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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$227.53
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Created
April 16, 2026
Active
September 18, 2026
Balance
$420.61
Incoming
+$235.91
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$107.69
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 22
Aug 30
Sep 6
Sep 14
Sep 21
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$134.72
WR: 100.0%
(5/5)
ROI: +211.9%
Elections
+$90.83
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +506.3%
Tech
+$50.62
WR: 50.0%
(2/4)
ROI: +115.8%
Geopolitics
+$27.75
WR: 100.0%
(3/3)
ROI: +67.4%
Finance
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$517.06
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$6.08
ROI
98.1%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$66.76
Fee
$2.23
1 Wins in 3 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$107.69
ROI
60.7%
Win Rate
44.4%
Volume
$517.06
Fee
$8.11
8 Wins in 18 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 161
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
+$6.08
+98.1%
$24.64
fee: $0.84
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$6.08
ROI
+98.1%
Volume
$24.64
fee: $0.84
fed-rate-hike
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
—
—
$21.55
fee: $0.78
Active
4d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$21.55
fee: $0.78
P
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?
—
—
$20.57
fee: $0.62
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.57
fee: $0.62
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$21.68
fee: $0.60
Active
8d ago
who-trump-insult
Active
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$21.68
fee: $0.60
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
-$23.49
-102.8%
$22.86
fee: $0.63
Yes
9d ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$23.49
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$22.86
fee: $0.63
P
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
+$16.72
+69.5%
$24.06
No
9d ago
P
No
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$16.72
ROI
+69.5%
Volume
$24.06
earthquake-monthly
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in United States this month?
-$26.59
-104.7%
$25.39
fee: $1.20
Yes
11d ago
earthquake-monthly
Yes
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in United States this month?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$26.59
ROI
-104.7%
Volume
$25.39
fee: $1.20
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
+$46.21
+304.2%
$76.59
fee: $0.53
Active
11d ago
Active
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
Active 11d ago
PnL
+$46.21
ROI
+304.2%
Volume
$76.59
fee: $0.53
earthquake-monthly
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?
+$6.12
+65.6%
$24.97
fee: $0.20
No
13d ago
earthquake-monthly
No
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$6.12
ROI
+65.6%
Volume
$24.97
fee: $0.20
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
+$6.21
+68.4%
$24.37
Active
13d ago
Active
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
Active 13d ago
PnL
+$6.21
ROI
+68.4%
Volume
$24.37
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
+$4.82
+59.8%
$20.93
No
17d ago
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$4.82
ROI
+59.8%
Volume
$20.93
critical-cloudflare-incident
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
+$20.96
+167.7%
$45.96
Active
17d ago
critical-cloudflare-incident
Active
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$20.96
ROI
+167.7%
Volume
$45.96
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
+$84.75
+721.9%
$108.23
fee: $1.11
Active
17d ago
Active
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$84.75
ROI
+721.9%
Volume
$108.23
fee: $1.11
chatgpt-outage-by
ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$14.41
fee: $0.39
Active
18d ago
chatgpt-outage-by
Active
ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?
Active 18d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.41
fee: $0.39
P
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 14?
-$16.55
-103.3%
$16.02
fee: $0.53
Yes
19d ago
P
Yes
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 14?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$16.55
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$16.02
fee: $0.53
Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?
-$7.57
-104.1%
$7.27
fee: $0.30
Yes
24d ago
Yes
Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$7.57
ROI
-104.1%
Volume
$7.27
fee: $0.30
P
Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?
—
—
$7.66
fee: $0.16
Active
25d ago
P
Active
Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.66
fee: $0.16
earthquake-monthly
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?
-$9.98
-101.6%
$9.89
fee: $0.23
Yes
26d ago
earthquake-monthly
Yes
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$9.98
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$9.89
fee: $0.23
P
will-mrbeast-hit-billion-views
Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?
-$7.93
-93.7%
$9.45
fee: $0.46
Yes
1mo ago
P
will-mrbeast-hit-billion-views
Yes
Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$7.93
ROI
-93.7%
Volume
$9.45
fee: $0.46
rotten-tomatoes
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$4.71
-94.2%
$5.40
fee: $0.11
Yes
1mo ago
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.71
ROI
-94.2%
Volume
$5.40
fee: $0.11
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
-$5.61
-89.7%
$7.04
fee: $0.15
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$5.61
ROI
-89.7%
Volume
$7.04
fee: $0.15
critical-discord-incident
Critical Discord Incident by September 30?
—
—
$8.86
fee: $0.18
Active
1mo ago
critical-discord-incident
Active
Critical Discord Incident by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.86
fee: $0.18
Will a tropical cyclone make landfall on Honshu in August 2026?
-$10.52
-101.5%
$10.69
fee: $0.49
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will a tropical cyclone make landfall on Honshu in August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.52
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$10.69
fee: $0.49
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 1?
+$15.46
+141.5%
$10.92
fee: $0.26
No
1mo ago
No
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 1?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$15.46
ROI
+141.5%
Volume
$10.92
fee: $0.26
Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?
-$11.75
-94.0%
$13.45
fee: $0.20
No
1mo ago
No
Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$11.75
ROI
-94.0%
Volume
$13.45
fee: $0.20
Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?
-$12.54
-100.3%
$12.93
fee: $0.47
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$12.54
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$12.93
fee: $0.47
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
-$12.49
-99.9%
$12.91
fee: $0.40
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$12.49
ROI
-99.9%
Volume
$12.91
fee: $0.40
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
—
—
$10.51
fee: $0.22
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.51
fee: $0.22
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
—
—
$11.72
fee: $0.42
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.72
fee: $0.42
P
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by August 31?
+$11.08
+86.8%
$12.76
fee: $0.24
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$11.08
ROI
+86.8%
Volume
$12.76
fee: $0.24
P
monthly-listeners
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31?
+$11.15
+82.9%
$13.45
fee: $0.31
No
1mo ago
P
monthly-listeners
No
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$11.15
ROI
+82.9%
Volume
$13.45
fee: $0.31
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
+$0.78
+15.6%
$10.78
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+15.6%
Volume
$10.78
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
-$1.76
-35.3%
$8.23
fee: $0.14
Active
1mo ago
Active
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.76
ROI
-35.3%
Volume
$8.23
fee: $0.14
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
+$7.43
+59.4%
$32.42
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.43
ROI
+59.4%
Volume
$32.42
P
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
+$8.77
+175.4%
$18.99
fee: $0.23
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$8.77
ROI
+175.4%
Volume
$18.99
fee: $0.23
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
+$8.57
+171.4%
$18.57
fee: $0.63
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.57
ROI
+171.4%
Volume
$18.57
fee: $0.63
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$14.65
+117.2%
$39.64
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$14.65
ROI
+117.2%
Volume
$39.64
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$8.50
+170.0%
$18.50
No
1mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.50
ROI
+170.0%
Volume
$18.50
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
+$1.96
+39.2%
$12.08
fee: $0.12
Yes
1mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$1.96
ROI
+39.2%
Volume
$12.08
fee: $0.12
chatgpt-full-outage
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
+$4.17
+83.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
chatgpt-full-outage
No
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$4.17
ROI
+83.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.09
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
+$0.27
+5.3%
$10.26
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$10.26
iran-targets-shipping-by
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
2mo ago
iran-targets-shipping-by
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
-$0.30
-6.0%
$9.70
fee: $0.26
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$9.70
fee: $0.26
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
-$0.34
-6.8%
$9.66
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.34
ROI
-6.8%
Volume
$9.66
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?
-$9.62
-77.0%
$15.66
fee: $0.28
No
2mo ago
No
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$9.62
ROI
-77.0%
Volume
$15.66
fee: $0.28
P
Will a trailer for Marvel's Wolverine premiere at SDCC 2026?
-$5.18
-103.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will a trailer for Marvel's Wolverine premiere at SDCC 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.18
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.18
P
measles
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
-$4.34
-86.7%
$5.75
fee: $0.09
Yes
2mo ago
P
measles
Yes
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.34
ROI
-86.7%
Volume
$5.75
fee: $0.09
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$2.76
-55.3%
$7.45
fee: $0.21
Yes
2mo ago
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.76
ROI
-55.3%
Volume
$7.45
fee: $0.21
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
-$4.55
-89.9%
$5.76
fee: $0.19
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.55
ROI
-89.9%
Volume
$5.76
fee: $0.19
P
Will a trailer for Blade Runner 2099 premiere at SDCC 2026?
-$5.20
-104.0%
$5.00
fee: $0.20
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will a trailer for Blade Runner 2099 premiere at SDCC 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.20
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.20
P
Will a trailer for Avengers: Doomsday premiere at SDCC 2026?
-$5.20
-104.0%
$5.00
fee: $0.20
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will a trailer for Avengers: Doomsday premiere at SDCC 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.20
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.20
P
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
+$0.27
+5.3%
$10.26
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$10.26
P
Will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
-$1.69
-33.9%
$8.64
fee: $0.33
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.69
ROI
-33.9%
Volume
$8.64
fee: $0.33
P
houthis-target-shipping
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
-$2.06
-41.1%
$7.94
Yes
2mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping
Yes
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-41.1%
Volume
$7.94
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
-$12.62
-101.0%
$12.86
fee: $0.48
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.62
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$12.86
fee: $0.48
P
Will a trailer for Marvel Tōkon: Fighting Souls premiere at SDCC 2026?
-$5.21
-104.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.21
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will a trailer for Marvel Tōkon: Fighting Souls premiere at SDCC 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.21
ROI
-104.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.21
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
-$1.90
-38.0%
$8.37
fee: $0.27
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.90
ROI
-38.0%
Volume
$8.37
fee: $0.27
P
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
+$2.14
+42.9%
$5.00
No
2mo ago
P
No
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.14
ROI
+42.9%
Volume
$5.00
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
+$1.98
+39.7%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.98
ROI
+39.7%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
P
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?
+$3.28
+65.5%
$5.00
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.28
ROI
+65.5%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
P
Will Zac Rossi advance to the general election for WA-04?
+$3.84
+76.8%
$5.00
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Zac Rossi advance to the general election for WA-04?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.84
ROI
+76.8%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.09
P
Will John Duresky advance to the general election for WA-04?
-$5.15
-102.9%
$5.00
fee: $0.15
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will John Duresky advance to the general election for WA-04?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.15
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.15
P
Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?
-$5.18
-103.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.18
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.18
Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?
—
—
$5.00
fee: $0.07
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.07
rotten-tomatoes
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$5.13
-102.7%
$5.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.13
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.13
moscow-air-traffic
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
2mo ago
moscow-air-traffic
Yes
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
-$5.18
-103.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.18
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.18
P
moscow-air-traffic
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
2mo ago
P
moscow-air-traffic
Yes
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
P
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
-$5.06
-101.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.06
ROI
-101.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
-$5.05
-101.1%
$5.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$5.05
ROI
-101.1%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.05
Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?
+$1.62
+32.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+32.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.05
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
-$0.27
-5.5%
$9.73
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.27
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$9.73
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
-$0.08
-1.5%
$9.92
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-1.5%
Volume
$9.92
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
-$0.21
-4.3%
$9.86
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
No
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$9.86
fee: $0.08
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$2.04
+40.8%
$5.00
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.04
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$5.00
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
+$2.99
+59.8%
$5.00
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
No
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$2.99
ROI
+59.8%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
P
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
-$5.08
-101.5%
$5.00
fee: $0.08
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.08
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
-$5.07
-101.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.07
ROI
-101.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.07
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
+$2.58
+51.5%
$5.00
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$2.58
ROI
+51.5%
Volume
$5.00
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
—
—
$5.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
-$0.89
-7.1%
$24.74
fee: $0.64
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
2mo ago
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.89
ROI
-7.1%
Volume
$24.74
fee: $0.64
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
-$0.86
-6.9%
$24.75
fee: $0.61
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
2mo ago
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.86
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$24.75
fee: $0.61
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
+$1.89
+37.8%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.89
ROI
+37.8%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?
+$2.18
+43.7%
$5.00
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.18
ROI
+43.7%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.06
P
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
+$3.04
+60.7%
$13.04
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.04
ROI
+60.7%
Volume
$13.04
P
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
+$3.03
+60.6%
$13.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.03
ROI
+60.6%
Volume
$13.03
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
+$3.28
+65.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
No
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$3.28
ROI
+65.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
-$5.07
-101.4%
$5.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.07
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.07
Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?
-$5.13
-102.5%
$5.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.13
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.13
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
+$0.13
+1.1%
$25.13
Yes
2mo ago
spacex-starship-flight-test
Yes
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$25.13
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
P
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?
+$4.28
+85.7%
$14.28
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.28
ROI
+85.7%
Volume
$14.28
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?
-$1.09
-104.7%
$19.00
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.09
ROI
-104.7%
Volume
$19.00
fee: $0.05
P
measles
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
-$5.17
-103.4%
$5.00
fee: $0.17
Yes
2mo ago
P
measles
Yes
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.17
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.17
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
+$52.60
+1051.9%
$5.00
fee: $0.18
No
2mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$52.60
ROI
+1051.9%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.18
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?
-$5.18
-103.6%
$5.00
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.18
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.18
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?
-$5.10
-102.1%
$5.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.10
ROI
-102.1%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.10
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?
-$5.16
-103.3%
$5.00
fee: $0.16
Yes
2mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.16
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.16
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?
-$5.19
-103.7%
$5.00
fee: $0.19
Yes
2mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.19
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.19
161 Markets
•
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