ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D217ox9614b59508B...

View on Polymarket

Created April 16, 2026

Active June 13, 2026

Performance Curve

Cumulative PnL

May 15

May 22

May 30

Jun 6

Jun 14

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

politics+2.37

WR: 34.3%(12/35)

ROI: +1.7%

elections+1.65

WR: 40.0%(2/5)

ROI: +6.2%

pop-culture+0.13

WR: 28.6%(2/7)

ROI: +0.4%

weather-0.02

WR: 0.0%(0/1)

ROI: -0.2%

crypto-0.05

WR: 0.0%(0/4)

ROI: -2.9%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$0.00

0.0%

Taker Volume$1.25K

100.0%

Taker Ratio

100%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.01

ROI

0.1%

Win Rate

50.0%

Volume

$13.95

1 Wins in 2 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$1.28

ROI

0.9%

Win Rate

66.7%

Volume

$353.68

12 Wins in 18 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

$-7.68

ROI

-3.3%

Win Rate

55.9%

Volume

$624.93

19 Wins in 34 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

$-59.93

ROI

-12.1%

Win Rate

32.4%

Volume

$1.25K

34 Wins in 105 Markets

Recent Markets | 105 total

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

openai-valuation

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?

+$0.01

+0.5%

Active

6h ago

openai-valuation

Active

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?

Active 6h ago

PnL+$0.01

ROI+0.5%

Volume

trump-media-x-tae-technologies-merger

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

-$0.01

-0.1%

Active

8h ago

trump-media-x-tae-technologies-merger

Active

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Active 8h ago

PnL-$0.01

ROI-0.1%

Volume

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

+$0.10

+0.4%

Active

1d ago

Active

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.10

ROI+0.4%

Volume

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

+$0.07

+0.3%

Active

1d ago

Active

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.07

ROI+0.3%

Volume

openai-valuation

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

+$0.00

+0.2%

Active

1d ago

openai-valuation

Active

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.00

ROI+0.2%

Volume

dissent-at-fed-meeting

Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?

-$0.00

-0.1%

Active

1d ago

dissent-at-fed-meeting

Active

Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$0.00

ROI-0.1%

Volume

new-pandemic

New pandemic in 2026?

+$0.10

+1.1%

Active

1d ago

new-pandemic

Active

New pandemic in 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.10

ROI+1.1%

Volume

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?

+$0.02

+0.4%

1d ago

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$0.02

ROI+0.4%

Volume

bank-of-japan

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

+$0.15

+1.0%

Active

1d ago

bank-of-japan

Active

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.15

ROI+1.0%

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

taiwan-blockade

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

+$0.09

+1.2%

Active

1d ago

taiwan-blockade

Active

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.09

ROI+1.2%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

-$0.22

-1.7%

Active

1d ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$0.22

ROI-1.7%

Volume

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

+$0.09

+0.8%

Active

2d ago

Active

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.09

ROI+0.8%

Volume

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

+$1.49

+20.6%

Active

2d ago

Active

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$1.49

ROI+20.6%

Volume

Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?

+$0.02

+0.5%

2d ago

Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$0.02

ROI+0.5%

Volume

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

-$0.39

-28.6%

Active

2d ago

ecb-interest-rates

Active

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Active 2d ago

PnL-$0.39

ROI-28.6%

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

-$0.27

-5.7%

Active

2d ago

Active

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Active 2d ago

PnL-$0.27

ROI-5.7%

Volume

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

+$0.03

+0.6%

2d ago

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Settled 2d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.6%

Volume

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

+$0.03

+0.6%

Active

3d ago

Active

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.6%

Volume

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

+$0.04

+1.8%

Active

3d ago

Active

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$0.04

ROI+1.8%

Volume

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

+$1.03

+6.4%

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$1.03

ROI+6.4%

Volume

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

+$0.05

+4.8%

Active

4d ago

Active

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Active 4d ago

PnL+$0.05

ROI+4.8%

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

—

Active

4d ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Active

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

—

Active

4d ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Active

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

mythos-released

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

-$3.93

-103.9%

Yes

4d ago

mythos-released

Yes

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$3.93

ROI-103.9%

Volume

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in May?

+$0.03

+0.3%

4d ago

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in May?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.3%

Volume

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

-$0.10

-0.5%

4d ago

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$0.10

ROI-0.5%

Volume

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

-$4.20

-103.8%

Yes

4d ago

Yes

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$4.20

ROI-103.8%

Volume

ecb-interest-rates

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

-$1.02

-100.2%

Yes

4d ago

ecb-interest-rates

Yes

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Settled 2d ago

PnL-$1.02

ROI-100.2%

Volume

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

-$0.79

-56.3%

Active

5d ago

Active

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Active 5d ago

PnL-$0.79

ROI-56.3%

Volume

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

+$0.02

+0.8%

Active

6d ago

Active

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Active 6d ago

PnL+$0.02

ROI+0.8%

Volume

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

+$0.03

+0.4%

Active

6d ago

Active

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Active 6d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.4%

Volume

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

-$0.04

-1.2%

Active

6d ago

Active

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Active 6d ago

PnL-$0.04

ROI-1.2%

Volume

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

-$0.10

-3.0%

Active

6d ago

Active

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Active 6d ago

PnL-$0.10

ROI-3.0%

Volume

Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?

-$0.00

-0.1%

Active

7d ago

Active

Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?

Active 7d ago

PnL-$0.00

ROI-0.1%

Volume

putin-out-as-president

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

+$0.03

+0.3%

Active

7d ago

putin-out-as-president

Active

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Active 7d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.3%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

—

Active

8d ago

nuclear-deal

Active

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Active 8d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

which-countries-recognize-israel

Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30?

+$0.00

+0.0%

Active

8d ago

which-countries-recognize-israel

Active

Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30?

Active 8d ago

PnL+$0.00

ROI+0.0%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

—

Active

8d ago

nuclear-deal

Active

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Active 8d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

—

Active

8d ago

Active

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Active 8d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

—

Active

8d ago

nuclear-deal

Active

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Active 8d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

ipo-closing-market-cap

Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?

-$27.88

-103.2%

9d ago

ipo-closing-market-cap

Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?

Settled 9d ago

PnL-$27.88

ROI-103.2%

Volume

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

-$0.07

-1.5%

Active

9d ago

Active

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Active 9d ago

PnL-$0.07

ROI-1.5%

Volume

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

-$0.02

-0.2%

Active

9d ago

Active

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Active 9d ago

PnL-$0.02

ROI-0.2%

Volume

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

+$0.03

+0.8%

Active

9d ago

Active

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

Active 9d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.8%

Volume

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

-$0.08

-4.7%

Active

10d ago

Active

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Active 10d ago

PnL-$0.08

ROI-4.7%

Volume

anthropic-valuation

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?

-$0.10

-3.2%

Active

10d ago

anthropic-valuation

Active

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?

Active 10d ago

PnL-$0.10

ROI-3.2%

Volume

fomc

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

—

Active

11d ago

fomc

Active

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Active 11d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?

—

Active

11d ago

Active

Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?

Active 11d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

which-countries-recognize-israel

Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?

-$0.04

-0.8%

Active

11d ago

which-countries-recognize-israel

Active

Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?

Active 11d ago

PnL-$0.04

ROI-0.8%

Volume

105 Markets

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