10.7%
$31.80
fee: $0.19
Active
5d ago
bank-of-england-decision
Active
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-10.7%
Volume
$31.80
fee: $0.19
h200-rental-price-hit
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
-$6.36
-75.7%
$10.44
fee: $0.07
Active
5d ago
h200-rental-price-hit
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$6.36
ROI
-75.7%
Volume
$10.44
fee: $0.07
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?
-$2.33
-19.5%
$21.58
fee: $0.20
Active
5d ago
Active
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.33
ROI
-19.5%
Volume
$21.58
fee: $0.20
epic-games-valuation
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by November 30?
-$3.72
-24.2%
$27.00
fee: $0.19
Active
5d ago
epic-games-valuation
Active
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.72
ROI
-24.2%
Volume
$27.00
fee: $0.19
companies-with-1-ai
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
-$8.20
-19.8%
$83.80
fee: $0.19
Active
5d ago
companies-with-1-ai
Active
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$8.20
ROI
-19.8%
Volume
$83.80
fee: $0.19
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
-$0.67
-13.7%
$9.17
fee: $0.06
Active
5d ago
Active
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.67
ROI
-13.7%
Volume
$9.17
fee: $0.06
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?
-$5.97
-23.6%
$44.86
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Active
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.97
ROI
-23.6%
Volume
$44.86
fee: $0.18
neurolink-valuation
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $50B by November 30?
-$6.52
-67.9%
$12.68
fee: $0.10
Active
5d ago
neurolink-valuation
Active
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $50B by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$6.52
ROI
-67.9%
Volume
$12.68
fee: $0.10
taylor-daily-view-count
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.75M in November?
-$4.00
-46.5%
$13.20
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
taylor-daily-view-count
Active
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.75M in November?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$4.00
ROI
-46.5%
Volume
$13.20
fee: $0.18
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?
-$5.75
-87.1%
$7.45
fee: $0.04
Active
5d ago
bank-of-israel-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.75
ROI
-87.1%
Volume
$7.45
fee: $0.04
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
-$1.64
-22.8%
$12.72
fee: $0.20
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.64
ROI
-22.8%
Volume
$12.72
fee: $0.20
white-house-call-a-full-lid
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 7?
-$6.64
-47.4%
$21.55
fee: $0.19
Yes
5d ago
white-house-call-a-full-lid
Yes
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 7?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$6.64
ROI
-47.4%
Volume
$21.55
fee: $0.19
rtx-6000-rental-price
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?
-$2.40
-42.9%
$8.80
fee: $0.11
Active
5d ago
rtx-6000-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.40
ROI
-42.9%
Volume
$8.80
fee: $0.11
how-high-30-year-treasury
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in November?
-$2.28
-19.7%
$20.92
fee: $0.25
Active
5d ago
how-high-30-year-treasury
Active
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in November?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.28
ROI
-19.7%
Volume
$20.92
fee: $0.25
revolut-valuation
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $112B by November 30?
-$8.60
-81.1%
$12.60
fee: $0.07
Active
5d ago
revolut-valuation
Active
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $112B by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$8.60
ROI
-81.1%
Volume
$12.60
fee: $0.07
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
-$3.85
-33.8%
$18.95
fee: $0.19
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.85
ROI
-33.8%
Volume
$18.95
fee: $0.19
P
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
-$3.20
-24.6%
$22.80
fee: $0.20
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.20
ROI
-24.6%
Volume
$22.80
fee: $0.20
perplexity-valuation
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18.25B by November 30?
-$5.60
-43.8%
$20.00
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
perplexity-valuation
Active
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18.25B by November 30?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.60
ROI
-43.8%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.18
iran-target-qatar-by
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026?
-$3.81
-41.7%
$14.48
Active
5d ago
iran-target-qatar-by
Active
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.81
ROI
-41.7%
Volume
$14.48
core-pce-mom
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in October?
-$5.00
-30.9%
$27.40
fee: $0.25
Active
5d ago
core-pce-mom
Active
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in October?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-30.9%
Volume
$27.40
fee: $0.25
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?
-$3.35
-34.9%
$15.85
fee: $0.17
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.35
ROI
-34.9%
Volume
$15.85
fee: $0.17
P
Will Sam Leavitt be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
-$1.92
-11.2%
$32.28
fee: $0.18
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Sam Leavitt be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.92
ROI
-11.2%
Volume
$32.28
fee: $0.18
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?
-$5.80
-96.7%
$6.20
fee: $0.01
Active
5d ago
bank-of-israel-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.80
ROI
-96.7%
Volume
$6.20
fee: $0.01
2,785 Markets
•
Subscribe to PolyEdge for full data