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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
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BondSolo
BondSolo
@meustermint
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
November 1, 2025
Active
September 18, 2026
Balance
$1.33K
Incoming
+$1.56K
Rewards
+$204.41
Outgoing
-$3.53K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$1.02K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 27
Sep 3
Sep 11
Sep 18
Sep 26
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$1.02K
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +338.2%
Geopolitics
+$1.02K
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +355.6%
Economy
+$1.02K
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +355.6%
Crypto
+$0.90
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +6.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$360.00
21.3%
Taker Volume
$1.33K
78.7%
Taker Ratio
79%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$1.02K
ROI
338.2%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$1.69K
Fee
$0.06
2 Wins in 2 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 107
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$1.02K
+355.6%
$1.67K
Active
7d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$1.02K
ROI
+355.6%
Volume
$1.67K
Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?
+$0.90
+6.0%
$15.04
fee: $0.06
Yes
18d ago
Yes
Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$0.90
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$15.04
fee: $0.06
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
—
—
$240.00
fee: $4.99
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$240.00
fee: $4.99
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
—
—
$158.70
fee: $3.30
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$158.70
fee: $3.30
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$58.46
+27.9%
$482.00
fee: $5.19
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$58.46
ROI
+27.9%
Volume
$482.00
fee: $5.19
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
+$1.60
+25.4%
$14.20
fee: $0.07
Active
1mo ago
Active
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.60
ROI
+25.4%
Volume
$14.20
fee: $0.07
P
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
-$5.55
-53.4%
$45.36
fee: $0.23
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.55
ROI
-53.4%
Volume
$45.36
fee: $0.23
P
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
+$0.10
+0.1%
$100.00
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $0.00
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
—
—
$140.24
fee: $2.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$140.24
fee: $2.05
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
+$12.10
+28.2%
$42.89
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.10
ROI
+28.2%
Volume
$42.89
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$195.00
-100.0%
$195.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$195.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$195.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$78.30
fee: $2.10
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$78.30
fee: $2.10
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
-$189.67
-16.2%
$2.16K
fee: $10.81
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$189.67
ROI
-16.2%
Volume
$2.16K
fee: $10.81
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
-$17.19
-100.3%
$17.15
fee: $0.04
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$17.19
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$17.15
fee: $0.04
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
-$50.92
-100.2%
$50.81
fee: $0.12
No
1mo ago
No
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$50.92
ROI
-100.2%
Volume
$50.81
fee: $0.12
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
-$15.21
-100.0%
$15.21
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$15.21
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$15.21
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
-$130.23
-45.6%
$440.87
fee: $8.88
Active
1mo ago
Active
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$130.23
ROI
-45.6%
Volume
$440.87
fee: $8.88
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
—
—
$40.60
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$40.60
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
-$109.98
-73.0%
$194.51
fee: $3.22
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$109.98
ROI
-73.0%
Volume
$194.51
fee: $3.22
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
+$0.45
+1.1%
$39.51
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
No
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$39.51
fee: $0.03
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
-$35.97
-105.8%
$34.00
fee: $1.98
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$35.97
ROI
-105.8%
Volume
$34.00
fee: $1.98
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
+$6.41
+62.3%
$10.29
fee: $0.28
No
1mo ago
No
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.41
ROI
+62.3%
Volume
$10.29
fee: $0.28
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$50.00
+4.3%
$2.40K
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$50.00
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$2.40K
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
-$100.00
-100.0%
$100.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$100.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$100.00
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$2.17
+2.0%
$219.17
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.17
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$219.17
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?
+$3.61
+11.1%
$68.46
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.61
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$68.46
fee: $0.08
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
-$99.80
-103.4%
$96.52
fee: $3.29
Yes
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$99.80
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$96.52
fee: $3.29
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?
-$4.57
-102.2%
$4.47
fee: $0.10
No
1mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.57
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$4.47
fee: $0.10
dissent-at-fed-meeting
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
-$23.94
-104.2%
$22.97
fee: $0.97
No
1mo ago
dissent-at-fed-meeting
No
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$23.94
ROI
-104.2%
Volume
$22.97
fee: $0.97
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$142.82
+16.1%
$1.18K
fee: $14.98
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$142.82
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$1.18K
fee: $14.98
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+$23.21
+11.9%
$413.35
fee: $1.53
No
1mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$23.21
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$413.35
fee: $1.53
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
+$45.15
+21.7%
$460.34
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$45.15
ROI
+21.7%
Volume
$460.34
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
+$1.39
+1.1%
$256.19
No
1mo ago
No
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.39
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$256.19
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
-$36.17
-100.0%
$36.17
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$36.17
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$36.17
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$315.69
-100.0%
$315.69
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$315.69
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$315.69
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?
-$2.24
-100.0%
$2.24
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.24
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.24
P
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
-$52.39
-101.2%
$51.75
fee: $0.64
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$52.39
ROI
-101.2%
Volume
$51.75
fee: $0.64
P
earnings-call-mentions
Will the earnings call not air?
+$0.05
+1.0%
$4.95
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
P
earnings-call-mentions
No
Will the earnings call not air?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$4.95
fee: $0.00
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
-$441.44
-100.0%
$441.44
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$441.44
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$441.44
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
-$13.80
-100.0%
$13.80
No
1mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$13.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$13.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
-$138.73
-100.0%
$138.73
No
2mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$138.73
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$138.73
P
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
+$0.16
+1.7%
$9.83
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$9.83
fee: $0.01
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$100.00
-20.0%
$900.00
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$100.00
ROI
-20.0%
Volume
$900.00
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
-$145.16
-103.2%
$140.60
fee: $4.56
No
2mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$145.16
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$140.60
fee: $4.56
soccer-fifwc
France vs. England: Team to Win
+$2.28
+2.3%
$97.60
fee: $0.12
England
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
England
France vs. England: Team to Win
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.28
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$97.60
fee: $0.12
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$207.98
-100.0%
$207.98
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$207.98
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$207.98
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
-$40.40
-100.0%
$40.40
No
2mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$40.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$40.40
P
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?
+$0.32
+0.1%
$333.94
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.32
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$333.94
fee: $0.02
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
+$42.11
+242.0%
$17.40
fee: $0.49
Yes
2mo ago
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$42.11
ROI
+242.0%
Volume
$17.40
fee: $0.49
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
+$9.79
+16.6%
$129.36
fee: $1.77
No
2mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.79
ROI
+16.6%
Volume
$129.36
fee: $1.77
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$60.30
+7.2%
$1.73K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$60.30
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$1.73K
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
—
—
$163.92
fee: $0.60
Active
2mo ago
pete-hegseth-out
Active
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$163.92
fee: $0.60
P
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
+$14.00
+7.5%
$186.00
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$14.00
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$186.00
P
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
-$196.52
-95.1%
$225.46
fee: $8.71
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$196.52
ROI
-95.1%
Volume
$225.46
fee: $8.71
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
+$700.81
+116.6%
$1.57K
fee: $6.51
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$700.81
ROI
+116.6%
Volume
$1.57K
fee: $6.51
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
+$22.83
+13.6%
$167.38
No
2mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$22.83
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$167.38
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
+$278.44
+128.7%
$711.22
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$278.44
ROI
+128.7%
Volume
$711.22
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.04
+0.1%
$40.00
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $0.00
soccer-fifwc
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
-$34.67
-102.0%
$34.00
fee: $0.67
Spain
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$34.67
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$34.00
fee: $0.67
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
+$1.61
+2.6%
$62.98
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
No
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$62.98
fee: $0.01
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
+$0.13
+0.2%
$67.44
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
anthropic-valuation
No
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$67.44
fee: $0.01
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
+$0.29
+0.1%
$299.76
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
anthropic-valuation
No
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$299.76
fee: $0.01
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
+$0.29
+0.1%
$299.70
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
anthropic-valuation
No
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$299.70
fee: $0.01
Trump renames ICE to NICE by July 31?
+$12.24
+11.9%
$102.70
fee: $0.45
No
2mo ago
No
Trump renames ICE to NICE by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.24
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$102.70
fee: $0.45
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
-$84.95
-26.4%
$351.85
No
2mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
No
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$84.95
ROI
-26.4%
Volume
$351.85
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
-$118.54
-97.0%
$125.80
No
2mo ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$118.54
ROI
-97.0%
Volume
$125.80
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
-$333.63
-100.0%
$333.63
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$333.63
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$333.63
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
-$178.86
-69.0%
$660.10
fee: $7.76
No
3mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$178.86
ROI
-69.0%
Volume
$660.10
fee: $7.76
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
+$106.64
+111.8%
$95.41
fee: $1.81
No
3mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$106.64
ROI
+111.8%
Volume
$95.41
fee: $1.81
P
Will there be 2+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?
+$0.13
+0.1%
$129.87
fee: $0.00
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will there be 2+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$129.87
fee: $0.00
P
Will there be 1+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?
+$0.22
+0.1%
$179.77
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will there be 1+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$179.77
fee: $0.01
2026 NBA Draft: Any Team to Trade into Top 10?
+$114.51
+1156.7%
$9.90
fee: $0.27
No
3mo ago
No
2026 NBA Draft: Any Team to Trade into Top 10?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$114.51
ROI
+1156.7%
Volume
$9.90
fee: $0.27
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
+$9.53
+9.5%
$100.02
No
3mo ago
No
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$9.53
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$100.02
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
+$103.09
+20.0%
$514.88
fee: $2.37
No
3mo ago
No
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$103.09
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$514.88
fee: $2.37
soccer-fifwc
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
+$0.78
+2.5%
$31.64
Yes
3mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$31.64
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
-$120.34
-94.7%
$133.87
No
3mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$120.34
ROI
-94.7%
Volume
$133.87
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
+$13.01
+1.7%
$770.21
fee: $0.45
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$13.01
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$770.21
fee: $0.45
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$30.00
+6.4%
$470.00
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$30.00
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$470.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
+$280.71
+78.6%
$357.27
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$280.71
ROI
+78.6%
Volume
$357.27
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
+$203.78
+484.9%
$42.02
fee: $1.40
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$203.78
ROI
+484.9%
Volume
$42.02
fee: $1.40
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
+$170.38
+15.1%
$1.67K
No
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$170.38
ROI
+15.1%
Volume
$1.67K
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
-$512.35
-100.0%
$512.35
Yes
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$512.35
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$512.35
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
+$36.22
+19.6%
$406.01
Yes
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$36.22
ROI
+19.6%
Volume
$406.01
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
+$12.00
+6.4%
$188.00
No
3mo ago
pete-hegseth-out
No
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.00
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$188.00
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
+$8.78
+3.2%
$558.99
No
3mo ago
No
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.78
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$558.99
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
+$18.00
+9.9%
$181.99
No
3mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$18.00
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$181.99
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
+$40.00
+6.5%
$1.27K
Yes
3mo ago
trump-agree-iran
Yes
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$40.00
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$1.27K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$48.13
+19.1%
$252.52
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$48.13
ROI
+19.1%
Volume
$252.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$451.25
+101.9%
$980.70
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$451.25
ROI
+101.9%
Volume
$980.70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$932.19
+164.2%
$567.81
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$932.19
ROI
+164.2%
Volume
$567.81
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$1.29
+0.6%
$207.90
fee: $0.05
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.29
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$207.90
fee: $0.05
maine-senate-primary-deriv
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
-$271.37
-103.6%
$261.86
fee: $9.52
Yes
3mo ago
maine-senate-primary-deriv
Yes
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$271.37
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$261.86
fee: $9.52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
+$3.93
+0.9%
$433.28
No
3mo ago
No
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.93
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$433.28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
+$105.92
+300.0%
$105.92
No
3mo ago
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$105.92
ROI
+300.0%
Volume
$105.92
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
—
—
$592.50
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$592.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
-$65.08
-19.9%
$589.16
No
4mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$65.08
ROI
-19.9%
Volume
$589.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
-$2.83
-47.6%
$9.06
No
4mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$2.83
ROI
-47.6%
Volume
$9.06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
—
—
$123.55
fee: $0.40
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$123.55
fee: $0.40
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
-$0.25
-100.0%
$4.83
No
4mo ago
iran-regime
No
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.83
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
-$176.04
-100.0%
$264.06
No
4mo ago
No
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$176.04
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$264.06
107 Markets
•
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