Lu

LucasEMatosLucasEMatos

View on Polymarket

Created May 6, 2026

Active June 13, 2026

Performance Curve

Cumulative PnL

May 14

May 22

May 29

Jun 6

Jun 13

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

pop-culture+6.23

WR: 86.7%(13/15)

ROI: +2.9%

weather+3.64

WR: 100.0%(2/2)

ROI: +10.2%

politics+3.64

WR: 80.0%(4/5)

ROI: +4.4%

geopolitics+3.54

WR: 75.0%(3/4)

ROI: +4.5%

soccer+1.07

WR: 40.0%(4/10)

ROI: +8.6%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$325.27

42.9%

Taker Volume$432.98

57.1%

Taker Ratio

57%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$1.82

ROI

2.7%

Win Rate

85.7%

Volume

$152.75

6 Wins in 7 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$5.03

ROI

2.7%

Win Rate

80.0%

Volume

$397.82

12 Wins in 15 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$7.87

ROI

2.8%

Win Rate

72.7%

Volume

$608.48

16 Wins in 22 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$12.86

ROI

3.7%

Win Rate

72.7%

Volume

$758.25

24 Wins in 33 Markets

Recent Markets | 35 total

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

+$0.15

+4.4%

Active

8h ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

Active 8h ago

PnL+$0.15

ROI+4.4%

Volume

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$0.31

+29.7%

Active

8h ago

Active

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 8h ago

PnL+$0.31

ROI+29.7%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?

+$0.01

+0.1%

Active

9h ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?

Active 9h ago

PnL+$0.01

ROI+0.1%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

+$0.65

+2.4%

Active

9h ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

Active 9h ago

PnL+$0.65

ROI+2.4%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

+$0.67

+3.0%

Active

9h ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

Active 9h ago

PnL+$0.67

ROI+3.0%

Volume

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

+$0.03

+54.5%

Active

18h ago

Active

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 18h ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+54.5%

Volume

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

—

—

Active

19h ago

Active

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Active 19h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

+$0.13

+1.4%

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.13

ROI+1.4%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

+$0.15

+1.1%

Active

1d ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$0.15

ROI+1.1%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

+$0.13

+1.0%

Yes

1d ago

trump-insult-on

Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Settled 14h ago

PnL+$0.13

ROI+1.0%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

-$0.25

-2.0%

Active

1d ago

Active

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$0.25

ROI-2.0%

Volume

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

—

—

Active

2d ago

Active

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 2d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

+$1.80

+15.1%

Active

2d ago

Active

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$1.80

ROI+15.1%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

+$1.10

+2.7%

Yes

2d ago

trump-insult-on

Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$1.10

ROI+2.7%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

+$0.15

+1.1%

Active

2d ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.15

ROI+1.1%

Volume

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

—

—

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

+$0.60

+33.3%

Active

3d ago

Active

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$0.60

ROI+33.3%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

+$0.29

+2.1%

Yes

3d ago

trump-insult-on

Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$0.29

ROI+2.1%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

-$0.04

-0.3%

Yes

4d ago

trump-insult-on

Yes

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

Settled 4d ago

PnL-$0.04

ROI-0.3%

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

—

—

Active

6d ago

trump-insult-on

Active

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Active 6d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

trump-insult-on

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

+$0.50

+3.6%

No

6d ago

trump-insult-on

No

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$0.50

ROI+3.6%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

+$1.49

+2.8%

No

6d ago

No

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$1.49

ROI+2.8%

Volume

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

—

—

Active

11d ago

Active

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 11d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

—

—

Active

11d ago

Active

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 11d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

+$0.50

+33.2%

No

12d ago

No

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.50

ROI+33.2%

Volume

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

+$0.43

+4.3%

Active

12d ago

Active

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Active 12d ago

PnL+$0.43

ROI+4.3%

Volume

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

+$0.10

+2.6%

No

12d ago

No

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Settled 12d ago

PnL+$0.10

ROI+2.6%

Volume

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

+$1.94

+19.4%

Active

12d ago

Active

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Active 12d ago

PnL+$1.94

ROI+19.4%

Volume

new-pandemic

New pandemic in 2026?

+$0.20

+1.3%

Active

12d ago

new-pandemic

Active

New pandemic in 2026?

Active 12d ago

PnL+$0.20

ROI+1.3%

Volume

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

+$1.70

+6.6%

Active

20d ago

Active

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Active 20d ago

PnL+$1.70

ROI+6.6%

Volume

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

+$0.10

+2.7%

Active

20d ago

Active

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Active 20d ago

PnL+$0.10

ROI+2.7%

Volume

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

—

—

Active

22d ago

Active

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 22d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

new-coronavirus-pandemic

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

+$0.03

+2.9%

Active

27d ago

new-coronavirus-pandemic

Active

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Active 27d ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+2.9%

Volume

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

+$1.49

+27.8%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$1.49

ROI+27.8%

Volume

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

+$0.26

+13.2%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.26

ROI+13.2%

Volume

35 Markets