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PolyPnL
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itoldu
itoldu
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Created
October 24, 2025
Active
June 27, 2026
Balance
$550.74
Incoming
+$2.89K
Rewards
+$265.53
Outgoing
-$150.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$1.77K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
May 1
May 18
Jun 4
Jun 21
Jul 7
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$3.30
WR: 62.5%
(5/8)
ROI: +0.4%
LoL
+$3.14
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +5.7%
Esports
-$1.10
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: -0.2%
Elections
-$4.06
WR: 0.0%
(0/7)
ROI: -1.9%
CS2
-$4.24
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -0.9%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$4.74K
59.9%
Taker Volume
$3.17K
40.1%
Taker Ratio
40%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$327.24
ROI
-7.7%
Win Rate
29.1%
Volume
$7.91K
Fee
$48.14
16 Wins in 55 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 151
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
+$6.27
+1.8%
$639.55
fee: $2.47
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$6.27
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$639.55
fee: $2.47
los-angeles-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
+$0.30
+2.1%
$28.98
Yes
14d ago
los-angeles-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$28.98
taipei-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?
+$0.37
+2.3%
$31.26
fee: $0.06
No
14d ago
taipei-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$0.37
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$31.26
fee: $0.06
amsterdam-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?
+$1.81
+48.9%
$6.29
fee: $0.08
Yes
14d ago
amsterdam-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$1.81
ROI
+48.9%
Volume
$6.29
fee: $0.08
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
-$0.74
-1.2%
$84.18
fee: $0.23
No
14d ago
No
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$0.74
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$84.18
fee: $0.23
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
-$0.02
-0.3%
$18.39
fee: $0.04
No
20d ago
No
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$18.39
fee: $0.04
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
-$1.02
-2.0%
$104.08
fee: $1.02
Yes
21d ago
Yes
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$104.08
fee: $1.02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
-$1.59
-2.5%
$124.68
fee: $1.17
No
22d ago
No
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$1.59
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$124.68
fee: $1.17
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
-$0.21
-2.1%
$20.04
fee: $0.21
Active
22d ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$20.04
fee: $0.21
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
-$0.76
-2.2%
$81.68
fee: $0.34
No
22d ago
No
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$0.76
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$81.68
fee: $0.34
P
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
-$0.29
-0.7%
$84.69
fee: $0.29
No
22d ago
P
No
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$0.29
ROI
-0.7%
Volume
$84.69
fee: $0.29
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
+$0.71
+1.1%
$133.98
fee: $1.16
Active
22d ago
us-annual-inflation
Active
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Active 22d ago
PnL
+$0.71
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$133.98
fee: $1.16
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
—
—
$16.33
No
23d ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.33
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
-$1.02
-1.1%
$103.06
fee: $0.54
Active
23d ago
us-annual-inflation
Active
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$103.06
fee: $0.54
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
-$1.35
-31.7%
$7.24
fee: $0.11
No
23d ago
No
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$1.35
ROI
-31.7%
Volume
$7.24
fee: $0.11
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
-$0.46
-2.9%
$46.46
fee: $0.41
Active
23d ago
Active
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$0.46
ROI
-2.9%
Volume
$46.46
fee: $0.41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
+$5.20
+9.6%
$114.40
Yes
24d ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$5.20
ROI
+9.6%
Volume
$114.40
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
-$0.75
-3.6%
$40.76
fee: $0.46
No
25d ago
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$0.75
ROI
-3.6%
Volume
$40.76
fee: $0.46
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
+$0.14
+0.1%
$233.55
Active
25d ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 25d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$233.55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$16.22
fee: $0.19
Active
25d ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.22
fee: $0.19
spacex-updown
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
-$1.24
-4.3%
$63.14
fee: $0.63
Up
25d ago
spacex-updown
Up
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$1.24
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$63.14
fee: $0.63
P
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
+$0.96
+1.0%
$220.72
fee: $0.98
Yes
25d ago
P
Yes
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$220.72
fee: $0.98
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
-$17.92
-17.6%
$198.97
fee: $0.58
No
25d ago
No
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$17.92
ROI
-17.6%
Volume
$198.97
fee: $0.58
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
—
—
$108.39
fee: $1.25
Active
26d ago
Active
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Active 26d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$108.39
fee: $1.25
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$0.35
+0.3%
$206.76
Active
26d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Active 26d ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$206.76
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
-$0.93
-1.2%
$154.48
fee: $0.93
No
26d ago
No
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$0.93
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$154.48
fee: $0.93
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
—
—
$26.53
Yes
26d ago
Yes
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$26.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
-$18.97
-103.3%
$18.37
fee: $0.60
No
26d ago
No
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$18.97
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$18.37
fee: $0.60
seoul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?
-$0.02
-100.0%
$0.02
No
26d ago
seoul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.02
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?
-$34.80
-103.3%
$33.67
fee: $1.13
No
26d ago
No
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$34.80
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$33.67
fee: $1.13
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
-$53.25
-60.6%
$100.19
fee: $0.47
No
26d ago
No
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$53.25
ROI
-60.6%
Volume
$100.19
fee: $0.47
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
-$0.51
-8.3%
$11.70
Active
26d ago
Active
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Active 26d ago
PnL
-$0.51
ROI
-8.3%
Volume
$11.70
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
-$94.85
-43.4%
$208.85
fee: $1.60
Yes
26d ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$94.85
ROI
-43.4%
Volume
$208.85
fee: $1.60
chengdu-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12?
+$0.07
+3.8%
$3.85
No
26d ago
chengdu-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$3.85
spx-open-daily-up-or-down
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?
-$4.83
-6.5%
$99.90
fee: $0.75
Up
26d ago
spx-open-daily-up-or-down
Up
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$4.83
ROI
-6.5%
Volume
$99.90
fee: $0.75
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
+$0.01
+0.0%
$413.99
No
27d ago
No
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$413.99
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
-$3.05
-4.5%
$131.23
No
27d ago
No
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$3.05
ROI
-4.5%
Volume
$131.23
lucknow-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?
-$0.41
-4.0%
$50.85
fee: $0.41
No
27d ago
lucknow-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$0.41
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$50.85
fee: $0.41
league-of-legends
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
+$3.14
+5.7%
$113.11
fee: $0.32
LOUD
27d ago
league-of-legends
LOUD
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$3.14
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$113.11
fee: $0.32
lucknow-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?
-$22.47
-52.2%
$34.89
fee: $0.51
Yes
27d ago
lucknow-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$22.47
ROI
-52.2%
Volume
$34.89
fee: $0.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
+$0.66
+1.5%
$113.36
Yes
27d ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$113.36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
-$6.17
-3.1%
$389.09
fee: $3.01
Yes
27d ago
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$6.17
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$389.09
fee: $3.01
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$2.48
+1.2%
$410.93
fee: $4.89
Active
27d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 27d ago
PnL
+$2.48
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$410.93
fee: $4.89
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
+$1.55
+24.2%
$6.40
fee: $0.05
Yes
27d ago
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$1.55
ROI
+24.2%
Volume
$6.40
fee: $0.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
—
—
$325.98
Yes
27d ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$325.98
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$0.19
-2.4%
$19.19
fee: $0.18
Active
27d ago
Active
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 27d ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-2.4%
Volume
$19.19
fee: $0.18
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
-$4.24
-0.9%
$769.36
fee: $5.64
No
27d ago
No
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$4.24
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$769.36
fee: $5.64
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
-$2.17
-5.4%
$83.44
fee: $0.09
No
28d ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$2.17
ROI
-5.4%
Volume
$83.44
fee: $0.09
wellington-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?
-$0.08
-2.5%
$6.22
fee: $0.08
Yes
28d ago
wellington-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$6.22
fee: $0.08
fda-approval
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?
-$7.57
-15.7%
$89.48
fee: $0.55
No
28d ago
fda-approval
No
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$7.57
ROI
-15.7%
Volume
$89.48
fee: $0.55
151 Markets
•
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