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cyniciam
cyniciam
View on Polymarket
Created
February 18, 2026
Active
June 20, 2026
Balance
$341.36
Incoming
+$0.00
Rewards
+$0.52
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$77.06
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Apr 30
May 17
Jun 3
Jun 20
Jul 7
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Economy
+$4.02
WR: 40.0%
(2/5)
ROI: +14.8%
Finance
-$2.79
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -69.8%
Elections
-$4.52
WR: 8.3%
(1/12)
ROI: -22.4%
Weather
-$5.57
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -92.9%
Politics
-$11.19
WR: 21.4%
(6/28)
ROI: -8.8%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$489.09
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$23.78
ROI
-14.1%
Win Rate
23.1%
Volume
$489.09
Fee
$5.37
9 Wins in 39 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 109
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
-$2.46
-82.0%
$3.54
No
17d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$2.46
ROI
-82.0%
Volume
$3.54
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
-$5.57
-92.9%
$6.65
fee: $0.22
No
17d ago
No
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$5.57
ROI
-92.9%
Volume
$6.65
fee: $0.22
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
-$2.47
-82.3%
$3.53
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$2.47
ROI
-82.3%
Volume
$3.53
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
-$5.13
-85.6%
$6.87
No
17d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$5.13
ROI
-85.6%
Volume
$6.87
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
+$1.02
+5.8%
$1.06
fee: $0.04
No
17d ago
pete-hegseth-out
No
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$1.02
ROI
+5.8%
Volume
$1.06
fee: $0.04
bank-failure
US bank failure by June 30?
-$2.79
-69.8%
$5.45
fee: $0.25
No
17d ago
bank-failure
No
US bank failure by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$2.79
ROI
-69.8%
Volume
$5.45
fee: $0.25
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
-$1.80
-60.0%
$4.20
Active
17d ago
Active
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$1.80
ROI
-60.0%
Volume
$4.20
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
-$0.01
-0.4%
$3.99
Active
17d ago
Active
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$3.99
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$3.03
-60.6%
$6.97
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$3.03
ROI
-60.6%
Volume
$6.97
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
+$0.37
+18.5%
$4.37
Active
17d ago
Active
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$0.37
ROI
+18.5%
Volume
$4.37
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
+$2.12
+212.2%
$4.20
fee: $0.08
Yes
17d ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$2.12
ROI
+212.2%
Volume
$4.20
fee: $0.08
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
—
—
$3.33
fee: $0.12
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.33
fee: $0.12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
+$2.24
+111.9%
$6.24
Active
17d ago
Active
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$2.24
ROI
+111.9%
Volume
$6.24
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
—
—
$4.49
fee: $0.07
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.49
fee: $0.07
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
—
—
$4.46
Active
17d ago
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike
Active
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+$0.00
+0.0%
$10.00
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$10.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
-$0.86
-14.3%
$11.14
Active
17d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$0.86
ROI
-14.3%
Volume
$11.14
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
-$4.40
-44.0%
$15.60
No
17d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$4.40
ROI
-44.0%
Volume
$15.60
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
-$0.31
-103.8%
$6.56
fee: $0.01
No
17d ago
No
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$0.31
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$6.56
fee: $0.01
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
+$1.68
+28.0%
$13.68
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$1.68
ROI
+28.0%
Volume
$13.68
merz-out
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
-$2.17
-21.7%
$17.82
fee: $0.56
Active
17d ago
merz-out
Active
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$2.17
ROI
-21.7%
Volume
$17.82
fee: $0.56
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$2.43
+40.5%
$14.43
Active
17d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$2.43
ROI
+40.5%
Volume
$14.43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
-$1.30
-13.0%
$18.69
fee: $0.26
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$1.30
ROI
-13.0%
Volume
$18.69
fee: $0.26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
—
—
$9.72
fee: $0.33
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.72
fee: $0.33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
—
—
$10.02
fee: $0.24
Active
17d ago
Active
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.02
fee: $0.24
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
-$0.19
-103.9%
$11.82
fee: $0.01
Yes
17d ago
Yes
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Settled 23h ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$11.82
fee: $0.01
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
—
—
$8.72
fee: $0.31
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.72
fee: $0.31
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
—
—
$12.02
fee: $0.12
Active
17d ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$12.02
fee: $0.12
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
—
—
$12.44
fee: $0.43
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$12.44
fee: $0.43
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$5.24
+46.8%
$27.63
Active
17d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$5.24
ROI
+46.8%
Volume
$27.63
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$18.50
fee: $0.62
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.50
fee: $0.62
iran-nuke
Iran Nuke before 2027?
-$2.46
-8.5%
$60.83
Active
17d ago
iran-nuke
Active
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$2.46
ROI
-8.5%
Volume
$60.83
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
—
—
$42.84
fee: $1.31
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$42.84
fee: $1.31
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
+$11.21
+224.2%
$53.08
fee: $0.26
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$11.21
ROI
+224.2%
Volume
$53.08
fee: $0.26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
—
—
$5.00
Active
29d ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
-$5.12
-102.5%
$5.00
fee: $0.12
No
29d ago
No
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$5.12
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.12
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
29d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
29d ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
—
—
$24.20
Active
29d ago
Active
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$24.20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
+$9.29
+185.7%
$5.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$9.29
ROI
+185.7%
Volume
$5.00
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
—
—
$4.91
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.91
fee: $0.03
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
—
—
$3.09
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.09
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
-$2.30
-46.0%
$7.69
Yes
1mo ago
trump-agree-iran
Yes
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$2.30
ROI
-46.0%
Volume
$7.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
-$15.00
-100.0%
$15.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$15.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$15.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
-$10.00
-100.0%
$10.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$10.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.00
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$1.89
+37.8%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
1mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$1.89
ROI
+37.8%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
+$0.09
+0.2%
$0.09
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$0.09
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
-$3.40
-4.8%
$14.18
fee: $0.52
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.40
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$14.18
fee: $0.52
109 Markets
•
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